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F35 v Harrier

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Old 6th Oct 2018, 13:04
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I'd like to echo FODPlods' post - thank you to everyone who has contributed to a really good thread. To help in a couple of areas:

Effortless, the Pegasus wasn't really chosen over the Avon for the Harrier. It was specifically designed for the P1127, the Harrier's prototype ancestor, by Dr Stanley Hooker at Bristol Engines in close partnership with the Hawker team at Kingston, led by Ralph Hooper. Essentially, the Pegasus was an existing Bristol jet engine (I think it may have been the Orpheus) with a vastly oversized Low Pressure Compressor stage tacked on to the front via a plenum chamber which fed the two front 'cold' nozzles. As far as I know, the Avon was never a runner for the P1127. Much later, Rolls Royce did offer an 'interesting' propulsion option for the much larger (and later cancelled P1154 STOVL fighter/bomber which comprised two RR Spey engines plus a system of 'cross ducting' to feed for rotating nozzles. This was, to say the least, challenging, and the team stuck with the Bristol BS100.

To Tinny and others, the RAF (on a couple of occasions) did change Harrier engines at sea and they did have to retract the gear as per the shipboard procedure. In fact, the entire engine change gear for shipboard use was very different to that used on land, with much beefier trestles and side arms. The main reason for the 'lowered' position was the (quite justified) fear of having an aircraft high up on jacks swaying about on rolling decks. The 'Guide posts' were not much used, as there was a strong tendency for the guide collars attached to the wing to jam on to the posts - that created more problems than they solved.

PDR1 and others - yes, the design solution chosen for the P1127 fuselage and wing structure made perfect sense for a prototype. But (just my opinion), it didn't really past muster for a front line aircraft. As most readers here already know, the larger P1154, which was cancelled in 1967, had a large set of doors/panels on the underside of the fuselage to allow the much larger BS100 engine to be dropped down out of the aircraft without having to remove the wing. On the P1216 and other studies, some former colleagues of mine who worked on the P1216 expressed relief that it and other studies were never taken forward as a full design. The twin boom arrangement was a nightmare to design at an acceptable weight. More seriously, the BS100 engine (a much enlarged and redesigned Pegasus) had some serious issues, particularly with regard to the use of Plenum Chamber Burning (PCB) on the front nozzles. This generated a severe risk of hot gas reingestion (HGI) and thrust loss, as well as some probably insoluble issues with erosion of any landing surface.

Wingless, the Royal Navy's 'Invincible' class ships were aircraft carriers, albeit small ones. The 'through deck cruiser' designation was adopted to try to keep the procurement of the ships from being opposed by the RAF - the inter service climate in the MoD in the late 1960s/early 70s was simply poisonous, and this 'subterfuge' was a necessary expedient. The ships were not originally designed to take the Harrier, and it was a last minute change to get the lifts widened to accept the jet - before that, they were long thin 'slot' designs to take a folded Sea King. Small they may have been, but they served the nation well.

I absolutely agree that had the basic P1127/Kestrel design received a small fraction of the funding that went into P1154 and other programmes the UK could have developed its own more capable equivalent of the Harrier II in the 70 and 80s. In any case, the Sea Harrier and GR5/7/9 served the UK exceptionally well, providing 'bang per buck' that I think was unmatched. Having exceptionally good maintainers and operators was also essential to the aircrafts' successes. But (there's always a but, isn't there) the basic concept of a single large engine mounted in the centre of the aircraft with vectoring nozzles has, in my view, reached its limit. I agree with the basic conclusion reached by Lockheed that the best place for an engine on a supersonic aircraft is at the rear, with some of he power of the engine being used to generate (more efficient) cold thrust at the the front of the aircraft where it poses far less risk of HGI. I know others may disagree, and that's the great thing about forums like this - there is always room for other opinions. Long may that last.

Best regards as ever to all those who have, over the years, made STOVL work.

Engines
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Old 6th Oct 2018, 14:13
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Essentially, the P.1127 was designed around the Pegasus. The available thrust was utterly marginal to demonstrate VTOL and transition, so the P.1127 was the smallest and lightest airframe that could be wrapped around the engine and maintainability be damned.

The Pegasus itself was designed to demonstrate the concept of a bypass engine with a large forward fan fitted with rotating nozzles, enabling VTOL. The first Pegasus sketches did not have vectoring on the core exhaust. I recall reading somewhere that Hawker observed to Bristol that the Sea Hawk had a bifurcated exhaust, so why waste that vertical thrust? The original idea was to match an Orpheus with Olympus compressor stages, but there can't have been much left of either original by the time the BE.53 ran.

Where it gets interesting is that Bristol was introduced to the concept of vectored thrust via France's Michel Wibault and his Gyroptere. This had four shaft-driven lift-cruise blowers, and the most powerful European turboprop at the time was the Bristol Orion. Stanley Hooker didn't like all the shafts and gearing and saw that a direct-drive axial fan with moving nozzles would be simpler and would also supercharge the core engine.

And, many years later, Paul Bevilaqua looked at the in-line tandem fan STOVL concept, which presented some nasty flow-switching issues, and decided to turn the front fan through 90 degrees with a clutch and gearbox, and separate the airflows, and so the F-35 was born.

