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-   -   Aeromexico Crash (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/611718-aeromexico-crash.html)

Austrian Simon 6th Sep 2018 18:14


Originally Posted by DaveReidUK (Post 10242585)
It's interesting that, more than a month after the event, we are still seeing reports that it was an RTO gone wrong, despite there being no evidence to support that assertion.

Accident: Aeromexico Connect E190 at Durango on Jul 31st 2018, veered off and overran runway after rejected takeoff and burst into flames

Still on your personal agenda and vendetta?

What options were left when the aircraft couldn't fly?

wiedehopf 6th Sep 2018 18:56

Rejecting a takeoff is somewhat of an active decision, is it not? This case seems more like a crash shortly after takeoff.

But i guess it's a question of definition really. So it's just an astonishment that you would label it something that does not fit what one might call an RTO.
Why not discuss the definition instead of throwing labels at each other? Oh what do i say continue it's the internet after all :)

Concours77 6th Sep 2018 19:28

If in the outflow of a microburst, loss of lift will put your heart in your mouth. With a newbie at the helm, the LHS may have initiated corrective action in concert with “my aircraft...” Gear retracting? Why does that not fit RTO? It’s in the timing, and once in the blender, things can get interesting, no? Was there Rotate call out? If they were descending without stick, no one would initiate (or maintain) an initial climb. Flameout, loss of lift, gear coming up? Thank God they were able to control the outcome such that no one died. Look at the last part of the video, before the upset and the screaming? It settled onto its belly. Doesn’t that suggest some minimum amount of control?

ready to abandon my conjecture. I haven’t rejected any other proposal....

By the way. There may have not been an RTO. The crash may have been unrelated to their intentions, expressed or implied? It may have been “Rejected Climb Out”, is Mother Nature on the CVR?

Concours77 6th Sep 2018 19:42

All that....Agreed.

Concours77 6th Sep 2018 19:58


Originally Posted by DaveReidUK (Post 10242841)
I'd suggest that the absence of engine noise might be due to the absence of the engines by that point ... :O

Given that the intact, detached engines have been available to investigators for several weeks, I think we'd know by now if a reverser had been deployed on either/both before they departed the wing.

Wait.... Are you suggesting the engines left the wings prior to ground contact? Are you suggesting the pilots deployed reversers whilst in the air?

guadaMB 6th Sep 2018 20:22


Originally Posted by Concours77 (Post 10243011)


Wait.... Are you suggesting the engines left the wings prior to ground contact? Are you suggesting the pilots deployed reversers whilst in the air?

No and no.
Apparently the #1 engine touched the paved side of the RW after a sudden wind (see report).
In fact, this was the FIRST ground contact.
#2 engine left a little after, possibly due to some unbalance
The fuselage ground contact happened about 600 metres (2000 ft) AFTER the #2 engine was lost on the RW.

BOTH ENGINES are pictured in the scenario (preliminary report).
The same report shows NO TRACE OF DEPLOYED REVERSERS.

DaveReidUK 6th Sep 2018 20:23


Originally Posted by Austrian Simon (Post 10242992)
They could have taken an active decision to put the aircraft back on despite the gear in transit, or they could not have taken that decision.

Yes, either of those is possible. Neither scenario fits the ICAO definition (or indeed any generally accepted definition) of an RTO. I stand by my comments.


Originally Posted by Concours77 (Post 10243011)
Wait.... Are you suggesting the engines left the wings prior to ground contact? Are you suggesting the pilots deployed reversers whilst in the air?

No, and no.

In fact, in the absence of any reported evidence, I'm not suggesting that the pilots deployed reversers at all. Are you ?

Concours77 6th Sep 2018 20:30


Originally Posted by DaveReidUK (Post 10243030)
Yes, either of those is possible. Neither scenario fits the ICAO definition (or indeed any generally accepted definition) of an RTO. I stand by my comments.



No, and no.

In fact, in the absence of any reported evidence, I'm not suggesting that the pilots deployed reversers at all. Are you ?

Of course not, why did you bring it up? Reversers? They started to sink, on purpose or not, and hit the runway and started a debris trail immediately. They wouldn’t Have considered reversers unless and until they established ground track. You had something in mind when you introduced them. What?

I am pretty sure we are talking around each other. No harm no foul.

theNotoriousPIC 6th Sep 2018 20:35

According to the report no one was able to save the flight in the simulator. A microburst can exceed the performance of the aircraft regardless of crew experience.

Concours77 6th Sep 2018 20:54


Originally Posted by theNotoriousPIC (Post 10243040)
According to the report no one was able to save the flight in the simulator. A microburst can exceed the performance of the aircraft regardless of crew experience.

