Originally Posted by
Dick Smith
TD. If during the three plus hours a twin on one engine is exposed when heading for an alternate are you suggesting there is no chance of the remaining engine failing?
Would it not be operating at a higher power level?
Surely there would be a small measurable chance of a second failure?
If that was at night over a rough ocean could that have serious consequences?
Look left. CASA quotes 9a to prevent GA moving to lower costs. Look at ADSB and part 91.
Dude, did you even read what I wrote?
The probability of a catastrophic engine related accident does not go down with more than two engines - it goes up. There is a
massive statistical data base that backs that up. Sure, an extended single engine diversion might be unpleasant - but it's not inherently unsafe, it's taken into account in the processes and procedures, and it's quite rare.
Statistically, two engines are safer than four. Your claim that CASA isn't following their own regulations by allowing twin ETOPS is
not supported by any facts. All your bleating to the contrary simply makes you look silly.
Does anyone agree?
No, and we're still looking for you to provide
any evidence to back up your claims (gut feel doesn't count).