Go Back  PPRuNe Forums > Flight Deck Forums > Terms and Endearment
Reload this Page >

Who will survive this and be here in 6 months ?

Terms and Endearment The forum the bean counters hoped would never happen. Your news on pay, rostering, allowances, extras and negotiations where you work - scheduled, charter or contract.

Who will survive this and be here in 6 months ?

Old 17th Mar 2020, 10:42
  #181 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Coast to Coast...
Posts: 199
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Capitalise the profits, socialise the losses.
I'll use that for life!
Smooth Airperator is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 11:08
  #182 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2019
Location: Great White North of the 49th
Posts: 77
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by AerialPerspective
Who gives a damn what the orange clown thinks, he's an imbecile who is likely to make this worse rather than better... as for Boeing, they will be bailed out by the US Government. The US don't have much choice with the amount of defense materiel tied to Boeing.
I give a damn what the orange clown thinks. He’s all the US has and we should hope he makes good decisions. Based on what I’ve seen he’s been smart enough to surround himself with professionals and experts. Now is not the time to point fingers with political partisanship. We all need to band together and work the problem. I’m stuck with the spineless Mr Trudeau. At least the orange clown is making hard decisions while my leader can’t decide when to take a dump. I’d be happy with a cocky clown vs a spineless wimp right now.

As for Boeing, of course there will be government bailouts. It won’t be unique to them or the industry either. Many other industries will need the same to survive. Many big companies and banks will lose value as well. Companies like Apple will lose billions of stock value but they won’t become insolvent. Many big businesses will shed paper value and there will be a new norm. This is a huge game changer.
Drc40 is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 11:21
  #183 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Paris
Age: 60
Posts: 101
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Drc40
I give a damn what the orange clown thinks. He’s all the US has and we should hope he makes good decisions. Based on what I’ve seen he’s been smart enough to surround himself with professionals and experts. Now is not the time to point fingers with political partisanship. We all need to band together and work the problem. I’m stuck with the spineless Mr Trudeau. At least the orange clown is making hard decisions while my leader can’t decide when to take a dump. I’d be happy with a cocky clown vs a spineless wimp right now.

As for Boeing, of course there will be government bailouts. It won’t be unique to them or the industry either. Many other industries will need the same to survive. Many big companies and banks will lose value as well. Companies like Apple will lose billions of stock value but they won’t become insolvent. Many big businesses will shed paper value and there will be a new norm. This is a huge game changer.
I am simply not seeing him being at all smart, and certainly not seeing evidence of his taking on board the views of experts.

The guy is either an idiot or doing a very accomplished impersonation of one. Did you not watch his presser the other night? Critical aspects of what he said had to be clarified afterwards. I mean really basic and critical aspects.
Nialler is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 11:23
  #184 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: timbuktu
Posts: 1
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by clipstone1
The biggest risk for the airline employees (current and former) is potential loss of pensions that have been accrued over many years. Sure a whole bunch of new airlines, probably with almost the same names, will start up to fill gaps of any that do disappear (all paying less money and with worse t&cs than those which have gone) but that will still leave employees with huge holes in their legacy pension schemes.
Why? Pension schemes are not owned by companies. They are independent. As long as the companies have kept the schemes fully-funded, there should be no problem.
marchino61 is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 11:51
  #185 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2017
Location: Madrid
Posts: 153
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by infrequentflyer789

Just for starters:

* we don't know the long term effects of exposure, many (most?) recovered SARS patients have chronic lung problems and lipid metabolism changes, many years later, for COVID19 we don't know yet, but early survivors are known not to have recovered full lung function, yet, maybe they will in future, or maybe not
* we know that some corona viruses in animals lie dormant after first exposure and recovery and then go on to kill years later, no one knows what this one will do years from now
You have to be careful with this assumptions. When you say this things it's almost like you love see people panicking.

1- Only critical patients with severe pneumonia had shown this problems (and "regular" pneumonia caused by bacteria can have the same effect, I have seen this happen on a family member years ago).
2- Remember critical-ill patients represent around 5-10%. And not all of them have shown this problems.
3- You say this virus is new and we don't know much about it (true). So you can't assure this problems are "chronic". They may be temporary.

This virus has "just" been discovered. The entire world is researching vaccines, new treatments and old treatments for other diseases that could work with this one. It's just a matter of time some treatment with good results show up.

And speculations about how this virus could or could not behave in the future doesn't help anybody.

This situation is already bad as it is for the world, for aviation and for us (pilots). And it will most probably get worse before it gets better. So please stop spreading more panic.

Thanks
superflanker is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 12:28
  #186 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: CYUL
Posts: 100
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Drc40
I give a damn what the orange clown thinks. He’s all the US has and we should hope he makes good decisions. Based on what I’ve seen he’s been smart enough to surround himself with professionals and experts. Now is not the time to point fingers with political partisanship. We all need to band together and work the problem. I’m stuck with the spineless Mr Trudeau. At least the orange clown is making hard decisions while my leader can’t decide when to take a dump. I’d be happy with a cocky clown vs a spineless wimp right now.

