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Another A380 Woe?

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Another A380 Woe?

Old 3rd Nov 2018, 19:49
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His frustration as of late is almost palpable. He has bet the farm on the A380 and has surprisingly, rather than abandon this marginal beast, taken the “in for a penny in for a pound” approach.

STC also said: “Engine manufacturers were moving too quickly to try to meet specifications. When it came to innovation they did little and sat on their hands, they overpromised and what we see now is the result of that.”

I couldn’t agree with him more. The operational shortcomings experienced by the GenX, Trent, Leap and GTF are disgraceful, and in the case of those engines installed on ETOPS certified aircraft, the industry and traveling public have been most fortunate that there have been no dual engine failures or ditchings.
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Old 4th Nov 2018, 05:36
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Originally Posted by Commander Taco
STC also said: “Engine manufacturers were moving too quickly to try to meet specifications. When it came to innovation they did little and sat on their hands, they overpromised and what we see now is the result of that.”
maybe in future, Emirates could restrict themselves to asking for what is achievable ? Companies don't go out on their own and offer the impossible but are forced into agreeing to the impossible by an unreasonable purchaser. At the end of it, its a mistake the supplier makes in agreeing to such terms, but the start of the process is a buyer who has ridiculous expectations.

If Emirates didn't ask for the unachievable, then they wouldn't have suppliers failing - and as to his suggestion that they sit on their hands, that's nonsense. Nobody invests for 36 aircraft.

Suppliers put money in where they get a decent return - and if you buy an engine supporting a tiny fleet, and there's an opportunity to invest on a new engine serving a fleet many times its size, its ridiculous for Emirates to think the supply chain would do anything else than invest in the bigger fleet size market. Unfortunately his comment is symptomatic of the best airline, a great (older) aircraft and an expectation of the having the biggest baseball bat on the field to beat up the supply chain like in the past, but realising there's nobody left on the field to play ball with as everyone has gone elsewhere to play.
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Old 4th Nov 2018, 12:43
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Taco,
The operational shortcomings experienced by the GenX, Trent, Leap and GTF are disgraceful, and in the case of those engines installed on ETOPS certified aircraft, the industry and traveling public have been most fortunate that there have been no dual engine failures or ditchings.
Can you tell us about all the disgraceful shortcomings and your source of this information? Also, maybe you can explain why there haven't been any dual engine failures on ETOPS certified aircraft besides luck.
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Old 4th Nov 2018, 14:26
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Originally Posted by Turbine D
Taco,

Can you tell us about all the disgraceful shortcomings and your source of this information? Also, maybe you can explain why there haven't been any dual engine failures on ETOPS certified aircraft besides luck.
Just over a year ago I ferried a 320 NEO back to our maintenance base after it had experienced engine vibration. The maintenance crew that swapped the engine was on board with me. They told me that in the previous 18 months on four NEOs they had swapped 27 engines, so engines lasted around 3 MONTHS before parts needed to be replaced. Our 5th NEO was parked without engines due to lack of spare engines. There is plenty of evidence that they started hanging the engines on wings before they were fully baked.
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Old 4th Nov 2018, 14:45
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Originally Posted by GrahamO
Maybe he should look in the mirror and think about why people don't want to do business with Emirates, on Emirates terms, at any cost.
... and at the same time ask himself why only low qualified pilots apply and generate the shortage.
Oh, i forgot, he calls the shortage 'fake news' doesn't he, but my obscene roster tells the truth ...

STC gets even more trumpeske by the day:

​​​​​​"For Emirates itself, he said the biggest challenge currently is higher fuel prices. “At the moment we got huge problems with the fuel price, which is really destroying value for us, it really hit our bottom line quite hard, we haven’t had a good first half year just because of fuel.”

