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Search: Posts Made By: Lemain
Showing results 1 to 35 of 292
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Forum: Rumours & News
21st Mar 2017, 17:12
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

OK. Fine. I'll leave you to yours :)

OK. Fine. I'll leave you to yours :)
Forum: Rumours & News
21st Mar 2017, 16:17
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi LOMCEVAC It's probably my lack of care in...

Hi LOMCEVAC

It's probably my lack of care in choosing the right words. All I'm trying to say is that evidence introduced into a report should be accompanied with a critical evaluation - if only...
Forum: Rumours & News
21st Mar 2017, 14:43
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi Blacksheep How does that make it any less...

Hi Blacksheep

How does that make it any less speculative? All investigations - science, engineering, accident - start out at time=0 as speculation. Writing down a checklist for convenience...
Forum: Rumours & News
21st Mar 2017, 09:40
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Ouzo/Bilbao case was very different. The Officer...

Ouzo/Bilbao case was very different. The Officer On Watch saw the yacht and just steamed on without checking that the Ouzo was OK. Three yachtsmen were killed. There was a manslaughter charge made...
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2017, 17:14
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

If the radar track is, as you say, relevant to...

If the radar track is, as you say, relevant to the inquiry then surely the accuracy of that track is relevant?
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2017, 15:46
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi H Peacock I was simply using one...

Hi H Peacock



I was simply using one example to show that there was lack of due diligence in the report. The AAIB has not been as critical of their report as they should have been. For...
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2017, 14:45
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Yes, of course the qualifications and medical are...

Yes, of course the qualifications and medical are facts. But it was speculation that the pilot might have been under qualified or not medically fit that made the investigating team check that out. I...
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2017, 12:32
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi LOMCEVAK Yes, and no. Unless there...

Hi LOMCEVAK



Yes, and no. Unless there is some initial speculation vital clues and evidence can be missed. For example, the pilot's qualifications and medical are looked into speculatively. ...
Forum: Rumours & News
20th Mar 2017, 09:28
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Neil Williams crash 11Dec1977 I was flying...

Neil Williams crash 11Dec1977

I was flying all that day at Blackbushe when the news came in. Doug Arnold had been driving up the runway and taxiway in his Roller, setting fire to some dead grass....
Forum: Rumours & News
19th Mar 2017, 18:20
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

There might be a mechanical problem with one for...

There might be a mechanical problem with one for the vehicles. Or both. There might be a problem with the road surface. One of the drivers might have been distracted.

Or one of the drivers...
Forum: Rumours & News
19th Mar 2017, 12:49
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

We make astonishingly few mistakes given our...

We make astonishingly few mistakes given our supposed weaknesses. When did you last have a car crash that was your fault? Almost all accidents follow a sequence of problems. I guess most of us here...
Forum: Rumours & News
19th Mar 2017, 08:14
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Radars don't have perfect accuracy. If radar is...

Radars don't have perfect accuracy. If radar is to be used evidentially then the possible error on either side of the recorded track should be superimposed. There are several factors that affect the...
Forum: Rumours & News
18th Mar 2017, 20:43
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Because we owe it to the victims and their loved...

Because we owe it to the victims and their loved ones.

We owe it to the pilot who probably would rather not see his reflection in the bathroom mirror when he shaves every morning, for feelings...
Forum: Rumours & News
18th Mar 2017, 19:06
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

We don't know for a fact that the pilot didn't...

We don't know for a fact that the pilot didn't realise it. It's a fact that he didn't recover from it but we don't know for a FACT that he didn't realise it.
Forum: Rumours & News
18th Mar 2017, 18:43
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

How is that a 'fact'?

How is that a 'fact'?
Forum: Rumours & News
18th Mar 2017, 11:14
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

falcon900 -- Excellent post and agree. There are...

falcon900 -- Excellent post and agree. There are several reasons to continue picking over the bones.

a) The relatives deserve an explanation, for closure
b) There will be insurances in place....
Forum: Rumours & News
17th Mar 2017, 00:34
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

I'm concerned why the AAIB report didn't cover...

I'm concerned why the AAIB report didn't cover that possibility?
Forum: Rumours & News
16th Mar 2017, 18:58
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

While that might be evidence that it was...

While that might be evidence that it was functioning correctly at takeoff, might it have failed in some way during the manoeuvre? If so, is it likely there would have been evidence from the...
Forum: Rumours & News
16th Mar 2017, 16:19
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

From the report, the only instance I can find of...

