What makes you think BE will be most affected? They land significantly closer to Belfast than EZY and fly aircraft that are profitable with an average 76% load factor. They could easily strip out a couple of rotations and still offer 5x daily. Looking at STN it seems EZY have trimmed down a bit over summer and using A319's more, I daresay they will do something similar. They held out well against FR to LGW and look who flinched. Where BE might have been prepared to concede on thinner routes I don't think they will for the likes of MAN or BHX.