Is Ukraine about to have a war?
The Russian State Duma has proposed that after the Invasion of Ukraine, that Poland be Invaded and denazified next due to their clear Support for “Nazi Elements” in Ukraine and around the World while also providing Aid to Ukraine that results in the death of Russian Troops.

ORAC,
... I have to say that doesn't look like anything from a domestic appliance, more like an airframe component. However, I've never worked on Mil 28s (
)so I can't confirm that.
Russian combat helos are keeping their looted domestic appliances on board


Originally Posted by [email protected]
Whatever he has got, I hope it hurts like hell............

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Hmmm, I wonder what they might want?
Turkey has wanted to be a member of the EU for some time. Tricky, Turkey in the EU for Finland & Sweden in NATO... Not sure about that. There are various concerns about things like human rights, Cyprus, adjacency to Iran, Iraq, Syria.
Turkey has wanted to be a member of the EU for some time. Tricky, Turkey in the EU for Finland & Sweden in NATO... Not sure about that. There are various concerns about things like human rights, Cyprus, adjacency to Iran, Iraq, Syria.


Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Ukrainska Pravda, an online newspaper, has identified a Russian soldier who told his wife he shot civilians in the head even when they begged for mercy.
The newspaper cited its sources at the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and said that he is 27-year-old Dmitry Gennadyevich Ivanov from the village of Kupsola in the Russian republic of Mari El. He is currently serving in Russian-occupied Kherson Oblast.
(Hohol = Derogatory Russian word for someone who is from Ukraine.)
The newspaper cited its sources at the Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and said that he is 27-year-old Dmitry Gennadyevich Ivanov from the village of Kupsola in the Russian republic of Mari El. He is currently serving in Russian-occupied Kherson Oblast.
“When there were civilians. I would throw civilians in trenches. I shot them in their heads. I killed them. They cried, begged me - I still shot them…. I put these hohols on their knees. They were begging me, they were saying 'Russia forever!' and I made them say 'Russia forever!' They stood on their knees, these hohols.”….

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Let us be realistic, there are tons of journalists, who write a different opinion, than their personal one. For example, Fox News. And what about nearly half of the US Congress ? In private, they condemn Jan 6, though publicly "defend" or even wave off what happened.

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Those death figures are ramping up if correct, I just hope the Ukrainian ones are low, though I think air and artillery will be taking a toll 



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Head of the Ukraine intelligence believes the war will be over at the end of the year.
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-w...-year-12612320
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-w...-year-12612320

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Head of the Ukraine intelligence believes the war will be over at the end of the year.
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-w...-year-12612320
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-w...-year-12612320

I don't know the person, nor did I look up his history, thought this publication is obviously not in line with the official Russian/China state propaganda "guidelines".
Let us be realistic, there are tons of journalists, who write a different opinion, than their personal one. For example, Fox News. And what about nearly half of the US Congress ? In private, they condemn Jan 6, though publicly "defend" or even wave off what happened.
Let us be realistic, there are tons of journalists, who write a different opinion, than their personal one. For example, Fox News. And what about nearly half of the US Congress ? In private, they condemn Jan 6, though publicly "defend" or even wave off what happened.

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It looks like the farmer attacked by the Russian aircraft has survived all be it seriously injured.

