PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Boeing reports that Asia will need 240,000 pilots in next 20 years
Old 31st Aug 2018, 12:22
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racedo
 
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Ultimately it will come down to cost and afraid that is what is the driver of it.

A 100 fleet SH carrier will need circa 12 qualified pilots per aircraft on average, and assumming cost is $200k a year each that includes Salary, Taxes, training costs etc etc then that is £200-250 million dollar cost per year.

Assumming Boeing / Airbus can roll this out and I believe they can and will then their is a real benefit to airline owners.

The arguement will be passenger worries.............. well post 9/11 nobody in Europe wanted to fly on an aircraft, Ryanair introduce 1p fares and people overcome their worries very quickly for a cheap fare.

I would expect 2-3 years iof transition where Pilots are present in the cockpit but from first introduction I would expect 10 years before we have automated fleets in many countries.

Circa 2040 is probably not unrealistic.
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