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Bhoja Air 213 down near Islamabad

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Bhoja Air 213 down near Islamabad

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Old 22nd Apr 2012, 18:10
  #81 (permalink)  
 
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As regards Pakistan, no expats = no experts. Their appalling fatal accident record proves it. They cannot fly planes safely on their own. But they will keep going. Anyone daft enough to roll the dice must accept the odds. Ditto with Korean, African " carriers", and a host of Russian and Eastern European airlines. Not forgetting Mexico and many airlines south of the Mexican border. Including Cubana. Oh and a few legacy Far Eastern airlines too. As for Indonesia......Yep, flying is not a safe business folks.
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Old 22nd Apr 2012, 18:43
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can you provide accident rates in pakistan vs any western country which would justify you statement?

last time i check the number of fatal crashes of pakistani registered civilian aircrafts stood between 20 and 25. even if it were 25, 25 crashes in 65 years isnt bad.

how on earth have we not managed to crash all our airplanes since we been operating airlines for 65 years? its a freking miracle we have managed to survive without expats.

expats do bring in experience, but that can be catered for by hiring pilots who have operated with foreign carriers.
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Old 22nd Apr 2012, 20:32
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Originally Posted by denlopviper
why cant it be a microburst? why does it have to be a very complex chain of events starting when the mother gave birth to the captain?
Simples.
Statistics/probability.
When was the last time an airliner has been knocked right out of the sky by a gust ???
How many airliners have crashed since that last time for more conventional causes ?
Dozens if not hundreds.
(If we look for an aircraft blown out of the sky from similar altitude (DAL 191 was from 800 ft) we would have to go very far in history, if we would ever find one)

Occam's Razor applies.
Also here probably.

My hope is for NTSB to find out and communicate what really happened.
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Old 22nd Apr 2012, 21:06
  #84 (permalink)  
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Machinbird:

Things are changing. For example you can download the Air Blue accident report here: http://www.caapakistan.com.pk/downlo...20-ABQ-202.pdf
The only thing about that report that bothers me is that each page is marked, "Confidential".
As I recall the report wasn't released because the aviation authoritives have suddenly seen the light. I believe the families of the passengers retained very good legal counsel who convinced a high-level Pakistani judge to order the release of the report.
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Old 22nd Apr 2012, 21:15
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Boeing 737-236, G-BKYI
AAIB Bulletin No: 1/98 Ref: EW/C96/11/3 Category: 1.1

http://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&rct...rNAF4O8c1Y9GYA
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Old 22nd Apr 2012, 21:17
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last time i check the number of fatal crashes of pakistani registered civilian aircrafts stood between 20 and 25. even if it were 25, 25 crashes in 65 years isnt bad.

without supporting data, that is an irrelevence. unless it is apportioned to a comparable parameter.

you have two countries, one has a fleet with one aircraft that does one one hour flight per year and has a single incident every year

the other has a a fleet of 10,000, all doing 1,000 hours per year and has a single indicent every year...

which would you rather fly on ?
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Old 23rd Apr 2012, 01:06
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AirDisaster.Com: Statistics

Has data by region and by airframe.

Specific airlines in the region are 10-20x the rate of N. Europe/N. America operators.
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Old 23rd Apr 2012, 17:58
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Shaheen have expat plots from Iraq and Indonesia as Captains but they dont hire foreigners anymore.
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Old 24th Apr 2012, 19:21
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"My hope is for NTSB to find out and communicate what really happened."

henra:

NTSB (from the US?) presumably due to Boeing aircraft in the mishap?
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Old 24th Apr 2012, 19:33
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Originally Posted by Lonewolf_50
NTSB (from the US?) presumably due to Boeing aircraft in the mishap?
Yep. Although they might not go the full length they would be going if it was on US soil or an US Airline.
Still it will probably be the best (and most objective) we will ever get to read regarding this accident.
And there are some slightly strange aspects to it (long wreckage path if reported correctly, visibility at the time is not yet really clear to me, but I haven't read anything about thick fog / zero visibility, etc.), so it potentially could be of slightly more interest than other cases where the surrounding conditions already pointed 95% towards the real cause , e.g.. spatial disorientation in zero visibility conditions at night over the sea flying manually after takeoff....
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Old 25th Apr 2012, 05:48
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Bhoja aircraft banned for general flights

According to a private television channel, Airworthiness Instructor CAA cancelled the Airworthiness Certificate for 2 flights of Bhoja Airlines bound for Islamabad via Lahore from Karachi.
“ During inspection”, Instructor said, “ Planes were found unfit for general flights both domestic and international. They are grounded until clearance and obtainment of Airworthiness Certificate”.

