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-   -   AF447 final crew conversation - Thread No. 1 (https://www.pprune.org/tech-log/466259-af447-final-crew-conversation-thread-no-1-a.html)

RetiredF4 20th Oct 2011 07:10


mm43
It can be deduced that the elevator response is related to pilot input and modified as function of Pitch Rate / Flight Path rate or G at High Speed.

As KCAS was low at the time you have been discussing, the elevator was acting more in accordance with pilot input, rather than G.
Think it through again.

The general misinterpretation of DW and some others,

--if stick released or neutral , then the nose would drop---

is not changed by your excellent reference. from your source:

HENCE, STICK FREE, the AC maintains its flightpath even in case of speed changes............
Stick neutral equals no command to change pitch rate and no demand to change load factor, therefore the FCPC´s use the elevators to maintain the flightpath. That is achievable in the non stalled environment, but not in a stalled condition. There i would substitute ( but that is my own interpretation) the word FLIGHT PATH (which was 45° down) with something like ordered flightpath (defined by nose position in relation to pitch and speed).

In the fully stalled condition the FCPC´s on the order of the SS tried to achieve a flightpath, the AC was not capable to give, therefore elevators and THS full NU. At release of the SS to neutral, the FCPC´s would try to hold the last achieved by maintaining 1g or by keeping zero pitch change. Both would lead to the fact, that no change on the elevators would schow despite the stick movement.

Only a prominent and prolonged SS down would move the elevators out of the full ND position and hopefully lead to the lowering of the pitch.

But anywhere in the phase of the pitch reduction, when commanded flightpath had not yet reached the actual flightpath (45°down) and stick would be brought back to neutral, the FCPC´s would order again a NU elevator to maintain this flightpath disregarding the fact, that it was not yet achievable.

No fun at all.

DozyWannabe 20th Oct 2011 07:11

@OK465

But autopilot is now a function of FMS rather than being an entirely separate and distinct entity, I did not say "all" A/B use Honeywell FMS either, I said that's where they are sourced.

I use FMC/FMS as distinct from FCU (which is the collective term for the flight control logic units).

HundredPercentPlease 20th Oct 2011 07:15


Originally Posted by Dani
just a small hint: A330/A340 don't go into direct law when gear is down. That's a feature of single aisle Airbus.just a small hint: A330/A340 don't go into direct law when gear is down. That's a feature of single aisle Airbus.

Of course - I am only 320 experienced not 330; I was just highlighting the simplicity of the training.

People can continue to discuss the precise modes and reactions of the aircraft to grossly incorrect inputs, whilst completely missing the point of the accident and how to prevent it in future.

mm43 20th Oct 2011 07:43

RetiredF4;


HENCE, STICK FREE, the AC maintains its flightpath even in case of speed changes............
Good point, though not sure that Dozy will ' buy it ' :D

However, .... the Flight Path Angle was recorded as NCD during the period in question, so I believe my original interpretation is probably correct.

Gretchenfrage 20th Oct 2011 08:09

It’s almost like a clash of generations.

I see a lot of pilots quite happy with an Airbus system, others not. Be it so.

It is basically a Master and Servant relation. We invented automation to be our servant, to complement what humans are less talented for, but still leaving him the final authority.

Today it seems that there is an almost Orwellian shift. The Master has become the Servant. Humans are forced to adapt to his masters programming and to cover the deficiencies of automation, but at the same time giving up some of their authority.

Both sides now basically do what they are less talented for, all in the name of safety.

A traitorous one.

See you at the next accident thread

philip2412 20th Oct 2011 10:55

why didn`tthe pnf took controll?me think it maybe a human factor issue.
the cpt had just giveb controll to the younger pilot.bit when all happened
the pnf assumed what was wrong,but wasn`t 100% sure.
so maybe he thougt,when the cpt returned taht he (the pnf) had just took the first opportunity to take controll because he was angry at the cpt decision.


soory but english is not native language

DozyWannabe 20th Oct 2011 11:34


Originally Posted by Gretchenfrage (Post 6761063)
Today it seems that there is an almost Orwellian shift. The Master has become the Servant. Humans are forced to adapt to his masters programming and to cover the deficiencies of automation, but at the same time giving up some of their authority.

I'll give you that if you can tell me at what point the aircraft and it's systems did *anything* other than what the men at the controls told it to do.

