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Search: Posts Made By: Capot
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Forum: Rumours & News
5th Dec 2015, 09:30
Replies: 75
Views: 31,983
Posted By Capot

With apologies to Boeing and the FAA, I withdraw...

With apologies to Boeing and the FAA, I withdraw the word joke" in the case of that analysis.

Others were done as a joke, even, IIRC, in the august pages of PPRuNe.

But it was still a...
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Dec 2015, 22:18
Replies: 75
Views: 31,983
Posted By Capot

If I remember rightly, those "statistical...

If I remember rightly, those "statistical analyses" comparing 4-engine to 2-engine aircraft were done as a joke, where the trick was to spot the statistical howler.

I even wrote one myself, as I...
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Dec 2015, 15:23
Replies: 75
Views: 31,983
Posted By Capot

Pretty much every double-engine failure in a CAT...

Pretty much every double-engine failure in a CAT aircraft I have known about, including two that concerned me directly, was caused by ummm.... finger trouble with the operating crew, exacerbated by...
Forum: Rumours & News
4th Dec 2015, 08:29
Replies: 75
Views: 31,983
Posted By Capot

Yes, I know, and I'm not really suggesting that...

Yes, I know, and I'm not really suggesting that we should do that. But I do think that we have gone a little too far to the opposite extreme, with 5.5 hour diversions on one engine being allowed.
...
Forum: Rumours & News
3rd Dec 2015, 18:52
Replies: 75
Views: 31,983
Posted By Capot

No, I don't think so; that's my point. But...

No, I don't think so; that's my point.

But the fundamental notion upon which the whole ETOPS rule is based is that if one engine fails, the probability of the second failing before the aircraft...
Forum: Rumours & News
3rd Dec 2015, 18:03
Replies: 75
Views: 31,983
Posted By Capot

I used the phrase "probability of the second...

I used the phrase "probability of the second failing during the remainder of the flight is totally unaffected by that event."

EASA says the same thing, more or less, but differently;
...
Forum: Rumours & News
3rd Dec 2015, 16:20
Replies: 75
Views: 31,983
Posted By Capot

And all founded on the blind faith that if one...

And all founded on the blind faith that if one engine on a twin-engine aircraft fails, the probability of the second failing during the remainder of the flight is totally unaffected by that event....
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