PPRuNe Forums - View Single Post - Times details proposed UK defence cut options
Old 28th Jan 2018, 13:54
  #243 (permalink)  
Buster15
 
Join Date: Aug 2015
Location: England
Posts: 344
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Originally Posted by BroomstickPilot
Hi Guys,

I wish to respond to comments made on the first page of this thread.
I had hoped to comment earlier, using quotes from one of the financial newsletters I subscribe to, which I believed was still on my system. However, I have been unable to find the quote I wanted so I am going to have to quote, as best I can, from other sources and from memory. I’m not a finance professional, just a small-time, civvy, personal investor, but I’ll do my best.

Alber Ratman had commented: Cut , cut , cut... Got sod all to do with Beagles favourite subject, but a strong defence is only possible with a strong economy.. That Gentlemen is the truth and our economy is a lot weaker that many on here think it really is.

Melchett01 had commented: Sixth largest economy in the world and sixth/fifth (or there abouts on both counts) largest defence budget even accounting for a somewhat anaemic economy. Given that, why can we not afford to defend the country properly? Or would it be more accurate to ask why do politicians choose not to defend the country properly?

O.K. Here goes with my best attempt to explain. At the end of the financial year ending March 2017, UK government gross debt was £1.72 trillion, equivalent to 88.0% of GDP – and mounting! We're still borrowing year on year. Bear in mind that this is just the ‘on-balance sheet’ public indebtedness.

If you then include the ‘off-balance sheet’ items, such as: -
1. public sector pensions, (apparently the largest item) some of which have no investment fund and are paid directly out of revenue; (i.e. teachers, fire brigade, police, etc.), and black holes in the funds of the remainder resulting from low interest rates.
2. Nuclear decommissioning,
3. Hinkley Point,
4. PFI contracts; (hospitals etc.),
5. Government’s stakes in RBS and Lloyds Banking Group.

That's why we can't afford proper defences but only something that looks like defences but in truth is only a sorry shadow of what it is supposed to be. Please don't ask me how this will end.

Best regards,

BP.
While your analysis seems sound, it solely considers the country finances.
In the event of this country being attacked or needing to utilise most all of its military assets in order to prevent such an attack, you can be sure that massive funds would be allocated to our defences. Quite probably these would dwarf the 'so called' 2% fefence expenditure. It is like a home owner not paying for house insurance. They may be lucky but in the event of a major problem, it is likely that refurbishment costs would dwarf the insurance cost.
And THAT is precisely what governments do. But in this case it is not just a house but a country with over 65 million people...
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