@mm43 : On the contrary, I'm quite happy to be proved wrong - my only concern is that the supposition is coming from someone who has stated on several occasions that he does not believe the Airbus FBW system will be safe until the sticks are interconnected and back-driven by the computer.

jcjeant 20th Oct 2011 12:43

Hi,


Originally Posted by Gretchenfrage
Today it seems that there is an almost Orwellian shift. The Master has become the Servant. Humans are forced to adapt to his masters programming and to cover the deficiencies of automation, but at the same time giving up some of their authority.
DW

I'll give you that if you can tell me at what point the aircraft and it's systems did *anything* other than what the men at the controls told it to do.
I think there is one truth in writes of Gretchenfrage ...
to cover the deficiencies of automation
Indeed .. the pitot tubes event was not required by the pilots (they never told to the pitots tubes to be blocked) .. and it's a deficiency of the automation (pitot tube is part of the automation chain and is one of the main data source waited by the automation system to work at 100 % effectively)

windytoo 20th Oct 2011 12:59

I think this thread has stalled.

TTex600 20th Oct 2011 13:05


Originally Posted by dozy
I'll give you that if you can tell me at what point the aircraft and it's systems did *anything* other than what the men at the controls told it to do.

Did the pilots order the autopilot disconnect? Did they order the Autothrust disconnect? Did they order the THS full nose up?

This is the Rumours & News, "final crew conversation" thread. Let's talk about the crew actions in that light. Why the airplane did what it did is over in the Tech Log section.

You will say that the pilot ordered full THS nose up. I'll say that he obviously did not understand what his control inputs were accomplishing, but that he thought his actions correct.

I'm participating in this because I want to ensure it doesn't happen to ME or one of my friends. IOW, I'm trying to learn from the deceased crews mistakes, not trying to attack nor defend the aircraft.

Rest assured that at least one Airbus pilot, that would be me, is flying today with far more knowledge of the airplane thanks to you and this forum. With that I'm off to commit aviation.

DozyWannabe 20th Oct 2011 13:45


Originally Posted by TTex600 (Post 6761516)
Did the pilots order the autopilot disconnect? Did they order the Autothrust disconnect? Did they order the THS full nose up?

No, no and yes. I was referring to the period *after* autoflight disconnect, but if you want to see what happens when the autoflight tries to control an aircraft with bad airspeed information, you only have to look at the Birgenair 757 crash.


You will say that the pilot ordered full THS nose up. I'll say that he obviously did not understand what his control inputs were accomplishing, but that he thought his actions correct.
I'm not disagreeing with you, but the million-dollar question is "why?". As I said on the Tech Log threads, my flying experience began and ended with my AEF flights as a teenager and even on that minimal basis I knew that pulling up anywhere near the stall regime is a bad move, and over and above that if something untoward happens you don't start moving the controls until you've got a good idea what the problem is and how to solve it - especially if you have altitude to spare.


I'm participating in this because I want to ensure it doesn't happen to ME or one of my friends. IOW, I'm trying to learn from the deceased crews mistakes, not trying to attack nor defend the aircraft.
You'll note that the post of mine you quoted was addressed directly at Gretchenfrage, who has done practically nothing but bash the aircraft throughout most of his posting history. It's been good having new blood in the discussion, that's for sure.

Have a safe trip!

Lyman 20th Oct 2011 16:25

WHY is a philosophical question, and requires patience, and an open mind.

Now, HOW. There is a reason these two words exist, and I suggest that for purposes of understanding, HOW is the one that should drive.

Per mm43's post, I see the possibility for the PF to be "tagging along" to an incremental climb of his own command. It implies a misunderstanding of how his a/c works, imo, but does that matter to HOW? His roll inputs are thought to be a possible PIO. At his first pull up, BEA said the a/c did not immediately respond. If true, that is important, because if the climb was the result solely of PF's command, how like a PIO is it? If the a/c was bobbing on the ascent, each loss of trajectory ND wants a correction NU.
Can a climb be the result of a PIO? Of course. Without VS reads, he may think the a/c is losing the altitude it had acquired, needing incrementally more NU to maintain "Level". If his screen was not dependable, and he was unaware, why should he hand the a/c off?

Tangentially answering Glueball, yes, this a/c can climb without autopilot 3000 feet without manual input. And it has, it's in the record, here.

"You don't start moving the controls until you have a good idea what the problem is...." per DOZY.

If you mean PF first inputs were a blunder, you are dead wrong. The a/p quit, two seconds later he announced "I have controls". That means that any handling to follow will be done by the pilot. At some point in time, that is just the way it is, and it gets done. The record shows that he made inputs clearly demonstrating he wanted to correct a flight path that had deviated from S/L IN HIS OPINION. So stop trying to insinuate one's own alternate into the facts. That has been criticised, validly, as compromising a later Pitch and Power solution to maintaining control.

As stated previously, An autopilot will disconnect for reasons other than Unreliable airspeeds. This thread quickly glossed over that the pilot may have been maneuvering with the assumption of loss of a/p to turbulence induced inability to keep up.

It would be interesting to read how the 330 annunciates specific failures to its pilot, to establish that he KNEW disconnect was UAS, and maneuvered quickly in spite of that. Because in the record, the UAS loss of speeds/ALTERNATE LAW, is announced by the PNF, eleven seconds later.