Ecce Homo! Loquitur...
Russia started the war with a total of around 180 BTG, of which 120 have been committed to the war so far.
Of the above they have to date lost around 53 BTG worth of men, IFV and tanks and continue to lose about 2/3s of a BTG a day. So in just over another week they will have lost over 30% of their total army and 50% of those committed to the war.
Worse, those remaining have been reconstituted with conscripts and forced recruits* and social media is rife with stories of Luhansk conscripts retreating to the Russian border and being threatened with execution to turn them back - and Russian reservists refusing to sign-up to go to Ukraine as they’ve heard the news and, without martial law or mobilisation, they can’t be made to go.
*Being issued with 1914 vintage Mosin–Nagants rifles and limited rounds per man - presumably so they they present a low risk of turning them on the Russian officers…
As the quality of the troops go down and the number of component officers being lost goes up (no NCOs), their loss rate vs the UKR army goes up - its now estimated at between 5:1 and 7:1.
Their is a military calculation as to the point at which an army will collapse into full scale retreat or surrender, a Lanchester Square collapse, and the current online forecasts for this to occur within the current invading force vary between an optimistic end of June and pessimistic mid-August.
e.g.
Moisin Nagant Rifle.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mosin–Nagant
Of the above they have to date lost around 53 BTG worth of men, IFV and tanks and continue to lose about 2/3s of a BTG a day. So in just over another week they will have lost over 30% of their total army and 50% of those committed to the war.
Worse, those remaining have been reconstituted with conscripts and forced recruits* and social media is rife with stories of Luhansk conscripts retreating to the Russian border and being threatened with execution to turn them back - and Russian reservists refusing to sign-up to go to Ukraine as they’ve heard the news and, without martial law or mobilisation, they can’t be made to go.
*Being issued with 1914 vintage Mosin–Nagants rifles and limited rounds per man - presumably so they they present a low risk of turning them on the Russian officers…
As the quality of the troops go down and the number of component officers being lost goes up (no NCOs), their loss rate vs the UKR army goes up - its now estimated at between 5:1 and 7:1.
Their is a military calculation as to the point at which an army will collapse into full scale retreat or surrender, a Lanchester Square collapse, and the current online forecasts for this to occur within the current invading force vary between an optimistic end of June and pessimistic mid-August.
e.g.
Moisin Nagant Rifle.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mosin–Nagant
Last edited by ORAC; 14th May 2022 at 15:11.



Mortars and how they may integrate with aviation.
The Drive has a piece about laser guided mortar rounds.
Some decades ago, the 'copperhead' artillery round (Indirect fire) could be lased/designated by the sneaky recon types.

Aviation Content Follows!
I can imagine an airborne IR targeting pod and these laser guided mortar shells working in tandem to make for some very lethal strikes using indirect fires on a variety of targets. I remember in the mid 1990's discussing the future of warfare with a USMC colonel, whose take was that the Marines needed to leave their M-1 Abrams to the Army and get with capabilities like guided mortars and 'bright' munitions to attack enemies from the top down. I daresay that his vision has at least in part come true, and I understand that the USMC divested themselves of tanks (and I am aware of a number of their UAV initiatives, but that's off topic for this discussion).
I wonder what the Russians are using to guide these laser guided mortar rounds to target: ground based or air based laser targeting kit? (And maybe both).
The Drive has a piece about laser guided mortar rounds.
Some decades ago, the 'copperhead' artillery round (Indirect fire) could be lased/designated by the sneaky recon types.

Aviation Content Follows!
I can imagine an airborne IR targeting pod and these laser guided mortar shells working in tandem to make for some very lethal strikes using indirect fires on a variety of targets. I remember in the mid 1990's discussing the future of warfare with a USMC colonel, whose take was that the Marines needed to leave their M-1 Abrams to the Army and get with capabilities like guided mortars and 'bright' munitions to attack enemies from the top down. I daresay that his vision has at least in part come true, and I understand that the USMC divested themselves of tanks (and I am aware of a number of their UAV initiatives, but that's off topic for this discussion).
I wonder what the Russians are using to guide these laser guided mortar rounds to target: ground based or air based laser targeting kit? (And maybe both).

Are you referring to this?

See the linked article, from which the photo was linked. Are you pretending that this mortar does not exist, or that the projectile was photo shopped into the picture?
I am not sure how you arrived at "wider than the barrel" and would like you to explain that to me. Thanks.

See the linked article, from which the photo was linked. Are you pretending that this mortar does not exist, or that the projectile was photo shopped into the picture?
I am not sure how you arrived at "wider than the barrel" and would like you to explain that to me. Thanks.
