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Search: Posts Made By: waito
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26th Feb 2024, 10:39
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Wouldn't contradict anything we know so far. Just...

Wouldn't contradict anything we know so far. Just the "not at the entrance" is strange, but probably meant as "not line up at the entrance". Since it's a leak info, don't put too much meaning into...
15th Jan 2024, 19:52
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Maybe it's now the time to start with - or...

Maybe it's now the time to start with - or continue to add - digitalization. Sensors everywhere and link it them via internet of things. by this you can use many different input and combine it....
8th Jan 2024, 19:38
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

It's still hard to collect the facts. While the...

It's still hard to collect the facts. While the airport seems to be equipped with Alert systems, it takes some prerequisites to trigger an alarm. It's unclear if the Dash-8 fulfilled these. Some...
7th Jan 2024, 13:03
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

I still don't believe this. At the assumed...

I still don't believe this.

At the assumed time of crossing the C5 Stop Bar, the A350 was like 2NM from TDZ. With Landing Lights hopefully on this shouldn't look like 6NM out, and latest with a...
7th Jan 2024, 12:41
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

NEWS (EDIT: mistyped date eff. now corrected. JAN...

NEWS (EDIT: mistyped date eff. now corrected. JAN 6 is correct)

New Position in ATC center for permanently monitor aircraft to avoid collisions. But without Staff Increasing. Effective JAN 6th...
7th Jan 2024, 12:27
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

I share the same opinion without knowing...

I share the same opinion without knowing technical details (I asked in a yersterdays post, was there more answers by now?).
This was likely a big contributing factor.
7th Jan 2024, 11:14
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

And this highlights another problem. I...

And this highlights another problem.

I heard from a mp3 file, originating from a receiver of unknown quality "somewhere". Did I hear an "Audio Truth"?

The people working on the transcript...
7th Jan 2024, 08:59
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

I was irritated from the current critics of the...

I was irritated from the current critics of the Radio Transmission Transcript, Authorities Covering up etc. So I took a look on myself. Which was quite difficult.

From two sources, Youtube and the...
6th Jan 2024, 19:16
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Maybe user vilas is available, he might know, and...

Maybe user vilas is available, he might know, and if it's an option for airlines on the A350.

I am interested if it was available on the incident aircraft. And what are the prerequisites for it to...
6th Jan 2024, 14:06
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Oh yes, I forgot about that. That had the...

Oh yes, I forgot about that. That had the potential of giving another hint to the Dash-8 crew - a swiss cheese hole could have been removed. Before entering a runway, XPDR should be switched to...
6th Jan 2024, 11:02
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

And with respect to taxi instruction for the...

And with respect to taxi instruction for the Coast Card crew:

It was real life at least some 20 years ago to hear Tower: "Airline123, good day, 2 landings ahead" on initial contact from outbound...
6th Jan 2024, 10:53
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

While we have nothing to digest more at this...

While we have nothing to digest more at this time, regarding FACTS why the Dash-8 crew did what they did (and any Human Factors contribution on events) these fields can be analyzed by us for more...
6th Jan 2024, 10:34
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

WRT to inop airport lighting, let's check one of...

WRT to inop airport lighting, let's check one of the NOTAMs again (taken from AVHERALD, there are more NOTAMs listed)

J2253/23 NOTAMN
Q) RJJJ/QLRAS/IV/NBO/A/000/999/3533N13947E005
A) RJTT B)...
5th Jan 2024, 21:28
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Maybe yes, thank you for deep analysis. And we...

Maybe yes, thank you for deep analysis. And we shall not forget that these videos hardly provide the quality for those tiny distanced objects to judge small short movements.

I will change the...
5th Jan 2024, 21:15
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

yes, just a thought. Nobody here will be able to...

yes, just a thought. Nobody here will be able to answer that. maybe it'll be earliest on the CVR transcript in the prelim or final investigation report. Apart from that only the CPT survived and...
5th Jan 2024, 19:29
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Time to update the swiss cheese list From...

Time to update the swiss cheese list


From my list, the two bold probably the primary factors:

Certainly the Dash-8 crew's missing of checking the approach path, where they clearly should have...
5th Jan 2024, 17:27
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Depending on the aircraft, but common is (in...

Depending on the aircraft, but common is (in laymens terms)

Descending below 10000ft (3000m) bright wide angle lights come alive for other air traffic
At Landing Clearance the front focussed...
5th Jan 2024, 16:59
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Now with my analysis of the Dash-8 taxi route, I...

