As the Boeing 787 Dreamliner aircraft could carry 236 passengers, its monthly capacity was 14,160 seats — meaning that month, capacity reached only 75.5 per cent of the potential maximum.
https://www.news.com.au/travel/trave...9d4240a8e184e1
With a Load factor of 75.5% at the height of a northern summer, as the north descends into the cooler months, this is not a good metric.
As we postulated at the commencement of the service, it may well be ok in the warmer northern months but marginal where fuel, payload and crew tour of duty limits impact on the operation in a European winter.
With the lower CASK and more yield premium due the configuration, the margins will be okay.
The problem for Qantas, other than operational restrictions, during a northern winter is that where as once Qantas
ran four flights to Europe with AVERAGE yearly load factors on 80% (in the last two years of service 2012, 2013) a new service in a
northern PEAK can't hold 80%.
Qantas operate far less seats than they did in FY13, not having over sold services on a daily basis ought concern, fort fumble.
IFF the operational restrictions north bound are prevalent in the northern winter Q4 this year, then it is highly probable another quiet 'schedule change' reflecting 'customer feedback' sees this service sent via Singapore.
A six year random walk for little Napoleon, only to return to Europe via Singapore, like most other airlines.
Like a defeated third Reich commanding non existent battalions to defend Berlin, what next?