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-   -   BA and Ryanair crews put into quarantine from Denmark (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/636624-ba-ryanair-crews-put-into-quarantine-denmark.html)

White Knight 8th Nov 2020 05:23

C'mon SOPS... Lots of virus strains can leave very long lasting and nasty effects! Don't fall for the long-Covid gag here:D

Just for comparison 1.4 million people died from TB in 2019... Where were the lockdowns then?

compressor stall 8th Nov 2020 07:16

How do masks lead to undiagnosed cancers, heart disease and diabetes? Masks and lockdowns are not the same.

And if you are trying to peddle the argument that lockdowns lead to an increase in undiagnosed illnesses - what a barrowload of dried donkey's testicles. With COVID rife through a community, healthy people (or those who are not sure they are well -the undiagnosed in your argument) are going to stay far and wide from any medical clinic / hospital as it will be likely overflowing with coughing and spluttering patients and asymptomatic infected health care workers. PPE shortages, no elective surgeries to relieve the burden, I could go on.

By contrast a society with no community transmission will see people wander along to their local clinic as they always did. Rates of diagnoses will be largely the same as always. A good outcome n'est-ce pas?

And the flu argument - well, people are washing their hands and sanitising for a start, and socialising less. And staying at home if they feel feverish. Didn't happen much before, sadly. And surprise surprise there is less flu transmission. But it's not nil. And getting the flu and COVID simultaneously (they are not the same thing!) means an almost certain lengthy hospital stay at best.

Yes, there are some reports of mental illness increased. Undoubtedly some has, but interestingly some jurisdictions have data showing that there has not been an uptick in suicide rates. And even if there was, it is a hell of a lot less than the numbers killed by COVID and the numbers of those with developing mental illness may mirror those with long term illnesses from COVID, so not much of an argument to be made there.

TB? Really? Remind us how many people died from TB in the USA on average? How many has COVID killed this year? I'll save you the math, about 500 times fewer.

All that said, because of poor response and denial (people and media outlets peddling the misinformation like yours emboldening people with a sense of "me" over "us") the virus is here and in many parts of the world it is uncontrollable. It affects almost all of us and I am guessing you, given your location and presumed profession by virtue of being on this site.

Where to from the quagmire we're in, well the first step is to keep the spread from continuing to go nuts, mask up mandatory (easy in an autocratic country) and put a limit on the spread.

fox niner 8th Nov 2020 08:19

Re: dutch mink farms

All mink farms are being shut down, this process started in june. There will be zero mink farms left in NL from march 2021. The only minks left will be those living in the wild.
Since june, the minks are tested for corona virus. Sometimes it is found in a remaining farm. Up to now, no coronavirus 2.0 has been found in those minks. Because Holland is not located in Denmark.

krismiler 8th Nov 2020 08:41

Singapore took a very heavy hand to the problem and locked the country down in May and June. Regulations were enforced and people not complying were fined or jailed. Opening up has been a prolonged process done in stages.

However, this approach worked. The country is virtually COVID free with 1 or 2 new cases a day and a total of 60 active ones left.

The UK wasted the first lockdown by not thoroughly enforcing it and going back to normal almost straight away. Now a second one is coming up which will be even more costly and damaging to the economy.

LTNman 8th Nov 2020 11:42

At the moment there is a light at the end of the tunnel with the prospect of a vaccine being approved soon. What we don’t need is a variant of the the original virus that needs a new vaccine. Meanwhile good old Ryanair, which is as predictable as Trump claiming fraud, urged Mr Shapps to reverse the decision and called the new restrictions bizarre and baseless

16024 8th Nov 2020 12:19

Compressor stall wrote:

And if you are trying to peddle the argument that lockdowns lead to an increase in undiagnosed illnesses - what a barrowload of dried donkey's testicles. With COVID rife through a community, healthy people (or those who are not sure they are well -the undiagnosed in your argument) are going to stay far and wide from any medical clinic / hospital as it will be likely overflowing with coughing and spluttering patients and asymptomatic infected health care workers. PPE shortages, no elective surgeries to relieve the burden, I could go on.
I've been reading and re-reading this, and trying to work out how the subsequent argument makes the point.
I have had 2 close relatives die this year. One through disease that could have at least been treated (rather than cured) more successfully with an early diagnosis. Not to mention the isolation they went through while in hospital.
Its always awkward to use personal experience in a wider setting but this is clearly a common enough situation for the sample size to be statistically significant.

