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Spanair accident at Madrid

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Old 6th Jun 2009, 02:13
  #2501 (permalink)  
 
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Lucky,

Read the thread, or at least the last 20 or so pages!
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 14:16
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Interim report

It seems that an interim report has been published today, but the article says itīs "inconclusive" and the investigation will continue:

Interim report on Spanish plane crash inconclusive - NewsFlash - mlive.com
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 17:33
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Lessons learned are what's important

What is important are the lessons learned!

Conclusions by a party are not important albeit when the party is depended on by the public to take a stance it is disapointing to the public. After all it's a point of closure in their minds.

On the other hand a conclusion may be detrimental to others who disagree to the point where they walk away completely from the lessons learned.

Never have I seen an investigation where we actually believe more than 90% of what we think we know. It's the unknowns that bother us until we know. In the meantime we work with what we've got and know we know and develop our lessons learned from that.

I tend to read the final reports for issues and recommedations rather than conclusions.

edited to remove references

Last edited by lomapaseo; 17th Aug 2009 at 23:06.
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 19:03
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lomapaseo;

I am rarely cynical but always skeptical. This may be one of my cynical moments where optimism is defeated by experience.

That said up front, I fully agree that the lesson(s) is(are) important. The difficulty is, and this is an issue not limited to aviation, many times, "learning the lesson" is set aside in favour of those other factors.

Today it is almost trite to state it, but I have always been and remain, deeply mistrustful of corporate interests and therefore of corporate governance in all its forms, private and public whether intentional or through inability or plain incompetence. This stance has proven correct but requires an ameliorating clarification. I think that true malfeasance such as cutting corners with knowledge of increased risk, something Diane Vaughan called, "amoral calculation", was rare if it occured at all. Accidents occur when people are doing exactly what they think is the right thing, under the best of intentions and a "clear" understanding. That is the lesson here, not this SOP or that MEL procedure but in the "Not Learning", (I know you know this but I am speaking broadly here, not "in response"). In fact, some who are writing now regarding the "meta-themes" being discussed on a number of different threads on PPRuNe are turning from "training, experience, pay, fatigue" to the larger issues of "why accidents?" and finding it in the "not learning"; it is not found in intentional avoidance of solutons however they may be conceived. I think the notion of "Special Interests" captures far too narrow a field of vision to be helpful in resolving complexity and the addressing of risk and the very notion of "accident".

I think the upcoming ISASI conference will have something on this.

This April, 2003 article from AW&ST states very well, what I mean:
Echoes of Challenger
Evidence is growing that NASA failure to fully implement lessons from the earlier accident played a key role in the loss of Columbia.

The Columbia accident investigation board is beginning to embrace assertions that the same management loopholes and flaws that resulted in the Challenger accident 17 years ago also played key roles in the Columbia tragedy.

Such findings would mean that in effect similar NASA program deficiencies are directly culpable in the death of 14 astronauts and the loss of two shuttle orbiters worth $4 billion.

Experts last week told the board that "the problems that existed at the time of the Challenger accident have not been fixed"--sobering testimony likely to cause further heartbreak at NASA, especially in the Astronaut Office and among the families of the U.S. and Israeli crewmembers lost on STS-107.

What that assessment indicates is that not only could the Columbia accident have been prevented, but that the Challenger management findings made years ago provided ample direction on how to avoid the Columbia tragedy. Board Chairman Adm. (ret.) Harold Gehman said the group recommendations will address serious changes needed in NASA management and culture while being mindful not to violate "the law of unintended consequences."

"Despite all the resources and all the insights the Challenger Presidential Commission found in 1986--these problems still remain," said Diane Vaughan, an associate professor of sociology at Boston College.

Vaughan spent nine years studying the decision processes that led to the Challenger accident and is now advising the Columbia board. Her findings on safety process flaws have been used by many sectors of U.S. industry and U.S. Navy nuclear safety experts.

Vaughan noted that former astronaut Sally K. Ride, a member of both the Challenger and Columbia accident boards, cited growing concern about the similarities between decision processes in the two accidents, saying earlier this month, "I think Im hearing an echo here." Vaughan said when you find patterns that repeat over time--despite changes in personnel--systemic problems remain in the organization. "The echoes mean that the changes post-Challenger did not go far enough. The contributing causes in the organizational system were not fixed."