Same goes for the braggart who bought a Hummer to commute and then blames and lectures the manufacturer about his engineering, but never himself who could have settled for a nice Lexus.
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Old 4th Nov 2018, 15:04
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Can you tell us about all the disgraceful shortcomings and your source of this information? Also, maybe you can explain why there haven't been any dual engine failures on ETOPS certified aircraft besides luck.
Turbine D: Buy yourself a subscription to Flight International. Go back into their back issues archives for roughly four years and start reading up until present day. You'll see these engines have/had some very serious issues and yet when initially certified received 180 minutes "out of the box", as the jargon goes.
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Old 4th Nov 2018, 19:16
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Taco, why should we have to do the research to back up your accusations? I'd like to see you back up this statement in particular:
The operational shortcomings experienced by the GenX, Trent, Leap and GTF are disgraceful, and in the case of those engines installed on ETOPS certified aircraft, the industry and traveling public have been most fortunate that there have been no dual engine failures or ditchings.
I have considerable first hand experience with the GEnx - and your statement is demonstrably false. The GEnx had one of the smoothest EIS of any commercial engine ever. The IFSD rate out of the box was very, very good - much better than the minimum 180 minute ETOPS requirement - and while time on wing was a bit disappointing initially it's rapidly improved and is now doing quite well in that regard. In fact the really only meaningful issue with the GEnx was Ice Crystal Icing (ICI) - something that is still poorly understood (and not covered by the regulations). Further, although ICI caused some temporary thrust losses and engine damage, there were no shutdowns, and a fix was identified and certified. The Trent 1000 on the 787 has had it's issues, but they are mainly related to an unexpected wear out mode that didn't show up until the engine had been in service for years - out of the box the Trent 1000 was quite good. The LEAP has had a reasonably smooth EIS (getting/keeping production up to speed has been a problem but the engine itself has been reasonably trouble free). Only the GTF has had major issues (not exactly a surprise given it's totally new technology - there is a reason why Boeing decided to pass on the first iteration of the GTF).
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Old 4th Nov 2018, 23:13
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Originally Posted by tdracer
Only the GTF has had major issues (not exactly a surprise given it's totally new technology - there is a reason why Boeing decided to pass on the first iteration of the GTF).
I thought geared fans went back to the BAe146/RJ on airliners, as well as various military and bizjet types. And that it's not the new technology that has been the (multiple) issues anyway, but the more standard components.
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Old 5th Nov 2018, 00:08
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Originally Posted by WHBM
I thought geared fans went back to the BAe146/RJ on airliners, as well as various military and bizjet types. And that it's not the new technology that has been the (multiple) issues anyway, but the more standard components.
You’re right, it’s not “totally new technology,” I think he just meant it’s new in the sense of the size of this application.
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Old 5th Nov 2018, 02:42
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Originally Posted by RufusXS

You’re right, it’s not “totally new technology,” I think he just meant it’s new in the sense of the size of this application.
Exactly - there is a wee bit of difference in technology between a 7,000 lb. thrust class GTF and one producing about five times that much thrust. Boeing may have made the decision for the wrong reasons, but I doubt many people working the MAX think they made the wrong decision...
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Old 5th Nov 2018, 11:41
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Original Posting by Commander Taco:
Turbine D: Buy yourself a subscription to Flight International. Go back into their back issues archives for roughly four years and start reading up until present day. You'll see these engines have/had some very serious issues and yet when initially certified received 180 minutes "out of the box", as the jargon goes.
I worked in the aircraft engine industry for 40 years, first developing processes for manufacturing engine components and then the last 26 years working for a major engine manufacturer. I'd be interested in your aircraft engine background and experience besides reading Flight International. I find it amusing, but sad, that the authors of many published magazine articles about aircraft engines, Flight International included, have problems distinguishing turbine blades from compressor blades from fan blades let alone identifying the correct cause of technical problems or the seriousness or not. If you want to obtain correct information before white-washing the entire industry, befriend someone who works in the aircraft engine industry.
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Old 6th Nov 2018, 03:39
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I have considerable first hand experience with the GEnx - and your statement is demonstrably false. The GEnx had one of the smoothest EIS of any commercial engine ever. The IFSD rate out of the box was very, very good - much better than the minimum 180 minute ETOPS requirement - and while time on wing was a bit disappointing initially it's rapidly improved and is now doing quite well in that regard. In fact the really only meaningful issue with the GEnx was Ice Crystal Icing (ICI) - something that is still poorly understood (and not covered by the regulations). Further, although ICI caused some temporary thrust losses and engine damage, there were no shutdowns, and a fix was identified and certified. The Trent 1000 on the 787 has had it's issues, but they are mainly related to an unexpected wear out mode that didn't show up until the engine had been in service for years - out of the box the Trent 1000 was quite good. The LEAP has had a reasonably smooth EIS (getting/keeping production up to speed has been a problem but the engine itself has been reasonably trouble free). Only the GTF has had major issues (not exactly a surprise given it's totally new technology - there is a reason why Boeing decided to pass on the first iteration of the GTF).
Thanks tdracer, you provided most of the evidence for my POV for me. You did miss one though - the GenX fan blade icing incident in January 2016 that resulted in loss of a fan blade, and worse, resulted in an engine seizure. Fortunately, the other engine was original spec and not a modified PIP2 engine. But I am given to understand the even this original engine had some damage to it. Feel free to correct me on that point if I’m in error. But at the end of the day, if this aircraft had been fitted with PIP2 engines on both sides, it would have been a hull loss.