From the report, the only instance I can find of the word 'surge' is in para 1.6.9



So the system was "deactivated" rather than removed?
Forum: Rumours & News
16th Mar 2017, 12:34
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Is or was? From the AAIB report maintenance was...

Is or was? From the AAIB report maintenance was maybe(?) not up to the standard as when she was in service. Not trying to point blame just considering that caveat.
Forum: Rumours & News
15th Mar 2017, 12:57
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Yes, I agree. I loaded the vid into one of my...

Yes, I agree. I loaded the vid into one of my video editors and looked at it frame by frame. It doesn't look like a light aberration to me. However the res isn't as good as one would like. It looks...
Forum: Rumours & News
14th Mar 2017, 19:31
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

I agree with your interpretation however cameras...

I agree with your interpretation however cameras DO lie (lens aberrations, reflected light etc.) When you slow that image right down in a movie clip editor it looks as though only some kind of...
Forum: Rumours & News
13th Mar 2017, 16:14
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Instrument error.

Instrument error.
Forum: Rumours & News
13th Mar 2017, 15:06
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Falcon900 and Onceapilot: To be...

Falcon900 and Onceapilot:



To be pedantic, 112 kts was IAS. Nobody knows what the TAS was. Nobody knows what the GS was.
Forum: Rumours & News
12th Mar 2017, 11:59
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi G0ULI -- What is the difference...

Hi G0ULI --



What is the difference between a "faint possibility" and a "plausible explanation"?

Can you remind me whether the QNH set was the regional or what? Maybe I missed it but it...
Forum: Rumours & News
12th Mar 2017, 11:38
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi H Peacock -- Yup. I think you're...

Hi H Peacock --



Yup. I think you're right. It would be more related to AOA than pitch per se but the elasticity of the wing section as load varies might have opened a leak. The report...
Forum: Rumours & News
12th Mar 2017, 10:32
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

So why was that possibility not made clear in...

So why was that possibility not made clear in 2.2.1.2? The pilot stands 'accused' (well, accused by his peers and the industry but seemingly not yet by the law) of pilot error. Yet the possibility...
Forum: Rumours & News
12th Mar 2017, 09:32
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi Dave Reid. I presume you agree that I have...

Hi Dave Reid. I presume you agree that I have correctly quoted 2.2.1.2? Those bullet points only cover the possibility of fault by the pilot. Why did 2.2.1.2 not include the possibility of...
Forum: Rumours & News
12th Mar 2017, 08:47
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi Dave Reid -- Firstly the 'wooliness'. ...

Hi Dave Reid --

Firstly the 'wooliness'. From Paragraph 2.2.1.2 --



Every bullet-point says "pilot error". Surely a complete scientific well-written report would have added the bullet...
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2017, 21:46
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi airpolice:-- That is in the report...

Hi airpolice:--



That is in the report - in a table I think. If you can't find it I'll re-visit tomorrow. Some of the report seems a bit wooly and subjective. Crammed with "factoids" but...
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2017, 20:13
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi airpolice: I think you must have missed that...

Hi airpolice: I think you must have missed that bit. Don't forget the conditional tense "would have" rather than "did" or "indicated". Obviously it's implausible that the GoPro didn't function...
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2017, 19:45
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi Airpolice -- You asked:-- ...

Hi Airpolice --

You asked:--






And from Appendix M Page 408 Paragraph 7 ---
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2017, 18:33
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hi Airpolice You asked -- Yes. ...

Hi Airpolice

You asked --

Yes. 2.2.1.2 Page 163 I'll let you find it yourself because it's a very wordy paragraph and it'll clutter this thread.

Hi H Peacock -- You said:
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2017, 17:58
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Exactly, terry holloway, and if it does suddenly...

Exactly, terry holloway, and if it does suddenly "come back" to him we would never know whether it is a genuine memory or a constructed memory. Neither will he. It's what the brain does when...
Forum: Rumours & News
11th Mar 2017, 11:37
Replies: 1,109
Views: 551,429
Posted By Lemain

Hebog -- The pilot had "retrograde...

Hebog --



The pilot had "retrograde amnesia" which is common after trauma. I had it after a car crash in 1976 and I only have one very short recollection of the events from a couple of hours...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 292
 
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