And now you know the rest of the story...
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Old 6th Oct 2018, 15:06
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There's a a very good book called 'Pegasus - The Heart of the Harrier' by Andrew Dow with the foreword written by John Farley (ISBN-13: 978-1848840423)
It gives an insight not only to the development of the engine (all variants) and the airframe, but also a history on VSTOL and the UK aviation industry at the time, especially between Bristol and Rolls Royce engine divisions.
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Old 6th Oct 2018, 15:16
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This is an interview with Sqd Ldr Andy Edgel F-35 test pilot, ex 4 Sqdn and 800 NAS which gives an insight into landing both on deck and the work load involved.
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Old 6th Oct 2018, 16:21
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The Pegasus started life as an early turbofan engine which used the Bristol Orpheus as the gas-generator. It came about because the original Orpheus had a novel design feature in that it saved the weight and cost of a centre bearing by making the mainshaft a large diameter tube whose stiffness was enough to avoid whirling without the additional support of a third bearing. Someone (Stanley Hooker, if I remember the story accurately) hit on the idea of adding what we would now call a second spool by running another shaft down the middle of this tube carrying a "big" fan at the front driven by a dedicated turbine on the back of this second shaft. This then led to thoughts of a 3-nozzle VTOL engine which had a straight-through (non vectoring) nozzle at the back, and the front fan air collected into two (vectoring) side nozzles. He drafted a brochure on this and discussed it with (again, IIRC) Ralph Hooper at Hawker. He had an idea for a light recon jet which landed vertically by pitching up to about 30 degrees so that the fixed and vectorable nozzles would cancel out to zero horizontal thrust.

At the time the Kingston project office were still hoping for a supersonic fighter project, but in the mean time they played with the VTOL concept to keep occupied. They had long since decided that any practicable VTOL jet had to be a "flat-riser" rather than any kind of "tail-sitter", so they went back to Bristol with the suggestion that the rear nozzle should be split and directed into two vectorable nozzles to produce the four-nozzle, fully-vectorable configuration we are now familiar with. They also made another suggestion which was to prove crucial. Bill Bedford had been in the US and had flown several of the US VTOL technology demostrators, including the Bell X-14 which he crashed. He crashed it because he got it into a situation where the powerful gyroscopic moments of the two engines running at high power but zero airspeed significantly exceeded the available control authority. Hawker's team had recognised that gyroscopics would be a significant issue on VTOL aircraft due to the negligible aerodynamic damping and stabilising forces in the hover. So Hawker suggested that the spools in this engine should counter-rotate, and that where possible effort should be made to try to make the gyroscopic moments of the two spools equal (but opposite).

As a result right from the very beginning the pegasus had negligible gyroscopic moments to upset hovering stability/controlability. This just left the discovery of "intake inertia moments" as the only nasty effect to be mitigated, but that's another story.

More than anyone wanted to know, I'm sure.

PDR
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Old 6th Oct 2018, 17:26
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orca - so true; the effort needed by so many to keep fast jets operating is tremendous and way overlooked. I have thoroughly enjoyed reading the various contributions made here that give a glimpse of the importance and skill of those on the ground/ship that make the flying possible. Worthy of a book in itself; I find the detail on here fascinating and absorbing. The complexity of fast jets is amazing but it comes at a huge cost in maintenance.

Engines - thanks for the clarification and very illuminating posts on what issues there were around the Harrier and its concepts.

I have found all the comments here truly delicious! I could gorge on them no end. This thread is just like the Harrier project itself; it started with a simple humble question that grew into something more valuable than anyone could have imagined! All very interesting, informative and unique posts here giving a precious insight into an iconic historic aircraft. Many thanks to all posting here.
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Old 7th Oct 2018, 09:53
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Great thread indeed.

My green shirts would have agreed with your division's views in heartbeat, Orca!

I think PDR's point about numbers (I would FA2s in there for completeness)
But perhaps the REAL test should be comparing one F35 with the >10 GR9s that you could field for the same money...
is very poignant, and in a world of ever increasing costs it is easily missed, by politicians' starry eyes and others.
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Old 7th Oct 2018, 10:05
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Cost comparison

May I just query the 10 x GR9’s for the cost of one F35 statement?

I know the denizens if this website are mostly fully signed up to the ‘quality has a quantity all of its own’ mantra. However, putting aircraft roles and capabilities aside for a moment, how does this maths work?

Any new jet off a production line today is going to cost at least $50M (conservative estimate). F35s are pricey but they’re not 1/2 a billion each!

Or was the statement trying to suggest ten airframes already in the inventory?

Remember, with F35 we are not just discussing the number of bombs and missiles it can carry. In bomb terms it would lose out to ten Harriers (although a fair cost comparison is probably closer to 2 or 3). In missile terms it would win. Unless you wanted to offer the AV8B as a better comparison.

In other capabilities it would win hands down. Even against ten.

Either way what was, on the face of it, an attempt to use cost comparison as a stick to beat the F35 with ends up full of holes in my opinion.