As for Boeing, of course there will be government bailouts. It won’t be unique to them or the industry either. Many other industries will need the same to survive. Many big companies and banks will lose value as well. Companies like Apple will lose billions of stock value but they won’t become insolvent. Many big businesses will shed paper value and there will be a new norm. This is a huge game changer.
The man you say surrounded himself with scientists called the virus a hoax and said it was contained to 15 cases 2 weeks ago. You say not to get lost in political posturing and go on a generic anti-Trudeau rant in the same breath, does it only work one way? The VP and current surgeon general heading your crack team mismamaged an HIV epidemic in Kansas (2011) because they don't believe in science and also think South Korea is a dictatorship (to explain why they could not react like them).

Not saying the federal government is doing a great job (our Premier in Quebec is making Trudeau look awful) but the provincial governments in general (except Alberta and Ontario, Doug Ford telling people to go on spring break last Friday was almost criminal) are doing a good job so far, at least where I live. Your confidence in our friends to the south federal leadership is misguided. I would have shut the border to Americans (people not goods) yesterday as well.


admiral ackbar is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 12:37
  #187 (permalink)  
Pegase Driver
Thread Starter
 
Join Date: May 1997
Location: Europe
Age: 73
Posts: 3,668
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Someone earlier asked about Air France future . well the French Finance minister Bruno Le Maire announced this morning that no large company will be allowed to fail, money will be injected even nationalization will be looked at .
So here you go. Air France will survive this crisis.
ATC Watcher is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 12:38
  #188 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Coast to Coast...
Posts: 199
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
The biggest U.S. airlines spent 96% of free cash flow over the last decade to buy back shares of their own stock in order to boost executive bonuses and please wealthy investors. Now, they expect taxpayers to bail them out to the tune of $50 billion. It's the same old story.
Smooth Airperator is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 13:08
  #189 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2019
Location: Great White North of the 49th
Posts: 77
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Nialler
I am simply not seeing him being at all smart, and certainly not seeing evidence of his taking on board the views of experts.

Originally Posted by admiral ackbar
The man you say surrounded himself with scientists called the virus a hoax and said it was contained to 15 cases 2 weeks ago
I sure as $&@# not defending the guy nor claiming he’s smart. I dislike him as much as the entire world but what I’ve seen the last few days appears promising. I’ve seen an army of health and science professionals, out front, doing the best they can. Whatever happened two weeks ago is ancient history in this clamity. Its not the time to be pointing fingers over what they shoulda coulda done. There will be a time for that but it’s not now. Now is the time to be vigilant, smart and safe.

I think the testing dispute is impossible. No country has the capability to test all citizens. You test those with symptoms in order to quarantine. You simply can not test the entire population. Those with a runny nose will make a beeline to the testing stations and crash the system. It’s a fools errand to think testing everyone will somehow help and suggesting to do so is heightening the hysteria.

Cheers all, everyone stay safe.
Drc40 is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 13:28
  #190 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Sep 1998
Location: The Swan Downunder
Posts: 1,118
Received 68 Likes on 41 Posts
My Tip, All International Passenger Borders Globally will close for one month at least from Saturday 21st March 2020 Freight and Special Missions only
Xeptu is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 13:50
  #191 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Coast to Coast...
Posts: 199
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts



Smooth Airperator is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 14:07
  #192 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: USofA
Posts: 1,235
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by AerialPerspective
Who gives a damn what the orange clown thinks, he's an imbecile who is likely to make this worse rather than better... as for Boeing, they will be bailed out by the US Government. The US don't have much choice with the amount of defense materiel tied to Boeing.

The mods should have addicted politics site for your kind of crap.
Spooky 2 is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 14:22
  #193 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Somewhere
Posts: 3,070
Received 138 Likes on 63 Posts
If Boeing get government aid I'd be very aggrieved if I was Bombardier. Build a superior aircraft, unable to sell in the USA because of alleged of government support, lose all your orders to Boeing who then go broke and get a Government bailout

This press release from a few years ago is not going to age well:

“We are disappointed that the International Trade Commission did not recognize the harm that Boeing has suffered from the billions of dollars in illegal government subsidies that the Department of Commerce found Bombardier received and used to dump aircraft in the U.S. small single-aisle airplane market. Those violations have harmed the U.S. aerospace industry, and we are feeling the effects of those unfair business practices in the market every day.

“While we disagree with the ITC’s conclusion today, we will review the Commission’s more detailed opinions in full as they are released in the coming days.

“Boeing remains confident in the facts of our case and will continue to document any harm to Boeing and our extensive U.S. supply chain that results from illegal subsidies and dumped pricing. We will not stand by as Bombardier’s illegal business practices continue to harm American workers and the aerospace industry they support. Global trade only works if everyone adheres to the rules we have all agreed to. That’s a belief we will continue to defend.”
neville_nobody is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 15:36
  #194 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: UK
Posts: 1,464
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Drc40
I sure as $&@# not defending the guy nor claiming he’s smart. I dislike him as much as the entire world but what I’ve seen the last few days appears promising. I’ve seen an army of health and science professionals, out front, doing the best they can. Whatever happened two weeks ago is ancient history in this clamity. Its not the time to be pointing fingers over what they shoulda coulda done. There will be a time for that but it’s not now. Now is the time to be vigilant, smart and safe.