The video gives us a specific view of the intensity and shape of the microburst, due to the presence of hail. Entry, transit, and exit are discrete, and very telling....In fact, I think the specific cell is visible past the aircraft from photography done by phone on the ground. I swear it looks embarrassed.

DaveReidUK 6th Sep 2018 21:18


Originally Posted by Concours77 (Post 10243038)
You had something in mind when you introduced them. What?

Simply that had it been an RTO in the accepted sense (i.e. before V1, or failing that, at least before VR), then it would be reasonable to find evidence of deployed reversers.

We appear to be agreed that no such evidence has emerged as yet, and probably would have by now had that been the case.

Concours77 6th Sep 2018 21:43

Had they been deployed at all, it would have been prior to, or after, launch. Neither seems plausible. If the gear was in transit, (Other than down, locked) that is enough evidence for me. After hitting the ground, well, the circuits were, um, “discontinuous”?

At what point was the aircraft in any shape to commmand “gear up”?

guadaMB 6th Sep 2018 22:33


Originally Posted by Concours77 (Post 10243075)
Had they been deployed at all, it would have been prior to, or after, launch. Neither seems plausible. If the gear was in transit, (Other than down, locked) that is enough evidence for me. After hitting the ground, well, the circuits were, um, “discontinuous”?

At what point was the aircraft in any shape to commmand “gear up”?

It wasn't:
Recordings (CVR) aren't published, but in the report both GEARS appear DOWN & LOCKED until the last second at 20:22:55 (UTC) in which could be interpreted as both were being unlocked and beginning to "go up". Page 27 of preliminary report.
At that moment, both engines rested about 300 metres back...

Concours77 6th Sep 2018 22:45

What is the basis of the finding? (Down and Locked)? What is “selected” with both engines off wing and a thousand feet behind suggests what? If the gear was not in transit ever, then reverse may have been selected. I submit only that having the whole of the a/c path visible to us, I see no point at which gear or reversers would (should) be touched.

DaveReidUK 6th Sep 2018 23:01


Originally Posted by guadaMB (Post 10243105)
Recordings (CVR) aren't published, but in the report both GEARS appear DOWN & LOCKED until the last second at 20:22:55 (UTC) in which could be interpreted as both were being unlocked and beginning to "go up". Page 27 of preliminary report.
At that moment, both engines rested about 300 metres back...

I'm confused, too.

We know where the engines ended up and we can deduce approximately where they were torn off (more accurately in the case of No 1 engine because of the marks on the tarmac).

But how are you relating that to the timeline in the FDR readout ? We can see that the gear was selected up at some point between 20:22:50 and 20:22:52, at which point the aircraft had rotated and was between 5' and 15' above the runway.

I can't see any charts in the FDR readout that show the horizontal position of the aircraft vs time.

tdracer 6th Sep 2018 23:08

You can pull the throttles to idle and select the reverse levers to 'deploy' at any time - even at 39k (there is a mechanical interlock that will prevent moving the reverse levers from 'stow' if the throttles are above idle'). BUT, nothing will happen with regard to the reversers unless 'weight on wheels' (WOW) is true.

wiedehopf 6th Sep 2018 23:35

Regarding my earlier post about thrust settings:
75 degrees thrust lever angle is TO/GA at least according to:
http://aviationconsultantsworldwide.com/E190Engines.pdf

75 degrees was set and constant according to the FDR readout in the preliminary report.
Also there is a reserve power setting that is automatically activated for wind shear, engine failure or by placing the thrust levers at 85 degrees.

RatherBeFlying 7th Sep 2018 03:30

Headwind shears from sim photos
 
MM:SS Hdg A/S G/S Wθ xWθ WV HW =cos(xWθ)*WV
22:42 32 146 122 47 15 33 32
22:47 34 144 139 63 29 18 16
22:50 32 145 146 103 71 11 4
22:56 30 124 159 204 174 21-21
22:57 30 127 162 220 190 24-24

Unfortunately the source tag fails to put out a fixed pitch font. Mods, feel welcome to fix

Note the change in airspeed and groundspeed in close step with headwind component - a signature of windshear incidents and accidents.

While these photos are at variable intervals, they do show a - 56 kt h/w shear over 15 seconds.

guadaMB 7th Sep 2018 08:34


Originally Posted by DaveReidUK (Post 10243120)
I'm confused, too.

We know where the engines ended up and we can deduce approximately where they were torn off (more accurately in the case of No 1 engine because of the marks on the tarmac).

