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Hard times for Norwegian

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Old 4th May 2020, 13:13
  #581 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Dave Gittins
I somehow doubt HMG will pay the JRS cash if no J s are R ed
they've already been paid
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Old 4th May 2020, 13:22
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Well done ‘Kings’ ..

Absolutely in time with events..

Cannot day much more than that.. Yep
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Old 4th May 2020, 13:45
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The UK JRS scheme will at least, hopefully, give something for at least 3 months, ointment-fly-in you can't work for your employer while on furlough, so I guess if they call up and say "hey move this plane, we're going to pay you" then you must come off furlough and back on again? and now NAS has dumped OSM and the other agencies will it seek a "direct employment contract" with pilots via the talent pool.. even ad hoc.. read as "flexible " in the big plan
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Old 4th May 2020, 13:57
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In their plan they mentioned only temporary contracts are around 30% less in overheads. To be honest, not really appealing but not like there is going to be much choice in the future.

Don't forget CPH, both long and short haul and ARN that also got run over by that bus.
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Old 4th May 2020, 14:13
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So if l get this right they have effectively downsized from 154 ish aircraft to 7 aircraft and consolidated all their operations in Scandinavia for the foreseeable future.

Most pilots have been thrown to the wolves and placed in a holding pool until they might be required. Ouch.

Good luck to all.
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Old 4th May 2020, 14:14
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There were some Scandi - Spanish routes that were nearly always full, plus very profitable onboard sales. Assuming they are as keen to chase the sun as always (especially so after Covid) I wonder if it might be shortsighted of Norwegian to mothball those routes?


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Old 4th May 2020, 15:45
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1billion given, only 7billion in debt now. What’s in a number?
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Old 4th May 2020, 15:49
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8000 jobs in the future or 0....not a big difference for you maybe...for us ? A bit more...
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Old 4th May 2020, 16:28
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What I understand from news they want to operate in the future around 47 aircraft which is 1/3 of current numbers with bases only in Scandinavia and LH routes from Scandinavia which have been previously cancelled.
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Old 4th May 2020, 16:39
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Fleet will be reduced to 110/120, no one in Spain is fired , just temporary laid-off.
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Old 4th May 2020, 16:45
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Originally Posted by matt283
What I understand from news they want to operate in the future around 47 aircraft which is 1/3 of current numbers with bases only in Scandinavia and LH routes from Scandinavia which have been previously cancelled.
I doubt it. LH routes were already canceled from most of Scandinavia before this crisis because they were not profitable due to the catchment area and touristic interest not being enough to justify LH there. If that was the case then, imagine now with traveling demand out the window.

Leaving national sentiment aside, remember that the new owners are now mostly American and Irish, and they are investors interested in getting their money back and then make some while they're at it. This means that they will open and close routes based in their margins, weather that's north, south, east or west.

This also goes for the crews. Norwegian stopped growing crew bases in Norway a long time ago and didn't even have a LH base in OSL despite their LH operation there. This is so because Scandinavian crews are more expensive than crews in Italy, UK or Spain for example. And I doubt that current owners will look at anything else than profit margin and yield returns in the future, particularly when they already closed Scandinavian bases in CPH and ARN for both SH and LH.

Don't be surprised of a new CEO and executive management replacement when the new board is formed in a few weeks... And expect them to have a strong airline background and speak English with no accent.
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Old 4th May 2020, 16:50
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What we really need is a “ co op “ airways where employees own it and see the benefits.

All this false rednose bonhommie and your pilot agency just has its contract terminated , end of story , thanks and goodbye.

Actually not even a thanks.
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Old 4th May 2020, 17:08
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Given how well the board has done I very much doubt they will be replaced.

LH will be cut by 40%
SH routes Scandi - Europe (ie 737 flying to/from Spain) will be cut by 9%
The number of airframes will go down to 120
737 pilots in Spain have not been thrown under the bus. They are still employed by NARes albeit under the government furlough scheme.
The ramp to normal ops will start in March 21 and be complete by summer 2022. That is the base scenario but there is also a favorable scenario with more aggressive dates

Besides effectively writing off 1billion quid of debt they are changing most of the leases from monthly payments to Pay By The Hour. This gives the flexibility to wait for demand to build up. Start flying too soon and you will end up with half empty aircraft which means the losses of the ramp up can be very significant. Therefore getting the timing right is crucial, not just for Norwegian but for every airline. Given the boisterous past a cautious approach I am sure is welcomed by those affected.

All that is in the Business plan given to the bondholders. If you want to comment why not read it instead of speculating wildly?



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Old 4th May 2020, 17:11
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The CEO predicted only 7 737 in operation until April next year. I think he is too pessimistic.
They will focus on their home area, that is the Nordic countries. Some longhaul operations, but only if it is profitable. He would not say anything specific about routes. He expect a need for more funds when they start to increase production because of increased cost.
They got rid of 10 billion NOK in debt, but need to start borrowing again soon.

They way they set up shop with crew agencies shows how easy it is to get rid of the crew It is positive for Norwegian, but really bad for crew.

