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Search: Posts Made By: etudiant
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23rd May 2022, 00:49
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

Russia and Ukraine are the big players in the...

Russia and Ukraine are the big players in the global market for oil seeds such as sunflowers.
Anything that further tightens the supply will spike prices even more beyond their current record highs....
23rd May 2022, 00:36
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

No reason why he would, imho. The Ukraine...

No reason why he would, imho.

The Ukraine government chose to launch its army against its Russian speaking minority who were trying to retain their historic rights. This initial civil war stemmed...
21st May 2022, 18:32
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

Germany is conscious that it has recent history...

Germany is conscious that it has recent history with Russia, unlike the rest of Europe. consequently they had a political consensus to deal with Russia as a friendly country after the Soviet Union...
17th May 2022, 22:21
Replies: 131
Views: 19,814
Posted By etudiant

No argument on that aspect, my point was solely...

No argument on that aspect, my point was solely that big ships in confined seas are demonstrably very vulnerable, which undercuts their utility as a show of force.
16th May 2022, 00:44
Replies: 131
Views: 19,814
Posted By etudiant

Given the recent events in the Black Sea, is such...

Given the recent events in the Black Sea, is such gunboat diplomacy still effective?
Forum: Jet Blast
12th May 2022, 15:15
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

If the casualty numbers are anywhere near...

If the casualty numbers are anywhere near accurate, there is no way this war can be presented as a success.
In these two countries with sub replacement birth rate, loosing tens of thousands of young...
Forum: Jet Blast
10th May 2022, 13:16
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

Russia's energy sales in April doubled over those...

Russia's energy sales in April doubled over those from last year, to about $25B, suggesting the export sanctions are not biting that hard. Also, Russia is the least indebted nation in the...
10th May 2022, 02:36
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

On top of this there is the roughly $300 billion...

On top of this there is the roughly $300 billion in Russian financial assets frozen by the western governments. The true cost of this conflict is staggering.
Still, the disruption of supply has...
Forum: Jet Blast
21st Apr 2022, 19:31
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

The Chinese would probably simply give the place...

The Chinese would probably simply give the place the Isengard treatment, build a dam around the site and flood it.
It's by the waterfront, so should be straightforward, although laborious because...
19th Apr 2022, 23:04
Replies: 14
Views: 2,691
Posted By etudiant

Rolls Royce is pursuing a more established...

Rolls Royce is pursuing a more established design, a small to medium size reactor producing 300-500 Megawatts of electricity, much smaller than the 1500-2000 megawatt behemoths currently being built....
18th Apr 2022, 23:23
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

Can't imagine Lukashenko taking that sort of...

Can't imagine Lukashenko taking that sort of risk, he has lots of NATO frontiers and he's no fool, he can see that Putin screwed up.
Think he'll be Putin's Franco, who was helpful to Hitler, but...
18th Apr 2022, 23:15
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

Is it not mud season in Ukraine? How will any...

Is it not mud season in Ukraine? How will any armor get deployed, especially as the likely battle ground is way east, with limited rail and road connections.
More realistic would be to train a cadre...
Forum: Jet Blast
18th Apr 2022, 23:07
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

There is sobering precedent for that situation. ...

There is sobering precedent for that situation.
In WW2, Ukraine partisans were a perpetual problem for the German Army. Although these partisans had essentially no outside support, they remained a...
Forum: Jet Blast
18th Apr 2022, 22:33
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

In that scenario, NATO loses its reason for...

In that scenario, NATO loses its reason for existence, as there is no longer any plausible threat from the Russian polity.
However, I think Russia has such traumatic memories of the treatment it...
Forum: Jet Blast
17th Apr 2022, 00:35
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

I have to wonder whether that mindset is still...

I have to wonder whether that mindset is still prevalent, given Russia's well under replacement birth rate.
Losing the only child can never be a casual event, it is now the norm for parents of...
Forum: Jet Blast
17th Apr 2022, 00:28
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

Afaik, the agreement was never actually...

Afaik, the agreement was never actually implemented, as Zelensky found that he could not muster the political and military support needed to push it through, so I think France is off the hook for...
16th Apr 2022, 13:43
Replies: 430
Views: 149,448
Posted By etudiant

Very much so, the US Navy version is called the...

Very much so, the US Navy version is called the Captor, been around for decades and iirc it used a Mk-46 lightweight torpedo configured as a mine, creating a loitering torpedo. I've no idea how smart...
15th Apr 2022, 17:31
Replies: 430
Views: 149,448
Posted By etudiant

On the other hand, the depths of the Black Sea...

On the other hand, the depths of the Black Sea are unusually anoxic, so the wreck will be very well preserved for future investigators.
15th Apr 2022, 14:09
Replies: 430
Views: 149,448
Posted By etudiant

Does anyone know how far offshore the ship was...