But how are you relating that to the timeline in the FDR readout ? We can see that the gear was selected up at some point between 20:22:50 and 20:22:52, at which point the aircraft had rotated and was between 5' and 15' above the runway.

I can't see any charts in the FDR readout that show the horizontal position of the aircraft vs time.

I sincerely doubt any action of "gear up" in those last two seconds.
The AC skidded and bounced (pictures from above the RW end) for at least 100 meters (300 ft) before stopping.
What is showed in the SIM screen captures (pages 34 to 39) is not correlated with real timeline.

EDML 7th Sep 2018 09:06

Maybe the Gear Up indication was triggered by the gear being ripped off.

DaveReidUK 7th Sep 2018 09:22


Originally Posted by guadaMB (Post 10243365)
I sincerely doubt any action of "gear up" in those last two seconds.
The AC skidded and bounced (pictures from above the RW end) for at least 100 meters (300 ft) before stopping.
What is showed in the SIM screen captures (pages 34 to 39) is not correlated with real timeline.

I'm not really sure what point you are trying to make ?

You will be aware, obviously, that the FDR charts on Pages 27/28 of the report stop at the point where the aircraft started to descend.

The last plots on the chart, at 20:25:55, show the aircraft climbing through 30' AGL, engines performing normally and gear in transit having been selected Up.

Incidentally, although my statement


I can't see any charts in the FDR readout that show the horizontal position of the aircraft vs time.
was correct, you can very approximately estimate the point along the runway at which the aircraft became airborne by integration from the longitudinal acceleration plot, which clearly shows the start of roll followed by a roughly constant 0.2 g (say 2 m/s²) acceleration for approximately 35 seconds before rotation.

This gives a ground roll of approximately 1200 m which, had it started on the piano keys (it may not have) would have meant rotation just past Twy D. If the takeoff roll had been from the Twy E or Twy D intersections (though the sim screens suggest not), rotation would have been around 650/1150 m further on, respectively.

By comparison, Twy B, where the No 1 engine impact witness marks were found, is approximately 2400 m from the piano keys.

guadaMB 7th Sep 2018 10:14

@DaveReidUK
Your figures coincide with some PAX statements.
This means the AC was aloft in the region of 1000/1200 meters. There's no FDR data from 20:22:55 until the "stop" of the AC on soft ground.
It's supposed the max alt was in the region of 30/40 ft AGL (with the data given by the preliminary report)

The "gear up" selection is not at 30 ft but at less than 15 ft AGL.
And in the SIM captures appears to be made at 8 ft AGL (supposedly made after copying the FDR data).

In those extremely bad conditions, what could made the PF order "gear up" when the AC was LESS than 15 ft AGL (because the command "gear up", takes a while to the FO to move the arm/hand, find the lever and push, besides [I suppose] there wasn't a pleasant TO procedure to take it in the calm way).
If things happened as the data shows, the PF commanded "gear up" being 6 to 9 ft AGL and that's difficult to understand (to me).

guadaMB 7th Sep 2018 10:34

Let me add something:
We're having some discussions based on data given by the Mexican authorities.
The same "authorities" introduce a THIRD PILOT in the cockpit, in a kind of non-authorized training action, making the beginning of the TO procedure until the PIC asks for the command of the AC.
This third pilot appears at the very END of the report, in a 36 words paragraph, as saying: "Ahhhh, we forgot to comment the TO started not with the PIC and the FO but with another pilot in training, playing FO, of course not authorized..."
If this third pilot made the beginning of the TO procedure, had to be seated in the right seat, am I right?
And the FO was in the "observer seat".
One thing is sure: the PIC was sitting in the left seat because had to be evacuated PILOT AND SEAT together when the AC took fire and this was made by the only Spanish passenger on board.

The FDR datasheet maybe not "that real" (this is a guess, I'm a bad boy)

fisher22 7th Sep 2018 21:30

What was only a rumor has now been confirmed by Mexican authorities, a new to the company First Officer flying as an observer was the pilot at the controls. Apparently he was undergoing training on the E-Jets, not yet type rated, regular non-training flight, captain wasn't qualified as instructor.

The three pilots involved have now been terminated

Concours77 7th Sep 2018 21:36

Good Lord. Great CRM then.....I won’t erase my comments, but having based them on some assumptions of a legal crew, I think they (comments) were based on data that is wholly unreliable. Sorry.

guadaMB 7th Sep 2018 21:48


Originally Posted by fisher22 (Post 10243868)
What was only a rumor has now been confirmed by Mexican authorities, a new to the company First Officer flying as an observer was the pilot at the controls. Apparently he was undergoing training on the E-Jets, not yet type rated, regular non-training flight, captain wasn't qualified as instructor.