As for TB, yes the USA has done very well with keeping it under control, so let's look instead at India:
79,000 TB deaths in 2019 vs 126,000 covid deaths.
You hardly hear about it.

Feathers McGraw 8th Nov 2020 13:03


Originally Posted by Jack D (Post 10921471)
I agree , after all death can be considered a fairly bad reaction when one thinks about it .

The stats in the UK say that, of the total number of deaths with Covid19, only just over 300 (less than 1% of the total) did not have other conditions usually referred to as comorbidities.

This virus is not often a killer on its own, it requires people to be a combination of old and already ill. Just like flu in that respect.

Longtimer 8th Nov 2020 15:41


Originally Posted by compressor stall (Post 10921574)
TB? Really? Remind us how many people died from TB in the USA on average? How many has COVID killed this year? I'll save you the math, about 500 times fewer. .

Here is the math
Deaths from TB in the US 2019 were 515
https://www.cdc.gov/nchhstp/newsroom...the-US-508.pdf
and in 2020 Deaths
238K to date from the virus.

Raikum 8th Nov 2020 17:54

I should point out that TB is caused by bacteria and not a virus. Not comparing like with like....

WHBM 8th Nov 2020 18:10


Originally Posted by krismiler (Post 10921524)
Add in a reduction in other illnesses due to increased hygiene, reduction in traffic accidents and industrial injuries due to the lockdown, and you’re pretty close to normal.

UK road traffic fatalities have declined notably in recent decades, they now average around 5 a day, and it's quite common now to get one or several days without any. This is a 75% reduction in how it was 50 years ago. Aviation of course has sustained an even better reduction. There's a considerable belief in the transport statistics world that the road figures also conceal a notable number of suicides. The railway also gets these, but they are excluded from the rail accident figures, not so with road traffic.

Klimax 8th Nov 2020 19:18


Originally Posted by SOPS (Post 10921453)
Feathers McGraw

I am not sure this person would agree with you


https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-54793726

Some are a tart weaker than others. Nothing new about that.

DaveReidUK 8th Nov 2020 21:09

That's a frankly pathetic comment to make about someone suffering long-term consequences of Covid.

old,not bold 9th Nov 2020 10:52

Down 'ere in Devon it came as a zurprize that such things as mink farms exist.

So off to Wiki, who tell me that

More than 50 million mink a year are bred for their fur, mainly in China, Denmark, the Netherlands and Poland.

Mink oil is used in some medical products and cosmetics, as well as to treat, preserve and waterproof leather.

........

Denmark, the world’s largest producer of mink fur, announced on Friday (November 6, 2020) that it will cull its entire population of around 17 million minks to stop the spread of a mutated strain of the virus which has been linked to the animals and resulting in a mutated Covid-19 to 12 humans.
I'm sorry, maybe, for the farmers who will lose their livelihood. About as much as I'm sorry for people smugglers who get arrested.

Apart from that I don't think that the world will suffer much from the loss of mink fur and mink oil.

ChickenHouse 9th Nov 2020 14:34


Originally Posted by LTNman (Post 10921236)
The whole point is if this new strain gets outside Denmark and is community spread then we could be back to day zero with a new vaccine required. Think China December 2019.

That strain has been reported about 5 month ago and it is already found in at least 6 countries ...

Jack D 9th Nov 2020 17:13

I feel that the net effect of Covid 19 to cause sickness is often overlooked , focusing on fatality rates is vital of course. However , using the military analogy that a wounded combatant causes a greater drain on resources, fatality rates are only part of the overall picture.



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