Too fine a point? How so? This is the absolute beginning of the disastrous man/machine interface that brought her down. IMHO.

MASTER CAUTION. CAVALRY CHARGE. PITCH DARK. TURBULENCE. DUFF SPEEDS. HARPY F/O (imo). (DOES he have a screen?)

OK, heroes, what do YOU do?

Dozy: "After autopilot disconnect" re: the pilot commanding THS NU.
Who wants autotrim in ALTERNATE LAW 2? Raise your hand.

GarageYears 20th Oct 2011 16:58

Sort of O/T: ABS Brakes
 
Going back to a previous topic in this tread:

A recent study in the USA indicates that cars fitted with ABS brakes are 65% MORE LIKELY to be involved in a fatal accident, compared to those without....

The problem - driver training. Particularly for those that simply regard the car as an extension of their sofa, jump in and press go, without understanding even the basics of the various systems fitted to their car. The report found that drivers unaware of the function of ABS were RELEASING the brake pedal at the point the ABS kicked in to apply-release-apply-release... the brakes for them, with the end result of significantly extended braking distances, which is the exact opposite of what was expected.

The point? Any system intended to aid a human operate some piece of equipment MUST require the operator to understand every applicable operational aspect of the equipment in question. Otherwise, and as seen above, the very point of the safety system may be invalidated by the human operator.

Does this apply to the AF447 crash? I would say very much so. Just like a driver with ABS, the fact the car has them doesn't avoid the need to steer appropriately, select the correct speed for the road conditions, or turn on the windscreen wipers, any pilot sitting in the cockpit of an Airbus or Boeing for that matter better understand the key operational systems affecting his/her ability to fly the aircraft, and if that includes some less common degraded modes of operation, then especially so, since the point where these kick-in are likely to be the same point that the aircraft is about to go pear-shaped or worse.

Dani 20th Oct 2011 17:22

I think we have to let go the thought that the accident of AF447 has something to do with the "laws" of an Airbus fbw aircraft. Why? Because the very same incident happend later again on AF471. The later was in normal law without icing of the pitots (as far as we know at the moment). It is clearly a human issue, mostly because of inproper training. You could discuss for ages (and you actually do) that it has to do with the automatics, and it is so, but we have to live with it as long as Airbus are the way they are. But it's no rocket science to find out how you have to handle an aircraft in such a situation. Many crews have proven it since today and will do in the future.

Lyman 20th Oct 2011 17:27

Garage Years

Bravo. Any automation MUST be functionally intuitive, otherwise the reliance becomes strictly on training to the system. That would be fine, except....


where is training to the system, here (447)?

Here is the philosophical fundament of the argument, then. Teaching Flying as a mechanical skill is ok, but it is self limiting, in a regime that will ALWAYS require abstract and intuitive thought, at least periodically.

The impasse is also periodically deadly.

subsonicsubic 20th Oct 2011 17:45

Currently watching a good dramatisation of the incident.

Pitot tubes will apparently fail. How about implementing a system where the RAT is dropped in such scenarios and airspeed calculated from its rpm.

Now, before you shoot me down, teh rpm based on altitude / air density could be confirmed and corroberated using a static port.

Hat / coat etc....:{

notfred 20th Oct 2011 17:51

Believed it was a static problem?
 
From the article that started this thread

'I've got a problem I don't have vertical speed.
I haven't seen anyone address this comment yet. They knew they had lost air speed indication, but from this comment I think they believed that they had a static system problem. This could lead them to discount the altimeter showing the climb and loss of height in the stall. Whilst I've learnt from the AF447 threads that the vertical speed indication is inertial based, is this something that they would know / remember under duress?

exeng 20th Oct 2011 18:02

subsonicsubic
 

How about implementing a system where the RAT is dropped in such scenarios and airspeed calculated from its rpm
As I understand it the RAT is designed to 'self govern' its RPM so I don't think that idea would work.

DozyWannabe 20th Oct 2011 18:28


Originally Posted by notfred (Post 6761939)
They knew they had lost air speed indication, but from this comment I think they believed that they had a static system problem. This could lead them to discount the altimeter showing the climb and loss of height in the stall. Whilst I've learnt from the AF447 threads that the vertical speed indication is inertial based, is this something that they would know / remember under duress?

For a start, it's only the PF who says that (at 2:11:58) - the PNF and Captain make no reference to it at all, so there was no agreement and therefore no "they".

By that point they indeed had a problem with data coming from the static ports, in that the airflow around the static ports was being fouled by the "mushing" stall descent profile, thus causing erratic VS readings (see the DFDR VS profile for 2:11:58), and at that point the reading was more-or-less off the scale.

