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-   -   TU154 out of Sochi is missing. (https://www.pprune.org/rumours-news/588730-tu154-out-sochi-missing.html)

DaveReidUK 30th Dec 2016 14:09


Originally Posted by PashaF (Post 9624798)
Well this is part of the training. When you operating in combat zone the normal procedure is to go as high as possible as fast as possible.

But we already know that the maximum height achieved was only 250 m (830 ft).

fepate 30th Dec 2016 14:52


Originally Posted by Bgoldie (Post 9624401)
Earlier post showed the " not ready for T/O" config warning.. Wondering, is it possible for it to test OK but not function properly? ... It might explain the "flaps" comment previous pages if, say, they reached up to raise the gear and saw the flap lever incorrectly positioned....
I'm wondering if the flight profile here might be similar to the Northwest DC9 in Romulus Michigan...

How about a slightly different situation where the flap lever was in the correct position but the flaps and slats did not deploy? Could the config warning miss a system failure like that?

Pinkman 30th Dec 2016 15:01


You're looking at a double failure there. Firstly the crew not configuring properly, then the warning not working. Unlikely IMO
But that is exactly what happened in Madrid.. Spanair 5022

Herod 30th Dec 2016 15:37

Pinkman. True, and I stand corrected. I'd forgotten about that one.

gonebutnotforgotten 30th Dec 2016 15:53

But by all accounts the first signs of alarm from the crew came after the gear up call (if that's what it was), so unlikely they actually started in an unsafe config.

Chris Scott 30th Dec 2016 16:34

TOCW
 
I'm not promoting any theory whatsoever on this TU-154 accident but, FWIW, over the generations of jet airliners some T/O config warnings have been better than others - both in terms of the parameters covered and the method of detection. They all try to monitor the deployment of high-lift devices, of course.

On the B707 (first flight 1955), a first-generation jet, the system looked only at the position of the flight-crew's selector lever. The single lever controlled the trailing-edge flaps and the so-called leading-edge devices (Krueger flaps).

On the VC10 (first flight 1962), a second-generation jet which was outlived in service by the B707, the T/O config warning system used sensors on the leading-edge slats and the trailing-edge flaps themselves.

On early B747s (first-flight 1969) the extension of the leading-edge slats was not locally monitored by the T/O config warning, That, and crew error, led to a fatal accident in 1974:
https://aviation-safety.net/database...?id=19741120-0

None of the above systems monitored the degree of slat or flap extension, which on most aeroplanes is variable to suit the conditions.

Where does the TU-154 (first flight 1968) fit into this pattern of development?

PashaF 30th Dec 2016 19:06


But we already know that the maximum height achieved was only 250 m (830 ft).
Maybe the pilot was dissatisfied with climb rate from the beginning?

Anvaldra 30th Dec 2016 19:22

[QUOTE=Pali;9624629]70 seconds duration illustrated here.]


Pali, your investigation is wrong because of wrong runway. They departed runway 24

Clandestino 30th Dec 2016 19:41

As usual, there is not much signal yet and quite a lot of noise. However, if we take the maximum altitude and speed figures quoted by RT as reliable, we can discount the possibility of too low config takeoff. If one tries that stunt, trouble begins as the aeroplane is leaving the ground effect, at about half the wingspan height. 250 m or about 800 ft is unobtainable, unless one is very lucky Argentinian flying OE registered Super80.

Everything I have flown in recent decade and half fits into "western built L2T" category and while procedures might be different from Russian military's, my lowest all engine acceleration height was 800 ft and if there is trouble during cleaning up, aeroplane would definitively climb above that before hell breaking loose.

If it were my due to place bet now, I'd put my money on the tired pilot monitoring pulling the flaps lever to zero instead of gear up.

Could someone with Tu-154 experience comment on how easy it is to move flaps lever all the way up and how difficult it is for the pilot in the LHS to reach the gear handle, пожалуйста?

Passenger 389 30th Dec 2016 19:50


When you operating in combat zone the normal procedure is to go as high as possible as fast as possible.
Though headed toward a war zone, surely the Cptn knew the takeoff was in a safe location and presumably would conduct the TO accordingly.

Especially when most of the pax were members of a choir, and some journalists.

Not infantry or paratroopers. Nor military brass to impress with a steep takeoff profile.

Just seems common sense.

However, I defer to those with the experience I lack.

up_down_n_out 30th Dec 2016 20:03


I am kinda sure the captain mindset was already "switched" to Latakia take-off and landing.
Best keep the "kinda sure" opinions out of this.

It's nonsense, a TU154 doesn't light up like a bird and blast off on afterburners like stuff off an aircraft carrier.