The three pilots involved have now been terminated

There's a possibility that things went as you tell, but...

Confirmed:
The third pilot was at the controls at the beginning of the TO procedure (not being known until what step of TO) and these were returned to the PIC.
What is assumed by the Mex authorities is that there weren't any waiver to make any training in that flight/AC.
Evidently all was under the carpet just to avoid the insurances waterfall but rumors made them to assume it (besides it was made almost buried by a lot of technical data in the preliminary report).
After being medical treated, pilots were under curfew.
The Spanish pax that made a complex evac of the PIC with the cockpit under fire intended to have a phone call with the PIC (the pax in Durango's hospital and the PIC in a Mexico DF hospital) and could only talk to an Aeromexico employee who said "the PIC was recovering from surgery, thanks".

sabenaboy 8th Sep 2018 18:54


With the flight data, confirmed by meteorologists, simulator tests were conducted, no flight crew was able to get through the scenario with a different outcome.
From the report:

"No existe evidencia de fallas humanas en la conducción de
la aeronave. No hubo información para que la tripulación
considerara demorar el despegue y los ejercicios de
simulador concluyeron todos con el mismo resultado."

They are saying there was no human error in the HANDLING of the aircraft and then insisting that there was no information to make the crew consider delaying the take off.

The question is: "How many crews would have decided to delay the T.O. or NOT to T.O. if they saw what this crew saw when they started the take off roll?

I think most crews would not depart if they saw this coming.

fox niner 8th Sep 2018 19:16

Discussion going on at the avherald site, claiming that the Mexican ALPA is organising a strike by all AeroMexico pilots. Reason: the 3 pilots involved in this accident have summarly been fired.
The reason for them being fired appears to be the fact that the captain did not have an instructor licence, the pilot flying did not have a type rating yet, and the third pilot, who was supposed to be in the right hand seat, was actually on the jump seat.
The pilot in he right hand seat was due to begin his simulator training and was a personal friend of the captain.
As this was apparently the cockpit setup, the insurance company refuses to pay out.
Sounds like a real mess.

Accident: Aeromexico Connect E190 at Durango on Jul 31st 2018, veered off and overran runway after rejected takeoff and burst into flames

Herod 8th Sep 2018 20:21


The pilot in the right hand seat was due to begin his simulator training and was a personal friend of the captain.
I'm not surprised the insurance company won't pay out. If this is true, the mind boggles. The pilots are going on strike? Do they want the crew re-instated?

fisher22 8th Sep 2018 22:02

The Aeromexico pilot union is considering going on strike (99% sure they won't) because everybody got their jumspeat privileges taken away by management as a knee jerk reaction to this accident, which is an actual breach of contract by the company. It's not because the actual termination of the pilots.

guadaMB 9th Sep 2018 09:50

The Aeromexico pilots "reaction" towards a strike is favouring Aeromexico.
Takes attention out of the real focus: THE ACCIDENT.
Insurance companies always want to find a way to don't pay. This is not new.

@sabenaboy

If the microburst came suddenly (not to believe the video's time lapse as the happened in the airport), it's not difficult to understand that crew could be got in underpants.
PIC talking to his friend (right seat) about the AC cockpit, this beginning TO procedure and then PIC asks for the command...
And the burst came into action with the AC in full thrust. This is corroborated by several pax statements. TO thrust begun "normally" and no extreme rain or wind at that time.
Then the cockpit had to be a real mess. Confusion had to be the right word.
Because GEAR UP is being made when the AC was 3 or 4 meters (9 to 12 ft) AGL...(data from the preliminary report, if we have to believe it)
My question is:
- who is going to order GEAR UP being almost on ground?
- E190 and all ACs can fly hundreds of miles GEAR DOWN.
- besides there's no trace of any RTO intention, if you're in trouble during TO, would you prefer to land back on your three set of wheels or belly-first?
- why to do an useless action (gear up) that takes time and concentration of the other crew, provided he/she is able to handle the AC?

ironbutt57 9th Sep 2018 13:24

One might suspect a bit of machismo being demonstrated here, the Captain showing his buddy the new trainee just how well they could handle any weather

pezetaroi 9th Sep 2018 14:36

am
 
Outrageous how the Mexican DGAC is trying to make a cover up for the nonsense of the pilots, minimizing the fact that the observer shouldn’t have been seated operating the aircraft under ANY circumstance. The windshear was severe, but I’m sure that if the captain have had controls during the whole takeoff phase, we wouldn’t be discussing this right now. Also, the Union is also doing a very poor job by trying to protest against the involved pilots been fired. You cannot defend someone that risked the life's of so many people by doing something so stupid like that!
Anyway, they’re many issues still to be raised here, including all the passengers who sued the airline...

