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Search: Posts Made By: Ulric
Showing results 1 to 35 of 53
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Forum: Rumours & News
29th Jan 2016, 06:24
Replies: 918
Views: 1,117,877
Posted By Ulric

I see that China has just sent an extra ship to...

I see that China has just sent an extra ship to join the search:
China's ship to join search for missing MH370 jet in Indian Ocean_World_TIBET (http://eng.tibet.cn/world/1454043463625.shtml)

I...
Forum: Rumours & News
28th Jan 2016, 18:03
Replies: 918
Views: 1,117,877
Posted By Ulric

I agree. I have very similar thoughts about this.

I agree. I have very similar thoughts about this.
Forum: Rumours & News
27th Jan 2016, 16:39
Replies: 918
Views: 1,117,877
Posted By Ulric

It is obviously disappointing for everyone...

It is obviously disappointing for everyone involved to have made such efforts and still not found any sea floor wreckage. I was looking back through the early documents issued by Inmarsat and noted...
Forum: Rumours & News
7th Dec 2015, 18:42
Replies: 918
Views: 1,117,877
Posted By Ulric

The Telegraph article suggests that the new...

The Telegraph article suggests that the new "hot-spot" is based on a Bayesian analysis. Such an analysis has to have reasonable assumptions for the Prior Probability to have any hope of success. I'd...
Forum: Rumours & News
22nd Oct 2015, 18:26
Replies: 918
Views: 1,117,877
Posted By Ulric

A report detailing failure analysis of the...

A report detailing failure analysis of the recovered flaperon.
https://www.dropbox.com/s/b1xm05hde1qlh4k/Preliminary%20MH370%20Flaperon%20Failure%20Analysis%20%28Rev%201.1%29.pdf?dl=0
Forum: Rumours & News
8th Mar 2015, 11:35
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

I believe this exercise has been done by Inmarsat...

I believe this exercise has been done by Inmarsat as part of the work to validate their calculations. I'm not sure now whether I read it in an official statement from the investigation team, from...
Forum: Rumours & News
26th Oct 2014, 20:44
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

Exactly right. Some views I've seen expressed put...

Exactly right. Some views I've seen expressed put the 19:40 arc at the western extremity of the flight path, some have it crossing EW and some WE. The data we have doesn't distinguish one from the...
Forum: Rumours & News
25th Oct 2014, 21:19
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

It all hinges on the path taken between the 18:29...

It all hinges on the path taken between the 18:29 and 19:40 arcs. One crucial question is which direction the aircraft was travelling in when it crossed the 19:40 arc - E-W or W-E. The data doesn't...
Forum: Rumours & News
25th Oct 2014, 20:29
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

The nature of the data leads to uncertainty here....

The nature of the data leads to uncertainty here. I believe the ping arcs can be established with good certainty - many have repeated the calculations - but these only establish the distance from the...
Forum: Rumours & News
31st Aug 2014, 19:13
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

We should all remember that the disappearance of...

We should all remember that the disappearance of this aircraft is the subject of a criminal investigation and as such, not all information available to the investigating team is available to the...
Forum: South Asia and the Far East
26th Aug 2014, 20:52
Replies: 1
Views: 2,467
Posted By Ulric

I remember being on a Jet Airways flight between...

I remember being on a Jet Airways flight between Bhopal and Indore in Feb 2010 when the plane caught fire. Not a pleasant experience.
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Aug 2014, 12:17
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

I remember spending a day driving around Grand...

I remember spending a day driving around Grand Cayman many years ago exploring all the little beaches and coves. One thing that struck me at the time was the extent to which the waves seem to sort...
Forum: Rumours & News
10th Aug 2014, 18:57
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

Chris Scott There have been discussions...

Chris Scott

There have been discussions about this elsewhere. The questions are about things like how rough the sea might have been - weather reports say calm. There are also questions about how...
Forum: Rumours & News
30th Jul 2014, 21:18
Replies: 1,644
Views: 2,235,219
Posted By Ulric

This describes the missile and its variants ...

This describes the missile and its variants
Buk missile system - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buk_missile_system#9.D0.9C38_and_9.D0.9C38M1_missile)
Forum: Tech Log
29th Jul 2014, 18:43
Replies: 24
Views: 7,260
Posted By Ulric

The story of that difference in rotation is...

The story of that difference in rotation is interesting in it's own right. When the F82 was first test flown, it refused to lift off. They discovered that the prop wash negated the lift on the centre...
Forum: Tech Log
29th Jul 2014, 16:57
Replies: 24
Views: 7,260
Posted By Ulric

This is great information! Mystery solved. All...

