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LCC's Need a Cap For Industry Safety

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LCC's Need a Cap For Industry Safety

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Old 29th Sep 2011, 13:27
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LCC's Need a Cap For Industry Safety

There is a sad growing trend in the industry which is virtually eliminating the middle class passenger. Most airlines are developing larger Business Class sections like that of Korean Air with A380 top deck all business seats. On the contrary you have the booming success of low cost carriers that in my opinion will be is forcing the industry into a more unsafe environment. I would like to take this argument in two directions with one possible solution.

With the economic downturn throughout the world and emerging industry powers such as India, China, Indonesia, we are seeing ticket prices drop off to unthinkable levels. The main concern in Asia right now is where are they going to get all their much needed pilots and what is the safety level going to be set at. You have most countries pushing for only national hired pilots that run through cadet programs and some trying to fast track pilots through GA into A320/737. The end result is the ability for these companies to pay substantially lower wages and begin to operate international destinations. With these companies comes many safety concerns: the quality of the training (and ultimately the pilot) the over work of pilots, the quality of maintenance. These companies are able to run the industry standard to an all time low, and although not very detrimental in their own countries the lasting effect will be terrible. A perfect example of this is the success of Air Asia. Air Asia has been around less than ten years and with rapid expansion now covers nearly all of south east asia and soon to be japan. This company is hiring local pilots with local wages and is able to charge substantially low prices. Air Asia X now offers flights from Malaysia to Paris for under $400 (direct) 1 way, compared to that of Gulf Air with one stop and just under $600 before tax. Australia right now is a prime example of the divide in the industry with Qantas looking to expand their LCC JetStar and begin operations with Qantas as a high class executive airliner appealing to the business suits and people of more wealth. The pressures on international companies that are paying pilots proper wages, not working them to the bone, and abiding by strict safety regulations, are immense and very worrisome.

The argument can be had that if you gave 100 people a choice between two tickets prices and one was cheaper than the other more then 80% would be likely to choose the cheaper one. This is not a scientific fact but most of you reading this could probably agree that when you log onto expedia, fare compare etc your first instinct is to click the lowest fare. We as a people, even with wealth will more often then not opt for the cheapest flight. There are others who regardless of price will be selective over airlines that like, especially for long hauls, and will opt for the slightly more expensive flight or business class seat. Those airlines with middle class prices are in my opinion soon to become obsolete. Why would someone pay $1200 1 way on airline A when they could get the same flight for $800.

What I propose is far beyond the capabilities of any industry or organization, ICAO is the only one that comes to mind. There needs to be a restriction put on the ability of airlines to offer ridiculously low ticket sales. To have a promotion of 1$ or something along those lines usually includes hidden costs and is not the main focus here. Its companies day in day out offering round trip tickets for $80 from Kuala Lampur - Ho Chi Min or $45 Jakarta - Denpassar that are putting the pressures on International companies. What needs to be imposed is a law regulating the value of a ticket. It is understandable that countries like those in South East Asia are able to offer cheaper tickets because of their respective economies, but their needs to be a limit. I propose that the limit be based on the GDP of the country and be the resultant of a % of that. With this taken into account we will see an industry wide change that will push the industry back in the right direction. People will never not fly, and most people who do fly can afford a more expensive ticket. With this limited ticket price we will see companies take very minimal loss if they are still cheapest in the area but the funding going into the company will provide the ability to properly employ pilots and maintain safety standards. It will level out the playing field and provide major international carriers with very respectable standards to maintain a fighting chance. There needs to be something done before these airlines bring down the wages, safety standards, overall job satisfaction, and enjoyment that is flying.
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Old 29th Sep 2011, 14:07
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Better to regulate AND ENFORCE the operations and maintenance standards. The airlines will not offer such low prices if they cannot make enough profit (or little enough loss) to satisfy their investors.
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Old 30th Sep 2011, 08:49
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What I propose is far beyond the capabilities of any industry or organization, ICAO is the only one that comes to mind. There needs to be a restriction put on the ability of airlines to offer ridiculously low ticket sales.
ICAO could not do this as ICAO does not make regulations. ICAO produces RECOMMENDATIONS which individual Governments then decide to adopt into their local laws - or ignore!

Also restricting what companies can charge for a service is illegal in most countries! It's called the free market.
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Old 1st Oct 2011, 14:01
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Looking through the accidents with fatalities for 2010 and 2011 I can find only two that possibly involved LCCs. These were the Air India Express crash of 22/5/10 and the Airblue (Pakistan) crash of 28/7/10. Not exactly a dangerous part of the industry is it?

I can't find any relating to the likes of Air Asia, Cebu Pacific and so on, let alone Ryanair, easyjet and so on. Evidently, not exactly safety compromised operations are they? Bearing in mind that these are true LCCs using a single design fleet of modern planes. I have recently flown in Air Asia both long and short haul, Cebu Pacific and SE Air and had no problems - happy to fly with all of them again.

This is considerably different to the model seen in places like Indonesia of buying a fleet of wrecks and then flying them until they break. But those are not true LCCs. I recently flew with Batavia due to an admin mistake and would be very reluctant to repeat the experience.

So, I think you need to refine your argument away from the modern and efficient and aim at the truly dangerous.

Last edited by caiman27; 1st Oct 2011 at 16:44.
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Old 1st Oct 2011, 14:23
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NorthernGoose admirable in theory but in reality it would be unworkable to define the parameters and impossible to police them. It also removes the element of competition which airlines should be able to offer, although competition is, or should be, about more than just price.

The cheapest carriers, by far, on the long haul route I fly most often are Iberia and Emirates. There is no way I would use those carriers. I may not be typical but I buy by convenience and service level, and personal preference too, I would, all other things being equal, and they rarely are, travel on KLM because I like the Dutch, rather than Air France, because I don't like the French. I would also rather connect at Schiphol than at CDG. Price is a factor, but not a main one.

As others have said, the policing needs to be around the airlines flying and maintenance standards, not its pricing policy, even if there is obviously a crossover.
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