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Search: Posts Made By: Capt Kremin
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Forum: Rumours & News
28th Mar 2014, 05:02
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

If the new search area is correct, we are about...

If the new search area is correct, we are about 10-14 days from debris washing up on the WA coast.
Forum: Rumours & News
26th Mar 2014, 11:22
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

It doesn't matter if you know the code. Let's...

It doesn't matter if you know the code. Let's leave it at that.
Forum: Rumours & News
25th Mar 2014, 17:04
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Above the clouds, TRK is still...

Above the clouds,



TRK is still magnetic in this context so still subject to the large change in magnetic variation over the course of the flight.

The only way TRK could provide a straight...
Forum: Rumours & News
25th Mar 2014, 11:39
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Ole ole, looks like it. It also looks like...

Ole ole, looks like it.

It also looks like the green track on the graphic I put together, the western route using a constant magnetic hdg, as suspected, does not match any track which would...
Forum: Rumours & News
24th Mar 2014, 02:11
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Updated diagram

Some refining here...

http://i1275.photobucket.com/albums/y451/captainkremin/Googleearth3_zpsa43d63f2.jpg

I refined the initial no wind 197 degree green line track to 200deg M/515 knots GS from...
Forum: Rumours & News
23rd Mar 2014, 13:08
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Rightbase, I dont have the winds on the day but a...

Rightbase, I dont have the winds on the day but a southerly track in that area would generally be all crosswind, there for I have used TAS as GS. It is a guesstimate. Generally in the tropics you...
Forum: Rumours & News
23rd Mar 2014, 12:41
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

If MH370 wreckage found in Southern Indian ocean.....

Then it was very probably a deliberate act....

The "ghost plane after malfunction" theory does not work if any wreckage of MH370 is found in the SIO search area.

If a 777 reaches has a route...
Forum: Rumours & News
21st Mar 2014, 04:10
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Some insights from an ex-RAAF P3 pilot.

Some insights from an ex-RAAF P3 pilot.
Forum: Rumours & News
21st Mar 2014, 02:00
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

VH-TGG is owned by the Gandel Group. John Gandel...

VH-TGG is owned by the Gandel Group. John Gandel owns a large private property business. He is a multi-billionaire. It looks like the aircraft was chartered by AMSA.
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2014, 08:01
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

To the speculators... Scenario: ...

To the speculators...

Scenario:

Fire/damage sufficient to disable any chance of communicating with outside world.

*Aircraft made at least four changes to its track. Fire/damage did not...
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2014, 05:29
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

In June 2010. Almost fours years ago.

In June 2010. Almost fours years ago.
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2014, 05:19
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

If the wreckage is found in the Australian FIR...

If the wreckage is found in the Australian FIR then they will lead the investigation.
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2014, 05:05
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

P3's have significantly more endurance than 10...

P3's have significantly more endurance than 10 hours. My guess is that they need to allow for a possible 3 eng return to Pearce due lack of alternates.
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2014, 04:42
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

24 metres x ??. More info needed AMSA.

24 metres x ??. More info needed AMSA.
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2014, 03:40
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

This Australian announcement strikes me as...

This Australian announcement strikes me as significant as I cannot see why the Australian PM would be in a rush to get it out before confirmation via the P3C; there unless they were fairly certain it...
Forum: Rumours & News
16th Mar 2014, 00:23
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Interesting theory Slats. Yes, why turn the ACARS...

Interesting theory Slats. Yes, why turn the ACARS off first? It would transmit maintenance messages regarding depressurisation.
Forum: Rumours & News
15th Mar 2014, 23:39
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

They did. A post from a pilot on frequency at the...

They did. A post from a pilot on frequency at the time (see 32656 posts ago) said that Ho Chi Minh ATC Quote "was going nuts on 121.5" trying to contact it.
Forum: Rumours & News
15th Mar 2014, 23:31
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Australian JORN OTH Radar

Here is the Fact Sheet (https://www.airforce.gov.au/docs/JORN_Fact_Sheet.pdf) for Jindalee.

The Laverton site could have picked up MH370 if it went south. JORN may not have been switched on...
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2014, 23:44
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

A semi-retraction from the RMAF. IMHO this...

A semi-retraction from the RMAF.

IMHO this is ridiculous butt-covering. Any credible SAR effort would not commit such serious assets to a search area so diametrically opposed to the track of the...
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2014, 11:04
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Being tracked over this area is no indication...

Being tracked over this area is no indication that it crashed there or was hijacked. If correct, this report changes the whole scenario.
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2014, 10:45
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

As flagged earlier, the Malaysian authorities...

As flagged earlier, the Malaysian authorities HAVE been withholding information.



Pulau Perak (Pulau means "island") is approximately 85 NM WNW of Penang Airport.

The terrorism theory is...
Forum: Rumours & News
10th Mar 2014, 22:15
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

At this stage I find the most intriguing part of...

At this stage I find the most intriguing part of this is why they would commit assets like P3Cs to a sea search in the Malacca Strait.

Nothing so far released would justify that. "Evidence of an...
Forum: Rumours & News
10th Mar 2014, 08:30
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

ATC will exercise all possible contact options...

ATC will exercise all possible contact options before they declare a distress phase. That is the most probable reason for the delay.
Forum: Rumours & News
10th Mar 2014, 05:57
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

There are several airports capable of taking a...

There are several airports capable of taking a B777 on the east coast of Malaysia that would have been in gliding range from position IGARI.
Forum: Rumours & News
10th Mar 2014, 05:11
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

I posted many pages ago that the lack of wreckage...

I posted many pages ago that the lack of wreckage or even reports of an explosion in such an area, populated as it is by some of the most intensive marine traffic in the world, is the most perplexing...
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Mar 2014, 04:12
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

I wouldn't be surprised to find that the two fake...

I wouldn't be surprised to find that the two fake passports, on an aircraft travelling to Beijing, is anything really noteworthy.
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Mar 2014, 04:02
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

Primary radar records can and are used to deduce...

Primary radar records can and are used to deduce all those parameters, with the possible exception of altitude, in accident investigations.

See the report for Egypt Air 990.
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Mar 2014, 03:34
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

There are numerous air defence radars in the...

There are numerous air defence radars in the area. Some of them would have tracked the primary return of the aircraft.

Switching off the transponder and flying elsewhere, undetected, is not...
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Mar 2014, 01:52
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

The report from the MH flight asked to contact...

The report from the MH flight asked to contact the MH 370 indicates they were using 121.5. I have never been asked to contact another aircraft on HF. It would be very rare.
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Mar 2014, 01:24
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

WRT to crew incapacitation; the aircraft was...

WRT to crew incapacitation; the aircraft was shown steady at 35000 feet so presumably the auto pilot had been engaged not long after departure. Crew incapacitation at this point would mean the...
Forum: Rumours & News
9th Mar 2014, 00:25
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,200,247
Posted By Capt Kremin

24 hours plus now and the most intriguing part of...

24 hours plus now and the most intriguing part of this is the absence of any reports of a crash or wreckage from the numerous boats/aircraft in the area.

All of the main scenarios discussed have...
Showing results 1 to 31 of 31


 
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