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Search: Posts Made By: andrasz
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17th Jan 2017, 16:22
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

I suspect that the decision to call the search...

I suspect that the decision to call the search off was likely influenced by a common understanding of the parties to investigation that the loss of the aircraft was due to "willful human inputs" as...
15th Aug 2014, 04:55
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

To paraphrase, a conscious but unresponsive and...

To paraphrase, a conscious but unresponsive and unconscious crew event scenario is indistinguishable, and it had to be one or the other
29th Jun 2014, 04:00
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

I'd say quite significantly. Can someone confirm...

I'd say quite significantly. Can someone confirm that the FDR CB is indeed in the EE bay and that the FDR cannot be disabled from the cockpit by pulling other CB-s higher up the power grid ?

My...
28th Jun 2014, 01:30
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

FDR

I think there is a pretty clear consensus that the track taken by the aircraft was the results of deliberate human inputs by someone familiar with the aircraft systems.

Now those on this forum...
16th Mar 2014, 13:58
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Electrical, yes. Electronic, no. Any device which...

Electrical, yes. Electronic, no. Any device which has a data processing capability (and let's not dwell on the depth of that capability) is usually not powered down by a simple switch breaking the...
16th Mar 2014, 12:50
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Precisely. However based on possible outcomes of...

Precisely. However based on possible outcomes of unknowns, certain outcomes can be eliminated, and likelihoods can be assigned to others:

Facts
(assuming being reported by authorities as fact...
16th Mar 2014, 11:18
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

To clarify reports of possible wreckage...

To clarify reports of possible wreckage (passenger luggage) found by greek ship Elka Athina:

The ship was notified by Indonesian coast guard of possible debris in the Straits of Malacca about 4...
15th Mar 2014, 10:59
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

As the current thinking is moving away from an...

As the current thinking is moving away from an accident to a willful act, all the possible scenarios have one thing in common: they require a good deal of planning and preparation with nothing left...
14th Mar 2014, 18:00
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

The gps-based antenna pointer was an accessory...

The gps-based antenna pointer was an accessory but not a part of the core phone system itself, which works by itself if the antenna is correctly pointed manually. 8-10 years ago I used Inmarsat...
14th Mar 2014, 17:43
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Not at all. The three would be led by very...

Not at all. The three would be led by very differing government bodies (with potentially differing levels of competence, and perhaps hidden agendas)

SAR is usually under the command and...
14th Mar 2014, 17:11
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Lonewolf, I posted it a few pages earlier...

Lonewolf,

I posted it a few pages earlier but probably got lost in the backscatter:

Local Moonset in KL was 00:40am, coinciding with takeoff time. As the aircraft was initially eastbound, it...
14th Mar 2014, 16:50
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

On this subject: By now pretty much every...

On this subject:

By now pretty much every spook in the Sahara knows not to use Inmarsat or Thuraya satphones for communications, as very soon after the first ringtone they will receive an air...
14th Mar 2014, 16:39
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Exactly... But at some point the Malaysian...

Exactly...

But at some point the Malaysian authorities will have to make a tough call, if the aircraft or wreckage is not found soon. As they are the state of registry, at present they (and ONLY...
14th Mar 2014, 16:06
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

I beg to differ on this. At this stage unlawful...

I beg to differ on this. At this stage unlawful interference is about as likely as some technical malfunction / crew incapacitation. To every crime there is a motive, and clues to such motive could...
14th Mar 2014, 14:49
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

I don't recall this information having been...

I don't recall this information having been posted on the thread:

Location: KUALA LUMPUR
Date: 8 MAR 2014
Moonrise: 12:57 (early afternoon)
Moonset: 00:40 (after midnight)
Moon at meridian:...
13th Mar 2014, 16:35
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

A number of posts suggested that all those dense...

A number of posts suggested that all those dense jungles in SE Asia could easily hide a small smoking hole. Let me remind everyone that the romantic picture of dense jungles (with aeroplane wrecks...
13th Mar 2014, 11:33
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

As demonstrated by UA93 and several others on...

As demonstrated by UA93 and several others on this forum, yes. However typically only from below FL250, and in areas of low cell density.



Under normal circumstances yes, but in current...
13th Mar 2014, 07:26
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

My 2c's worth on the topic of the contents of the...

