27th October DXB-BKK from 5 to 6 daily 16th December DXB-MRU from 2 daily B773 to daily A380 + daily B773 16th January DXB-KBP new daily A345 1st February DXB-BCN from daily B77W to daily A380 1st February DXB-LYS from 5 weekly A345 to 5 weekly B77L
Passenger 35 x A380 89 x B773ER 12 x B773 3 x B772 6 x B772ER 10 x B77L 4 x A343 9 x A345 23 x A332
Based on current growth rates, Dubai could even become the leading international destination from the UK as early as 2018.
It's an interesting idea, but in my opinion Emirates would have to look to grow to more UK airports before there is any 'danger' of that being achieved. There is only so much more passenger growth they can get out of the existing six UK airports they fly from.
To give you some idea of the scale of the challenge, the most flown to international destinations from the UK's airport for the calendar year 2012 were:
1. AMSTERDAM 7403338 2. DUBLIN 6874179 3. MALAGA 4289832 4. DUBAI 4222946 5. PALMA DE MALLORCA 4171258 6. ALICANTE 3954048 7. PARIS (CHARLES DE GAULLE) 3512273 8. TENERIFE (SURREINA SOFIA) 3279187 9. BARCELONA 3198885 10. GENEVA 3099823
Jumping ahead of Malaga may seem realistic in the short term, but EK would have its work cut out to equal AMS and DUB. Let's remember these are massive destinations from the UK with a very healthy spread of airport coverage. If EK looks to diversify a bit in the next few years and add STN, EDI, BRS, CWL, LBA, EMA, BFS etc then maybe, just maybe, they might realise that aim.
It's an interesting idea, but in my opinion Emirates would have to look to grow to more UK airports before there is any 'danger' of that being achieved.
Don't forget that BA, Virgin, Brunei, and now Qantas are included in those numbers. Emirates capacity increases plus Qantas will probably take it over 5 million for 2013. Also, as the relentless Middle East monsters continue to gobble long haul traffic from the UK and Ireland they will take transit traffic from those Amsterdam and Dublin numbers.
Also, as the relentless Middle East monsters continue to gobble long haul traffic from the UK and Ireland they will take transit traffic from those Amsterdam and Dublin numbers.
I suppose it should also be noted that AMS and DUB are huge destinations from the UK in their own right, and not merely as transit points. Dubai's stature as a destination has grown recently, but even so the city itself is not the massive draw that Amsterdam and Dublin are for UK travellers. Airlines like TK, QR, EY and others will indeed be looking to draw an increased share of long haul traffic from the UK too, and potentially from EK.
Bartek, amazing stats. The UK government and BA should observe the scale of AMS and what KLM have achieved. Should help them put in perspective the risks associated with LHR standing still. Equally to BA et al reference to keeping domestic flying a focus.
If we knew the proportion of those pax on AMS connecting at AMS would be possible to put metric opposite the value of such business if LHR were to capture some of it in future.
Based on knowing the level of connecting pax it might mean that DUB could be the largest destination when transfer pax are stripped out?
The connecting traffic at DUB will be nothing compared to AMS. At most 10% would connect at DUB but I expect its below this and closer to 5 or 6%. Would imagine connections from the UK via AMS would be 40 or 50%.
Last edited by EI-A330-300; 28th Jul 2013 at 17:27.
I dont think we will be seeing Emirates at either BRS or LBA considering their runways lengths just take into account the issue with PK at LBA concerning 777 ops and Thomson with their 767s and 787s at BRS plus EK wont have any 330s in the fleet soon so no suitable aircraft anyway for either of those airports.
Even if a 777 could be operated out of either BRS and LBA without any penalties I still think it would too large an aircraft and would be over kill for the routes.
STN is my bet on the next Emirates UK airport and even more so now MAG is involved it surely has to be announced within the year even if it is cargo ops to start with but it will happen one day.
It has the potential catchment area as we all know of North and East London, the East Midlands and the whole of the Anglia region and especially the Essex crowd so it is only obvious that EK will eventually fly from the three main London airports at some point.