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marchino61 6th Apr 2020 00:30


Originally Posted by DaveReidUK (Post 10740490)
The Oxford and Imperial College models seem to be diametrically opposite in their conclusions, which is pretty worrying.

To model, you need data. The better the data, the better the model. Data is sorely lacking at the moment and will continue to be lacking until there are antibody tests that can test a random sample of the population. Only then will you know how many people have actually been infected.

cats_five 6th Apr 2020 06:41


Originally Posted by marchino61 (Post 10740813)
To model, you need data. The better the data, the better the model. Data is sorely lacking at the moment and will continue to be lacking until there are antibody tests that can test a random sample of the population. Only then will you know how many people have actually been infected.

Indeed.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft....a-bf503995cd6f

ThorMos 6th Apr 2020 07:39


Originally Posted by Deltasierra010 (Post 10740523)
The death rate in Germany is only lower because they calculate the figures differently,

<snip>

They don't, they calculate deaths as per WHO standard. They test 100.000 people per day so you also count milder cases of Covid-19 as infected.


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