PPRuNe Forums

PPRuNe Forums (https://www.pprune.org/)
-   Military Aviation (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation-57/)
-   -   Future Carrier (Including Costs) (https://www.pprune.org/military-aviation/221116-future-carrier-including-costs.html)

orca 19th Aug 2018 17:23

So there’s no point building ships, bridges, military bases or power stations...no dramas, the Harrier chaps are all over this sort of thing!😉

LowObservable 19th Aug 2018 18:05

Land bases are susceptible to damage or harassment, but short of a BoS are almost impossible to destroy, or disable for weeks or months. The reverse applies to carriers at sea.

JP233, by the way, dates from well before the Falklands. It was mentioned in Flight in 1977. It was expected to shut down airfields for a considerable time and the Sovs were expected to come up with something similar, hence the desire to retain some STOVL and STOL capability in the force. This resulted in the GR5 and some features of the Typhoon. You'll recall that, around the same time, the USAF set a 1,500-foot STOL target for the ATF.

Land-based aircraft can be protected by GBAD, CCD and dispersal, all of which present Red with a cost-imposition problem that gets less favorable with standoff range, and by built-in resilience.

Carriers, by contrast, present a location problem - but one that gets easier the more imaging satellites there are in the sky.

ORAC 19th Aug 2018 18:57


You'll recall that, around the same time, the USAF set a 1,500-foot STOL target for the ATF.
They also demonstrated a ground mapping radar mod which was engaged on finals to a cratered runway and could identify a 50ft wide 1500ft MOS and safely land and brake the aircraft to a stop.

IIRC they also tested a FBW mod which could adjust for an engine out, loss of half a tail, 50% loss of controls etc and still allow the pilot full and free stick movement with the aircraft compensating.

Was that sort of stuff incorporated into the Typhoon/ F-35 FCS?

KenV 20th Aug 2018 15:26


Originally Posted by LowObservable (Post 10228168)
Land-based aircraft can be protected by GBAD, CCD and dispersal, all of which present Red with a cost-imposition problem that gets less favorable with standoff range, and by built-in resilience.

Carriers, by contrast, present a location problem - but one that gets easier the more imaging satellites there are in the sky.

I get what you mean. All those imaging satellites are quick and cheap to build, and their launch and mission support are also very cheap and thus they impose no "cost-imposition problem." And in a major shooting war where carriers are being targeted such satellites and their ground control stations are completely invulnerable. Yeah shur.

Frostchamber 20th Aug 2018 17:10

With the pluses and minuses on both sides, it's a good thing we'll have both ;)

orca 20th Aug 2018 17:15

Concur Sir! Very well put.

glad rag 20th Aug 2018 22:08


Originally Posted by KenV (Post 10228984)
I get what you mean. All those imaging satellites are quick and cheap to build, and their launch and mission support are also very cheap and thus they impose no "cost-imposition problem." And in a major shooting war where carriers are being targeted such satellites and their ground control stations are completely invulnerable. Yeah shur.

Have you ever watched a space x launch onboard coverage?

Have you ever heard of cubesats??

What if the sats [cube or otherwise] are already in position???

So many questions but only one answer will becoming......

LowObservable 20th Aug 2018 23:20

GR... pretty much. Schwacking everything out of LEO that can image ~1 m resolution is apt to be difficult and messy. But Yeah shur you can babble about Yeah shur if you want to make the problem go away, or better yet you can yell Rumplesnitz!

Lyneham Lad 24th Aug 2018 20:38

Surprised that this lengthy BBC News article has not already been linked.

orca 25th Aug 2018 05:36

Surely we’re not contemplating a kinetic attack on space based systems? Far better ways of using the gaming generation than that.


WE Branch Fanatic 25th Aug 2018 13:11

More importantly:

1. Satellites are great for seeing things that do not move, but not so good as tracking moving things such as ships. Not only is the field of view limited, but the ship moves, and whilst the satellite comes back to the same point in its orbit, the Earth has moved.

2. Exactly what some of resolution do you expect from a Cubesat? Have any had a Earth Observation mission? No? What does that tell you?

3. Cubesats are only so cheap as they hitch a lift with a proper payload such as a satellite being launched in Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit.

glad rag 25th Aug 2018 14:43


Originally Posted by WE Branch Fanatic (Post 10233049)
More importantly:

1. Satellites are great for seeing things that do not move, but not so good as tracking moving things such as ships. Not only is the field of view limited, but the ship moves, and whilst the satellite comes back to the same point in its orbit, the Earth has moved.

2. Exactly what some of resolution do you expect from a Cubesat? Have any had a Earth Observation mission? No? What does that tell you?

3. Cubesats are only so cheap as they hitch a lift with a proper payload such as a satellite being launched in Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit.

Your points are noted.

https://www.spaceintelreport.com/for-cubesat-specialist-isis-sigint-is-a-mission-cubesats-are-made-for/

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi%3Farticle%3D4107%26context%3Dsmallsat&ved=2a hUKEwiUyK-huIjdAhXEDcAKHSifDUMQFjAHegQIAhAB&usg=AOvVaw1-qL0grNUcXQiylQ9-cbzO

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi%3Farticle%3D4107%26context%3Dsmallsat&ved=2a hUKEwiUyK-huIjdAhXEDcAKHSifDUMQFjAHegQIAhAB&usg=AOvVaw1-qL0grNUcXQiylQ9-cbzO

5 seconds on Google.

