Flights into the UK...

[marchino61]

Originally Posted by DaveReidUK

The Oxford and Imperial College models seem to be diametrically opposite in their conclusions, which is pretty worrying.

To model, you need data. The better the data, the better the model. Data is sorely lacking at the moment and will continue to be lacking until there are antibody tests that can test a random sample of the population. Only then will you know how many people have actually been infected.

[cats_five]

Originally Posted by marchino61

To model, you need data. The better the data, the better the model. Data is sorely lacking at the moment and will continue to be lacking until there are antibody tests that can test a random sample of the population. Only then will you know how many people have actually been infected.

Indeed.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.ft....a-bf503995cd6f

[ThorMos]

Originally Posted by Deltasierra010

The death rate in Germany is only lower because they calculate the figures differently,

<snip>

They don't, they calculate deaths as per WHO standard. They test 100.000 people per day so you also count milder cases of Covid-19 as infected.