sabenaboy 9th Sep 2018 15:17


Originally Posted by pezetaroi (Post 10244957)
Outrageous how the Mexican DGAC is trying to make a cover up for the nonsense of the pilots, minimizing the fact that the observer shouldn’t have been seated operating the aircraft under ANY circumstance. The windshear was severe, but I’m sure that if the captain have had controls during the whole takeoff phase, we wouldn’t be discussing this right now. Also, the Union is also doing a very poor job by trying to protest against the involved pilots been fired. You cannot defend someone that risked the life's of so many people by doing something so stupid like that!
Anyway, they’re many issues still to be raised here, including all the passengers who sued the airline...

That's exactly the point. It's hard to believe that there was not something looking very mean when this "crew" looked down the runway just prior to starting the take off roll. Haven't we all heard of severe microbursts associated with downpoors during training? A captain that lets a non rated observer act as F/O during departure is not likely to be the prudent type who would say: 'that doesn't look reassuring at the end of the rwy, let's just wait a bit and sit it out.
I think that a lot of normal crews would have had the common sense not to start the take off roll. The question if they aborted or not, or if they could have made it through the microburst is not important.
THÉ question is "could and should a normal crew have known that they were heading to a potentially dangerous microburst? If what they saw through the cockpit windows vaguely resembled what you can see in the youtube video above, the answer is YES!

fisher22 9th Sep 2018 15:36


Originally Posted by pezetaroi (Post 10244957)
Also, the Union is also doing a very poor job by trying to protest against the involved pilots been fired. You cannot defend someone that risked the life's of so many people by doing something so stupid like that!

Like I said in a previous post the Union is not defending the fired pilots, they're protesting against the fact that 2,000+ other Aeromexico, Aeromexico Connect, Aeromar and Mexicana pilots got their jumpseat privileges taken away by the company, this being a breach of contract.

Concours77 9th Sep 2018 16:37

Prohibiting jumpseat privilege is shortsighted and confrontational. Because it was abused by one crew doesn’t (should not) create any need to remove it. imo.

guadaMB 9th Sep 2018 17:16


Originally Posted by pezetaroi (Post 10244957)
Outrageous how the Mexican DGAC is trying to make a cover up for the nonsense of the pilots, minimizing the fact that the observer shouldn’t have been seated operating the aircraft under ANY circumstance. The windshear was severe, but I’m sure that if the captain have had controls during the whole takeoff phase, we wouldn’t be discussing this right now. Also, the Union is also doing a very poor job by trying to protest against the involved pilots been fired. You cannot defend someone that risked the life's of so many people by doing something so stupid like that!
Anyway, they’re many issues still to be raised here, including all the passengers who sued the airline...


Page 41 of the preliminary report:
"Se detectó una sesión de habilitación en ruta no autorizada. Un tripulante desarrolló las funciones de copiloto, con el acompañamiento del Comandante, hasta que este le pidió los controles. Se dio aviso a la autoridad aeronáutica."
Translation:
"It's been detected a non authorized training session. A crew member developed copilot functions along with the Commander until this (the commander) asked for the controls. It's been given word of this to the aeronautic authority".

This is the sole mention to a breach in the rules. It's not clear until WHEN (which part of the TO procedure) the PIC asked for the controls of the AC.

pezetaroi 10th Sep 2018 00:42

What I mean is that the DGAC entirely blames the event on the weather, letting know that whoever was on the controls, the outcome would have been the same, clearly minimizing the fact, that the observer acting as a PF and then PM could have been the cause of the accident.

aterpster 10th Sep 2018 01:03


Originally Posted by Concours77 (Post 10245041)
Prohibiting jumpseat privilege is shortsighted and confrontational. Because it was abused by one crew doesn’t (should not) create any need to remove it. imo.

Absolutely. This jump seat rider was presumably approved by the company. If not, so what as to jump seat privileges?

guadaMB 10th Sep 2018 08:31


Originally Posted by pezetaroi (Post 10245301)
What I mean is that the DGAC entirely blames the event on the weather, letting know that whoever was on the controls, the outcome would have been the same, clearly minimizing the fact, that the observer acting as a PF and then PM could have been the cause of the accident.

D'accord, but...
To understand the policy of blaming mainly on Wx (putting under the carpet the crew affaire), have to dig into the insurance contracts. Not reachable for us, but easy to suppose its terms.
Besides it, it's not to forget some peculiarities that could concur. All depends on the possible godfather/s of the crew members (inside & outside the carrier).
Can't say more...


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