Is Ukraine about to have a war?
With the UKR counter offensive now in full swing, I think it has a lot more to do with not accidentally giving your enemy any useful information. There will sadly be losses on both sides but I tend to think that the Russians will come off a lot worse!
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
This is one of the key indicators I have been looking for that Russian Artillery has "hit the wall" in terms lacking logistical capability to go on.
Barrel liners have to be replaced regularly or you destroy the artillery barrels…..
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...877213701.html
Barrel liners have to be replaced regularly or you destroy the artillery barrels…..
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...877213701.html
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Some movement in the field apparently
twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1564932134544052225
twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1564932134544052225
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I know its off season but how would you like a holiday in somewhere that is hot at the moment?
The Russian Federation plans to strengthen the defence of Crimea with residents of Moscow and St. Petersburg, as well as military personnel. Source: Chief Intelligence Directorate, information provided by the press service of the Ministry of Defence
As to the Twittersphere: good job locking the journos out. As much of a good idea as 'embedded reporters' can be, it's also a risk which has been amplified by the Twittersphere (in a way that had not yet manifested when imbedding with troops in Iraq was done). OPSEC is important.
Nutloose's twitterlink in 8686 is exactly the sort of thing UKR is trying to avoid. Geolocated it is one link in the overall intelligence chain. Dark means just that.
Unless, of course, it is a deliberate tweet to mislead.
Unless, of course, it is a deliberate tweet to mislead.
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Unfortunately "ITK" is the TLA that most armchair military 'specialists' seem to care about and my, do they like to flex their knowledge, regardless of potential consequences.
This is one of the key indicators I have been looking for that Russian Artillery has "hit the wall" in terms lacking logistical capability to go on.
Barrel liners have to be replaced regularly or you destroy the artillery barrels…..
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...877213701.html
Barrel liners have to be replaced regularly or you destroy the artillery barrels…..
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...877213701.html
when it happens to russkies its quite alright
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Probably, unless they can get local air superiority.
We'll see.
As to the Twittersphere: good job locking the journos out. As much of a good idea as 'embedded reporters' can be, it's also a risk which has been amplified by the Twittersphere (in a way that had not yet manifested when imbedding with troops in Iraq was done). OPSEC is important.
We'll see.
As to the Twittersphere: good job locking the journos out. As much of a good idea as 'embedded reporters' can be, it's also a risk which has been amplified by the Twittersphere (in a way that had not yet manifested when imbedding with troops in Iraq was done). OPSEC is important.
Which is not to say that OPSEC should be breached, far from it.
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I can't obviously speak for others here, but I do have to say that in the midst of a major operation I'll hold to the STFU principle.
I'm however very grateful for all the links, informative and often enlightening, provided by fellow PPRuNers.
I'm however very grateful for all the links, informative and often enlightening, provided by fellow PPRuNers.
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
This isn’t about a blitzkreig. They have 25 Russian BTGs (most about 50% manned and short of food, ammo and everything else) trapped in a pocket where they’ve dropped all the bridges for resupply, have good ISR, and the entire area is in artillery/HIMARS range.
No need to take heavy casualties, just gradually cut each off and grind them slowly into the dust until winter arrives….
Arestovych on Kherson: "No point waiting for quick radical changes. This is a long story. Russians have 25-30 BTGs there, knocking them out quickly won't work. But what will work is to open up their logistics and smash it with artillery and HIMARS".
No need to take heavy casualties, just gradually cut each off and grind them slowly into the dust until winter arrives….
Arestovych on Kherson: "No point waiting for quick radical changes. This is a long story. Russians have 25-30 BTGs there, knocking them out quickly won't work. But what will work is to open up their logistics and smash it with artillery and HIMARS".
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
https://theins.ru/en/politics/254573
A farewell to arms. By year end Russia will be left almost without shells, artillery and armored vehicles
A farewell to arms. By year end Russia will be left almost without shells, artillery and armored vehicles
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
What is 'officer slavery', why do Russian army officers complain of it, and why is the Russian army like a Roach Motel – officers can check in, but they can't check out? Here's the first part of a 2-part Thread on why it can be hard to leave the Russian army if you're an officer.…
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...203841538.html
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1...203841538.html
Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
An unfamiliar smell of defeatism emanating from Russian militant channels.…
It sounds like the defence of Kherson was crumbling before the Ukrainian counter attack.
https://news.yahoo.com/report-drunk-...001518057.html
https://news.yahoo.com/report-drunk-...001518057.html
Only half a speed-brake
Give up guns, surrender and waive RF citizenship
+ UKR citizenship
+ 1 year restoration labor with roof, food and heating provided
+ 12000 EUR (delivered by 500/month)
+ 3 year work permit to EU
+ Red Cross family reunion after 5 years.
Would the en-masse movement be observable from the satellites?
The poor grunts (both literally and figuratively) signed up to RF forces in a hope for better existence to what they had been facing. The suggestion above probably doubles their offer on equivalent terms.
Plus the chance of not having to kill, a whole new definition of priceless.
Unfortunately for the forsaken souls, probably valid on both sides, many don't care about not dying themselves anymore.
And Ukraine will need to face the demographic drop in male population inland.
+ UKR citizenship
+ 1 year restoration labor with roof, food and heating provided
+ 12000 EUR (delivered by 500/month)
+ 3 year work permit to EU
+ Red Cross family reunion after 5 years.
Would the en-masse movement be observable from the satellites?
The poor grunts (both literally and figuratively) signed up to RF forces in a hope for better existence to what they had been facing. The suggestion above probably doubles their offer on equivalent terms.
Plus the chance of not having to kill, a whole new definition of priceless.
Unfortunately for the forsaken souls, probably valid on both sides, many don't care about not dying themselves anymore.
And Ukraine will need to face the demographic drop in male population inland.