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Search: Posts Made By: Propduffer
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2nd Dec 2015, 23:21
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

It could also be reasonably hypothesized that the...

It could also be reasonably hypothesized that the captain had something along the line of a gushing head wound or even a broken finger. This would help explain some otherwise inexplicable actions on...
3rd Feb 2015, 06:52
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

African Skies: There was an equipment...

African Skies:

There was an equipment failure on AF447 and it's looking like an equipment failure on QZ8501. So your assertion lacks any foundation.

Not that it ever had any foundation anyway.
30th Jan 2015, 03:09
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

It seems likely that this crew were doing the...

It seems likely that this crew were doing the same thing that's been asked about in this thread - trying to get it in direct law.
29th Jan 2015, 03:07
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

News from the data and voice recorders is...

News from the data and voice recorders is apparently leaking out.

The WSJ has a story including this:
They have said icing of speed sensors, a phenomenon that contributed to numerous fatal...
9th Jan 2015, 06:09
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Although we don't know exactly what it was based...

Although we don't know exactly what it was based on - because we were never told what radar had reported this, but in the first few days all the media was reporting that they had been told that the...
9th Jan 2015, 03:39
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Here's a summary of all the information I've been...

Here's a summary of all the information I've been able to glean about search locations:


Asia Air LRP ----> from a graphic released by the Indonesians
52.9 miles from RAFIS ---->...
8th Jan 2015, 20:24
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

island_airphoto That makes sense to me.

island_airphoto

That makes sense to me.
8th Jan 2015, 20:02
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

I wasn't referring specifically to this incident,...

I wasn't referring specifically to this incident, we don't even know for sure if my question relates to QZ8501.

My question was about how any or all transport pilots handle a strong updraft...
8th Jan 2015, 17:28
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

There is something I don't understand about the...

There is something I don't understand about the flight condition this aircraft is assumed to have gotten itself into.

From what I've read here and elsewhere it seems that if a transport pilot who...
8th Jan 2015, 17:01
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

It looks to me that it broke up behind the...

It looks to me that it broke up behind the pressure bulkhead. Compare this to the picture above. The pressure bulkhead is on the right, the jackscrew mount is on the left. This looks like the same...
8th Jan 2015, 15:59
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

This picture is of the area behind the bulkhead. ...

This picture is of the area behind the bulkhead.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B6uuKqJCQAE-jnC.jpg

But it may be that the point where the plane broke apart is exactly where the recorders are.
...
8th Jan 2015, 09:30
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

I thought the reference was to blimp type...

I thought the reference was to blimp type balloons, I know there are people trying to sell the idea but I don't know if they have anything operational. But you're probably right, this is probably...
7th Jan 2015, 22:51
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Mostly to the east. Here's a pix of their...

Mostly to the east. Here's a pix of their current thinking on where to conduct the search.

http://gdb.voanews.com/D52F186C-7BD5-4A2B-82CE-94B9F6AAECC9_w268.png
7th Jan 2015, 22:01
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

The other debris was small stuff which probably...

The other debris was small stuff which probably drifted with the ocean currents. So this doesn't indicate a breakup in the air.
7th Jan 2015, 21:12
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

The tail location is about 30km from the main...

The tail location is about 30km from the main search area.
The main search area is about 60 miles from the last known position.
7th Jan 2015, 14:33
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Ian W Modern phased array radars such as the...

Ian W

Modern phased array radars such as the types used by the Indonesian military are not significantly affected by weather. But you are right I should have said: "I don't believe it possible for...
7th Jan 2015, 05:05
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Although I don't know the location or the type of...

Although I don't know the location or the type of radar that "Tracked" QZ8501 I don't believe it possible for even heavy rain to attenuate the return from either passive or primary radar.

I have...
7th Jan 2015, 02:44
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

The last three ADS-B data points from FR24 were: ...

The last three ADS-B data points from FR24 were:

23:12:04 3.990 s 110.226 e
23:12:34 2.990 s 110.226 e
23:12:37 2.990 s 110.226 e


All the prior data points (before 23:12:04) were...
7th Jan 2015, 02:20
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

No, it is about 60 miles WNW of the last reported...

