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Yemeni airliner down?

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Old 9th Jul 2009, 01:41
  #221 (permalink)  
 
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During my initial IR training (granted, this was 20+ years ago), the very FIRST approaches I was trained to do were non-precision-NDB, VOR - also with circling approaches thrown in for fun. Later on, these were done also at night and in actual wx (fog, light rain)...sometimes down to minimums.
THEN, I moved onto precision approaches, including back course localizer.
On the advice of my instructors, and my examiner, I kept current on ALL approaches either in the airplane with an instructor/safety pilot, OR, booked some time with an instructor in a FRASCA - I completed my 'recurrent' training every 60 days, and kept that up for years.

This was all part 91 before I started flying part 135. Expensive - a little bit...but a heck of lot cheaper than making a hole in the ground! Has training changed THAT much in the past 20 years??
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Old 9th Jul 2009, 03:16
  #222 (permalink)  
 
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oh, and I don't see you complaining about the cost of a ticket...let's triple your ticket cost and do it right, ok?
Now, now, don't blame the passengers for all the problems in the business

The fact is, as with any product, price is a factor. It is up to the regulators to ensure this is balanced by safety standards.
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Old 9th Jul 2009, 03:27
  #223 (permalink)  
 
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regulators insure safety.

HA.

its all about money.
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Old 9th Jul 2009, 03:32
  #224 (permalink)  
 
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The price of a ticket has far less to do with costs than with what the competition charges. Companies adjust costs to meet the competition.

When there is enough supply, the price falls to the level of the dumbest competitor.

GB
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Old 9th Jul 2009, 10:45
  #225 (permalink)  
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Sounds of skidding as we swerve back onto the road from the bush.

Anyone any suggestions as to what they were doing where they were (apart from crashing, of course)?
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Old 9th Jul 2009, 17:42
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Any progress on recorder recovery? And, who (Country) is looking?
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Old 9th Jul 2009, 18:14
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Hi,

No.
France.

Bye.
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 03:25
  #228 (permalink)  
 
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Any Hard Info yet?

It seems incredible that even now we seem to have ZERO hard information about the circumstances of this accident?!!

I also note that the (Second) AF 447 thread is now 170+ pages long and wonder why the difference?
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 07:12
  #229 (permalink)  

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Philipat

as sarcastic as it may sound, there were not enough 'real' french passports on board...

We unforatunately live in a world where the passport of the person gone amiss is more important than anything else. After all those passports sell the newspapers.

In the case of AF447 don't forget that a lot of speculation is fuelled by the fact that the A330-200 is the basis for a certain tanker aircraft as well...

Maybe our thoughts should be on today's 3 500 people who have and will die in a traffic accident and the aproximate 55 000 who will die of hunger? I know they don't sell headlines, but their deaths are as real as the others.
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 09:57
  #230 (permalink)  
 
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sad but most likely true!

Hunter58

Well even though you are most likely right, there could be another reason.

With out knowing, there is a possibility that a lot of people suspect that the Yemeni accident will end up being and unfortunate pilot error, even with out having evidence.

The AF447 accident has from the start, had a lot of wide ranging speculation surrounding it, a sense of sad mystery if you will.

r
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 15:48
  #231 (permalink)  
 
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Philipat:

Well, Air France 447 has an air of mystery (esp. given that the black boxes may never be recovered) that this flight does not have.

How many individual pieces of debris have been reviewed on the other forum? There isn't as much on this forum. This seems like a more straightforward case but less info is public afaics at this stage.
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 16:02
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This plane, in suspect flying condition, crashed on a night nonprecision approach with howling winds. AF447, OTOH, disappeared from cruise, the normally safest phase of flight.

GB

Last edited by Graybeard; 10th Jul 2009 at 16:03. Reason: reword
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 18:46
  #233 (permalink)  
 
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In 1966/67 I was a training captain on 4-engined aeroplanes based in Aden (ODRK).