Regulatory bodies have been in the business of certifying turbine engines for civilian use for what, approximately 58 years? It is not acceptable that the Trent and GenX were certified right away for 180 minutes given the unreliability demonstrated by these engines. I mean, one engine that wears out prematurely? After six decades of turbine engine design, construction and certification, excessive engine wear slips by and then is written off as a “whoopsies”? And the other engine that sneezes and coughs if you fly in ice crystals or can pack it in completely if the fan blades ice up?

Turbine D & tdracer: respectfully, you both must be engineers if you can so blithely dismiss these serious engine issues as “temporary thrust losses and engine damage”. What you both are elucidating is called “the normalization of deviance” when you suggest that dual thrust loss is somehow fine, especially so if it’s just temporary.

BTW, 41 years in the pointy end. My post-retirement job makes me privy to incident reports/technical bulletins, etc.

Taco

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Old 6th Nov 2018, 12:25
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Original Post by Commander Taco
Turbine D & tdracer: respectfully, you both must be engineers if you can so blithely dismiss these serious engine issues as “temporary thrust losses and engine damage”. What you both are elucidating is called “the normalization of deviance” when you suggest that dual thrust loss is somehow fine, especially so if it’s just temporary.

BTW, 41 years in the pointy end. My post-retirement job makes me privy to incident reports/technical bulletins, etc.
I don't think either of us engineers ever suggested dual thrust loss is somehow fine. The only dual engine thrust loss that I recall happened on a Boeing 767 out of LA when the pilots on the pointy end accidentally shut off the fuel flow to the engines. It was a new aircraft to them at the time having transitioned from the Boeing 727. Luckily, the CF6-80 engines restarted quickly before the aircraft hit the sea.

There was one other incident I recall where ice crystals in the fuel caused a Boeing 777, operated by BA, to land short of the runway because of restrictive fuel flow to the engines when added power was demanded. The fuel/oil heat exchanger was modified to correct the problem on RR engines.

You paint a very dire picture of the engines that power jet aircraft. I would suggest to you that your career at the pointy end wouldn't have lasted 41 years with the picture you paint if it were true...

Last edited by Turbine D; 6th Nov 2018 at 15:00. Reason: added paragraph
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Old 6th Nov 2018, 12:39
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To be fair, the FAA AD issued in response to the JAL 787 event did say, rather chillingly:

"We are issuing this AD to prevent susceptibility to heavy fan blade rubs, which could result in engine damage and a possible in-flight non-restartable power loss of one or both engines".

My understanding is that it was simply luck, and not by design, that the aircraft in question hadn't had both engines upgraded to the PIP2 standard, whereas some others in the fleet had.
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Old 6th Nov 2018, 12:45
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GEnx Icing Problem

Commander Taco,

This is from a 2016 thread on PPRuNe by the same title. So how do you test for something that isn't clearly understood and can't be reproduced like normal certification ice testing is done? Check the rest of the thread for more info...

This very serious generic type incident got buried by PPRuNe in the freighter forum

below is an excellent summary and a hope that it really can be addressed before it gets compounded into an accident.

I really don't see any of the big engines being totally immune from this until a level playing field design and cert standard is available