Like it or not, it was full of a load of singers.
Nobody needing to be impressed at all in some ordinary airport in Sochi, just not expecting to be tipped suddenly into the sea & fed to the fish, a few days from the new year's parties.

Frankly, some of the speculation here has got out of hand.

DaveReidUK 30th Dec 2016 20:18


Originally Posted by PashaF (Post 9625066)
Maybe the pilot was dissatisfied with climb rate from the beginning?

It might be helpful if you could remind us what point you are trying to make.

Anvaldra 30th Dec 2016 20:21


Originally Posted by Clandestino (Post 9625092)
As usual, there is not much signal yet and quite a lot of noise. However, if we take the maximum altitude and speed figures quoted by RT as reliable, we can discount the possibility of too low config takeoff. If one tries that stunt, trouble begins as the aeroplane is leaving the ground effect, at about half the wingspan height. 250 m or about 800 ft is unobtainable, unless one is very lucky Argentinian flying OE registered Super80.

Everything I have flown in recent decade and half fits into "western built L2T" category and while procedures might be different from Russian military's, my lowest all engine acceleration height was 800 ft and if there is trouble during cleaning up, aeroplane would definitively climb above that before hell breaking loose.

If it were my due to place bet now, I'd put my money on the tired pilot monitoring pulling the flaps lever to zero instead of gear up.

Could someone with Tu-154 experience comment on how easy it is to move flaps lever all the way up and how difficult it is for the pilot in the LHS to reach the gear handle, пожалуйста?

It is possible to reach gear handle from LHS if you have at least 6 ft half-rising ahead and to the right and unlock safety pin initially. Flaps lever is required to be clipped and held to move all the way up

AN2 Driver 31st Dec 2016 08:30


Could someone with Tu-154 experience comment on how easy it is to move flaps lever all the way up and how difficult it is for the pilot in the LHS to reach the gear handle, пожалуйста?
The Flaps lever has a clip release on both sides, you need to press two bars in to move it at all. The Gear lever is ok to reach, a bit of a stretch from the LH seat, easy from the RH seat. It is conventional pull out and move, but also has a safety which needs releasing. Easy once you have the practice.

The very idea that the flaps were moved instead of the gear is quite unlikely. The gear goes up the moment positive rate is verified, so very early. Flaps retraction is later than 70 secs from brake release or even from lift off. In order to be safe, you need at least 400 km/h for clean config, something they never got close to.

The one pic shown earlier here does indeed suggest the flaps were up at impact, but apparently so was the gear (judging by another pic). So assuming for a moment that this CVR leak is true, it looks to me as if they completed gear retraction on schedule and then all of a sudden someone noted something they did not expect was happening to the flaps. In this situation, if the flaps retract prematurely, it would be very difficult to impossible to recover the plane, no height to give up to get the speed.

I am really curious to see the final results of that FDR and CVR, also it would be very interesting to see in what position the flaps lever was found if it was found at all.

Re Take off config warning, it is quite complex. I can't remember all of it, but a LOT of stuff has to be set correctly before the red light in front of the pilots goes out. Flaps, Slats and spoilers are certainly part of it.

Pali 31st Dec 2016 08:49


Originally Posted by Anvaldra (Post 9625076)


Pali, your investigation is wrong because of wrong runway. They departed runway 24

I stand corrected, so here is the same situation for the runway 24:

https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/12...=w1076-h604-no

In this case the average speed for 70 seconds flight from the runway threshold or let's say distance of 3.600m doesn't make sense.

Kulverstukas 31st Dec 2016 08:56


it would be very interesting to see in what position the flaps lever was found if it was found at all.
It was specially announced that cockpit panels were found and rescued, at the second day of the operation IIRC.

Kulverstukas 31st Dec 2016 09:26

http://cdn.aviaforum.ru/images/2016/...938a98a02a.jpg

http://cdn.aviaforum.ru/images/2016/...fb717432a3.jpg

http://cdn.aviaforum.ru/images/2016/...630fb76e1f.jpg

http://cdn.aviaforum.ru/images/2016/...56a8bb5f10.png

fox niner 31st Dec 2016 09:47

What happened to those fan blades?

WHBM 31st Dec 2016 10:00

For those concerned that the wreckage in the first photo above is being dumped on the apron right in front of the airport terminal, the "Passenger Terminal" there is the Sochi cruise ship terminal, probably in winter shutdown.

andrasz 31st Dec 2016 10:24


Originally Posted by fox niner
What happened to those fan blades?

That is a compressor disc, the damage is consistent with the engine producing power at a high setting at time of impact. The damage was caused by fragments of earlier stages and possibly other wreckage ingested by the still running engine.


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