WE Branch Fanatic 26th Aug 2018 12:26

Interesting links -although they seem to be by the same company. I was assuming you were referring to imagery satellites. However many of the same limitations apply. The Western Navies have lived with hostile SIGINT for decades, including during World War Two. Counter measures do exist

ORAC 27th Aug 2018 07:24

Depends on how many you want to launch at a time - and the payload.

SpaceX intends to put 12,000 Starlink 400kg cubesats in two height layered constellations within the next 5 years, the payload capacity of a BFR when it enters service will be around 300-307 of them. Since the USAF is already talking seriously of becoming a major SpaceX BFR customer, how many do you think they, or the new Space Command, would have to launch in polar orbit to provide 24/7 one hour coverage?

Meanwhile, changing subject, the previous HMS Ocean has reached her new home.

https://www.snafu-solomon.com/2018/0...r-carrier.html

https://cimg9.ibsrv.net/gimg/www.gmf...abc4b01820.jpg




KenV 27th Aug 2018 11:03


Originally Posted by glad rag (Post 10229274)
Have you ever watched a space x launch onboard coverage?

Yes


Have you ever heard of cubesats??
Yes. Military grade high resolution imaging cubesats? Not so much.


What if the sats [cube or otherwise] are already in position???
What if they are? Cubesats can be neutralized even easier than higher orbit hardened military satellites. And that's just the satellites. You can effectively kill the entire satellite constellation by killing the few satellite control ground stations. Or are they magically invulnerable?


So many questions but only one answer will becoming......
There are plenty of answers. None indicate that carriers are inherently more or less vulnerable than land airbases and none indicate that satellite constellations, even ones numbering in the thousands of individual satellites, are invulnerable.

glad rag 27th Aug 2018 11:27


Originally Posted by KenV (Post 10234308)
Yes

Yes. Military grade high resolution imaging cubesats? Not so much.

What if they are? Cubesats can be neutralized even easier than higher orbit hardened military satellites.

There are plenty of answers. None indicate that carriers are inherently more or less vulnerable than land airbases.

Not quite sure what your angle is Ken, I'm merely pointing out that technology advances and costs plummet.

An example is the planned 12,000 plus constellation of internet cube sats proposed by spacex to cover the continental US.
EG.BFR is said to have a capacity of 250 per launch, fh around 50@ 850 kg each.
So a determined foe with launch capability even less than say F9 could, with multiple launches, seed the area of operations of a carrier group and continue to do so.
As for speculation who says every 850kg cube sat actually needs to be for surveillance ....

KenV 27th Aug 2018 18:05


Originally Posted by glad rag (Post 10234327)
Not quite sure what your angle is Ken,

I thought my "angle" was quite clear and succinct. Since you apparently missed it I will repeat:
There are plenty of answers. None indicate that carriers are inherently more or less vulnerable than land airbases.


I'm merely pointing out that technology advances and costs plummet.
An example is the planned 12,000 plus constellation of internet cube sats proposed by spacex to cover the continental US.
EG.BFR is said to have a capacity of 250 per launch, fh around 50@ 850 kg each.
Does this technology apply to military grade imaging satellites?


So a determined foe with launch capability even less than say F9 could, with multiple launches, seed the area of operations of a carrier group and continue to do so.
As for speculation who says every 850kg cube sat actually needs to be for surveillance ....
Seed the area of operations of a carrier group?! Do you imagine these satellites can hover over an "area of operations?" Regardless of the number of satellites that are so seeded, it takes ground stations to make those satellites of any value. Are those ground stations invulnerable? Can the links to/from the satellites be jammed? Can the satellites by blinded/soft killed with a directed EMP burst?

pr00ne 28th Aug 2018 14:35

So, everything can be destroyed by something...

Mr Mac 28th Aug 2018 17:43

Judging by what a none nuclear Swedish Sub did to the Ronald Reagan and Battle Group during an exercise some years ago, and lived to tell the tail you do not need to have massively expensive systems. The cost of the said sub was equivalent to one of our much vaunted new fighters. As the Russian defence minister said about the new carrier when commissioned "it is just a big target". I know the idea is about power projection, but given our straightened circumstances and our potentially even poorer economy, are we still in the power projection league, or do we want to be ?
Regards
Mr Mac

glad rag 29th Aug 2018 13:40


Originally Posted by KenV (Post 10234647)
I thought my "angle" was quite clear and succinct. Since you apparently missed it I will repeat:
There are plenty of answers. None indicate that carriers are inherently more or less vulnerable than land airbases.

Does this technology apply to military grade imaging satellites?

Seed the area of operations of a carrier group?! Do you imagine these satellites can hover over an "area of operations?" Regardless of the number of satellites that are so seeded, it takes ground stations to make those satellites of any value. Are those ground stations invulnerable? Can the links to/from the satellites be jammed? Can the satellites by blinded/soft killed with a directed EMP burst?

yeah that's a great idea ken.

however bearing in mind the Russian tactical docrine in the first use of nukes, you may have inadvertently "hit the nail on the head"


All times are GMT. The time now is 11:45.


Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.