Boeing, GE Test Upgrades To Counter Engine Icing

Quote:
The July 31 incident, which hit an AirBridge Cargo 747-8F enroute from Moscow to Hong Kong, is the latest encounter of a high flying aircraft with the poorly-understood phenomenon of core engine icing. In this situation engines can surge and suffer power ‘roll-backs’ strike with little or virtually no warning because ice crystal clouds do not show up on weather radar. The problem is unusual because it generally occurs at high altitudes where atmospheric moisture levels are normally very low, and because it impacts the high pressure core of turbofans which were previously thought to be virtually immune from significant icing.
The AirBridge Cargo 747-8F was in darkness at 41,000-ft over China, near Chengdu, when it deviated to avoid a thunderstorm. According to Russian federal air transport authority Rosaviatsia, the aircraft entered an unseen area of icecrystal cloud not shown on the weather radar. Air temperature rose by 20 deg C to minus 34 deg C for a period of 86 seconds, and the crew switched the engine ice protection system from automatic to manual for around 10 minutes.
Around 22 minutes after flying through the warmer sector the aircraft’s No.2 (inboard left) engine surged and automatically restarted. The No.1 engine then experienced a speed reduction of 70% of N1. After landing at Hong Kong inspections revealed damage to the high-pressure compressor blades of the No.1 and 2 engines as well as the No.4.
Boeing says the flight test effort is focused on “verifying operational elements” of a change to the engine control software. The testing included monitoring the development of ice crystals on the GEnx-2Bs powering RC021, one of the company’s test airframes that has recently been used to evaluate fuel system upgrades and other performance improvements. The fully-instrumented aircraft was originally designated for 747-8I launch customer Lufthansa, but was retained as a test asset after the German carrier opted not to take the modified airframe.
The software changes to the GEnx-2B full authority digital engine control unit are designed to help the engine itself detect the presence of ice crystals when the aircraft is flying through a convective weather system. If detected, the new algorithms will schedule variable bleed valves to open and eject ice crystals that may have built up in the area aft of the fan, or in the flowpath to the core. The modification to the GEnx control logic leverages similar changes made to improve the ability of the CF6 to operate in similar icing conditions.
The ABC event is the latest in a growing number of engine icing incidents which have triggered recent changes in international certification requirements. Unlike traditional engine icing, in which supercooled liquid droplets freeze on impact with exposed outer parts of the engine as the aircraft flies through clouds, engine core ice accretion involves a complex process in which ice particles stick to a warm metal surface. These act as a heat sink until the metal surface temperature drops below freezing, thereby forming a location for ice and water (mixed phase) accretion. The accumulated ice can either block flow into the core, or shed into the downstream compressor stages and combustor, causing a surge, roll-back or other malfunction.
Until relatively recently is has been assumed ice particles would bounce off structures and pass harmlessly through bypass ducts, or melt inside the engine. Now there is evidence that there is an environment where there is a combination of water, ice and airflow which is susceptible to accreting ice. Like many of the other known core icing events, the ABC 747-8 incident occurred near convective clouds.
When incidents were first reported, investigators initially assumed supercooled liquid water, hail or rain was responsible because it had been lifted to high altitudes by updrafts. Most events were recorded above 22,000-ft, which is considered the upper limit for clouds containing supercooled liquid water. However, pilots reported that even though they were in cloud at the time, there was no evidence of the usual indications of trouble, including significant icing on the airframe or any other remarkable aspect to the weather.
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Old 6th Nov 2018, 12:56
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I think they changed something on the bypass doors back then plus maybe modified the engine software IIRC and it ended.
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Old 6th Nov 2018, 16:29
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I don't think either of us engineers ever suggested dual thrust loss is somehow fine
Uhh, except you kind of did....operative words in bold.

Further, although ICI caused some temporary thrust losses and engine damage, there were no shutdowns,
"Although" "Some" "Temporary".

Lots of hedging in that statement but hey, ok! There were no engine shutdowns, it's all good.

The only dual engine thrust loss that I recall happened on a Boeing 767 out of LA when the pilots on the pointy end accidentally shut off the fuel flow to the engines.
It was a Pratt JT9D powered B767-200 (not a particularly fine engine BTW. I operated this engine on both the B767 and B747 Classic) that suffered an engine surge right after takeoff. The crew followed the drill and went to select the EECs off. Unfortunately, the EEC switches were located down next to the fuel control cutoff switches, and they mistakenly switched the fuel control switches off instead of the EECs. Fortunately they quickly realized their error and the engines relit almost instantly. Part of the cause was attributed to poor ergonomics, IE: placing secondary engine control switches (EEC switches) next to primary engine control switches (fuel control switches). As you both probably know, the EEC switches were subsequently relocated to the overhead panel. The other three dual engine failures that come to mind (Air Canada, Air Mauritius and Air Transat) were caused by fuel starvation, not engine failure due to the issues we're seeing on the GenX and Trents. But again, you are rather making my point for me; when we can look at four dual thrust failures over a period of about 36 years and realize that not one of them was attributable to poor design/poorly understood phenomena/premature wear/etc, this new generation of large turbofan engines compares poorly to the first generation of P&W and GE engines.

