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Machinbird, what would it take to throw something four football fields? Answer that and I'll entertain your notion.
I'd rather expect they were large more or less flat surfaces that could have flown a little as well as fluttered on their way down. That might be pieces of one of the wings. Then, again, it might not. But, THROWN more than four football fields? About the only thing that had a prayer of being thrown that far would be the VS. And we know where it was found. |
HarryMann, auv-ee is exactly what his moniker implies. He is involved in the AUV industry as an EE. We've conversed a bit. He's anything but dumb or ignorant of the underseas environment.
Something of note on my personal experience is that I've watched activities at levels a little below the surface and thanks to BP's many streaming videos under very deep water. I could see no salient differences in the way materials moved or the vehicles moved. Water does not get thicker or denser as you go down except by very small amounts. It's viscosity/pressure profile shows very little change until you hit the phase change that turns it into some form of ice. Water is NOT thick air. So you cannot infer much of anything from your experience with air. |
Originally Posted by auv-ee
(Post 6394438)
This phenomenon was just discussed in posts 3550 and 3553, above, and is, I believe, applicable to the Titanic.
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HarryMann:
I am generally aware of the effect of Reynold's Number on drag regimes, but as this is not my area (I am an EE, as JD says), I can only say that it is my understanding, from having "watched hydrodynamics done" :) , that form drag dominates for the conditions of interest here. If anyone still cares at the end of the week, when I return from travel, I will ask an ME who does this sort of work for a more definitive answer. Outliers: The target to the north might, as others have suggested, be a piece that drifted on the surface before filling with water and sinking, or it might be something that is not related to AF447. |
Machinbird, what would it take to throw something four football fields? Answer that and I'll entertain your notion. I'd rather expect they were large more or less flat surfaces that could have flown a little as well as fluttered on their way down. That might be pieces of one of the wings. Then, again, it might not. But, THROWN more than four football fields? About the only thing that had a prayer of being thrown that far would be the VS. And we know where it was found. The large parts significantly away from the centerline are more what I'm interested in. They are located roughly in the center of the field E-W and are in a rough N-S alignment and located over a greater distance than their original location on the aircraft would account for. AUV-EE's comment about items circling or spiraling in their descent applies. There is nothing to stabilize them except their own rotational inertia. Only when you begin to consider ship size objects do these inertial stabilization effects become really significant (really big circles). |
@JD-EE the viscosity of water changes a little bit with the amaunt of salt in it.....
but if air is part of the bouyancy, this air will be compressed under the waterpressure, so in that case the bouyancy decrease with deph, and this objekt then sinks faster To the wing: now I think it is the right wing, (not the left) seen from the front the text "do not walke outside this area" is written two times on each wing |
grity wrote:
the text "do not walke outside this area" is written two times on each wing Photos: Airbus A330-203 Aircraft Pictures | !!!!!!!!!!!!!! edit: see also Photos: Airbus A330-203 Aircraft Pictures | !!!!!!!!!!!!!! and Photos: Airbus A330-203 Aircraft Pictures | !!!!!!!!!!!!!! 2nd edit: Really going out on a limb here ... the block of French text is longer than the block of English text. It looks like the French text block appears inboard on the trailing edge labelling of each wing, and outboard on the leading edge labelling. On the left wing, it therefore looks like the block of English text is on the left, with the block of French on the right, in both places. But on the right wing, it looks like the English text is on the right for each. If that's correct, since the image you posted has the English block on the left, this suggests it is the left wing. Anyone have better eyes or access to the full size picture, which would assist? |
auraflyer;
I've worked with the images a bit to bring out greater detail. Unfortunately the highlights have no detail at all and just "gray down" so I've left them as is. http://i277.photobucket.com/albums/k...ilfinished.jpg As suggested I think we're looking at the left wing aileron mounts in the above photo. In the same image, but on the right in the dark background may be the slat tracks and perhaps some of the anti-ice plumbing: http://i277.photobucket.com/albums/k...etailcopy2.jpg In the following image of the right wing, looking forward, I now wonder if the flap track to the right of the photograph is the #2 track on the right wing, and where the engine pylon was is just to the left where the horizontal "V" is in the skin-join, and the where the #1 flap track was is just to the right of the gear. I believe this after examining a number of drawings and suitable photographs; - the distance from the MLG to the still-visible flap track is too long for that track to be the #1. If true, it means the pylon is completely missing along with the main wing box forward of the rear spar to which the rear trunnion of the gear is fastened. The rivet and fastener detail is over-exposed in this area and the detail is difficult to bring out. In fact it is apparent that all the lighter structure forward and aft of the wing box is separated...all flight controls etc and their support structures are all that remain. http://i277.photobucket.com/albums/k...-aenlarged.jpg In the following image, (which I have rotated 90deg CCW), of the left MLG, if we look at the retract cylinder, it can be seen that it, and the side brace have sheared from their fittings on the MLG strut. Also, the small uplock pin near the bottom of the strut (two small 'ears') is missing, lending some support to the notion that the gear broke away and began its extension at impact, as discussed. http://i277.photobucket.com/albums/k...burn-dodge.jpg Two re-worked images of the engine to bring out greater detail: http://i277.photobucket.com/albums/k...-bfinished.jpg http://i277.photobucket.com/albums/k...-afinished.jpg |
PJ2;
I was looking at the last photograph of the engine and realized that it had probably arrived at the bottom rear end first. The reason for saying that is the small crater visible there, but no signs of a heavy landing on the forward end. Likewise, the MLG has a a pair of wheels that have dug in, but everything else is pristine, with no signs of current scour round any of the photographed items. Its very obvious that the impact trauma was extreme. |
MM3 - just clariifying - you mean the impact trauma at the sea surface/ditching, not at the sea bed when these things hit bottom?