I think the testing dispute is impossible. No country has the capability to test all citizens. You test those with symptoms in order to quarantine. You simply can not test the entire population. Those with a runny nose will make a beeline to the testing stations and crash the system. It’s a fools errand to think testing everyone will somehow help and suggesting to do so is heightening the hysteria.

Cheers all, everyone stay safe.
Unfortunately before he finally started listening to the experts, the National Security Council Directorate for Global Health Security and Biodefense had been closed down.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlo...96f_story.html
cats_five is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 15:44
  #195 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2019
Location: Great White North of the 49th
Posts: 77
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by cats_five
Unfortunately before he finally started listening to the experts, the National Security Council Directorate for Global Health Security and Biodefense had been closed down.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlo...96f_story.html
I bought into that until I did a little reading and discovered it was false. Now the same paper is setting the record straight.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...sponse-office/
Drc40 is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 16:13
  #196 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: UK
Posts: 1,464
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Drc40
I bought into that until I did a little reading and discovered it was false. Now the same paper is setting the record straight.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opini...sponse-office/
Thanks but Paywall... I've used my free views for the time being.
cats_five is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 21:12
  #197 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: USA
Posts: 3,380
Likes: 0
Received 17 Likes on 11 Posts
Originally Posted by Drc40
...but what I’ve seen the last few days appears promising. I’ve seen an army of health and science professionals, out front, doing the best they can. Whatever happened two weeks ago is ancient history in this clamity. Its not the time to be pointing fingers over what they shoulda coulda done. There will be a time for that but it’s not now. Now is the time to be vigilant, smart and safe.

I think the testing dispute is impossible. No country has the capability to test all citizens. You test those with symptoms in order to quarantine. You simply can not test the entire population. Those with a runny nose will make a beeline to the testing stations and crash the system. It’s a fools errand to think testing everyone will somehow help and suggesting to do so is heightening the hysteria.
Drc40,

Thank you for a measured, rational response to the hysteria and political vitriol, keeping the focus on the actual extant problem. There's a long way to go to set the world right.

I was going to attempt it myself but you did infinitely better than I could have.
bafanguy is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 21:16
  #198 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2020
Location: Massachusetts
Posts: 3
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Drc40
I think the testing dispute is impossible. No country has the capability to test all citizens. You test those with symptoms in order to quarantine. You simply can not test the entire population. Those with a runny nose will make a beeline to the testing stations and crash the system. It’s a fools errand to think testing everyone will somehow help and suggesting to do so is heightening the hysteria.
Not sure what you're criticizing here. I'm certain there's no serious dispute about whether to test every single person (it's impossible).

Any serious person who wants to get testing up and running wants to do targeted testing, because if we can only manage to sort out the testing mess, it will allow for much more effective containment.

(most of the pronouncements we (USA) have had about the virus being pas the point of containment are really arguments that testing is so fubar that we won't be able to fix it and get all the necessities distributed to where they are needed before it becomes too late. I.e., it's too late from a logistics of testing perspective, not from a direct how widely the virus has spread perspective).
Aithiopika is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 22:00
  #199 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Kiwiland
Posts: 727
Likes: 0
Received 15 Likes on 4 Posts
There is a lot we dont know about the virus, but some basics about epidemiology and what is happening around the world allow us to be reasonably confident

1 that we should have totally isolated China when they locked down - we didnt and the early cases either came straight from China or via China

2 that we should have locked down our countries (I mean the UK and US) about 2 weeks ago - close borders and self isolate everyone except essential workers

3 that we are both undertesting - we need to test 100s of thousands so we can track and eliminate

If we had done so we could have kept deaths at under 100 in the UK and equivalent in the US. As it is we will see many more. The message must go out to self isolate. Everyone except essential workers. No exceptions as to who or how. No contact. Period. Once each patient can only infect less than one other person we win. We can then unlock, rebuild and get the economy and aviation moving again. Anything less and it will drag on much longer with more lives lost

Radgirl is offline  
Old 17th Mar 2020, 22:18
  #200 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: UK
Age: 58
Posts: 3,489
Received 143 Likes on 80 Posts
Originally Posted by Radgirl
... The message must go out to self isolate. Everyone except essential workers. No exceptions as to who or how. No contact. Period. Once each patient can only infect less than one other person we win. We can then unlock, rebuild and get the economy and aviation moving again. Anything less and it will drag on much longer with more lives lost
Who decides which are essential?
Is it the supermarket shelf stockers, produce delivery drivers, and admin staff that run the re-supply operation? What about utility suppliers? Gas, electricity generation and distribution and water/sewage don't look after themselves. Do we tell the police, fire services and other emergency services to stay at home? What about government, local and national? TV and radio networks , do we shut them down and let everyone go back to reading books and playing cards?

Its all very well saying 'essential workers' until you realise who actually is essential.
TURIN is offline  

Thread Tools
Search this Thread

Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.