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FAA Grounds 787s

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Old 19th Mar 2013, 16:18
  #1341 (permalink)  
 
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@kenneth house
those three incidents plus the battery pack that Secura burned up in 2006--do you suppose that overcharging just might possibly be involved here, considering the charred remains of a battery thermal runaway, even though supposedly the FDR did not show evidence of overcharge and thus thermal runaway did not occur.
There was no charge monitoring system attached to the battery that caught fire in 2006 at the Securaplane facility. This improper test set-up was determined to be the cause of the fire, not the design of the battery itself.

Both the JTSB and the NTSB have stated that they could find no faults with the charging system aboard JA829J (JL8) or JA804A (NH692) and both have ruled out overcharging as a possible cause.
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Old 19th Mar 2013, 17:38
  #1342 (permalink)  
 
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Presumably "no faults with the charging system" simply means that the units went again through some standard factory tests, and passed. In fact these standard tests probably (hopefully) evolved a bit, it would actually be interesting to read more details about that.

And I am not sure how one can "rule out overcharging" at this stage ... does it simply mean that some thresholds were not (never?) exceeded for some measured physical values (which ones?) and if so, the statement is rather weak.
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Old 19th Mar 2013, 18:00
  #1343 (permalink)  
 
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slf4life:
The pictures, the '...eliminates the potential for fire' captions are made for public consumption I assume. So I'll be generous and surmise they mean a CABIN fire
Actually, they really meant a fire inside the FIRE BOX.
What they are saying is that regardless of to what extent and how violently the battery melts down, and how volatile the liquid and vapor emitted may be, there will not be open flame inside the FIRE BOX. All sorts of exothermic chemical reactions, but not flame. Therefore no chance of fire. This statement was made in technical presentations, not just PR words. You just have to be very careful how the terms are defined.
Earlier comments about how the chemicals in the battery generate their own oxygen and therefore no air was needed to have flame were somewhat misleading. The chemical reactions within the active material and electrodes do not require external oxygen as part of a battery thermal runaway, but they do not release free oxygen nor by themselves count as fire.
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Old 19th Mar 2013, 18:05
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Originally Posted by inetdog
The chemical reactions within the active material and electrodes do not require external oxygen as part of a battery thermal runaway, but they do not release free oxygen nor by themselves count as fire.
Not my original understanding, but if so why not fill the firebox with nitrogen like the tyres ?
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Old 19th Mar 2013, 22:26
  #1345 (permalink)  
 
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Perhaps we're getting too hung up about the fire. Airport firies and NTSB say there was a fire, and my Gran said there’s no smoke without fire; but Boeing claims there wasn’t one. Who do we believe, who has most credibility?
It may not matter too much because quite apart from fire all Special Certification Conditions must be met. One requires “Safe cell temperatures and pressures must be maintained during any foreseeable charging or discharging condition and during any failure of the charging or battery monitoring system not shown to be extremely remote”. Quantitatively that’s a target of once in 10 million flight hours, whereas real life had 2 failures in 52,000 hours. Modified battery system certainly looks much safer but Boeing must convince skeptics that it’s at least 200 times more reliable. That's challenging.
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Old 19th Mar 2013, 22:48
  #1346 (permalink)  
 
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Step 1. Hit the "Quote button" (words inside a balloon icon) from the format bar in the reply screen.
Step 2. Paste in the words you want to quote.
Rinse and repeat as needed.
I see, Thanks inetdog
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Old 19th Mar 2013, 23:03
  #1347 (permalink)  
 
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I for one am not going to rush to fly on it - at least on ETOPS routes.
I, for one, don't care whether it is ETOPS or not. SR111 caught fire 30 minutes from Halifax and 40 minutes from BOS. It didn't matter, did it? And AC 797 had a rear lav fire over the continental USA about 30 years ago, emergent landing at CVG, but still a couple of dozen pax died.
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Old 19th Mar 2013, 23:14
  #1348 (permalink)  
 
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The box doesn't contain enough oxygen to support combustion for long. So if the products of a thermal runaway ignited, they'd self extinguish pretty quickly without a source of additional oxygen. Of course, you'd still have the heat of the battery event to deal with, but not a significant amount more from combustion.
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Old 19th Mar 2013, 23:38
  #1349 (permalink)  
 
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Chu chu,

Except for the fact that the battery generates its own oxygen when "it lets go"
And is a key reason why it is very difficult to put out the fire.......
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 01:03
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Except for the fact that the battery generates its own oxygen when "it lets go"
And is a key reason why it is very difficult to put out the fire.......
True, but in a limted quantity that eventually is consumed and the fire self extinguished. Chidren's sparkelers come to mind

In the meantime simply ensure that the thermal heat and products stay confined.


O2 masks ala valujet etal. are yet other examples of controling the risk.
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 03:48
  #1351 (permalink)  
 
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ozaub:

Modified battery system certainly looks much safer but Boeing must convince skeptics that it’s at least 200 times more reliable. That's challenging.
Boeing just put the battery in a heavy box and redefined 'safe'. Now, if one cell runs away, its still safe. Since the surrounding components and structure are protected and dangerous gasses will be vented overboard.

