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-   -   8 year old predicts crash (https://www.pprune.org/private-flying/237228-8-year-old-predicts-crash.html)

pulse1 1st Aug 2006 21:55

8 year old predicts crash
 
According to the BBC, an 8 year old boy predicted that a Cessna 172 he was due to fly in at Popham would crash. It did and, fortunately, no-one was badly hurt.

How would you react if one of your passengers made a similar prediction?

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/england/h...re/5236036.stm

Captain Airclues 1st Aug 2006 22:08


Originally Posted by pulse1
How would you react if one of your passengers made a similar prediction?

Probably have another look at my weight and balance calculation.

Airclues

'Chuffer' Dandridge 1st Aug 2006 22:53


According to the BBC, an 8 year old boy predicted that a Cessna 172 he was due to fly in at Popham would crash.
I thought it was a Piper Tri-Pacer, G-ARCC...? But then nowehere in the BBC report does it mention the type. But hey, all 4 seat light aircraft are C.172s aren't they?

Felix Saddler 1st Aug 2006 23:06

Complete coincidence! :eek:

FakePilot 1st Aug 2006 23:09

If he'd gotten it wrong we wouldn't have heard of it.

Felix Saddler 1st Aug 2006 23:13

I wonder how many people who are scared to fly say this before they board an aircraft! We never hear their stories!!!

Felix Saddler 1st Aug 2006 23:14

Ah, you beat me to it Fake Pilot!!

Mercenary Pilot 1st Aug 2006 23:15

Anyone seen "Final Destination"... :E:E:E

Felix Saddler 1st Aug 2006 23:16

yeah its s**t :eek:

Felix Saddler 1st Aug 2006 23:18

MP, I'll hold you responsible if anything usual becomes aparent! :E

Phororhacos 2nd Aug 2006 07:27

My passengers always say "We're going to crash," when we line up, and always scream "We're all going to die" when on final approach. I thought this was normal.:confused:

Maxflyer 2nd Aug 2006 07:57

Get me his phone number, I want him to give me six numbers between one and 49!

Hairyplane 2nd Aug 2006 08:22

We're gonna die...
 
My mates wife sits in the back with her hands over her face and enters some sort of trance until we tell her we've landed. You cant speak to her - nothing.

I can't resist saying to her afterwards 'Did you enjoy that?'

HP

Captain Airclues 2nd Aug 2006 08:30

Does anyone know which runway they used for the take-off at Popham?

Airclues

Fliegel 2nd Aug 2006 12:35

Hah that kid, theres a pic of him in the national papers, hes very excited and pointing at the upturned wreck- hell it could have been tragic but thank god it wasnt. Heres a link for anyone who fancies a view:

http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,2-2006350429,00.html

enq 2nd Aug 2006 12:40

So what was the elapsed time between the 8 year old making the prediction then switching off the mags and hiding the keys?

Sedbergh 2nd Aug 2006 12:40

See the Daily Mail managed to get in the word "plummet" No mention of hero pilot avoiding school etc etc

Pitts2112 2nd Aug 2006 19:25

Funny that. There wasn't any press at the scene at all. I wonder how much the survivors got for their story...


Pitts2112

ultimatepro63 2nd Aug 2006 23:19

Anyone seen the film final destination ? :}

Captain Airclues 4th Aug 2006 10:26

I owned a share of G-ARCC in 2000. When I examined the weight and balance figures, I discovered that a previous change in the datum position had not been reflected in the latest graphs, which made it difficult to check the balance. By applying a correction to the datum position I was able to come up with a calculation. It was a well run group so I'm sure that they would have corrected this, and pointed it out to the other group members.
Looking at the tables, I was aware that it would be posible to exceed the aft Cof G limit but I checked the figures for two adults in the front seats for all fuel loads and only ever flew it in this configuration. The photo in the Sun shows the child in the front seat with presumably the two adults in the rear seats. I'm sure that the pilot checked the aft limit, but it must have been very close. If this was the case then the pilot did a good job in avoiding fatalities if his engine failed on take-off.
I was also concerned about the aircrafts performance on runway 21, which is why I asked the question on this thread. The aircraft is certified with a maximum gradient of two degrees. I was unable to find out the gradient of runway 21 (even asked on PPRuNe) so, with a 50 screen height the performance calculations would need careful consideration if this was the runway in use.

Airclues


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