Bhoja aircraft banned for general flights
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Old 25th Apr 2012, 10:52
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what is the preliminary investigation report stating.....
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Old 25th Apr 2012, 11:03
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Roaldp

the report is a bunch of media crap. Bhoja only has 2 airplane and 2 more in the process of being purchased. 1 hull lost, 1 remains. operations suspended due to the accident, not due to safety violations.
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Old 25th Apr 2012, 11:45
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I say we retire everything over 32
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Old 25th Apr 2012, 14:55
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Confirmed in Avation Herald today

"On Apr 24th 2012 the CAA announced that the airworthiness certificates of two aircraft of Bhoja Air were suspended over concerns on a number of constituent parts including landing gear and gear doors, the aircraft were found unfit for general flight. The aircraft remain grounded until found airworthy again."
Crash: Bhoja B732 at Islamabad on Apr 20th 2012, impacted terrain on approach

The Economist:
"A rush to judgment, irresponsible comments from the government and three separate investigations are not going to do much to restore flyers' confidence in the Pakistani government's ability to safely regulate its airlines. Pakistan's state-owned flag carrier, Pakistan International Airlines, was barred from all EU airports for eight months in 2007, so it's clear that international air-travel regulators haven't had the highest opinion of Pakistan's aviation sector in the past. So far, the chaos following this incident—the second major crash near Islamabad in as many years—is only making the Pakistani government and its Civil Aviation Authority look worse."
The plane crash in Pakistan: After the tragedy, a rush to judgment | The Economist

Clive Irving:
"... travelers can be playing a form of Russian roulette if they book flights on obscure airlines in countries beyond the oversight of either American or European regulators."
Pakistan Airplane Crash: Why Bhoja Air Flight Was Risky - The Daily Beast
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Old 26th Apr 2012, 04:29
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From Pakistan Today, 26 april 2012

"LAHORE/KARACHI - Defence Minister Chaudhry Ahmed Mukhtar ordered the grounding of all private airlines until they obtained requisite technical clearance certificates, just as two planes of Shaheen Air International narrowly escaped accidents at Lahore and Karachi airports on Sunday.
Talking to reporters, the defence minister ordered for inspection of planes of all private airlines to ensure safety of passengers.
He said all private airlines had been given a shakedown message to ground their planes for thorough checking by the Civil Aviation Authority from tomorrow.
Mukhtar said if proved that the recently crashed Bhoja airline plane was not fit for flight‚ the license of the airline would be cancelled."
I particularly like the last sentence.....
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Old 26th Apr 2012, 17:54
  #97 (permalink)  
 
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Mukhtar said if proved that the recently crashed Bhoja airline plane was not fit for flight‚ the license of the airline would be cancelled."
Sounds like the Pakistanis have it all backward. You are supposed to confirm the airworthiness of aircraft BEFORE granting them a license.
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Old 27th Apr 2012, 04:44
  #98 (permalink)  
 
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Chain of command?

So in Pakistan the Defense Minister runs the Civil Aviation Authority and grounds all the private airlines but lets the state-owned airline continue flying? Is this really how things are supposed to work in Pakistan or is this just another subtext in the ongoing Army vs. the Civilian government power struggle?
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Old 27th Apr 2012, 08:20
  #99 (permalink)  
 
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So in Pakistan the Defense Minister runs the Civil Aviation Authority and grounds all the private airlines but lets the state-owned airline continue flying? Is this really how things are supposed to work in Pakistan or is this just another subtext in the ongoing Army vs. the Civilian government power struggle?
PAKISTAN at it's best.....
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Old 2nd May 2012, 15:58
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Didn't I just see that some Pak civil aviation authority has reported that "a fuel tank blew up"? What's -that- all about?
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