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"Rockets crash, especially at the beginning of a project"
Agreed. The very first Ariane V blew up shortly after launch and took a bunch of satellites with it ("Cluster"). |
Being good technical people here, any initial indication of the failure mode ?
- Insufficient fuel ? - Premature shutdown ? - Trajectory not as calculated ? - Comms failure ? |
The Atlantic Ocean?
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Apparently the UK government ( or anyone in Blighty ) contributed a mere £11 million to the attempt.
I’m not sure if that was for this launch only & don’t know if there’s been previous funding to turn Newquay airport into a ‘Spaceport’ ( snigger ) but it’s far less than I expected. As regards the TV interviews after the failure , the young Canadian lady running the show seemed to think it was all about her : ‘ I’m ok...’ |
Originally Posted by WHBM
(Post 11363564)
Being good technical people here, any initial indication of the failure mode ?
- Insufficient fuel ? - Premature shutdown ? - Trajectory not as calculated ? - Comms failure ? |
I assume close to Ireland and down within a few minutes.
https://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-63895835 |
The drop point was south of the Irish coast but from there the trajectory went south south west and given we know that the vehicle got at least as far as staging the best guess is debris ended up a heck of long long way from Ireland.
Something was seen/imaged from the Canary Isles at about the right time which may well have been associated with the launch.. https://www.space.com/virgin-orbit-r...-reentry-video |
Originally Posted by WHBM
(Post 11363564)
Being good technical people here, any initial indication of the failure mode ?
- Insufficient fuel ? - Premature shutdown ? - Trajectory not as calculated ? - Comms failure ? |
Reliably informed that the Virgin could not get it up.
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Originally Posted by WHBM
(Post 11363564)
Being good technical people here, any initial indication of the failure mode ?
- Insufficient fuel ? - Premature shutdown ? - Trajectory not as calculated ? - Comms failure ? |
Originally Posted by Flugzeug A
(Post 11363625)
Apparently the UK government ( or anyone in Blighty ) contributed a mere £11 million to the attempt.
I’m not sure if that was for this launch only & don’t know if there’s been previous funding to turn Newquay airport into a ‘Spaceport’ ( snigger ) but it’s far less than I expected. |
Originally Posted by togsdragracing
(Post 11364048)
underwent an unscheduled disassembly.
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Originally Posted by togsdragracing
(Post 11364048)
Before it went wacko the telemetry clearly showed the engine gimballing out of limits and then a very rapid drop in altitude so I'm guessing that the thing tumbled and then underwent an unscheduled disassembly.
From a few posts back where Ariane V is mentioned, that is what happened on the first launch I believe. Same guidance computer as Ariane IV but with greater acceleration the spacecraft exceeded the expected acceleration limits (reduced testing was the ultimate cause for not finding this prior to launch), computer assumes an "anomaly" so restarts. Part of the restart procedure is exercise full nozzle deflection, which didn't turn out too well at the speed it was going so launch control destroyed the vehicle. I am sure someone will correct me if this isn't what happened precisely. |
I watched the whole thing live (to my regret) and when things started to go wrong I thought the gimbal signal and speed indicator were just not reading out, or the data weren't being received. The one consistent thing was the loss of altitude. Apart from a couple of obvious spurious readings, the loss of height was very consistent yet ignored by the narrators/commentators on the live stream. And even when the altitude bottomed out at around 240,000 ft, they kept on going on about what was going to happen next.
I was 99% certain the next event was the thing breaking up on re-entry and whatever remained and didn't burn up could be found at the bottom of the Atlantic. And I'm not a rocket scientist. |
Later in the mission, at an altitude of approximately 180km (111 miles), the upper stage experienced an anomaly which "prematurely ended" the first burn. The company said this event ended the mission, with the rocket components and payload falling back to Earth within the approved safety corridor without ever achieving orbit. Virgin Orbit said it had launched a formal investigation into the source of the second stage failure. The company said it hoped to return to Spaceport Cornwall for additional launches as early as later this year. |
Originally Posted by WHBM
(Post 11364849)
Brilliant euphemism for an in-flight break-up :)
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satellite launch
May be they should have asked Orbital Science for a few tips !!
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Going slightly off topic, I have just been reading about how NASA "Man rated" rockets at the start of the space age, that is made them safe enough to carry humans. ICBM launchers such as Atlas had a terrible record. We know about the Challenger disaster but I cannot think of a fatal accident to a Western austronaut from a launch from a conventional rocket (admittedly there have not been many, although Soyuz has been used quite a bit for the ISS). My questions are:
How expensive is getting this level of reliability? Given the cost of satellites, would it be worthwhile "man rating" launchers? Presumambly someone such as an insurance underwriter, has done the sums and concluded that it isn't. Obviously the rocket is still in development and you wouldn't expect it to be as reliable as Saturn or Soyuz became (and they certainly had problems - look at Apollo 6). Musk & Bezos have had their accidents. I wouldn't want to put a satellite on an untested rocket but perhaps they got a special rate. |
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