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Boeing to take over Embraer Commercial Aircraft Production

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Old 5th Jul 2018, 13:06
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Boeing to take over Embraer Commercial Aircraft Production

Boeing to take over Embraer Commercial Aircraft Production

https://www.aerotime.aero/clement.charpentreau/21513-boeing-takes-over-embraer-commercial-plane-production?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campai gn=breaking_news_boeing_takes_over_embraer_commercial_plane_ production_aerotime&utm_term=2018-07-05
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Old 5th Jul 2018, 13:42
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If in the past I had any doubt about Boeing and Airbus's duopoly, they have now been completely wiped out. Boeing + Embraer vs. Airbus + Bombardier.
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Old 5th Jul 2018, 14:33
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Are Boeing at least paying more than a nominal dollar for "their" bit of Embraer??
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Old 5th Jul 2018, 14:48
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The new company, encompassing Embraer’s commercial aircraft and services businesses, should make Boeing the market leader for smaller passenger jets, creating stiffer competition for the CSeries aircraft program designed by Canada’s Bombardier Inc (BBDb.TO) and backed by European rival Airbus SE (AIR.PA).

The deal values Embraer’s commercial aircraft operations, the world’s third-largest, at $4.75 billion and Boeing’s 80-percent ownership stake in the joint venture at $3.8 billion, the companies said.
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Old 5th Jul 2018, 18:14
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Yeah, but just because their stake is going to be valued at 3.8 billion doesn't mean that's what they are paying for it. I'm sure Airbus reckons their Cseries stake is worth more than the $1 they have paid!
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Old 5th Jul 2018, 18:23
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Hmm, well I strongly suspect that Embraer have entered into this deal with a degree of reluctance.

Had Bombardier stayed isolated, Embraer would likely have been able to compete solidly with anything coming out of Canada. With Airbus moving in on the act, due at least partly to Boeing bringing that failed trade dispute, Embraer cannot compete with that and are more or less forced to merge with Boeing.

Arguably Boeing needed Embraer more than Embraer needed Boeing, but once A+B became AirBardier there was no choice left. I fancy that Embraer's discussions with Boeing in recent months started off, "Well thanks Boeing, you've really screwed that up".
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Old 5th Jul 2018, 18:25
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Hmm a bit disappointing to see Embraer going. The duopoly is well and alive...
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Old 5th Jul 2018, 18:58
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Originally Posted by msbbarratt
Hmm, well I strongly suspect that Embraer have entered into this deal with a degree of reluctance.

Had Bombardier stayed isolated, Embraer would likely have been able to compete solidly with anything coming out of Canada. With Airbus moving in on the act, due at least partly to Boeing bringing that failed trade dispute, Embraer cannot compete with that and are more or less forced to merge with Boeing.

Arguably Boeing needed Embraer more than Embraer needed Boeing, but once A+B became AirBardier there was no choice left. I fancy that Embraer's discussions with Boeing in recent months started off, "Well thanks Boeing, you've really screwed that up".

A+B............why not BomBus.............oh wait nevermind
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Old 6th Jul 2018, 02:26
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Discussions that have going on for ages have maintained that Boeing needed engineering souls for the NMA and Embraer has manpower available. In addition Boeing has worked with Embraer on the KC390 and even though this only involves the commercial side, Boeing is able to market the KC390. This has always made a lot of sense with the increasing competition from Russia and China. Wouldn't be surprised to see 737s or even the Dreamliner built in Brazil to steer clear of the USA idiocy.
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Old 6th Jul 2018, 09:34
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Still astonished they are prepared to let go 80%. They must have been facing a significant cash-crunch for them to have agreed to this.
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Old 6th Jul 2018, 10:40
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It’s not a duopoly... Mitsubishi Regional Jet, Sukhoi, Comac...

Oh wait.....

Yeah ok it’s a duopoly still, some of the above do look good thou!
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Old 6th Jul 2018, 11:49
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@Torquelink
Still astonished they are prepared to let go 80%. They must have been facing a significant cash-crunch for them to have agreed to this.
Would be interested in hearing more about the rationale of this move from the Embraer side ! Does anyone have a link to a good independent source on this?

In a strategic move you have to include such issues as Trumps approach to trade. A 49% US interest would have made more sense from that point of view.

Hope to hear more.
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Old 6th Jul 2018, 12:29
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Wow. Almost at one fell swoop, 95% of civil airliner production has been swept into a cosy global Duopoly...

If ever the stage was set for China, possibly with Russian assistance, to announce its intentions to step onto the world aeronautical stage, that time surely has to be now.

My guess is the next 10 years in the aircraft manufacturing sector will be CONSIDERABLY more interesting than the last 10.

We'll see.




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Old 6th Jul 2018, 13:20
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Legal action round 2

How long before Boeing goes running back to the USgov citing that they now offer a small jet and that the silly % import tax should be applied to the c series after all. ???
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Old 6th Jul 2018, 18:47
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Originally Posted by Pizzacake
How long before Boeing goes running back to the USgov citing that they now offer a small jet and that the silly % import tax should be applied to the c series after all. ???
Difficult if the C series is built in Alabama....
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Old 6th Jul 2018, 22:16
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"Would be interested in hearing more about the rationale of this move from the Embraer side! Does anyone have a link to a good independent source on this?"

I'm not sure how independent you regard FlightGlobal to be:

https://www.flightglobal.com/news/ar...than-w-450001/ (may require login)

The interesting bit in this article is this: 'Consolidation has led to the rise of super-suppliers constructed to maximise leverage against Airbus and Boeing. Bombardier and Embraer both faced the prospect of negotiating with suppliers five to 10 times larger than themselves, to feed a regional and small narrowbody market that is tiny in comparison with the narrowbody operations at the big two.'

IOW, supplier consolidation means that both Bombardier and Embraer no longer have sufficient market clout to keep supplier costs under control. In business, if you cannot control costs, you're finished.

But duopoly? The real threats always come from unconsidered vectors. Here: https://quillette.com/2018/07/02/thr...ia-university/ a chap says: 'I had hoped sciences and engineering were somewhat insulated from the progressives. But if Media Studies students are Teaching Assistants in the College of Engineering, that means the progressives are infecting – yes, infecting – other departments than the social “sciences.” Yes, “sciences” because from what I can tell, true science has been all but abandoned in these fields. If they are truly spreading into the hard sciences and engineering, I fear for the bridges and skyscrapers n 20 years after our scientists and engineers are taught that physics and mathematics are products of the cis-white racist patriarchy and can be ignored for “your truth.”"

- to which a respondent replies: 'Would you fly in an airliner designed by someone who believes that ‘physics and mathematics are products of the cis-white racist patriarchy and can be ignored for “your truth.”’? And perhaps more to the point, would they? Perhaps it’s a non-question. Would it even fly? Would it ever make it out of the workshop? Not to worry. The Chinese are now making airliners.'

- which is a long-winded way of saying that The Duopoly's current engineering pre-eminence is not necessarily a given, in the long term. A fish rots from the head.
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Old 7th Jul 2018, 14:03
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While selling the C Series made sense for Bombardier, Embraer selling to Boeing really doesnt make sense.

All E series sales combine orders 141.
The relevant E 190 (43) and 195 (5) total 48 orders
C series orders CS100 (126) and CS 300 (276) orders to date, 402 total orders to date.
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Old 7th Jul 2018, 14:15
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I wonder just how much the those at the top levels in the management at the top of Embraer understand how much Boeing are now detested by other players, all it needs is for the Chinese's/Russian's and maybe others to enter the fray and it could all come tumbling down. Thank heavens I'm retired! !
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Old 7th Jul 2018, 14:57
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Originally Posted by underfire
While selling the C Series made sense for Bombardier, Embraer selling to Boeing really doesnt make sense.

All E series sales combine orders 141.
The relevant E 190 (43) and 195 (5) total 48 orders
C series orders CS100 (126) and CS 300 (276) orders to date, 402 total orders to date.
The E2 backlog is around 350 orders, plus around 170 of the original models yet to be delivered. Where are your figures from ?
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Old 7th Jul 2018, 15:23
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Originally Posted by underfire
While selling the C Series made sense for Bombardier, Embraer selling to Boeing really doesnt make sense.

All E series sales combine orders 141.
The relevant E 190 (43) and 195 (5) total 48 orders
C series orders CS100 (126) and CS 300 (276) orders to date, 402 total orders to date.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...-Jet_operators

...better have a redo on your numbers
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