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-   -   AF447 (https://www.pprune.org/tech-log/376433-af447.html)

nsxtasy 10th Jun 2009 12:08


hawker750:
The scenario nsxtasy illustrates is IMHO quite feasable. What would be interesting to find out, but probably impossible, is who was on the flight deck?
It was a heavy crew so it is likely that one crew member was in the bunk. Was it the Captain? Where is the crew bunk on a 330? If nsxtasy's scenario had to be sorted by the first officer and a relief pilot chances of success are reduced.
Nope...I haven't illustrated any scenarios...you may be referring to "poison's" post.

Brian Abraham 10th Jun 2009 12:10

From AVweb today

Air France Speeds Airbus Pitot Replacements After Pilots Complain

Air France has accelerated its effort to replace pitot tubes on its Airbus aircraft after members of one pilots union threatened to refuse to fly the unmodified airplanes, the New York Times reported on Tuesday. The airline had said over the weekend it would replace the sensors on all Airbus A330 and A340 airplanes over the next few weeks. But on Monday, Alter, a union representing about 12 percent of Air France pilots, posted a notice on its Web site urging its members to "refuse any flight on an A330/A340 which has not had at least two pitot sensors modified," according to the Times. SNPL-ALPA, which represents the largest share of Air France pilots, made no such suggestion, but union spokesman Eric Derivry told the Associated Press: "What we know is that other planes that have experienced incorrect airspeed indications have had the same pitots. And planes with the new pitot tubes have never had such problems."

A U.S. Navy ship and the French nuclear attack submarine Emeraude are both en route to the crash site of Air France Flight 447 to aid the search for the cockpit voice and flight data recorders. The Navy also flew two devices called Towed Pinger Locators to Brazil on Monday. The five-foot-long devices can detect the signals from emergency beacons from as deep as 20,000 feet. They will be towed behind French tugboats. Crews so far have recovered 28 bodies from the crash site. They have been flown via Blackhawk helicopter to Fernando de Noronha, an island 400 miles off the coast of Brazil, and later will be taken to the mainland in a C-130. Identification by fingerprints and dental records is expected to take some time. A total of 228 people died in the crash. On Monday, the airplane's vertical stabilizer was recovered, the largest piece of the aircraft that has been found so far. The piece showed no evident signs of fire or explosion.

Interflug 10th Jun 2009 12:10


The scenario nsxtasy illustrates is IMHO quite feasable. What would be interesting to find out, but probably impossible, is who was on the flight deck?
It was a heavy crew so it is likely that one crew member was in the bunk. Was it the Captain? Where is the crew bunk on a 330? If nsxtasy's scenario had to be sorted by the first officer and a relief pilot chances of success are reduced.
How much experience of hand flying the plane at altitude in alternate law in a stormy night without (reliable) instruments would the pilots of an A330 have
a) in simulator?
b) in real world?

I'm not questioning their ability. I'm questioning, if statistically it would make much difference who handled the plane. And one F/O had more experience on type than the captain.

AF press release Nr. 2: ...The flight captain had a record of 11,000 flight hours and had already flown 1,700 hours on Airbus A330/A340s.

Of the two first officers, one had flown 3,000 flight hours (800 of which on the Airbus A330/A340) and the other 6,600 (2,600 on the Airbus A330/A340).

BOAC 10th Jun 2009 12:37


Originally Posted by nsxtasy
I believe this was in reference to the other plane crash

- thanks - on a re-read I (think) I can see that now.

arrffaa 10th Jun 2009 12:41

computers
 
I couldn't agree more with DC-ATE post of 6th june.

More and more we, as Air traffic Controllers, are being sunbjected to the computer. Electronic flght progess strips, conflict alert when there isn't any, AMAN working out false and stupid EATs, computers telling us when to turn you on to the base and closing headings. Flashing that, coloured this, you can't do that, you MUST do this - all by a machine!

My brain works quicker than any computer when it comes to actually doing stuff. Let's keep computers simply for monitoring eh?