I'm pretty sure that covered static ports tend to report varying altitudes around a certain range, as in the Aeroperu case. I've yet to hear of a static port failure that resulted in a steady, unwinding altimeter that appears to have been the case with AF447, and I'd hazard the opinion that whether you trust the static ports or not, with an altimeter unwinding at approximately 10,000ft/minute it's better to err on the side of caution and take it seriously!

Organfreak 20th Oct 2011 18:29

@subsonicsubic
 

Currently watching a good dramatisation of the incident.
Could you please tell us which one/where? I'd like to be certain I've seen all of them.

Green Guard 20th Oct 2011 19:06

Looks like nothing to do with Airbus and not the first time ?
 
Latest Revelations In Crash Of West Caribbean MD82

PS
so much similar...

HundredPercentPlease 20th Oct 2011 20:37


Originally Posted by Bearfoil
MASTER CAUTION. CAVALRY CHARGE. PITCH DARK. TURBULENCE. DUFF SPEEDS. HARPY F/O (imo). (DOES he have a screen?)

OK, heroes, what do YOU do?

Unfortunately, I do not qualify.

However, as a regular, boring, normal but experienced 320 series person, I'll tell you what I and I think everyone else would do (assuming at high altitude).

1. When the A/P drops out, you read the FMAs. This normally tells you what failed, and what you are left with. Very important, since it might influence step 2 (if you have thrust lock for example, or -FD2).

2. Ensure I have control, by possibly getting manual thrust. Fly wings level at my memorised numbers: 2.5/82.5. Say them out loud "2.5, 82.5". Easy to remember. Your type may vary, but for any modern jet it will be about 2.5 and most, but not all, of the thrust.

3. Start the diagnosis. A good diagnosis will normally lead to a good decision. Ask for the GPS monitor page to get height and speed trend, and the QRH for some more accurate pitch and power. Continue the diagnosis until you know which instruments are good. Try to ignore the dinging from the ECAM, until you are ready to draw it into your diagnosis. Consider the BUSS.

4. Make the goal a safe descent to get out of the high altitude flight problem area. Something like FL250. The WXR would be part of this process.

I would not pitch up like a madman. I would not select TOGA thrust, which of course is no different to climb thrust (in a 320), and not much higher than my target thrust. I imagine I would be somewhere between quite apprehensive and scared - but I know that if I stick to basics and work through the problem I should be fine.

I believe holding pitch and power is what all the other crews did, quite successfully, in all the other high altitude UAS events.

And all this talk of "autotrim" makes this discussion sound like week 1 of an Airbus type rating course. :rolleyes:

jcjeant 20th Oct 2011 20:42

Hi,

An chronology ...........

AF 447. Significant events.
chronology

Note:
The equipment must operate an aircraft throughout its flight envelope and we accept that there may be failures whose probability of occurrence should not exceed a threshold defined by the level of risk (minor, major, hazardous, catastrophic). In the case of blocked pitot probes, it can not be used in probability because it is not a failure but a fault or defect. The manufacturer and the regulator have the obligation to eliminate all the defects of an airplane.

Before the crash


October 1993:
certification of the A330 with the Rosemount Pitot probe P / N 0851GR. DGAC and Airbus made a number of impasses:
Impasse 1: the JAR 25 requires that the equipment of an aircraft operate in all foreseeable conditions [1309 (a)] and recommends the vulnerability assessment of the Pitot probes to ice crystals and test their operation in these conditions [ACJ 25.1419.4]. DGAC and Airbus has failed to establish the proper functioning of the Pitot probes in the presence of ice crystals in the certification of the A 330.
Impasse 2: the JAR 25 requires that an alarm "LOCK PITOT" is available to drivers * 1309 (c) +. This alarm does not exist.
Impasse 3: JAR 25 requires that the alarm works as a dropout the incidence is higher than the value at which the alarm occurred * 207 +. For the A 330, the manufacturer has provided that when the velocity measurements of the three ADR is less than 60 kt, the values ​​of incidence of the three ADR are invalid and the stall alarm is then ineffective.

December 1995:
TFU 34.13.00.005. Airbus made ​​the finding of a lack of certification for Pitot probes in the presence of ice crystals and start the development of the probe Goodrich P / N 0851HL. This document certifies that the case of inconsistency rates were measured in the A340 fleet of Air France at that time.

August 1996:

The NTSB made ​​the following recommendation: Revise the icing certification testing regulation to Ensure That airplanes are Properly Tested for All Conditions in Which They Are Authorized to operate, or are able Otherwise Shown to Be Such of safe flight into conditions. If safe operations Can not Be Demonstrated by the manufacturer, Operational limitations Should Be Imposed in flight to Prohibit Such terms and Flight Crew Should Be Provided With The Means to POSITIVELY determined When They are in icing conditions That Exceed the limits for aircraft certification. (Class II, Priority Action) (A-96-56)

November 1996:
Certification of the probe Goodrich P / N 0851HL

April 1998:
certification of the probe Sextant (Thales) P / N C16195AA. How Sextant Pitot probe
(then Thales) C16195-AA has it been certified by the DGCA in the light of experience Rosemount?

