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12th Dec 2014, 11:30
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Many thanks to all, and apologies for not...

Many thanks to all, and apologies for not reverting sooner - a combination of things, exacerbated by password reset incompetence on my part.

The thread drift has been very helpful, and has helped...
28th Nov 2014, 15:28
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Jimlad1 Interesting, many thanks. The...

Jimlad1



Interesting, many thanks. The paper as it stands sees a predominately land-based force, with the carriers to provide flexible basing. When was the last time free-fall operated off the...
28th Nov 2014, 11:36
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

N-a-B We can agree to disagree on this...

N-a-B



We can agree to disagree on this one.



On a party level, no - Nick Harvey et al have piloted a 2/3 optionally armed SSBN policy through. CentreForum is independent of the party...
27th Nov 2014, 18:16
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Archimedes wrote: All have a viable...

Archimedes wrote:



All have a viable route out, but I'm expecting a 25% loss rate. In policy terms as a one-off mission against an existential threat (and remember, this is against the most...
27th Nov 2014, 17:29
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Indeed, LO. But at the moment neither Dave-A...

Indeed, LO.

But at the moment neither Dave-A or Dave-C is wired for the nuclear mission either but the NATO DCA mission means that Dave-A will have to be. We've budgeted the full amount estimated...
27th Nov 2014, 10:14
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

LO, Interesting question. In short,...

LO,



Interesting question. In short, no, we haven't.

Tbh, the reason was cost, though data was also an issue with the Storm Shadow-N (e.g., the TAR tells us that a new cruise warhead would...
27th Nov 2014, 09:30
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

WEBF, Telling people in advance how...

WEBF,



Telling people in advance how and when you'd use the nuclear force. Here's a RUSI paper on it: https://www.rusi.org/publications/whitehallreports/ref:O4BFD56421A39C/

Cheers,

TTr
27th Nov 2014, 08:37
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Archimedes, 78 or 79 of the 80...

Archimedes,



78 or 79 of the 80 launched, with one or two weapons per aircraft, and assuming double targeting of each weapon by missiles with a Pk of 85%. No assumption is made on using an EMP...
26th Nov 2014, 19:51
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Thanks Cobalt42. We've been told that the...

Thanks Cobalt42.

We've been told that the carrier conversion shouldn't be too complex, but won't be cheap (this is a BAES product, after all). How "not cheap" is not clear.

On the SSA, Marham...
26th Nov 2014, 16:57
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Not cheap, but not as expensive at Trident...

Not cheap, but not as expensive at Trident successor or through life costs. Would you care to hazard at guess at the cost of the RFA rework, cobalt42?
26th Nov 2014, 16:55
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Which is where declaratory policy comes in. ...

Which is where declaratory policy comes in.



Simply, the cost of Successor is vast, and will consume 25-33% of the EP budget each year, every year, for 15 years. At a time when the procurement...
26th Nov 2014, 16:08
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Sandiego89, many thanks for your interest. ...

Sandiego89, many thanks for your interest.

I seem to have lost my response to you in the ether somewhere - apologies. Take II:



Complete weapons cannot be transferred without breaking the...
26th Nov 2014, 15:53
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

HH, Look forward to your comments when...

HH,

Look forward to your comments when you've had a chance to read it. As the Trident Alternatives Review showed, the Moscow Criterion is no longer the essence of deterrence. We are quite clear...
26th Nov 2014, 14:31
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Thanks for your interest, Sandiego89 ...

Thanks for your interest, Sandiego89



The NPT rules out the transfer of weapons, so the warheads would be built at AWE. No obvious problem with the purchase of non-nuclear US components, but ...
26th Nov 2014, 07:26
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Post GK121, Noted; the driver here is to keep the...

GK121,

Noted; the driver here is to keep the nuclear submarine industrial base intact to allow Astute replacement in the 2030s. Too frequently the backup argument for Trident is that Successor is...
25th Nov 2014, 18:47
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Many thanks to all for their contributions. ...

Many thanks to all for their contributions.

I was assuming that it would be something similar to the FN @ Meridian, but in the longer term it is interesting to see that the French may also have...
23rd Nov 2014, 19:36
Replies: 52
Views: 10,212
Posted By ThinkTanker

Question UK Carrirer Qualification for F-35C

Evening,

I appreciate that this is (currently!) a question which won't arise. But I'm writing a thinktank paper (hence new and exciting handle) which looks at returning to F-35C, EMALS and traps...
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