(By the way, many thanks to you and the other well-informed people on here who contribute so much really helpful technical data and research, and have put up, with far more patience than I would have, the ill-informed queries and theories of people who know notthing and think they know a lot!) |
On the left wing, it therefore looks like the block of English text is on the left, with the block of French on the right, in both places. if airfrance never changed the side of the text, it must be the LEFTwing!, but possible the break line along the middle of the wing deludes us, and we even look from the front to the wing..... the fuselage then was to the left side of the picture and not to the right??? grity |
chrisN -"you mean the impact trauma at the sea surface/ditching" - absolutely, in my book. I cannot see any way that a wing section could hit the seabed hard enough to cause that damage. I might surmise that a wing section, if tumbled along the sea bed by strong currents, could be extensivley damaged, but since it appears to lie near the other debris I think that scenario is unlikley.
As BEA proposed, some impact. |
Well, no expert but...
If the separation into parts occured at impact with the sea the dispersion during the fall to the sea bed was relatively limited (what is the main debris field 400m by 50m ?) and unchaotic (linear). The l:d ratio of the debris is about 8:1 excluding outliers, that of the pristine fuselage about 12:1 as I understand ( 60m x 5m). Is it a coincidence that in its basic form it reflects the geometry of the original structure ? There is no 'fanning' at either end visible as you might expect if parts were being sorted by density and slowly separated. Presumably at least some of the linear stretch would be due to the motion as the aircraft slewed across the surface after impact and isn't it at that phase, were there is reasonable speed compared to any subsequent current, that any sorting by form factor/density etc would have occured. Is everyone so sure that the orientation of the debris doesn't give more information ? If the fwd and aft ends of the a/c are subsequently found at either end of the debris trail, it would be a clincher wouldn't it ie (ie that the debris reflects heading at impact)? If the main structure stayed together, then perhaps not, but then would you expect the separated parts to so neatly fall in line ? As the ratio of structure dimension to debris trail doesn't depart much from the original, about 10:1 each way (and there is plenty of rough calc here), perhaps consistent with a limited fwd speed relative to vertical at impact. |
Thanks Grity. I think the French might read "Ne pas marcher a l'exterieur de l'encadrement", which would make sense, but I'm not certain.