June 1998:
Airbus said that pilot training is not necessary to drop


January 1999:
The BFU recommended changing the certification standards of the Pitot probes.

February 2001:
Implementation of the new procedure "Unreliable AIRSPEED" AD 2001-069 (B) by DGAC

June 2001:
The FAA also requires that new AD 2001-13-13 procedure specifying the risk is out of the flight and that the response to an "unsafe condition"

August 2001:
The DGAC mandates the replacement of the sensor by Rosemount probes
Goodrich and Thales AA by AD 2001-354 (B).

July 2002:
In the ILO 999.0068/02/VHR, Airbus made ​​the observation of defects of the probe Thales (ex
Sextant) P / N C16195AA.

December 2002:
The FAA mandates the replacement of the sensor by Rosemount probes Goodrich and Thales AA stating that the risk is out of the flight and that is the answer to an "unsafe condition"

January 2005:
Thales launches the project "ADELINE" Actual air data equipment IS Composed of a large number of probes and pressure sensors Individual. This equipment Delivers vital parameters for the safety of the aircraft's flight Such as air speed, altitude and angle of attack. The loss of These Data Can cause aircraft crashes Especially in case of probe icing.

August 2006:
Airbus fixed frequency of cleaning probes all visits "C", that is to say, every 21 months. The manufacturer Bombardier has had the same problem on some sensors equipping its DHC-8. Transport Canada responded aggressively by AD CF-
2005-15R1 of 23 June 2008 to impose a cleaning every 600 hours of flight, that is to say every 4 months.

September 2007:
The EASA is the finding of a lack of certification of Pitot probes in a
conference in Seville.

September 2007:
In a Service Bulletin, Airbus recommends but does not require the replacement of the probe by the probe C16195AA Thales Thales C16195BA

August 2008:
Air France decided to replace the AA probe by the probes BA "on failure" by the
NT 34-029

September 2008:
2 ACA Events Company. Airbus recognizes "the difficulty encountered by the crew for a rapid implementation and effective procedure unreliable AIRSPEED and reflects a change checklists"

September 2008:
Air France Airbus expresses its great concern over the numerous cases
inconsistency of measured speeds "as flight safety IS involved"

September / October 2008:
the shortcomings of the probe C16195BA Thales, "which was not designed to
respond to icing problems, "are recognized by Airbus and Air France (TFN Info N ° 5).

September 2008:
The DGAC EASA requests on whether to mandate the replacement of AA by the probes probes BA (issuance of AD)

September 2008:
The VCA offers the publication of an operational refuses to DGCA


November 2008:
Air France simply asks its drivers to be vigilant with a note that does not refer to the procedure to apply and does not reflect the dangerous nature of events. Some drivers do not see it go

March 2009:
Thales confirms the limitations of tests of the Pitot probes in "wind tunnel"

March 2009:
The response to the DGAC EASA that "unsafe condition" is not demonstrated and it is
no need to mandate the replacement of the AA probe.

April 2009:
Air France decided to replace AA Pitot probes by the probes BA and received his first batch in May. 15 precursor events to Air France between May 10, 2008 and June 1, 2009.
9 have been an ASR. Neither BEA nor the DGAC have analyzed the ASR (same for ASR ACA) Generally, an event related to the failure of the Pitot probes were analyzed by the BEA or received followed by DGAC

Note:
BEA and Airbus have identified 32 events related to the failure of the Pitot probes between 2003 and
2009. Must be added those that occurred between 1993 and the replacement of the Rosemount probe (to
AFR in particular) and those that occurred in the A320 fleet. This should go a long way ...

On June 1, 2009 2h10.05, the crew of Flight 447 suddenly recovers its A330 in manual control. Thales Pitot probes are blocked, the indications are inconsistent speed, the autopilot and auto-thrust is disconnected, the flight controls are passed into law ALTERNATE degraded. The computers were in dilapidated meaning "we do not know how, make do." They left the pilot's lack of understanding what was happening.
While control of the aircraft is reduced, the crew must keep it in a very limited flight envelope and deal in a very short period of time, to an incredible number of alarms, some of which are as false as the speeds they have under the eyes. It's an overload, an "unsafe condition".
The A 330 stall and can not be recovered.
228 victims.


After the crash

June 4, 2009:
Airbus reminds pilots to apply the procedure in case of inconsistency of measured velocities. Airbus acknowledged that it be difficult to apply in October 2008 ...