In both cases, the hardware involved--Challenger booster O-rings and Columbia external tank foam--had repeatedly exhibited anomalous behavior that was treated as a maintenance issue rather than a fatal flaw before the respective accidents (AW&ST Feb. 10, p. 22).
Vaughan described the situation where anomalous data become acceptable as an "incremental descent into poor judgment . . . the normalization of deviance."
AW&ST April 28, 2003

re your comment,
[FONT='Verdana','sans-serif']Never have I seen an investigation where we actually believe more than 90% of what we think we know. [/FONT]
Yes. Many even now must be contemplating what will be said in the AF447 "Final" Report...
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 19:51
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Excellent post PJ2, very well said, unfortunately for us all, this is the real world , where the " how much will it cost" and " how long will it take and who will pay for the delay ?" are now the norm..
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 20:28
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link to the interim report of 17/08/2009 (in english)

http://www.fomento.es/NR/rdonlyres/9...INO_01_ENG.pdf

Haven't read it yet, but leafing through chapter 2 "Discussion" and the 13 Safety Recommendations, it looks like a pretty thorough and wide ranging approach that the Spanish investigation Board took, not sparing Spanair, as an airline, at all.

Why immediately these cynic reactions by people who obviously have not yet read a single word of it ?

Last edited by Dutch Bru; 17th Aug 2009 at 20:47.
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 20:33
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ATC Watcher;
" how much will it cost" and " how long will it take and who will pay for the delay ?" are now the norm..
And that is in large measure, why airlines are struggling with costs. They think employees are the ATM from which they can transfer cash from the liability column to profit column when in fact working smarter...works. Penny-wise means you dismiss or negotiate down, those highly-dedicated, competent, "expensive resources" that airlines used to have like pilots, aeronautical engineers, maintenance people who knew nuts and bolts and had the time and rest to do the job right. In many cases those people have left or been "retired" or the entire departments of engineering (including sheet metal work, heavy maintenance) have been shut down because "it can be done cheaper through outsourcing". There is a huge gap now where entire generations of experience used to reside at a major airline. Too expensive.

Instead, we have "quarterly-thinking" and a "what has your department done for the bottom line lately?" No one likes to be in the line of fire so people will cut costs to make the boss happy, comfortable in the knowledge that it is "the boss" who will take responsibility if something bad occurs.

Also, airlines hit, ding, smash into and otherwise wreck airplanes on the ground while servicing and taxing them to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars. That is directly off the bottom line and that number has not changed in decades because, while organizations know why and have the data, they are not learning - the expertise is either rare or non-existent. Part of it is management-labour issues (where "soldiering" (working slow) and sabotage are minor issues; the vast majority is "accidental" due to competency (training) and production pressures (rushing, lest one get blamed for the delay, making one's department "look good").

Airline delays drive these kinds of losses, but are a curious thing. Passengers focus on minutes and airlines watch their stats like hawks. However, most delays are shorter than the time we all voluntarily stand in line at Starbucks for our morning latte. Do we rag on the girl behind the counter? Nope. Do we phone Starbucks' headquarters and does Starbucks keep statistics about lineups and "delays"? Does any sales organization? How long do each of us wait on the phone, pressing number after menu number and never once hang up and tell the company who's wasting your time, to Get Stuffed!?

Yet a 30-minute delay is HUGE.

That creates production pressures that translate into accidents - each minor, but...hundreds of millions of dollars per year because airplanes are expensive to keep on the ground and repair.

This is perception on the part of the airline, in fact business, nothing more. They focus on such statistics and it drives the monthly agendas at departmental meetings where "results and goals" are discussed and pressures are created.

This is absence of learning how to deal with information that is available through data gathering programs like FOQA, LOSA, ASAP etc. Airlines get rid of the "expensive resources" but those resources have experience, knowledge, depth, patience and comprehension, none of which have a column in an organzation's balance sheet.

If an employee saves the company some money, there is no column in which that saving may be entered. Each saving is "invisible" precisely because it is always, "what have you done for us lately?" accounting.

So, if a flight data program saves an airline ten million dollars in engine downtime and repairs because of turbine overtemps, the "savings" are not entered against costs. The program never gets formal, accounting credit in the sense of "what would have been the costs had we not....(fill in the substantial blanks) but when discussions about "cost control" arise as they do, it is always to cut without thought or undertstanding.

Safety programs are all about telling an airline when they are too close to the bone. But if the executive can't even understand the information because the airline doesn't have sufficient resources to interpret the data or create reports, the program is a box-tick and a further waste of the organization's resources.

Sending expertise packing because they are an expensive resource and great bang-for-buck in the cost-cutting department, is, in a complex, technical, risk-intensive enterprise, while it may look good to stock holders, is seriously pound foolish.

Until some courageous executive with more knowledge about aviation than marketing and advertising come, about what makes aviation tick and what makes it safe, comes along with a longer-term vision than mere bottom lines, the statistics and what I call "The Turn" in aviation flight safety will continue.