So how do you test for something that isn't clearly understood and can't be reproduced like normal certification ice testing is done?
The answer is that you cannot certify until the problem is completely understood and associated risks mitigated. The JT9 and CF6 were well understood engines with perhaps hundreds of thousands of flight hours on them before they were hung on a big twin, the A300. And it was at least another 13 or 14 years until these engines fell under further scrutiny with the advent of ETOPS rules. While ice crystal icing is an elusive and a not well understood phenomena, the industry has been aware of it since approximately 2010. The solution is not an "Oh well, we've known about it for a while but don't understand it completely, but let's go ahead and certify anyway. We'll see what happens". Your collective attitude is reminiscent of the Challenger Disaster - IE: "We don't know enough about the behaviour of the O-rings in subzero weather but nothing has ever happened before so let's launch anyway". We all know how that turned out and the resulting investigation led Professor Diane Vaughan to say:
"Social normalization of deviance means that people within the organization become so much accustomed to a deviant behavior that they don't consider it as deviant, despite the fact that they far exceed their own rules for the elementary safety"
If we can agree that the first generation large high-bypass turbofan engines were superb, then to me it is normalizing deviance to suggest that these new engines are really, really good too. Particularly when the evidence points the other way. At the peak, there were approximately 50 Trent 787s grounded, and on the other engine we had to learn the hard way, as a result of the ANA incident, that we have to do engine runups to shed ice just like in the propeller days. At least, post-incidents, the right thing was done and aircraft were grounded. Had this have been done after the American Airlines cargo door blowout in 1972, perhaps 346 people on a Turkish Airlines DC10 wouldn't have died two years later.

The real shame of it though, is that the industry has to keep relearning lessons already learned. Below is a short summary (not written by me) of an incident from author Ernest K. Gann's flying career as detailed in his book: "The High And The Mighty".
Another interesting story to prove this point also almost cost Ernie his life. He was flying a DC-4 after the war for an airline. Ernie considered the DC-4 a very safe and reliable aircraft.

After takeoff on a flight from San Francisco to Honolulu, as the aircraft ascended above 3,000 feet, all four big radials began acting up, with at least one of the engines quitting entirely. Had the crew not taken immediate action to adjust throttles, mixtures, and prop pitch, all four engines likely would have stopped turning.

The mystery of the reluctant engines was solved after they nursed the aircraft back to San Francisco. Prior to the flight, unknown to the flight crew, the spark plugs had been replaced with a “new and improved” version for this model of Pratt & Whitney engines. The new engine/spark plug combination had never been field tested, but the Pratt & Whitney engineers had assured their higher-ups that their slide rules confirmed the plugs would work. The plugs did not; at least not above 3,000 feet. Had Ernie viewed the engine log books or made some inquiries about the nature of the maintenance performed on the aircraft, he may have been in a better position to evaluate the real flight risk on the ramp rather than being forced to deal with it in-flight.
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Old 6th Nov 2018, 17:49
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Commander Taco,
It was a Pratt JT9D powered B767-200 (not a particularly fine engine BTW.
I hate to tell you, but your operative words in your quote above weren't just hedgy, they just weren't true. I know because a co-worker of mine was on that aircraft and said the silence was eerie. The pilot who operated the switches did so without looking, the memory of his flying 727s and switch positions was etched in his mind. The CF6-80 had the quickest start time compared to the JT9s or RB211s, the RBs being the slowest. The Aircraft was within 300 feet of the ocean when the first CF6-80 started and began to generate enough power to begin a slow climb out. The pilots flew the aircraft on to Cincinnati, never explaining to the frightened passengers what happened.

Excerpt from the July 3,1987 New York Times
The latest Government order called for installing a guard between the two fuel levers to ''inhibit simultaneous activation'' of both devices.

It said that ''normal crew training emphasizes actuating only one engine-control switch at a time,'' adding, however, that the location of the devices on the Boeing 767 made it possible to operate switches for both engines simultaneously.

Planes like the Boeing 767 can readily maintain safe flight with only one engine operating.

The order imposed a 10-day deadline for making the change on all 77 of the Boeing 767's in use in the United States as well as on 30 domestic Boeing 757's using Rolls-Royce engines. The 767 involved in the incident Tuesday was powered by General Electric engines.
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Old 6th Nov 2018, 17:59
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Don't know if it's another A380 technical problem but BA269 is doing an air turnback to LHR right now after squawking 7700 going feet wet off the coast of Scotland.
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Old 6th Nov 2018, 18:24
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Originally Posted by Airbubba

Don't know if it's another A380 technical problem but BA269 is doing an air turnback to LHR right now after squawking 7700 going feet wet off the coast of Scotland.
A BA spokesman told Daily Star Online: "We’re sorry for the delay to our customers’ travel plans.

"The flight is returning to Heathrow due to a minor technical issue.

"Safety is always our very highest priority and our highly trained flight crew will always err on the side of caution."


I wonder what the spokesman's definition of "minor" is.
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