June 9, 2009:
EASA says, "That We confirm the type Airbus A330 Airbus aircraft and All Other kinds are airworthy and safe to operate"

August 10, 2009:
EASA and Airbus conduct emergency (PAD 09-099) to the elimination of the Pitot probe Thales AA. To do this, EASA issues a "airworthiness directive" (AD) by claiming that it is a simple precaution. However, an "airworthiness directive" for a precautionary measure, it does not exist. An "airworthiness directive" provides an answer to an "unsafe condition". When the manufacturer and EASA detect a problem that is not an "unsafe condition" but that requires a response, EASA must issue a SAFETY INFORMATION BULLETIN
(SIB). To remove the pitot probe Thales AA, EASA issued AD and not a one ILS. there
was therefore an "unsafe condition" that required a response before the accident.

August 31, 2009:
EASA began changing the certification standards of the Pitot probes by the diffusion of NPA 2009-08. It is a "safety priority" (page 3 paragraph AI5). The Agency confirms that it has erred in not modifying these standards before the accident. She had made the finding of the necessity of this change in 2007 after the BFU in 1999 and Airbus
1995

September 4, 2009:
Airbus is trying to influence the FAA so that it specifies in the future as AD
removal of the probe AA is a precautionary measure. The FAA does not comply

September 8, 2009:
The FAA conducts emergency disposal of the AA by the Pitot probe AD 2009-18 -
08 indicating that the response to an "unsafe condition"

October 20, 2009:
Air France officials are belatedly measures they deem necessary to remedy the defect of the Pitot probes

November 30, 2009:
EASA NPA proposes 2009.12 with a change in the CS-25. Among these changes, the loss of all information transmission becomes a catastrophic risk

December 17, 2009:
In its report No. 2, the BEA specifies that the inconsistency of the measured velocities is a major risk classified by EASA. But at the time of the accident, the current document CS25 which deals with the certification states that the loss of primary information speed is a risk that the probability of occurrence must be "Extremely Remote". It is a probability that the risk class
"Hazardous".

December 17, 2009:
In its report No. 2, the BEA dare say that the analysis of events related to the blocking of the Pitot probes conducted after the accident showed that the tests for validation of these facilities did not appear not suitable for high-altitude flights. The BEA wants us to believe that the certification standards of the Pitot probes are "appeared" out of date after the accident of June 1, 2009. It is a lie because the BEA can not ignore that this observation was made by Airbus in 1995 by the BFU in 1999 and by EASA in 2007

May 12, 2010:

Airbus amend the procedure for dropping out and recommends the training of pilots
in this area

January 2011:
In No. 11 of "The Airbus Safety Magazine," says Jacques Rosay display in TOGA initial action and the procedure would stall before its amendment, the A330 can make unrecoverable

July 28, 2011:
In a "Safety Information Bulletin," EASA inform operators that the standards used for certification of aircraft in icing conditions do not take into account phenomena such as ice crystals or freezing rain. In practice, this means that the protective equipment against icing (including Pitot probes) may not be suitable for all conditions as they arise. EASA recommends that airlines reviewing existing procedures and if necessary amend them or develop. See the NTSB's recommendation in August 1996.

July 29, 2011:
BEA removes a recommendation on dropping out in its report No. 3. it
appears that the system STALL WARNING the A330 does not comply with JAR 25 207 (c).

My conclusions

EASA and Airbus have ignored an "unsafe condition" generated by the recurrent failure of the Pitot probes, leaving the pilots with the task of ensuring accountability of the "unsafe condition" by applying a checklist while according to its definition, an "unsafe condition" can lead the crew in a physical distress or excessive workload that does not allow it to perform its tasks accurately or to carry out.
DGAC and BEA have left to do, Air France has not taken the necessary steps.

(updated 14/10/2011) HMC

Original document (French , PDF)
http://henrimarnetcornus.20minutes-b...1271654027.pdf

DozyWannabe 20th Oct 2011 21:08

Your source is rather biased however, is he not? The blog itself is called "Records of black aviation", and seems to be willing to accept any argument - however tenuous - that the aircraft must have been at fault and the French authorities are covering it up.

It's like that nutter Norbert Jacquet all over again.

ChristiaanJ 20th Oct 2011 21:12

jcjeant,
Could you try to translate your post into English, so we might try to understand your arguments?

In a technical discussion like this, I detest having to first get my mind around what, at first, looks like a Google translation.

And yes, I've read the original French document.
Using an iffy translation as a source for a discussion always leads to nonsense, and long superfluous waffle, as we already have seen before in the other "AF447" threads.

Lyman 20th Oct 2011 21:12

OneHundredPercent

Ok. Now we have the Gold Standard, for the A320. Wouldn't you have the FMA in scan, even on autoflight? I would, along with anything else that I may need, so as not to be blindsided, especialy in soupy green. Or do you persist, as the others, in taking at non face the meager data and urban innuendo promoted by BEA?

And, by the way, how are you certain the crew didn't do that?

Because it was not included in this parsed and biased data dump? Because I happen to have a perspective from an unpopular position?