They still have the MAX problems, the Dreamliner problems and 100 Airbus on order. And they are still up to the neck in debt. They got through the last days with success, and that is job really well done by Schram and his team.
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Old 4th May 2020, 17:22
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Just one thing I do not understand is that all Spanish based crew have been told the won't be able access their company email soon, but there has been nothing said officially by Norwegian If they still are employed or made redundant or they will be on the furlough until restarting flying programme ?
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Old 4th May 2020, 17:23
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Originally Posted by calypso
Given how well the board has done I very much doubt they will be replaced.

LH will be cut by 40%
SH routes Scandi - Europe (ie 737 flying to/from Spain) will be cut by 9%
The number of airframes will go down to 120
737 pilots in Spain have not been thrown under the bus. They are still employed by NARes albeit under the government furlough scheme.
The ramp to normal ops will start in March 21 and be complete by summer 2022. That is the base scenario but there is also a favorable scenario with more aggressive dates

Besides effectively writing off 1billion quid of debt they are changing most of the leases from monthly payments to Pay By The Hour. This gives the flexibility to wait for demand to build up. Start flying too soon and you will end up with half empty aircraft which means the losses of the ramp up can be very significant. Therefore getting the timing right is crucial, not just for Norwegian but for every airline. Given the boisterous past a cautious approach I am sure is welcomed by those affected.

All that is in the Business plan given to the bondholders. If you want to comment why not read it instead of speculating wildly?
I have read it the minute it came out and we're all free to comment and speculate wildly because this is a forum designed for that purpose: to exchange views and opinions about aviation. If you just want facts It might be better to just read the news and official announcements from the company's website.

Also, as of today, Spain's LH 787 crews (based in BCN) are still as alive as SH 737 crews, if you can consider being alive remaining in employment with NAR ES despite the crew agreement between our legal employer and norwegian being currently suspended. This is the same situation for HEL, USA and LGW crews for both LH and SH.

Lastly, I'm not saying that the current board has done a good or a bad job. Simply that the new owners will, with all probability, choose and vote their own board in alignment with their own interest. That's all.
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Old 4th May 2020, 18:07
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Good or bad job, it really doesn’t help most of the pilots other than the chosen few up north.

The fact we learnt about our jobs disappearing from a workplace post about cessation of contract with pilot agencies - well, I should say I expected better, but I didn’t .
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Old 4th May 2020, 18:19
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Originally Posted by calypso
Given how well the board has done I very much doubt they will be replaced.

LH will be cut by 40%
SH routes Scandi - Europe (ie 737 flying to/from Spain) will be cut by 9%
The number of airframes will go down to 120
737 pilots in Spain have not been thrown under the bus. They are still employed by NARes albeit under the government furlough scheme.
The ramp to normal ops will start in March 21 and be complete by summer 2022. That is the base scenario but there is also a favorable scenario with more aggressive dates

Besides effectively writing off 1billion quid of debt they are changing most of the leases from monthly payments to Pay By The Hour. This gives the flexibility to wait for demand to build up. Start flying too soon and you will end up with half empty aircraft which means the losses of the ramp up can be very significant. Therefore getting the timing right is crucial, not just for Norwegian but for every airline. Given the boisterous past a cautious approach I am sure is welcomed by those affected.

All that is in the Business plan given to the bondholders. If you want to comment why not read it instead of speculating wildly?
Nailed it.
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Old 4th May 2020, 19:57
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Originally Posted by calypso
Given how well the board has done I very much doubt they will be replaced.

LH will be cut by 40%
SH routes Scandi - Europe (ie 737 flying to/from Spain) will be cut by 9%
The number of airframes will go down to 120
737 pilots in Spain have not been thrown under the bus. They are still employed by NARes albeit under the government furlough scheme.
The ramp to normal ops will start in March 21 and be complete by summer 2022. That is the base scenario but there is also a favorable scenario with more aggressive dates

Besides effectively writing off 1billion quid of debt they are changing most of the leases from monthly payments to Pay By The Hour. This gives the flexibility to wait for demand to build up. Start flying too soon and you will end up with half empty aircraft which means the losses of the ramp up can be very significant. Therefore getting the timing right is crucial, not just for Norwegian but for every airline. Given the boisterous past a cautious approach I am sure is welcomed by those affected.

All that is in the Business plan given to the bondholders. If you want to comment why not read it instead of speculating wildly?
Well, you failed to mention OSM/NARes no longer has a contract with Norwegian
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Old 4th May 2020, 20:14
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Originally Posted by Paul737
Well, you failed to mention OSM/NARes no longer has a contract with Norwegian
I think the way norwegian is handling their staff thru this crisis is going to turn around and hunt them back.

The way they have gotten rid of most of their crews (weather thru direct bankruptcy of staffing companies in CPH and ARN or by breaking their contract with NAR and OSM in UK, USA, Spain and Finland) will probably end up in court in several jurisdictions as one thing is to make staff redundant thru legal processes and another quite different is to bankrupt companies that you own in order to not pay severance packages while you still receive funds and continue to operate in other locations.

It's definetely going to get interesting...
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