Best image I can find is Photos: Airbus A330-203 Aircraft Pictures | !!!!!!!!!!!!!! PJ2, great work on the pics. I don't know enough to comment on your identification re the flap track, but looking at p13 of the BEA 2nd report, I think none of the lighter structures forward were recovered (in fact from either wing). |
Condition of MLGs
Quote from mm43:
the MLG has a a pair of wheels that have dug in, but everything else is pristine, Quote from PJ2, re Left MLG assembly: Also, the small uplock pin near the bottom of the strut (two small 'ears') is missing, lending some support to the notion that the gear broke away and began its extension at impact, as discussed. (Thanks for the enhanced images!) Yes, what a noteworthy difference between both MLGs and the rest of the debris... |
Alignment of Sea-bed Debris Field versus Heading at Sea-level Impact
Quotes from Mr Optimistic:
Is it a coincidence that in its basic form it reflects the geometry of the original structure ? ...Is everyone so sure that the orientation of the debris doesn't give more information ? If the fwd and aft ends of the a/c are subsequently found at either end of the debris trail, it would be a clincher wouldn't it... ...? At risk of looking foolish all over again (my back is broad), I shall merely say that I notice a degree of hesitance (wouldn't go quite as far as to say inconsistency) in some of the analyses on this subject. Sometimes, what is staring you in the face can be dismissed as just too simple to be true. I still wonder. |
Hi,
By looking at auraflyer wing picture link and the BEA picture, it seems that many "details" are suggesting a rear view of the left wing: http://i24.servimg.com/u/f24/14/14/01/64/wing_c10.jpg (The images were distorted to compensate for different viewing angles. Without clear picture of the A330 wing leading edge structure, a small doubt subsists). |
Shadoko,
Bien-fait, Monsieur. Can you say which spoilers they are? 2 & 3? |
Hi,
Originally Posted by Chris Scott
Can you say which spoilers they are? 2 & 3?
So, the wreckage in the upper right corner of the BEA picture could be part of the leading edge structure? With the 3 parallel "ribs" (?) from the wing intrados? But ... make no mistake:I am just a curious with no knowledge in aeronautics nor a/c! |
Alignment of Sea-bed Debris Field versus Heading at Sea-level Impact
Chris and others....
Here is a fairly simple experiment to carry out. Get a tall pail or bucket. Fill it with water. Let it sit awhile so that it's stopped all motion. While it is stopping raid, a sewing kit for some needles, buttons of various sizes, thimbles, and so forth. (Don't mess up any of the bobbins or things like that. Be kind to the owner of the sewing kit.) Create an arrangement to have them fall straight into the water. See if you notice any patterns that appear when the debris hits the bottom and settles. A taller the bucket and the wider the array of objects will probably give clearer results. The results I am looking for are similar to the arcade type gadgets which have you drop a coin through water to get it into a specific slot. These gadgets make a lot of money. The coins all flutter and slip aside. Draw conclusions as you will. I contend that the array on the bottom is fairly surprisingly compact. Currents must have been really slow compared to the rate of fall through them. |
Mr. Optimistic Is everyone so sure that the orientation of the debris doesn't give more information ? If the fwd and aft ends of the a/c are subsequently found at either end of the debris trail, it would be a clincher wouldn't it ie (ie that the debris reflects heading at impact)? For example, if the aircraft impacted in a N-S attitude and the wing tip navigation lights broke off neatly from the structure in comparable size lumps, you would find the green light fixture approximately one wing span to the east of the red light fixture and located roughly along the centerline of the wreckage pattern. If the aircraft impacted in a E-W direction, you would find the two light fixtures north and south of the wreckage centerline, separated by approximately one wing span, and the line between the two fixtures would be approximately N-S. The displacement from the right edge of the wreckage field would be dependent on fall rate through the water column and initial position on the aircraft in both of the above examples There is a dispersion factor as aluded to by JD-EE. The dispersion factor is essentially a bell shaped curve around the calculated bottom impact position (based on the integral of local current velocity over fall time) and the span of the dispersion is proportional to radius of curvature that an object describes in its hydrodynamic trip to the bottom. You also have to consider possibility of collisions between particle elements deflecting them away from their original trajectories through the water. All and all, it is a bit daunting problem in locating components of interest, but not impossible. If you find an element of comparable mass and hydrodynamic drag to a component you wish to find, and if you have an idea of initial aircraft orientation, you can significantly reduce the area to search for a target item, but you need to have an idea if the item immediately began to sink or might have traveled before sinking. |
Machinbird, thank you for the considered answer. One point though, the bell curve (by which I guess you mean 2-D gaussian distribution) clearly had very different dispersions in x and y to give the narrow CEP.
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Originally posted by chrisN ... ... just clarifying - you mean the impact trauma at the sea surface |
Perplexed
Dunno why you all bother. The whole lot has been photographed in great detail. When we see the pics all will be revealed. I rather suspect all this argument about dropping thimbles into buckets of water is being wasted because some vital fact has been misunderstood. For example, how do we know the sonar scan has the same horizontal and vertical scales? It's not a map, is it?
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mike-wsm, understand what you're saying, but for some here, it's just what we do... ;-)
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The Bea slide had the scales. The 'why bother' observation could be applied across the piece. Perhaps it's just in the nature of people to want to know. Is there any harm in it ? It could be a long 2 year wait for an inconclusive answer and an unsatisfactory response.