This is one of the saddest and most frightening accidents I have ever read about. I really hope that the FDR and CVR can be found. However, after the Concorde accident report, I also have MANY doubts as to the accuracy of the future BEA report, whether they are found or not.:sad:

hawker750 10th Jun 2009 12:43

The point is that the Captain is more likely in his 11,000 hours of being caught in a monster before and to have reacted correctly. As has been said before 3 degrees works but you have to ignore height loss/gain. If the 2 F/O's had never experienced this terror before it makes it more difficult to envsage a sucessful outcome. I have been in the middle twice and as anyone who has experienced it, it is frightening, not only the violence but the noise. One really questions the integrity of the airframe

etsd0001 10th Jun 2009 12:45


We do all understand the differences between ACMS, CFDS, CMS and ACARS don't we.
ACMS is system monitoring, not directly related to the CMS

CFDS is A320 speak for the CMS

CMS is A330/40 speak

Graybeard 10th Jun 2009 12:53

Cap'n Crunch: "Yeah I know. You're probably right. But what's really stumping me, is: Can't a spiraling bus transmit a cabin decent (descent?) ADVISORY out on ACARS through HF? I mean ACARs doesn't know it's in deep doodo. Power should have been good. HF should have been good down to break up (VS fin loss) or dual flame out. Right?"

FWIW, The ACARS MU, Management Unit, is powered by 115 vac. I don't know which electrical bus on the A330, but it wouldn't be high priority.

I came to understand from prior posts that the ACARS was transmitting via the Satcom, and not HF. It would be tough for a spiraling plane to keep lock on a satellite, whereas the HF wouldn't much care. Why have both capabilities? Message cost on HF is lower.

GB

SaturnV 10th Jun 2009 12:55

BOAC, the post mortem summary for bodies recovered from Air India 182 can be found starting on p. 19 of this report:

http://www.publicsafety.gc.ca/prg/ns.../CASBai-en.pdf

The mapping of recovered bodies to assigned seats (recognizing that passengers may change seats once airborne) indicates that the further aft a passenger was seated, the higher the percentage of body recovery. No bodies were recovered from the most forward sections of the 747. Also, few of the Air India recovered bodies showed evidence of significant trauma from having seat belts fastened. (That's not likely to be the case of bodies recovered from AF 447.)

A similar mapping of trauma and seat location was done for the victims of TW 800.

BOAC 10th Jun 2009 12:59

Hawker - you claim to have been "in the middle twice" - are you seriously suggesting that you or anyone would NOT be in the left seat in the ITCZ as it was? .......and, incidentally, it will be EXTREMELY easy to determine who was where if we ever get the cockpit section back. I my opinion this line of questioning is a complete distraction.

Graybeard 10th Jun 2009 13:06

Further to post above regarding ACARS message routing, Satcom or HF. The lat/long of the last transmission was provided in the listing. That should have been part of the preamble of every satcom message, showing where the beam was pointing, whereas I believe it would not be part of an HF ACARS preamble.

I've been going blind looking for the most accepted raw picture of the stream of ACARS messages. Does anybody have a quick link?

Thanks,
GB

Safety Concerns 10th Jun 2009 13:13

can we keep this sensible.
You have a confirmed message from the crew that they were in turbulence.
You have released acars messages confirming a serious of faults.
You have an aircraft fitted with pitot probes that have been confirmed to cause problems in certain conditions.
You have weather reports confirming that those conditions were in that very area at that very moment AF447 flew by.
The acars messages confirm air data issues on an aircraft flying with known dodgy probes in an area with known bad weather that night.

What does it take for some people.

flying brain 10th Jun 2009 13:34

The Sunday Herald
Key figures in global battle against illegal arms trade lost in Air France crash


Claims such as this are common in the period after the passenger list has been released and before any technical evidence emerges.

A week or so after the Lauda Air B767 300ER crash, caused by uncommanded reverser deployment, a passenger involved in anti drugs activities was identified and headlines appeared along the lines of the Sunday herald claims.

The Family was called by the press and asked how they felt that their relative was responsible for the death of 228 people. It was appalling.