If this pilot did not have a position ahead of the a/c, what level of septic cockpit will you accept for a setting of the stage for being so seemingly unprepared as if a rank amateur? Talk of whiskey and grab ass with the commander seems risky, given the conditions.

I appreciate your reply, it is honest, measured, and instead of biased, it is objective.

Except: PF Did NOT climb like a madman, the a/c did, and to the extent that his misunderstanding contributed, controlled or caused the climb, you claim it was his intention?

You are Houdini, redux?

He WAS trying for wings level, and it is likely he was dealing with some damage, as the a/c had a ND, RollRight bias, clearly.

There was NO BUSS, and losing 10,000 through the weather might not have been wise. If intended, imo.

The picture we have is built on information that is incomplete, cherry picked, and released with bias.

I stand ready to accept a true and complete picture, and frankly, I bet you do too.

French Airline, French A/C, French Pilots, French Investigation. French culture.

French conclusion. C'est la vie.

bonne chance, siecle

AlphaZuluRomeo 20th Oct 2011 21:25

jcjeant,

HMC, really? I'll be cautious, then. :rolleyes:
This gentleman continues an (old) battle of attacking any representative of a "system" that put him in default (no judgment here, just an observation).
When HMC is speaking, it is kind of 'automatic' that Airbus, Air France, the DGAC, EASA & co are "guilty".

Sidenote: As provided, the document is really diffult to read. Google translate doesn't do that good, here.:bored::8

MaxJack 20th Oct 2011 21:46


why didn`tthe pnf took controll?me think it maybe a human factor issue.
the cpt had just giveb controll to the younger pilot.bit when all happened
the pnf assumed what was wrong,but wasn`t 100% sure.
so maybe he thougt,when the cpt returned taht he (the pnf) had just took the first opportunity to take controll because he was angry at the cpt decision.
Hmm…
The name of this tread is the “final crew conversation” and it would indeed be very interesting to "listen" to how the “climat” was in the cockpit before captain left for his rest and what was said during the briefing before he left. Was there a silent competition going on? Is every crew team working in harmony, at all the time?
A car with dual drivers, dual minds, is not very uncommon. Just ask your ex-wife.

PNF thinking –Just wait until captain gets back and sees what’s going on…..
PF thinking – Me, and only me, have to sort this out…

I´m not a pilot, I just know how humans may react and handle, when under pressure.

jcjeant 20th Oct 2011 23:49

AlphaZuluRomeo

HMC, really? I'll be cautious, then
Seem's to me a exact chronology
All inside (facts) is public and verifiable with some research work
Of course comments and conclusion are opinion of HMC

Sidenote: As provided, the document is really diffult to read. Google translate doesn't do that good, here
ChristiaanJ (must no be a prob for you with the original PDF as you are located in France !)

Could you try to translate your post into English, so we might try to understand your arguments?
The facts are the facts .. the opinions and comments are from HMC .. not from myself
This was posted mainly cause it's seem's to me a complete chronology (my argument)
Anyways ...regarding translations
For those interesting by accurate translations I suggest you to contact:
Translation English, German, Italian, French, Russian, Hungarian, Polish, Romanian
I'm sure you will be satisfied by their professional services :D

Lyman 21st Oct 2011 00:10

I think it reads straightforward enough, and there are precious few chronologies, and certainly no complete ones.

If I had the skill, I'd try to put something together like that, with the important posts here listed objectively, though it might put an end to the threads. Repetition produces clicks.

J.O. 21st Oct 2011 00:31


PF Did NOT climb like a madman, the a/c did
Huh? So you're saying the 13 degree pitch up that he initiated had nothing to do with it? :rolleyes:

Lyman 21st Oct 2011 01:04

Madman? We have the results of controls, we do not know the pilot's intentions.

I have listed several reasons the a/c may not have been purposely directed to the attitude and altitude it reached. Until they are eliminated, it seems rather like piling on to assume this pilot was a madman, bent on STALL. Do you actually believe that was his intent?

His initial inputs may have been inadvertent in Pitch.

Banging on the drum only identifies a lack of circumspection, imho.

I have never heard of a pilot in UAS commanding such a climb.

There are three instances where the a/c did it on her own, in similar. There are also warnings (post 447) not to re-select a/p when speeds return. "The a/c may climb without command."

Do you see this?

I'll wait.

goldfish85 21st Oct 2011 01:23

Burnswannabe,

Your comments made me think (always a dangerous thing). Up until AFR447, I said that FBW has done more good than harm (much more). Until AFR447, there had been zero in-service stalls with a FBW equipped transport. Clearly this has been a great safety leap forward.

However, I agree with my colleagues that pilot skills have atrophied. Pilots have (indeed humans have) great difficulty sorting out multiple failure indications.

It's not just Airbus. Just read about NWA 6231 flown by a colleague. When the report came out, I said "how could he be so dumb!." I few months later, I found out just how dumb I could be. Fortunately, I came out of the clouds fairly quickly and it was just an incident.