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No harm in a bit of component identification and moderately informed speculation while we wait for better official information. None here expects to discern a full explanation from the keyhole view afforded us so far.
The contributions by those who are expert in various related fields have greatly expanded our understanding on a multitude of fascinating topics. We all eagerly await greater understanding of the actual contributors and causes of this tragic event. Here's some wing images for the sea floor tin-kickers: http://i337.photobucket.com/albums/n...wingassem1.jpg http://i337.photobucket.com/albums/n...0wingfull1.jpg http://i337.photobucket.com/albums/n...wingunder1.jpg |
Mike-WSM
Why bother? It relates to the factors involved in trying to find particular objects on the bottom. A photomosaic map of the bottom is but a starting point. Until an item in question is recovered, it is still in Neptune's grasp. Even after they find the recorders, prudence would say to continue recovering items that tell about critical events on the aircraft as it fell. Suppose the recorders are destroyed by corrosion. Wouldn't you think it prudent to learn the position of the slats and THS trim actuator? Wouldn't you want to look for witness marks on a whole range of components? Wouldn't you want to see how the cockpit switches were set up? Wouldn't you like a look at the engines to determine power setting at impact? Mr Optimisitic One point though, the bell curve (by which I guess you mean 2-D gaussian distribution) clearly had very different dispersions in x and y to give the narrow CEP. |
Originally Posted by Machinbird
(Post 6397206)
I suspect you are being a bit 'optimistic' sir.:) The bits on the bottom probably do reflect the orientation of the aircraft at impact, but not in the way you suggest.
The N-S extension of the trail is mostly below 100m. Considering a length of the 'bus of almost 60m this is really not much. It would suggest that nothing broke lose on impact and stopped immediately or no parts continued in forward direction after impact at leat for a couple of dozen meters. IMHO if any significant forward speed (>50kts) was present I would consider a N-S heading rather unlikely. In that case I would not expect only single pieces outside the main trail basically forming something like -+- but rather a more rectangular wider area with random debris. So if I had to put money on the general heading I would put it on something more West to East. But as always: Happy to stand corrected after FDR Data has been examined and published. However, I agree the length of the trail and the distribution of the bits and pieces along the trail would be basically purely drift due to currents. |
http://home.comcast.net/~shademaker/bigchunks.jpgHi Henra,
The N-S extension of the trail is mostly below 100m. I've added arrows to some apparent large chunks of wreckage using PickyPerkins' original graphic. You can see that they appear to relate to the original size of the aircraft fuselage, but sonar returns can be tricky to interpret. |
Originally Posted by Machinbird
(Post 6397465)
Hi Henra,
Please check your scale. I see large components of the wreckage spanning 180-200 meters in the N-S direction. They are located both south and north of the centerline, part of the 'outliers.' The 100m was referring to the main trail w/o the outliers. That's what I meant with the -+-. The width of the outliers is wider but they are on a single axis vertical to the main trail. with very little drift spread along this orthogonal axis. In case of N-S impact with some remaining forward velocity I would expect the 200m not only in one line but more or less over the full length of the trail. I.e. something like IIIIII or maybe IIII+-- instead of ---I-- Why would only the mid- part drift differently due to currents ? And even more mysterious : Why would the bits lost at the beginning of the sequence drift equally far to the bits at the end of the impact sequence, i.e. have similar flotation /drag characteristics and everything in between have a very wide spread of drift / flotation characteristics. |
Machinbird, thanks once again. My experience in this subject is limited and I hope I don't sound presumptious.
