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TransAsia in the water?

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Old 7th Feb 2015, 15:43
  #401 (permalink)  
 
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The issue is that the solution is bigger than the problem.

Suppose the insurance companies insist on a minimum 1,000 hours flying experience for all First Officers, as they did when I started out.

All very well, but how on earth would you satisfy the demand for pilots if you had to wait several years for them to gain the shortfall in hours after leaving their Flight Academy with only minimal experience?

Where in the World would they work to gain all that experience?

The industry has evolved in a way which now makes it virtually impossible to bring back the old-style training/experience requirements.

The answer is that, for the foreseeable future, there is no answer.

Whereas at one time the issue was that the aircraft had to be certified as 'Perf A', it is now becoming a situation where it is the pilot who needs to be so qualified - as it is a given that modern aeroplanes have the performance required to comply with all that is asked of them by the regulators.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 15:53
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Spanna

I'll give you a solution right here and now. Let people fly on until they are say 65. If they are fit and competent, why wash them out? Why get rid of your most experienced people. If they're "too old" for the line, get them training.

I don't know about Taiwan, I suspect it is the same mentality as mainland China you're toast at 55. What nonsense.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 16:04
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I ain't so sure about the 60-65 band.

Some are great, some not so. I have seen a couple that have gone down hill in a relatively short period ( ie under a month) reaction times drop off, mental processing speed etc etc.

Then they get a "bob was having a bad day, he knows what he is doing" from the TRE in the sim.

Then your into he only has a year left he will be fine territory.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 16:08
  #404 (permalink)  
 
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SpannerInTheWerks
The US will see how that works now that first officers have to have 1500 hours.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 16:11
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MJ

I take your point but some deteriorate faster than others. I know some past it at 50 and others still sharp well into their 60's. Some, at any age who should have been never been allowed near an aircraft, ever.

Should there be such rigidity in the too old age? Just a thought.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 16:19
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Fair point I have only had issues with the 59-65's so far.

A reaction time test in the medical 55 plus would do the trick.

Agree it shouldn't be an age thing it should be a capability thing, unfortunately the LPC system isn't doing the job.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 17:01
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The US will see how that works now that first officers have to have 1500 hours.
I thought it was 1,500 hours in the US, but I wasn't sure.

Fair point I have only had issues with the 59-65's so far.
Well I'm still trying to keep the old grey matter working - currently studying for a Masters in Law in my late 50s.

Don't know what my reaction time is though - I suppose it's now a question of what's better a man who takes his time and presses the right button, or one who is young and inexperienced who jumps in and presses the wrong button!
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 17:10
  #408 (permalink)  
 
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China Airlines pilot jobs news for airline pilots and aviation schools

China Airlines Captain new hire age limit 56 apparently.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 17:26
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Apologies for the delay in replying, but my reactions aren't what they used to be...
After 40 years of aviation (not all of it airline flying) and 10 years of that instructing, I can't think of many accidents or sim/ line flying issues where split second decision-making (or lack of it) has been the problem.
In the vast majority of accidents and incidents, including those involving engine failure of a twin or multi, it is far more important to draw on experience or rule based, or skill based training to arrive at the correct decision, following from the correct diagnosis. Playing the video game with the "Do something, anything, NOW!" mindset causes more problems than it solves, and reacting sooner just gives the bad decision more time to have it's effect, particularly since the ensuing confirmation bias is not at all age related.
Just saying.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 17:57
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Please forgive a newbie ga pilot if this is a stupid question.
Given the data on the fdr and assuming no major unknowns, had the pilots done nothing more than use primary flight controls, would the plane remained under control?
In other words, was the auto feather and uptrim by itself enough to compensate for single engine flight?
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 18:16
  #411 (permalink)  
 
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Playing the video game with the "Do something, anything, NOW!" mindset causes more problems than it solves
Agreed, in this case they would have been much better doing nothing - just fly the damn airplane, control its speed, attitude, on a single engine ATR climbs well enough, they could have waited minutes to perform checklist at higher altitude, etc. Also an ATR pilot from a European airline told me his airline had 3 incidents in which prop feathered inadvertently due to a fault - no one crashed, in most cases the problem corrected itself after they went through the checklist and they regained full use of the engine.

Too quick actions and wrong actions - in this respect repeat of AF447.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 18:25
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Suppose the insurance companies insist on a minimum 1,000 hours flying experience for all First Officers, as they did when I started out.

All very well, but how on earth would you satisfy the demand for pilots if you had to wait several years for them to gain the shortfall in hours after leaving their Flight Academy with only minimal experience
exactly how it was done before....take guys with experience

So that us lot with thousands of hours don't lose out to some punk who paid his way into a job

its not a career if you have paid for it, its a hobby....
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 18:32
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Livesinafield

You're very right there. This is where I abhor corporate culture. Money, money, money. They have seemed to forgotten their most valuable asset, apart from their aircraft are their crews.