My 2c's worth on the topic of the contents of the cargo manifest...

Given the total lack of information, the valuable cargo theory is at this stage not an entirely implausible one. BUT:
...
12th Mar 2014, 22:16
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

In the old piston days with much slower...

In the old piston days with much slower touch-down speeds successful ditchings were almost a commonplace. However I am not aware of any successful intentional night-time ditching of any large jet...
12th Mar 2014, 21:08
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

From your six points, 1 & 2 are verified. 3...

From your six points, 1 & 2 are verified.

3 is hearsay, based on unverified news reports which have been neither confirmed nor denied by any competent authority

4 was hinted, confirmed,...
12th Mar 2014, 14:25
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

RF4, Thanks for the very insightful post. ...

RF4,

Thanks for the very insightful post.

One thing to add, which I believe was not mentioned here before:
Malaysia being a predominantly muslim country, with bhoomis (ethnic Malays)...
12th Mar 2014, 07:48
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

It is folly to assume that incompetence has a...

It is folly to assume that incompetence has a purpose... Incompetence is just what it says it is. Having lived and worked in the region, the way the communication is being handled fully meets my...
12th Mar 2014, 06:55
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but the photo...

Please correct me if I'm wrong, but the photo seems to show a maritime life-raft rather than one used in aviation.
11th Mar 2014, 23:44
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

On land gravity keeps things at the bottom of the...

On land gravity keeps things at the bottom of the crater. In water buoyant objects rise to the surface. Also don't underestimate the arresting and destructive force of 50-100 metres of water in a...
11th Mar 2014, 23:37
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Generally ~3000 feet, but there is a mountain...

Generally ~3000 feet, but there is a mountain range parallel to the coast east of George Town with ridges rising to 4000ft and the highest peak over 6000. Just to the north though there is a wide...
11th Mar 2014, 22:59
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

That depends on the amount of time spent in an...

That depends on the amount of time spent in an oxygen deprived state, and the physiology of the actual person. Reinhold Meissner could climb Everest without supplementary oxygen, I would probably die...
11th Mar 2014, 20:01
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Unixman, Thanks, that is the first credible...

Unixman,

Thanks, that is the first credible confirmation that RR does indeed have engine parameter data, and it also supports earlier speculation on this thread that such data feed is not...
11th Mar 2014, 18:25
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

I think nothing, it seems the servers are giving...

I think nothing, it seems the servers are giving up, my answer is nowhere too.

In summary I have suggested that if a target was once identified, it will remain as such (and hence...
11th Mar 2014, 17:55
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

hamster3null I gave full benefit of doubt...

hamster3null

I gave full benefit of doubt to Malaysian statements up till now, but given the initial report of radar contact having been lost at 2:40 (later modified to 1:22, explaining that 2:40...
11th Mar 2014, 13:52
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

I promised myself I shall remain silent until...

I promised myself I shall remain silent until some new facts become known, but the official acknowledgement by the Malaysian Air Force chief that MH370 was tracked for over an hour after loss of...
10th Mar 2014, 17:17
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

@selfin Many thanks for your efforts, it is...

@selfin

Many thanks for your efforts, it is one of the most informative posts in the past 500 (if not 1000).

I would have assumed that an aircraft would NOT be able to cross the peninsula...
10th Mar 2014, 11:43
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

I would likely to remind everyone that the last...

I would likely to remind everyone that the last VERIFIED change of heading was from 015 to 040 a minute before transponder signal was lost, corresponding to the intended flight path.

The...
10th Mar 2014, 10:53
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Can someone point to a credible primary source...

Can someone point to a credible primary source that in fact there is any search activity in the Malacca Straits ? Just because the aircraft are BASED in Butterworth (on the Malacca coast) does not...
10th Mar 2014, 09:42
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Precisely. The uncertainty phase commenced soon...

Precisely. The uncertainty phase commenced soon after Subang was unable to make contact with the aircraft. After all communication attempts failed, the alert phase was issued at 2:40, pretty much an...
10th Mar 2014, 08:34
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,346,997
Posted By andrasz

Before this post goes into another 50 replies...

Before this post goes into another 50 replies cycle as it already did twice on this thread:
Loss of transponder signal at 1:21 (closer to 1:22)
Subang center INFORMED MAS on loss of contact at 2:40...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 55
 


 
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