Much of this, including flight saftey work, can be summed up thus: Nothing succeeds like failure, and nothing fails like success. PJ2

Last edited by PJ2; 17th Aug 2009 at 20:58.
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 20:58
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Why immediately these cynic reactions by people who obviously have not yet read a single word of it ?
Because rather than reading it themselves, they choose to believe the rather witless interpretation, made by clueless mediaperson. As to their motives - beats me.
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 21:34
  #2509 (permalink)  
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Dutch Bru, Clandestino;
Originally Posted by Duch Bru
Why immediately these cynic reactions by people who obviously have not yet read a single word of it ?
Originally Posted by Clandestino
they choose to believe the rather witless interpretation, made by clueless mediaperson. As to their motives - beats me.
Regarding judging before reading, you are right - post removed. Lomapaseo's response was very helpful I thought. My views on the larger organizational matters stand.
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 22:36
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Rightly focuses very much on TOWS failure and cockpit procedures & checklists

Seems quite possible that the crew never realised their error
Reaction to stick-shaker was not to immediately lower the nose (although thrust was eventually increased to max)...
Early wing drop/loss of symmetry/roll control not commented upon
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Old 17th Aug 2009, 23:10
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And, unfortunately, PJ2, I think you might be right.

Seems quite possible that the crew never realised their error
With probability approaching one.

Reaction to stick-shaker was not to immediately lower the nose (although thrust was eventually increased to max)...
I hope that final report will mention actual stalling speed for config and weight. This might prove or dispel my suspicion that they were so deeply stalled that no crew action could save them.

Early wing drop/loss of symmetry/roll control not commented upon
Basic aerodynamics, really.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 07:01
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I've just skimmed through the report and it seems to be very well written, with plenty of interesting HF considerations and technical recommendations. This is one of the summations:

Based on these conclusions, the CIAIAC is of the opinion that three safety barriers provided to avoid the take-off in an inappropriate configuration were defeated: the airplane configuration checklist, the checklist to confirm and verify the airplane’s actual configuration, and the TOWS, which did not warn of the improper takeoff configuration. As a consequence, improvements should be taken in the area of design and operations so that future accidents as this one can be prevented.
There's a good discussion of checklist design, execution and interruption, leading to this conclusion:

It is recommended that the International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO), the FAA of the United States and European Aviation Safety Agency jointly promote the holding of an international conference, to be attended by every civil aviation representative organization, such as authorities, industry, academic and research institutions, professional associations and the like, for the purpose of drafting directives on good industry practices in the area of aviation operations as they apply to checklist design, personnel training and improved procedures and cockpit work methods so as to ensure that crews properly configure aircraft for takeoffs and landings.
Which is considerably overdue, IMHO, having been subjected to all sorts of rotten procedures over the years. Things are getting better with ECLs but there's still some way to go.

Well worth a read.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 07:30
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Reading the report Iīm amazed in the first part, the co-pilot only had 222 hours real flight time on other aircrafts and it seems that the MD-80 itīs his first real one flown.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 14:37
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and what about this one

Having gone through it, the report indeed seems really thorough and covers a lot of ground.

Having said that, I was struck by the way the apparent absence of data from the QAR is covered in section 1.3.2. The for me at least somewhat cryptic language used seems in stark contract with the overall clarity of the report. So is imo the apparent ease with which the Spanish investigation board, without further ado, steps over the question marks this QAR issue raises.

Here is the text:
"The QAR was recovered from the aircraft wreckage some days later. The optical magnetic disk where the QAR records information had been installed on the aircraft in early August 2008. The equipment manufacturer, Teledyne, downloaded the information contained on the disk at its facilities only to discover that the data were from another of the operator's airplanes and from previous flights. There was an incompatibility between the recording formats used by the equipment and those used to record to the disk."

What are they trying to communicate exactly here ? Where the data only from another aircraft, including the stored data from the previous flights, or does the "data....from the previous flights" bit refer to the accident aircraft ? And the sentence that "there was an incompatibility between the recording formats used by the equipment (ed. the actual QAR?) and those (ed. recording formats?) used to record to the disk (ed. so of the equipment, i.c. the QAR ?) is utter gobbledegook.

Are they actually saying as much that the QAR retrieved could not have recorded the data on the disk retrieved from the QAR ?

Assuming, of course, that the QAR in question and the disk in question were indeed retrieved from the accident aircraft, it is to me at least not immediately clear, with the disk apparently installed a few weeks before the accident, any malfunction of the QAR/disk would have gone unnoticed before the accident. Doesn't Spanair retrieve the data regularly for a flight analysis programme ?

Perhaps this and the apparent lack of interest on the side of the investigation board has to do with the fact that QAR is not "mandatory equipment".

