This image is constructed from information contained within the aviation impact statement of which a link was provided in the first post of this thread. The gradient % is calculated from the blade tip to the end of the asphalt on RWY 36. It will be accurate enough for the purpose of this illustration.
The red lines represents the approximate flight path of the king Air 200 on 1 engine, in nil wind conditions taken from the end of the asphalt on runway 36, not at 50'.
Google tells me the B200 Vyse climb is 740 fpm ~ 366’ Per NM (121 Kts GS) This is slightly better than a conquest II and a lot better than a Bandierante. These types have been into Cobden.
Required head wind component to touch blade tip (1 engine inoperative) is approximately:
#11
52Kts
#10
30Kts
# 9
20 Kts
# 8
12Kts
A local impressionist has provided his interpretation of the situation: