JQ12 Diverts to Guam
Thread Starter
JQ12 Diverts to Guam
Local Queensland paper reporting that JQ12 a B787, from Tokyo Narita to Coolangata has diverted to Guam after a precautionary engine shutdown.
The article...
The article...
Capt clearly you don't recognize sarcasm.
That said, if it fell out of the sky into the ocean, that would be newsworthy?
Something happened, it was reported. That's news.
That said, if it fell out of the sky into the ocean, that would be newsworthy?
Something happened, it was reported. That's news.
Thread Starter
The reason I thought the item newsworthy was that it seems to me that there have been a significant number of inflight engine shutdowns, in the B787's relatively short service career.
There are a number of sources for this information, but the following website collates them nicely. (Note, I have no connection with the website, or it's owners, and I am sure that there are other sources available).
By my count there have been more than 20 inflight shutdowns on the B788, most on the GEnx, most related to oil issues, either quantity, or pressure indications. The Rolls Royce Trent also figures of course, and there are a number of instances where no reason for the shutdown is given.
A number of the shutdowns have occurred when the aircraft was most likely in an ETOPS/EDTO sector, and of course the B788 is widely used to fly ETOPS/EDTO routes.
At some stage the number of these shutdowns must become statistically significant!
There are a number of sources for this information, but the following website collates them nicely. (Note, I have no connection with the website, or it's owners, and I am sure that there are other sources available).
By my count there have been more than 20 inflight shutdowns on the B788, most on the GEnx, most related to oil issues, either quantity, or pressure indications. The Rolls Royce Trent also figures of course, and there are a number of instances where no reason for the shutdown is given.
A number of the shutdowns have occurred when the aircraft was most likely in an ETOPS/EDTO sector, and of course the B788 is widely used to fly ETOPS/EDTO routes.
At some stage the number of these shutdowns must become statistically significant!
The reason I thought the item newsworthy was that it seems to me that there have been a significant number of inflight engine shutdowns, in the B787's relatively short service career.
Capt, you do realize there are over 400 787s currently in service, with something around 5 million total flight hours?
Tdracer,
So with that deduction, that's 7 inflight shutdown I'm aware of...
400 Aircraft, 5 millions Hours.....
Inflight failure rate of 1 Failure every 700 000 ish hours....
That would be an ETOPS failure by the old methods. The thing never would have been certified.
So with that deduction, that's 7 inflight shutdown I'm aware of...
400 Aircraft, 5 millions Hours.....
Inflight failure rate of 1 Failure every 700 000 ish hours....
That would be an ETOPS failure by the old methods. The thing never would have been certified.
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First off, IFSD rate is number of shutdowns divided by the number of engine hours, not aircraft hours.
Baseline IFSD rate for 180 minute ETOPS is 0.02 (20/million hours.). Both GEnx and Trent 1000 are several times better than that.
Tdracer,
I'm just using your numbers. So that would be IFSD of 1 per 1.4 million hours on the 787 in general.
Anyway, there have been 19 shutdown inflight since 2013, which would make it worse.
So if 400 aircraft have done 5 million hours (10 million engine hours), that would be 1 IFSD every 530000 hours on round figures taking 747-8 hours into account, or am I missing something?
I'm just using your numbers. So that would be IFSD of 1 per 1.4 million hours on the 787 in general.
Anyway, there have been 19 shutdown inflight since 2013, which would make it worse.
So if 400 aircraft have done 5 million hours (10 million engine hours), that would be 1 IFSD every 530000 hours on round figures taking 747-8 hours into account, or am I missing something?
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