Since they still don't understand the root cause of the runaway, 200 times whatever has no meaning. You can't say that this was a statistical anomaly or that we'll be seeing batteries pop every few months from now on. But it won't matter.
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 04:01
  #1352 (permalink)  
 
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Since they still don't understand the root cause of the runaway, 200 times whatever has no meaning. You can't say that this was a statistical anomaly or that we'll be seeing batteries pop every few months from now on. But it won't matter.
Safety of the modified system will surely be demonstrated by analysis, and the white paper has almost certainly already been written, by someone with an impeccable reputation, and approved by a lot of others. What can FAA say - "pants-on-fire"? "No sir, no fires around here."
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 07:07
  #1353 (permalink)  
 
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Beyond damage control

Boeing is trying some damage control redefining "thermal runaway" and "fire".

My understanding of the reaction that occurs during thermal runaway (which, that's undisputed, did occur at the cell and battery level) involves recombination of the oxygen originally weakly trapped in the Lithium Cobalt Oxide cathode, with the anode's material (is that graphitic carbon ?). That generates heat (unless I err, chemically in addition of any electrical effect), and smoke, and propagates. Boeing even puts a "fire hazard" sticker on the stuff.

Draw your own conclusions on if thermal runaway at the cell or battery level qualifies as (contained) fire onboard.

That said, we can have some trust that what Boeing proposes greatly reduces the risk that thermal runaway of a cell degenerate into thermal runaway at the battery level; and trust that thermal runaway at the cell or even battery level, if it occurred, will no longer by itself endanger the plane. Only the combination of these events with some other event where the battery is needed could cause a disaster.

Thus questions now are
1) How likely does cell/battery failure remains ?
2) What if a battery no longer supplies adequate power ? There are variants: open or short circuit, degraded voltage source..
3) Are there other oversight of failure modes elsewhere in that plane?

Answering 1) is important, and depends a lot on what the root cause was in the first place. Unfortunately, here we can only speculate. I guess Boeing, and I hope the NTSB/JTSB, have much more information by analyzing the data available on the battery's history, and the other batteries. My guess is they'll get to the bottom of it.
2) Is about airplane safety, and well understood by the specialists (not me).
3) Well, I hope both Boeing and certification authorities are busy at it.

Last edited by fgrieu; 20th Mar 2013 at 07:31.
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 08:05
  #1354 (permalink)  
 
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Unlike the majority here who seem to think they know better than the qualified guys and girls at Boeing, Thales and Yuasa, I believe that the batteries and associated circuitry are fundamentally well designed and built (and no, I'm not a Boeing fan!)

Well-built batteries should only fail if they are mistreated electrically, and since we know that the entire electrical system was never tested as a whole before the planes started flying, that is where we should look for a root cause.

If this is the case, then the additional margins on charge and discharge adopted by Boeing are a correct measure to enable the battery to absorb abnormal electrical conditions. I would hope that these limits have been worked out on the basis of measurements on actual aircraft, and not plucked out of thin air by the bean-counters.

All this fuss over the battery box is purely political: the FAA mandated that there should be no fire, Boeing believed the batteries wouldn't fail catsatrophically (after all, they ARE an essential system) and perhaps took a rather cavalier attitude towards containment. But they did fail and catch fire, hence the need to show compliance even if all goes well and no other battery will ever catch fire again.

Another reason for the fuss over the box may be to divert attention from the design oversight in not fully testing the complete electrical system before flight, and the consequent self-regulation can of worms.

What would be interesting, and not publicised as far as I know, is how much the battery capacity has been reduced and how this impacts on emergency operations when the battery is doing what it is supposed to do (length of flight without other sources of power, number or duration of brake applications, number of APU start attempts...)
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 08:13
  #1355 (permalink)  
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There are millions of Li-ion batteries being recharged perfectly safely every day in 'cheap' stuff such as phones, laptops, tablets etc with an extremely low failure rate (thermal runaway wise) so it's achievable for Boeing surely.
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 08:33
  #1356 (permalink)  
 
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This is what a small/medium sized Lithium battery looks like when it goes bang. It was brand new, not being charged, not being discharged and it was stored in an air conditioned environment. The amount of soot and gas was incredible and and it took us ages to clean the premises. The acrid smell lingered for months.
It was shipped back to the manufacturer who could not find any cause for the fire. I simply do not trust these batteries anymore.
Per

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Old 20th Mar 2013, 08:35
  #1357 (permalink)  
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fizz57
Unlike the majority here who seem to think they know better than the qualified guys and girls at Boeing, Thales and Yuasa ...
But we do know better BECAUSE:-
... and since we know that the entire electrical system was never tested as a whole before the planes started flying, that is where we should look for a root cause.
Had they have tested the complete system in a more rigourous manner that closely replicated in service life, then folks might think that they know less than Boeing and their pals.

Boeing appears to have placed money and marketing above engineering - such as moving head office 2000 miles away to keep their hands clean. Yet, every company that gets to the top of the pile will become over confident and pull itself down several rungs. It is only a question of when, not if.

Last edited by PAXboy; 20th Mar 2013 at 13:07. Reason: typographical
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 09:16
  #1358 (permalink)  
 
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What prevents Boeing from switching to NiCad-batteries? Their 777 has them "ready".
There must be some blocker?
Duration of recertification? Time to modify existing frames? Functional needs? LiIon-Contracts?
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 10:28
  #1359 (permalink)  
 
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What prevents Boeing from switching to NiCad-batteries? Their 777 has them "ready".
I suggest you read the Tech Log thread to find out.
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Old 20th Mar 2013, 10:52
  #1360 (permalink)  
 
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Smart suggestion but no answer.
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