Perhaps it is nothing, but it made me think a second in an otherwise apparently very serious investigation.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 18:08
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Dutch Bru;

First, I have to say, as others have, what a thoroughly-conceived and well-written Interim Report this is by the CIAIC. There are a number of important areas covered as have been pointed out. The report indicates quite clearly under the last section, "3. STATUS OF THE INVESTIGATION" that the investigation is ongoing and will thoroughly report on those "softer", organizational issues which may yield deeper lessons.
Are they actually saying as much that the QAR retrieved could not have recorded the data on the disk retrieved from the QAR ?

Assuming, of course, that the QAR in question and the disk in question were indeed retrieved from the accident aircraft, it is to me at least not immediately clear, with the disk apparently installed a few weeks before the accident, any malfunction of the QAR/disk would have gone unnoticed before the accident. Doesn't Spanair retrieve the data regularly for a flight analysis programme ?

Perhaps this and the apparent lack of interest on the side of the investigation board has to do with the fact that QAR is not "mandatory equipment".
Yes, they are saying that the QAR retrieved could not have recorded the data.

The Teledyne FDAU, Flight Data Aquisition Unit will be a specific installation with specific software for the recording medium including the LFL, (Logical Frame Layout) which specifies parameters captured. Normally, QARs record hundreds sometimes thousands of parameters more than the minimum DFDR parameters required by a country's laws.

The problem as I read it in this report is, the FDAU software was not compatible with the installed optical disc. There may be small differences in the LFL which prevents the recording of parameters into the frame layout. It would be like trying to put a 4x512-cell spreadsheet into a 4x256-cell spreadsheet - the data would be garbage. In very rough terms, it would be like trying to run a PC with a Leopard operating system.

As equipment is upgraded and better solutions to recording equipment and recording mediums emerge and as improved LFLs emerge, (if the airline is supporting their FDM program appropriately), such mismatches are normally resolved during the research, purchase and installation phases.

Regarding the delay in becoming aware of the problem, Optical and PCMCIA cards are typically not read every day and usually hold a week or more worth of flight data. They are typically removed from the aircraft, the data downloaded and stored every week to ten days. Discovering an "event", or a problem with the equipment would be affected by that time delay. This is not an uncommon nor untoward matter when doing FDA work.

Last edited by PJ2; 18th Aug 2009 at 20:02.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 19:29
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Dutch Bru & PJ2

Translation woes make the QAR comment in Section 1.3.1 unclear in English.

The last sentence of the official Spanish version of Section 1.3.1 leaves no uncertainty as it states Teledyne verified a format incompatibility between the FDAU and the MO disc.

It does not detail the mismatch, but expanding PJ2's point on likely fleetwide mix of FDAU's, all optical QAR's use 90mm MO discs that look the same regardless of capacity or formatting.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 20:00
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The MO explanation makes complete sense. My thanks once again, Machaca. I'll standby further.
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 23:29
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Unfortunately an inevitbable situation which could happen to any airline/crew at the moment.. 20 years ago it was far less probable, even with inferior technology aircraft... now it's on time departures, min fuel, bare minimum training, ignore the little things... dare not write things in the tech log in case the next departure is delayed, fiddle the pax weights for the right perf figures ... it all waters down the safety levels and airworthiness authorities turn a blind eye until something happens and it's time to allocate blame.. The FAA has a few faults but they really do come across far more competent than EASA / JAR ever will ... lessons to be learned maybe?
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Old 18th Aug 2009, 23:34
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The similarities to the NWA DC9-50 takeoff from Detroit Metro many years ago are obvious.

Seems history DOES repeat to those who have forgotten it's lessons.
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Old 19th Aug 2009, 07:37
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Alwaysairbus

Unfortunately an inevitbable situation which could happen to any airline/crew at the moment.. 20 years ago it was far less probable, even with inferior technology aircraft... now it's on time departures,min fuel bare minimum training, ignore the little things... dare not write things in the tech log in case the next departure is delayed, fiddle the pax weights for the right perf figures ... it all waters down the safety levels and airworthiness authorities turn a blind eye until something happens and it's time to allocate blame
I have read the report but I do not find any reference in regard to what your are mentioning in your post.
now it's on time departures
They return to the apron...
dare not write things in the tech log in case the next departure is delayed
the report is referring various times to the tech log, therefore the entries were made
fiddle the pax weights for the right perf figures
Unsubstantiated in this case

In matter of fact I found disturbing that the failure single relay R2-5 can disable the TOWS without the giving any alarm to the pilots. According to the report this happened several times in the past to different airlines. All aircraft with similar TOWS design have a single point of failure...
FSLF
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