For 6 months of the year, we were on runway 26 and for 6 months of the year we were on runway 08. Twice a month I would go flying with 3 or 4 F/Os to practice night circuits.

There was never a problem on runway 26 for there were lots of lights and clues for orientation.

Then we would go on to runway 08 and after take-off there were no visual clues for we were over the water immediately after take-off.

Despite the fact that I used to brief all of them before take-off that they should mainly stick to instruments until they had proper visual clues, several of them started turning downwind in a descending turn which would have ended up in a flight into the ocean had it been allowed to continue.

You would be surprised how many pilots will try to fly a visual circuit with no visual clues!
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 19:29
  #234 (permalink)  
 
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JW411

I'm glad you posted what you did. there are such tragedies waiting for those pilots who have not had great instruction...or even bothered to read a few good aviation books.

In my 34 years of flying...I've started to '''fall ''' for illusions. But instruments, and thinking ahead can minimize that sort of thing.

I once flew a circling apch (vfr conditions) into midway/chicago IL, USA. My copilot was very new (though having some 5000 hours) and when I:

1. pre computed my headings for the maneuver

2. had her tune up the ILS to the runway we were circling to, even though we had used the VOR to get to the circling portion.

she said she had never heard of such things. I also declared a min altitude for each segment of the maneuver, promising to join final no lower than X feet at X dme.

I looked out the window only briefly, and after I had stablized on each segment of the circle.

YOU HAVE TO THINK to fly...let's all start thinking, shall we?
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 20:17
  #235 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by JW411
You would be surprised how many pilots will try to fly a visual circuit with no visual clues!
Not only coming from yonks of experience, but possibly prophetic in this case too...
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Old 10th Jul 2009, 21:33
  #236 (permalink)  
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Once again folks - this appears to have NOTHING to do with visual or non-precision approaches. Look at the map?
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Old 11th Jul 2009, 05:50
  #237 (permalink)  
 
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Once again folks - this appears to have NOTHING to do with visual or non-precision approaches. Look at the map?
If you extend the downwind leg and slowly lose altitude from the what the visual pattern altitude should be, you end up at the crash site.

As this is a straight course and less likely associated to a turn some other distraction may have happened. Remember the otherwise intact 1011 ending in the Everglades when the 3 man crew was dedicated to get the landing gear ind9cator working.
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Old 11th Jul 2009, 08:18
  #238 (permalink)  
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3m- thank you - the first 'theory' as to how they got there. Plausible indeed, but it does NOT fit with either a 'visual' approach nor a non-precision once they supposedly 'headed off' downwind. This is what I am trying to say - the 'difficulties' of a visual or NPA ar accepted, but in your theory they had 'abandoned' any sort of 'pattern' and would have been wandering aimlessly, would they not?

Anyway, blackboxes etc will tell.
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Old 11th Jul 2009, 09:36
  #239 (permalink)  
 
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I'm still not 100% convinced that this accident followed a missed approach. I know that at least one official statement suggested that a go-around had been initiated and I read of one eye-witness who said that the aircraft had 'veered away' in the latter stages of an approach.
Is it possible that both the above referred to another aircraft and not the Yemenia?
The crash site is on the run in to the HAI VOR from the north. If they were following the published approach procedure I would assume that they would aim to arrive overhead the VOR with plenty of terrain clearance then on to the HA NDB to set themselves up for the visual approach just as the approach plates that have been posted in this thread show.
I mentioned QNH/QFE very early on and others have mentioned it too. Could it be that the wrong altimeter setting was chosen which resulted in them descending into the sea before reaching the VOR?
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Old 11th Jul 2009, 09:47
  #240 (permalink)  
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I have been through that mental loop and the altitude error is so large that it would require a mis-read on the scale of the 'old' 3-pointer altimeters (the '10,000ft error' to put them in the sea there. I think the entry altitude should be 6000ft = around 200mb?

One other possibility is some sort of 'home-built' let-down to a 'round-the-rock' visual - that went wrong - then you could look at a sub-scale error?
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