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Search: Posts Made By: Recc
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12th May 2022, 11:50
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

According to Dan Kaszeta (who should know) it is...

According to Dan Kaszeta (who should know) it is an ammonium nitrate explosion. Likely a result of an agricultural warehouse being targeted (or hit by mistake). Almost certainly not a deliberate...
6th May 2022, 10:51
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

Potentially very close to Romanian territorial...

Potentially very close to Romanian territorial waters and with a moderate NE wind all night and for the rest of the day. If true, and if she has lost propulsion, then I imagine there will be quite a...
Forum: Jet Blast
28th Apr 2022, 19:12
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

CBC kids, that's where you get your news from!! ...

CBC kids, that's where you get your news from!!

Possibly the legal distinction between a declared and de-facto war is not the most important aspect of this conflict to convey to 9 year olds.
Forum: Jet Blast
28th Apr 2022, 18:09
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

That was the case until shortly after the second...

That was the case until shortly after the second world war, but the conventions were amended so that they apply in all cases of armed conflict whether or not war is declared.
Forum: Jet Blast
28th Apr 2022, 10:26
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

I wouldn't entirely agree with that. It is still...

I wouldn't entirely agree with that. It is still true that a major constraint to western escalation is the fear of Russian strategic nuclear capability. At one point this was seen as a barrier to...
Forum: Jet Blast
28th Apr 2022, 07:30
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

From the context, i.e. the comments about...

From the context, i.e. the comments about capabilities that only Russia possesses, he was probably referring to the various "wunderwaffe" that were announced back in 2018. Most of these, such as the...
Forum: Jet Blast
27th Apr 2022, 15:30
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

He would do better to speak to Ukranians. Even in...

He would do better to speak to Ukranians. Even in (pre 2022) separatist controlled regions of the Donbas, multiple polls have shown a majority wish to remain part of Ukraine. In the Donbas overall,...
27th Apr 2022, 10:34
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

Not an original thought of mine, but I heard it...

Not an original thought of mine, but I heard it argued that there had to be a distinction between peacetime training requirements and those during a war. In peacetime, training is comprehensive and...
27th Apr 2022, 09:26
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

Would be a bit much to ask Romania to take on...

Would be a bit much to ask Romania to take on Russia without article 5 guarantees.
25th Apr 2022, 10:26
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

Well yes, but quite a large fraction of a second!...

Well yes, but quite a large fraction of a second! It would certainly be noticeable.
25th Apr 2022, 10:01
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

Difficult to be sure, but I'd be a bit sceptical...

Difficult to be sure, but I'd be a bit sceptical about the audio. Firstly, there is a very noticeable gap in the audio that happens to be between the bit that sounds like a jet and the bit that...
22nd Apr 2022, 12:39
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

I found it interesting; I had no idea that there...

I found it interesting; I had no idea that there was two-seater combat version. I suspect that the rarity of this variant (?) and the height at which it was shot down point towards a different type,...
22nd Apr 2022, 09:00
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

My understanding is that they are remotely...

My understanding is that they are remotely operated, not autonomous. The identification and and selection of targets is still the responsibility of the operator, just as with the other weapons that...
21st Apr 2022, 15:55
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

With two parachutes?

With two parachutes?
19th Apr 2022, 22:21
Replies: 429
Views: 146,482
Posted By Recc

Good points, I hadn't spotted the soot staining...

Good points, I hadn't spotted the soot staining around the upper portholes.
19th Apr 2022, 15:39
Replies: 429
Views: 146,482
Posted By Recc

Currently marine traffic is showing a jackup in...

Currently marine traffic is showing a jackup in position 45.35597N / 30.90305E, which is 10Nm south of the SAR position published by naval news from 15.52UTC on the 13th. ...
18th Apr 2022, 15:03
Replies: 429
Views: 146,482
Posted By Recc

Would be astonishing if they didn't have the...

Would be astonishing if they didn't have the deadlights closed at night and close to an enemy shore (though much about the incident is surprising) . It certainly doesn't look like there would have...
15th Apr 2022, 14:31
Replies: 429
Views: 146,482
Posted By Recc

Most reports suggest around 65Nm offshore. ...

Most reports suggest around 65Nm offshore. Ukraine certainly has the capability to supply it's own targeting data at that range, but could equally well have used surveillance data from another...
15th Apr 2022, 10:53
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

It is a good point to make, but again I wouldn't...