Once the final facts emerge, everyone has forgotten the other claims........

gilot 10th Jun 2009 13:37

satellite aircom coverage map and more
 
http://www.sita.aero/file/1124/AIRCOM_Coverage_Maps.pdf
for all

TripleBravo 10th Jun 2009 13:49

Lost in Saigon,

if the expert talking here: Innovation Analysis Group is not talking about the CAB PRESS advisory, then I would refer to him as a real expert. ;) (Had no time to actually watch the video.)


It appears he was not given all the information that is available. If not, where does all the talk of "Cabin Vertical Rate" originate?
Simple: Because this is the interpretation the audience wants to hear. You know, yellow press is telling what touches people, so does PPRuNe. Steep dive? How scary, yet sensational.

In reality, the last message is simply stating that something is wrong with the measurment of cabin pressure. It does not specify what exactly. It will be sent just as well when one of the sensors is wrong. One of the sensors this message is relying at is one of the ADIRUs - which were erroneous, as we know. => Faulty ADIRUs are enough to trigger this advisory.

More in-depth here: http://www.pprune.org/tech-log/37634...ml#post4982977

Graybeard 10th Jun 2009 13:51

Bloomberg.com has a fresh set of articles on the crash, and updates to prior articles. Their reporting seems credible.

GB

Junkers388L 10th Jun 2009 13:55


A bomb would be the only way of explaining the lack of even a brief mayday on behalf of the pilots.

Bingaling, this is jumping to a conclusion and irresponsible speculation.

The facts are, to the best of my knowledge:

No mayday call (or other voice communication indicating problems) by AF447 was received by anyone after 2:10Z on June 1st.

This does not necessarily mean no transmission was made. Potential interpretations are (the list below does not claim to be complete):
  • Flight crew did not make an emergency transmission: e.g. because they stuck to the Avigate, Navigate, Communicate principle and tried to sort out the problems in controlling the airplane and dealing with system failures they had; flight crew incapacitation might be another reason (ref. Helios accident)
  • Flight crew made a transmission, but nobody received it: nobody was within range and tuned to the frequency they used, atmospheric conditions degraded or garbled their transmission
  • Flight crew attempted to make a transmission, but was unsuccessful: we essentially do not know what happened to the aircraft after 2:14Z, except that it crashed, so by the time they decided to make the call, systems/components required to achieve a successfull transmission might have been lost, ... (myriads of reasons)
ONLY the CVR (if ever recovered) can give a conclusive answer as to whether the flight crew attempted to make an emergency transmission or not!!!

Edit: As thankfully pointed out by "forget" and "Graybeard", the FDR also records mic keys, i.e. one would be able to see whether the crew made attempts to transmit a message over the radio (and I think even if it was the CPT or F/O).

CONF iture 10th Jun 2009 13:59

Safety Concerns, fully agree with your post, except for one point :

You have a confirmed message from the crew that they were in turbulence
What is your reference to write that ?

wes_wall 10th Jun 2009 13:59

Bobrun

The full report is available online, for those who can read French. The description of the warnings they received are very similar to those apparently received by the AF crew, so a parallel can easily be drawn
Would you mind posting a link. Thank you

Jetstream67 10th Jun 2009 14:00

Facts
 
The received ACARS messages are clearly facts as the system saw it.
That some or all came via SAT - suggesting power and a 'fairly' steady/level antenna as they were sent some minutes after the start of the incident seems to be a fact. Other /later messages may presumably have been generated but never actually sent if/as this changed.

The lack of HF /VHF messages appears to be a fact

The flightplan, no notified diversion, and passing through the CB at night over water appears to be fact

The challenges of the ITCZ generally are a fact

The known pitot tube issues appear to be facts

The 'difficulty' of flight around the coffin curve with instruments not working is a fact.

We don't KNOW a lot else . .

Wandering off these facts to speculate about bombs and bermuda triangles and various similar (?) incidents may be 'human' but perhaps another thread called "unsupported theories" might be a better place for them ???

Just my new-boy penny-worth :-) . . better duck now !


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