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@PJ2 in this picture of F-GZCP I see the text"do not walke..." only two times written on each wing
http://images3.jetphotos.net/img/1/7...1238106997.jpg Currents must have been really slow compared to the rate of fall through them. and compared to a heavy part, falling mayby between 4-10 m/s the same currend will be very slow, it moves <50m horizontal a slow deapwater currend with 0,1 m/s will flow very laminar, and after a longer time there is no reason that the speed will be much different in different levels, the deapwater currend is part of a big stream with amount the same water volume like the golf stream, until it is the backroute of the same water... grity |
PJ2 & mm43
PJ2, thanks for the enlarged enhanced photos, prior to these, I was cautious about saying much about the engine that was photographed. So now, here is my observations about the engine: 1. The first photo depicts the central conical hub just aft of what would have been the fan blade rotor, in fact, the fan disk drive arm to attaches to this hub, but is gone. Also, the "A" roller thrust bearing is at this same location but is also gone. 2. With the exception of two visible by-pass guide vanes (one at 6 o'clock - the other at 1 o'clock), everything is generally missing forward of the one piece titanium fan frame. That includes fan booster blades and vanes (3 stages) forward of the fan frame. 3. It is possible that a portion of the fan frame (7 o'clock to 12 o'clock) is missing. 4. In the second engine photo, I think the white (shiny) tube that curves around the top, just aft of the conical hub is the "A" oil feed line to the "A" bearing. 5. In the second engine photo, all of the active clearance control tubing is stripped from the LPT module casing, at least on the visible side. 6. The engine orientation sitting on the sea bed appears to be resting on its side as I think that part accessory gear box is visible behind the fan frame. 7. I fully agree with mm43's assessment that the engine hit the sea bed LPT module end first. With all of the fan, fan casing, kevlar fan containment, booster vanes & blades missing, the rear of the engine would be much heavier than the remaining front end. According to the BEA interim report, the aircraft hit the water with a high vertical rate of speed, a lesser forward motion in a slight bank orientation with a pitch upward. Depending on what is meant by "slight bank," the engine on the low wing would be first to hit the water. My thoughts for discussion would be that the engine was torn from the left wing pylon (engine sits ahead of the wing). Could the structure being seen in front of the wing be the most forward part of the pylon bent around to the left and twisted rather than the internals of the slats? Machaca & Shadoko, thanks for all the great photos and diagrams:ok: |
Pretty clear that the airplane shattered on impact. Like the one in Libya a while back, that belly flopped on final. So why was the fin spared? Could be the part some distance away is the empennage?
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grity;
@PJ2 in this picture of F-GZCP I see the text"do not walke..." only two times written on each wing grity We have 3 such variations here, (and this is only one small item), ...the diagram, the wreckage and now the photo of the subject aircraft. For those driven by knowing and positing, ...how the airplane ended up like this, how the wreckage rests and the what the relations are between the location of parts are important because sense can be made of seeming chaos and seemingly unimportant small details. But the tiny flashlight we are forced in total darkness to use means the details can be argued until someone inevitably sees a different pattern and changes our view or knowledge becomes unimportant and superceded in the light of later developments. The best description about all this is, it's "tea leaves" even as some remain driven in the face of it. |
For those driven by knowing and positing, ...how the airplane ended up like this, how the wreckage rests and the what the relations are between the location of parts are important because sense can be made of seeming chaos and seemingly unimportant small details. But the tiny flashlight we are forced in total darkness to use means the details can be argued until someone inevitably sees a different pattern and changes our view or knowledge becomes unimportant and superceded in the light of later developments. The best description about all this is, it's "tea leaves" even as some remain driven in the face of it. PJ2 So far what I see is confirmation of what the BEA said initially about how the aircraft hit. Of course even before they released that info some of us had deduced that from the recovered wrechage photos :) The clock positions of the damage to the major case behind the fan (with the struts) viewing both engines would both confirm if the engines were both attached (same wreckage area) and what roll angle the wings were in. Views of the inlet cowls on the bottom would also both confirm this as well as the pitch. So far an awful lot of what we see fits nicely into Occams razor of a flat impact per the BEA. If there is some other theory I haven't seen anything in the latest pics that points to this. |
Machinbird, thanks once again. My experience in this subject is limited and I hope I don't sound presumptious. So if I have presumed too much myself, please be kind as you explain the error of my ways.:) |
Current v Object terminal velocity
For what it is worth (IMHO), I wouldn't go getting too "excited" by the bottom spread. There are four important factors that have helped each independent part of the debris to arrive where it has. They are:-
As for the outliers, their positions will ultimately come down to what happened as the aircraft broke up, and whether their profiles gave them the opportunity to "kite" off rather than "spiraling/spinning" to the bottom. We all think we know what air is, and likewise water. As simple as water may seem, its structure has properties that are anomalous when compared with other liquids. London South Bank University - Structure of Water |
lomapaseo;
Of course, you're right...I just didn't want to use the term 'fun' but for those who take to puzzle-solving and examining "the trace", even ones with serious and tragic origins, it is, (as I observed), "what we do", so to speak. The other aspect of this is the discussion itself, in public, which is often helpful for those who may be affected or who are seriously curious about the how and why, even if the general facts within Occam's famous notion are known but who may not ordinarily see or even take part in such a discussion. The thread is among the best in a number of excellent threads on PPrUne and for me, is the singular, fundamental value of such a place. And then there are those who live in JB-land...aiyaiyai... |
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