No, it is about 60 miles WNW of the last reported position according to the ADS-B data from FR24 ( 3.990 s 110.226 e).
7th Jan 2015, 00:36
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

This is true, as I have found out - we can't get...

This is true, as I have found out - we can't get valid data between individual ADS-B data points. But if we had a hundred or so of them we should be able to deduce the effective winds aloft...
6th Jan 2015, 21:56
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

My apologies to all. David Reid is correct in his...

My apologies to all. David Reid is correct in his criticism of the FR24 data. I now calculate a speed for each data point and in doing so, I find that the ADS-B data FR24 was using wasn't in sync...
6th Jan 2015, 14:37
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Mr Snuggles: In this case FR24 is 70 miles...

Mr Snuggles:
In this case FR24 is 70 miles closer to reality than anything else that has been made public. Those "jumps" that you speak of are the exception in FR24 reporting, not the norm. I...
6th Jan 2015, 14:24
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

ManaAdaSystem...

ManaAdaSystem (http://www.pprune.org/members/20211-manaadasystem)

I know that FR24 isn't always reporting in real time, it seems to depend on predictive data. But here the FR24 data fits in with...
6th Jan 2015, 14:18
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

All this information does take us much farther...

All this information does take us much farther than what is found anywhere else.

Now we have a snapshot of the one minute and forty six seconds of time when it appears that control was lost.
...
6th Jan 2015, 13:36
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Training wheels, Lost in Siagon In post 1228...

Training wheels, Lost in Siagon

In post 1228 I provided a link to a KML file that has a plot of the last 20 FR24 data points. I also included placemarks where the earlier reported last known...
4th Jan 2015, 21:37
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

RE: "pilots did not get weather report" That...

RE: "pilots did not get weather report"

That article strikes me as pure hyperbole. Does this newspaper expect that Captain Iriyanto was supposed to sit on the runway for an hour and a half...
4th Jan 2015, 20:18
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

@Machinbird Here is a KML file which expands...

@Machinbird

Here is a KML file which expands on my post 1197.
Plug it into Google Earth and you will find the FR24 data plotted, showing the actual coordinates along with the debris locations...
4th Jan 2015, 15:01
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

FR24 has ADS-B information for QZ8501 ...

FR24 has ADS-B information for QZ8501
https://twitter.com/flightradar24/status/551669337023840256/photo/1

From this we see that the FR24 last known position was seen at 23:10:57 at 3.996 s ...
3rd Jan 2015, 22:38
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Thanks for the graphic p.j.m. This is very...

Thanks for the graphic p.j.m.

This is very interesting information, it gives the location for these big pieces as: 3.9241948672 s 110.5252477224 e

which is very close to where the bodies and...
3rd Jan 2015, 19:14
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

@marchino61...

@marchino61 (http://www.pprune.org/members/213351-marchino61)

My thoughts exactly
3rd Jan 2015, 03:26
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

You would think that the guy would get seat of...

You would think that the guy would get seat of the pants flying credit for his F-5 time. They are about as automated as a Volkswagen beetle.

And all his flying time was on or near the ITCZ so he...
1st Jan 2015, 23:02
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

It appears more likely that the plane was...

It appears more likely that the plane was shedding occupants on the way down.
1st Jan 2015, 20:32
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

@AirScotia...

@AirScotia (http://www.pprune.org/members/433793-airscotia)

The location given places PK-AXC about 17 miles south of the earlier reported LRP.
It is also about 6 miles west of the location given...
1st Jan 2015, 02:23
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

Rate of climb. Here's the story. AirAsia...

Rate of climb.

Here's the story.
AirAsia flight may have stalled after 'unbelievably steep climb' | South China Morning Post...
31st Dec 2014, 18:43
Replies: 3,923
Views: 4,468,619
Posted By Propduffer

The reports of the aircraft hull being located...

The reports of the aircraft hull being located are (all) apparently false.


On Dec 31st 2014 the chairman of Indonesia's Search and Rescue Service stated in an evening press conference, that...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 42
 


 
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