This is great information! Mystery solved. All down to the little gears labelled H & K in the drawings then?
...
Forum: Tech Log
29th Jul 2014, 10:55
Replies: 24
Views: 7,260
Posted By Ulric

This is turning out to be quite a puzzle. Helical...

This is turning out to be quite a puzzle. Helical cut gears would be a problem of course but the pinions on the components we see are straight cut. This is as one would expect if they were designed...
Forum: Tech Log
29th Jul 2014, 07:34
Replies: 24
Views: 7,260
Posted By Ulric

Having read up about this now, I have found out...

Having read up about this now, I have found out some interesting things about the Allison engine. It seems that the counter rotation was achieved by engineering the parts so that the crank/cams could...
Forum: Tech Log
28th Jul 2014, 20:32
Replies: 24
Views: 7,260
Posted By Ulric

It doesn't mention the P38 at all.

It doesn't mention the P38 at all.
Forum: Rumours & News
28th Jul 2014, 19:23
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

On a constant magnetic heading the course flown...

On a constant magnetic heading the course flown is a Rhumb line.
Rhumb line - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rhumb_line)
Forum: Tech Log
27th Jul 2014, 19:39
Replies: 24
Views: 7,260
Posted By Ulric

Thank you. I knew I'd read that somewhere. ...

Thank you. I knew I'd read that somewhere.

I know the Spaniards had some problems using a Hispano engine in the Me109 airframe because it rotated in the opposite direction to the DB601.

I also...
Forum: Tech Log
27th Jul 2014, 06:50
Replies: 24
Views: 7,260
Posted By Ulric

I had always thought that opposite rotation of...

I had always thought that opposite rotation of props was achieved by changes to the propeller reduction gear rather than the engine itself?

Of course, the effect achieved would depend on whether...
Forum: Rumours & News
26th Jul 2014, 12:24
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

Indeed, it is highly relevant that the...

Indeed, it is highly relevant that the investigation team seems to have made a set of assumptions which is at odds with their public statements. There are however, good reasons for these...
Forum: Rumours & News
25th Jul 2014, 20:34
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

All I'm saying is that if the start point is not...

All I'm saying is that if the start point is not known, the end point is not known because one is dependent on the other. The investigation team presumably have access to more information than we do...
Forum: Rumours & News
25th Jul 2014, 17:24
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

Thank you very much for that. It is one of the...

Thank you very much for that. It is one of the outstanding pieces in the puzzle!
Forum: Rumours & News
25th Jul 2014, 12:08
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

This might help ...

This might help
https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/d4/World_Magnetic_Declination_2010.pdf
Forum: Rumours & News
25th Jul 2014, 07:09
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

I think the assumptions made by the investigating...

I think the assumptions made by the investigating team are only provably false if you have certainty about some of the variables and in particular, the point at which the SSE course was assumed. Once...
Forum: Rumours & News
24th Jul 2014, 21:20
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

I think that is a reasonable thing to do. Any...

I think that is a reasonable thing to do. Any projection of course is based on some set of assumptions and I think the report is laced with clues about what those assumptions were. You will...
Forum: Rumours & News
24th Jul 2014, 20:08
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

There is much information which is accessible to...

There is much information which is accessible to the investigation team but, not to us. We must await their conclusions.
Forum: Rumours & News
24th Jul 2014, 18:19
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

So, are we assuming that the 19:40 ping line was...

So, are we assuming that the 19:40 ping line was traversed in an easterly or westerly direction? Assuming the plane was travelling south east initially makes sense but then forces a much more...
Forum: Rumours & News
24th Jul 2014, 14:10
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

I think that to draw any sort of sensible...

I think that to draw any sort of sensible conclusion about the track terminal, you must make an assumption about the starting point of the track since displacement of one, results in displacement of...
Forum: Rumours & News
16th Jul 2014, 18:24
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

I agree. I think it is highly unlikely that a...

I agree. I think it is highly unlikely that a ping coincidentally occurs at the furthest westerly extent of the track.
Forum: Rumours & News
15th Jul 2014, 20:52
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

Yes, I am not at all sure about the "circle path"...

Yes, I am not at all sure about the "circle path" because it seems to imply such variations of speed and heading. I am also unclear about what failure conditions could cause an aircraft to fly such a...
Forum: Rumours & News
13th Jul 2014, 19:27
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

I don't see any reason for treating one set of...

I don't see any reason for treating one set of statements differently to another. In God we trust. All others must bring data.
...
Forum: Rumours & News
13th Jul 2014, 17:04
Replies: 11,831
Views: 24,194,855
Posted By Ulric

“When you have eliminated the impossible,...

“When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.”

Arthur Conan Doyle
Showing results 1 to 35 of 53
 
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