It is a good point to make, but again I wouldn't be too pessimistic. I was convinced in late 2021/ early 2022 that there would be a large scale war in Ukraine after reading well-reasoned articles...
15th Apr 2022, 10:02
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

That is one interpretation, but I think that it...

That is one interpretation, but I think that it is more likely that a prolonged and costly war against Ukraine would be seen as a deeply embarrassing failure for Russia's armed forced. If it is...
15th Apr 2022, 07:32
Replies: 429
Views: 146,482
Posted By Recc

I think that the reports of poor weather may be...

I think that the reports of poor weather may be somewhat overstated I was looking at some GRIB files that were issued around the time that the incident happened and it looks like there would have...
14th Apr 2022, 13:18
Replies: 429
Views: 146,482
Posted By Recc

Unlikely in my opinion. NATO countries are...

Unlikely in my opinion. NATO countries are already having a substantial impact on the war through the supply of weapons and intelligence. If Russia thought it could gain military advantage by...
14th Apr 2022, 11:46
Replies: 429
Views: 146,482
Posted By Recc

An onboard fire and ammunition detonation is not...

An onboard fire and ammunition detonation is not incompatible with a missile hit.
Forum: Jet Blast
11th Apr 2022, 16:25
Replies: 61
Views: 9,622
Posted By Recc

Possibly you cannot, but that doesn't mean that...

Possibly you cannot, but that doesn't mean that there are not. The colonial expansion of Argentina post independence was both extensive and brutal. Indeed, the war on the Mapuche and the theft of...
30th Mar 2022, 10:31
Replies: 518
Views: 876,267
Posted By Recc

Maybe not the place to have this discussion as it...

Maybe not the place to have this discussion as it is completely irrelevant to the topic.
Genotyping (even 10s of thousands) of recovered tissue samples on a forensic STR kit is trivially easy. ...
Forum: Jet Blast
28th Mar 2022, 19:06
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

They possibly had no choice in the matter. ...

They possibly had no choice in the matter. Ukraine is under martial law, and the army can requisition privately owned vehicles if there is a military need. There are quite a few reports of the...
16th Mar 2022, 20:02
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

I think that it is drone footage of a (presumably...

I think that it is drone footage of a (presumably prepared) ambush. Most of these videos seem to have some confusing edits, which I presume are deliberate to avoid giving away positions or other...
16th Mar 2022, 15:19
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

Definitely filmed on the apron at Kherson...

Definitely filmed on the apron at Kherson airport; the distinctive lettering "XEPCOH" (Kherson) visible on the terminal building at 1.30. These can be compared to pre-war photos of the terminal....
Forum: Jet Blast
16th Mar 2022, 12:01
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

It's been discussed before, but if you had been...

It's been discussed before, but if you had been following Russia's strategic bombing campaign in Syria, then you wouldn't feel the need to ask. In Syria, there is no doubt that the targeting of...
16th Mar 2022, 11:21
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

Ukraine's article 51 right to self-defence...

Ukraine's article 51 right to self-defence imposes no explicit restrictions on where it can use force. Given the clear-cut nature of the aggression it faces, Ukraine has the legal authority to target...
Forum: Jet Blast
15th Mar 2022, 21:14
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

Good to be sceptical and it does seem too good to...

Good to be sceptical and it does seem too good to be true. There is a (Russian) transcript here:...
Forum: Jet Blast
15th Mar 2022, 20:44
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

No on both counts and apologies if that sounded...

No on both counts and apologies if that sounded critical; I have no doubt that the NATO trainers that were sent to Ukraine did extremely valuable work. My point was that we would certainly be able...
Forum: Jet Blast
15th Mar 2022, 20:23
Replies: 2,699
Views: 966,102
Posted By Recc

For reasons outlined above, there is no chance...

For reasons outlined above, there is no chance for a genuine political settlement for the simple reason that Ukraine's continued existence as an independent country with its own foreign relations is...
15th Mar 2022, 18:34
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

On the contrary; Russia seems to have massively...

On the contrary; Russia seems to have massively stepped up its export of fertiliser and (scrap) metal over recent weeks . True it is mostly going to Ukraine, but possibly there will be some left over...
15th Mar 2022, 15:21
Replies: 5,797
Views: 3,004,751
Posted By Recc

IIRC, in international waters, boarding or arrest...

IIRC, in international waters, boarding or arrest would require the permission of the flag state (unless the vessel was suspected of piracy or slavery). In other words, the flag state would have to...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 169
 


 
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