If aircraft keep flying into the ground or water on a regular basis the insurance companies will wake and do something even if the authorities don't.

They keep telling us safety is their first priority. BS its all about money. If they paid their crews what the're worth, with their experience taken into consideration I would believe them.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 18:51
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CNN scroll banner reporting problem with both engines...

It is possible there may be more to the issue than just securing the wrong engine. Previous posts have speculated the engine data does not add up...

Anyone heard anything new ?

Ignore...usual cow manure...

Last edited by Golf_Seirra; 7th Feb 2015 at 19:22.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 18:58
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16024 puts it very well. I don't fly anymore, but now this has drifted into age and training I feel involved. Sop monkey is right that an instant solution is to let people continue flying until they start failing medicals or OPCs. I understand they do this in Oz.

Just as "speed is everything", so is experience everything. Not that experienced pilots don't screw up, but they do avoid the errors of inexperience - of which over hasty reaction is a major example. OTOH they become vulnerable to complacency and, possibly, arrogance. Check what I said: I didn't say they become complacent, etc. I said they become VULNERABLE to it. Difficult, isn't it? The recruitment and training problem is how to recruit pilots with enough experience to call on when the automation lets them down. Because once they are on an automated type, they will stagnate in terms of handling ability, SA and airmanship. This is not prejudice - I've been in the profession 50 yrs, I still spend three days a week in the back of a sim, and this is what I see. I acknowledge that automation has prevented more accidents than it has caused, but it has caused some. And if you can't detect yaw because some automatic compensation masks it - that suggests the test pilots aren't properly representing the pilots to the designers.

I wasn't aware of the US 1500 hr requirement, but I think it must be the right approach. Time will tell

So, my point is that training, recruitment and certification (legislation, too) ALL contribute to the problem of crew errors. Experience, in my view, is a major defence. But there is no simple solution.
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 19:11
  #416 (permalink)  

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It will be interesting to see whether the overall outcomes of these proficiency checks will be published, in the interest of openness & transparency?

Behind the scenes, a scrutiny of the training records of the previous performances with these latest "independent" results might well reveal some interesting "blips".

CRM issues will not be resolved as the culture is so ingrained.
Start with the management.............
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 19:12
  #417 (permalink)  
 
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It's a long time ago now - 14 January 1969 - since a BUA 1-11 crashed on departure from Milan Linate. The crew heard a bang from an engine immediately after take-off.

There was a third crew member in the cockpit - a Line Training Captain checking the co-pilot. The crew heard a bang from an engine immediately after take-off. This Line Training Captain misidentified the faulty engine and suggested to the Captain that he close the No.1 Engine throttle lever - which he did, and he then shut down the engine.

The aircraft was then force landed on snow covered ground, fortunately without loss of life or serious injury.

The accident investigators concluded that this accident was caused by the crew failing to recognise their mistake, which had resulted in them shutting down the wrong engine (No.1) in error following a compressor bang/surge in the No.2 engine. The crew also didn't realise the No.2 engine throttle lever had inadvertently also been partially closed.

Possibly a somewhat similar scenario to this TransAsia accident with a similar crew set-up of a senior line trainer on the jump seat?
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 19:14
  #418 (permalink)  
 
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I normally only browse but I see this thread rapidly developing into P2F discussions, age and experience discussions with statements being made that make no sense and have no bearing on this crash.


Let's face it, there are guys with 10-20.000 hours that barely know how to fly or use basic CRM principles and there are guys with 200 hours that do know how to fly and have a proper head on them with the good mentality...


Instead of discussing what measure should be taken to keep the old guys and make it difficult/near impossible for the newer guys, the solution should be in the training and screening itself. Keep the crap out in the first place and KISS.


And then perhaps return on-topic .
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 19:15
  #419 (permalink)  
 
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I acknowledge that automation has prevented more accidents than it has caused
Has it?

I'd be interested in examining that oft-claimed statement. Comparing the number of accidents & deaths caused by 'pilot error' on old-school aircraft with the number caused,or contributed to, by automation may yield interesting (and disturbing) results.

If we haven't reached parity yet, we will soon unless something is done about it...
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Old 7th Feb 2015, 19:22
  #420 (permalink)  
 
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Just a theory here, but have another look at the FDR trace, in particular around the time the #1 was slotted.

By pure happenstance, possibly because of where the #1 PL had been retarded to at this time, most of the engine instruments at this time would have been giving very similar readings, comparing left vs right.

Perhaps a contributing factor in misidentification?
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