We need to rethink our training. We hardly get any handflying, and then the autopilot hands us a handfull of airplane, in turbulence, with a lot of flashing lights. I'd like to think I could, but seriously, I don't know.

HundredPercentPlease 21st Oct 2011 07:08

Lyman/Bearfoil,

Are you for real?

You asked what a normal joe would do in this situation. As an Airbus pilot I thought I'd grace you with this information, and gave you a simple list of what I would do. I made no reference to the AF accident in that list.

But your imagination gets the better of you, and you conjured up stuff in your mind.


Wouldn't you have the FMA in scan, even on autoflight? I would, along with anything else that I may need
Yes, but when you have an FMA change in the Airbus, you should read it out. It's important to dwell on FMA changes, as many errors have occurred when both pilots are not fully aware of those changes. It's SOP.



Or do you persist, as the others, in taking at non face the meager data and urban innuendo promoted by BEA?
What?


And, by the way, how are you certain the crew didn't do that?
I have no idea what the crew did, you just asked what I would do.


what level of septic cockpit will you accept for a setting of the stage for being so seemingly unprepared as if a rank amateur?
Hello?


Except: PF Did NOT climb like a madman, the a/c did,
As others have said, he pulled back and the aircraft pitched up. I consider that to be the fundamental error. Maintaining cruise pitch and thrust would have been a much better option.


you claim it was his intention?
I made no claims.


You are Houdini, redux?

He WAS trying for wings level, and it is likely he was dealing with some damage, as the a/c had a ND, RollRight bias, clearly.

There was NO BUSS, and losing 10,000 through the weather might not have been wise. If intended, imo.

The picture we have is built on information that is incomplete, cherry picked, and released with bias.

I stand ready to accept a true and complete picture, and frankly, I bet you do too.
I have asked numerous seneca to sidestick FOs what the pitch is in the cruise, and the majority have no idea at all, not even enough of a clue to make a guess. All, though, can recite the various UAS (low level) recovery drills.

Only the dead pilot knew why he pitched up. We will only ever be able to guess, and subsequently train around all those guesses.

Bergerie1 21st Oct 2011 07:15

HundredPercentPlease
Thank you for a good dose of simple common sense!

philip2412 21st Oct 2011 09:19

maxJack,
thank you very much for understanding what i meant to say.
me think,the human interactions and feelings inthe cp before the event are a reason for the behavior of the PNF.

AlphaZuluRomeo 21st Oct 2011 09:30

jcjeant, I agree that it seems to be an accurate chronology.
However, as a once-trained historian, I learned that knowing the author is at last as important as understanding what is written.

In this case, I don't know:
- if the presented facts are true
- if all the relevant facts are reported, or only those "in favour" of some theory
- (having not done the research work, I confess) if the facts are public and verifiable

I do know however:
- what HMC's battle is
- that HMC's report of the accident is biased/partisan

As said above, I didn't take the time to do the "research work". I have then no definite answers. Just a "be cautious" advice, as I know the source for:
- not being impartial/non-partisan
- not having really something to loose if proven wrong (unless, for exemple, an aircraft manufacturer)

-----

I read french better than english, translation issues were for other readers. ;)

Lonewolf_50 21st Oct 2011 12:30

Respectfully suggest that this thread be renamed "AF447 Hamster Wheel."

That is all. :cool:

AlphaZuluRomeo 21st Oct 2011 12:39

Lonewolf_50 : agreed since post #4... :D

Lyman 21st Oct 2011 19:55

Hi 100.

I was not asking for a normal Joe to respond, I was asking a "Hero" to answer. The type that reads what others post, rolls it around, appoints himself Ace Bogie, and tries to come off as somehow superior to our PF here, 447.

You are a fresh air type, and I have commented on your reasonableness, so, yeah, I am for real, and my question stands......

One thing. You say we will never know what the PF's intentions may have been re: the climb. You suggest we will train around these guesses.

You say only the dead pilot will ever know why he pitched up. I disagree, and I am disappointed with your readiness to accept this "finality".

The stick traces are enough for you? Hmm.

Let's say the a/c has a chronic desire to PITCH DOWN, and roll to the right. Let's say that after the climb established, it kept trying to drop the NOSE. Without knowing the a/c attitude, each "recovery" would repeat his initial one, and each one incrementally raise the PITCH. BTW, the final flight path shows just such a predilection.

His side was not recorded. Was he seeing.......what? And why did he not ask PNF re: the other screens? In the conversation, I get that the PNF DID have better data, but that he assumed the position of scold, or ad hoc teacher.

This does not go down a treat with a Frenchman, and it may be that this deal can be put down to petulance as well as other things. Your sound judgment is plain in your response, I am a little surprised you have closed the book.


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