Does anyone know how far offshore the ship was when hit?
If the NATO surveillance aircraft shared the location data with the Ukraine, do they become de facto co belligerents subject to Russian...
14th Apr 2022, 19:12
Replies: 430
Views: 149,448
Posted By etudiant

The US has spoken of 'unprecedented intelligence...

The US has spoken of 'unprecedented intelligence sharing', which suggests that satellite surveillance cuing data might have been supplied to the Ukraine.
Separately, does the 'Neptune' not look...
Forum: Jet Blast
14th Apr 2022, 18:12
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

I don't think you are doing the Biden actions...

I don't think you are doing the Biden actions justice. The results to date, including the complete failure of the Russian Kiev assault and the rejuvenation of the NATO sense of purpose are pretty...
Forum: Jet Blast
14th Apr 2022, 12:14
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

All true, but we are where we are. Ukraine is one...

All true, but we are where we are. Ukraine is one issue, the domestic US situation is only peripherally impacted by it.
Imho, the Biden administration has managed the Ukraine war well, imposing...
14th Apr 2022, 02:28
Replies: 22
Views: 4,943
Posted By etudiant

Not sure that it is that safe to leave a BVR ...

Not sure that it is that safe to leave a BVR fight, as the signature of a retreating aircraft is much larger than the frontal presentation\.
Presumably if the opponent has a longer range missile,...
13th Apr 2022, 00:15
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

Seen that the guy was repeatedly elected, he...

Seen that the guy was repeatedly elected, he clearly has a Ukrainian constituency. In war however, that no longer counts.
Ukraine is being purged of its Russian component, exactly what caused Putin...
9th Apr 2022, 00:26
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

Afaik, the Harpoon can update its waypoints while...

Afaik, the Harpoon can update its waypoints while en route, so the launch modality should be non critical. Satellite surveillance should allow targeting anywhere within the effective range of the...
Forum: Jet Blast
9th Apr 2022, 00:11
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

Supplying weapons is much easier and appears to...

Supplying weapons is much easier and appears to be quite effective.Putting up a NATO intervention force is a different matter.
Germany has a skeletal military at present and it will not be much of...
7th Apr 2022, 01:15
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

No need for sarcasm. I was simply pointing out...

No need for sarcasm.
I was simply pointing out that contrary to what was being claimed, the Russians were not breaking their delivery contracts. There is zero advantage to them from doing that.
6th Apr 2022, 10:16
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

Russia has been careful to keep all its...

Russia has been careful to keep all its contractual obligations and Germany has been careful to try to do likewise. I've seen no evidence that Russia wants to cut off Europe's gas lines, but they do...
5th Apr 2022, 22:02
Replies: 47
Views: 17,853
Posted By etudiant

I don't think that would be good crisis...

I don't think that would be good crisis management, to attempt to resolve a local problem by opening a much bigger can of worms.
Imho, the Biden administration is acting with commendable clarity,...
4th Apr 2022, 14:25
Replies: 47
Views: 17,853
Posted By etudiant

Your perspective may be quite right, but at least...

Your perspective may be quite right, but at least currently the technologies for drones (sensors, motors, powerpacks, processors and associated software) are progressing much faster than those for...
3rd Apr 2022, 23:58
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

The reported killing of all men of military age...

The reported killing of all men of military age in some of the Russian occupied towns is behavior reminiscent of the 30 Years War, In both cases, the armies would or could not differentiate between...
3rd Apr 2022, 23:37
Replies: 47
Views: 17,853
Posted By etudiant

Armor is not helping much even now, as we see in...

Armor is not helping much even now, as we see in gory detail from the Ukraine videos.
Fast forward another decade, much cheaper sensors and much smaller, yet more capable drones and the individual...
3rd Apr 2022, 22:29
Replies: 5,957
Views: 3,203,208
Posted By etudiant

That ship has sailed, after Qaddafi no ruler in...

That ship has sailed, after Qaddafi no ruler in his right mind would ever give up their nuclear capability.
Putin is just showing all of us the bleak truth that behind the nuclear shield, the direst...
3rd Apr 2022, 00:56
Replies: 47
Views: 17,853
Posted By etudiant

It is apparently the consensus that the Russian...

It is apparently the consensus that the Russian Army is poorly led and hugely wasteful in its tactics. There are certainly plenty of early invasion images that would support that thesis, but there...
Forum: Jet Blast
2nd Apr 2022, 20:57
Replies: 2,721
Views: 996,172
Posted By etudiant

The fish part seems fishy to me, but the...

The fish part seems fishy to me, but the sunflower oil shortage is guaranteed, Russia and Ukraine together provide about 75% of the export supply.
Showing results 1 to 35 of 1000
 


 
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