Now with my analysis of the Dash-8 taxi route, I became clear to me, that

1. It was a constant motion and also through C5 until the lineup on Rwy 34R
2. The strobes had come on early on C5 (I...
5th Jan 2024, 16:44
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

That was my train of thought as well. I just did...

That was my train of thought as well. I just did not want to overly detail it in my short summary in that big list. And maybe it could withstand the side deflection from fuselage, then we're probably...
5th Jan 2024, 16:38
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Hey jumpseater thank you, the "stop bar" was...

Hey jumpseater

thank you, the "stop bar" was the word I was missing! I wanted to show this picture in the Sequence Post (but had to leave it away cause Picture limit was busted). In it, laymen...
5th Jan 2024, 13:58
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Sequence of Events with pictures

AL516 crash on 02-JAN-2024
incomplete sequence of events

version 5-JAN-2024 1432z
Timestamps are Tokyo local time. GMT is 9 hours behind (17:00L is 08:00z)
sources:

CCTV1 of airport;...
5th Jan 2024, 13:24
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Thank you. Edit: I think I misunderstood Tetsuo...

Thank you.
Edit: I think I misunderstood Tetsuo 's hint. So wiping out my following answer.
I'm not yet convinced. Video I saw is very unsteady in lights, so instead of another lights come on, it...
5th Jan 2024, 11:59
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Sequence of Events

ok, my first version of this, without pictures at this time (better overview)
Please critically crosscheck and point out miscalculations and errors
...
5th Jan 2024, 08:35
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Many thanks Sailplaneflier I took your second...

Many thanks Sailplaneflier
I took your second link to the original Video (it's from the known CCTV, but I don't know who uploaded it to youtube). I hope it's untouched, it's in high res good...
4th Jan 2024, 20:43
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

See Post 576...

See Post 576 https://www.pprune.org/11568093-post576.html
"WSJ is reporting "Haneda Airport in 2009 implemented a system that tracks planes on the ground to make sure they are keeping proper...
4th Jan 2024, 19:28
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Can somebody please find this CCTV video herein...

Can somebody please find this CCTV video herein ... from a trustworthy (official?) source, but with a unedited steady timeline?
It's sped up most of the Dash-8 taxi so it's impossible to determine...
4th Jan 2024, 19:09
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Andrasz, feel like updating your cheese hole list...

Andrasz, feel like updating your cheese hole list and my addition for the latest facts? Or even a start of "main cause" ... contributing factors?

I try a sequence of events list.
4th Jan 2024, 18:40
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

ok, i found a more convincing picture on...

ok, i found a more convincing picture on avherald. I annotated in green

https://cimg5.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune.org-vbulletin/974x675/jal513_64dd7ee2acbd5a5ed7599d4bdbb9ab986349822d.jpg

In fact,...
4th Jan 2024, 17:08
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

Thumbs up How did you tilt the A350 front drawing nose down...

How did you tilt the A350 front drawing nose down in A2??? Faked? 😂👍

I agree now. I just don't get, why is engine #2 (starboard, left in your picture) so badly damaged from the small wingtip....
4th Jan 2024, 16:56
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

WRT Dash-8: I think I can see wingtip strobes...

WRT Dash-8:
I think I can see wingtip strobes on the Dash-8 already activated when on C5 and before entering Rwy 34R. But the landing light flickers as well in the course of the video, so not 100%...
4th Jan 2024, 16:08
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

et voila ...

et voila
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/en/news/20240105_04/

Edit: the above link to the TV station now shows a slightly different video without the long taxi portion of the Dash-8. My remarks...
4th Jan 2024, 15:09
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

right, but we can't answer with facts for some...

right, but we can't answer with facts for some time. Need to wait for investigation
4th Jan 2024, 15:07
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

right, Vref is irrelevant when impacting a ground...

right, Vref is irrelevant when impacting a ground object.GS is relevant. also during flare and touchdown you continue loosing speed. and the impact cost another few knots.
4th Jan 2024, 14:56
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

With this in mind, I am careful to consider...

With this in mind, I am careful to consider whatever the Cost Guard Cpt seem to have stated after such a horrable trauma.

I am always hesitating to blame individuals in public. I will try to...
4th Jan 2024, 14:36
Replies: 1,146
Views: 1,051,445
Posted By waito

At assuming 120KN ground speed, it roughly took...

At assuming 120KN ground speed, it roughly took 0.43s to "plow thru" the length of the Dash-8.
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