Perth to London

[RealityCzech]

Originally Posted by Rated De

https://www.news.com.au/travel/trave...9d4240a8e184e1

With a Load factor of 75.5% at the height of a northern summer, as the north descends into the cooler months, this is not a good metric.
As we postulated at the commencement of the service, it may well be ok in the warmer northern months but marginal where fuel, payload and crew tour of duty limits impact on the operation in a European winter.
With the lower CASK and more yield premium due the configuration, the margins will be okay.

The problem for Qantas, other than operational restrictions, during a northern winter is that where as once Qantas ran four flights to Europe with AVERAGE yearly load factors on 80% (in the last two years of service 2012, 2013) a new service in a northern PEAK can't hold 80%.
Qantas operate far less seats than they did in FY13, not having over sold services on a daily basis ought concern, fort fumble.


IFF the operational restrictions north bound are prevalent in the northern winter Q4 this year, then it is highly probable another quiet 'schedule change' reflecting 'customer feedback' sees this service sent via Singapore.

A six year random walk for little Napoleon, only to return to Europe via Singapore, like most other airlines.
Like a defeated third Reich commanding non existent battalions to defend Berlin, what next?

Comparing claimed 80% load factors with 4 engine gas guzzlers on 2 legs via Asia versus 75% loads on a 787 direct service shows how unsophisticated your analysis (and I use the term loosely) is. If all that was needed was high loads, then FRA via SIN would still be in operation.

Have a look at the 12-13k Flexi J fares that are typically bought by corporates on the PER-LHR route. Multiply that by the 42 seats and you start to get an idea of how strong this route is.