BV
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Old 7th Oct 2018, 10:10
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Originally Posted by Bob Viking
May I just query the 10 x GR9’s for the cost of one F35 statement?

I know the denizens if this website are mostly fully signed up to the ‘quality has a quantity all of its own’ mantra. However, putting aircraft roles and capabilities aside for a moment, how does this maths work?

Any new jet off a production line today is going to cost at least $50M (conservative estimate). F35s are pricey but they’re not 1/2 a billion each!

Or was the statement trying to suggest ten airframes already in the inventory?

Remember, with F35 we are not just discussing the number of bombs and missiles it can carry. In bomb terms it would lose out to ten Harriers (although a fair cost comparison is probably closer to 2 or 3). In missile terms it would win. Unless you wanted to offer the AV8B as a better comparison.

In other capabilities it would win hands down. Even against ten.

Either way what was, on the face of it, an attempt to use cost comparison as a stick to beat the F35 with ends up full of holes in my opinion.

BV
add in the cost to recruit, train, maintain, support, upgrade etc the X times number.

additional to that look at combat effect, an F-35 is going to be able to go places and do things that a Harrier just isn’t.
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Old 7th Oct 2018, 13:47
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I don't disagree, and the 10 for 1 statement was a bit of throwaway hyperbole harking back to Mountbatten's line that persuaded the Aussies to drop out of TSR2 in favour of a larger number of F111s. I remember back in 2009/10 when we were looking at extending the Harrier OSD beyond 2016 we decided 2018 was easy, 2023 was achievable but 2026 was going to be very difficult (much as my heart wished to say otherwise).

But my real point is one about the danger of having a small fleet of highly capable assets. The small numbers mean you're reluctant to risk losses, so you end up not prepared to risk using the extra capability. Another example would be my view that we'd have a more usable battle force with 8 CVSs than 2 QECs - because we could afford to risk losing a couple.

PDR
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Old 7th Oct 2018, 18:18
  #51 (permalink)  
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PDR, not really, risk that is.

In the case of the Falklands we were prepared to lose both carriers and lost several destroyers and escorts, hang the expense.

Less than 20 years earlier we were warned that the loss of one Vulcan would be the same level of political loss as the loss of an aircraft carrier.

It is a balance of political and not military acceptance of risk. To take two more recent examples: would we have risked the F35 in GW1? Would we risk an F35 in downtown Damascus?

​​​​​​I suspect Yes and No respectively.
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 01:34
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I guess in an ideal world, it would be useful to have combat aircraft at both ends of the spectrum. Highly sophisticated and expensive aircraft like the F-35 and simple cheaper aircraft like the Harrier. The F-35 would be used in advanced airspace with advanced SAM and fighter threats; the Harrier could be used in more secure airspace such as Afghanistan, where advanced systems are largely absent.

There is logic in having both; but practicality leads to choosing one. If you have the money you can have both; the USA is doing exactly that by operating F-22/F-35 as well as U.S. Marine Harriers (up to about 2030 I believe). No other country has pockets quite as deep.

The Harrier is an iconic unique aircraft; but in its way so is the F-35. Not only is it the most advanced 5th Generation aircraft, it is likely to be the last solely manned fighter developed (in the USA/UK anyway). Tempest is to be manned/unmanned; that could change as systems develop even further.

Having put my handkerchief away and stopped sobbing over the passing of the humbly superb Harrier from the UK inventory, I went for a stroll through 'F-35 land' and found out for myself a bit more as to why this aircraft is essential for future combat airspace.

It comes in two words: stealth and systems. The value of stealth cannot be overrated and it doesn't have to make you invisible, just a lot smaller.

Modern SAM systems are so lethal they could detect and engage 4th generation fighters from a very long way away with high probability of a kill. Stealth negates these systems (and airborne systems); a stealthy aircraft would need to be engaged at closer ranges. With 4th generation fighters there was ECM and manoeuvring to defend against hostile weapon systems. Even if those '4th generation' weapons systems could engage you, they could be defeated with proper use of ECM and defensive manoeuvring (as clearly shown in Vietnam).

Now modern weapon systems are so lethal that once they get a lock on the target, the target is toast. Modern systems are much more robust in dealing with ECM and have high agility to deal with the manoeuvres of aircraft. To survive in this battle space an aircraft needs to be difficult to detect.

An Australian pilot gave an account of an engagement flying against F-22's; he said he could see the F-22 but couldn't put a weapon on it (the onboard weapon systems couldn't see the F-22). That amount of stealth is a game changer.

Now that you can penetrate the highly lethal battle space, the stealth aircraft can engage them directly or gather and distribute information on where the enemy assets are, allowing older fighters to stand off and lob weapons onto the targets found by the stealth aircraft, without having to hang around in that battle space. The stealth aircraft will clear a path through hostile airspace, a bit like a mine detector clearing a path through a minefield. You wouldn't want to run through a minefield but if someone had a detector to at least tell you where the mines are, you could get through it or blow up the mines found.

Came across the following interesting article describing what happens when one side has 5th generation and the other side doesn't.

The Reason No One Can Kill an F-22 or F-35: "It’s Nearly Impossible to Fight An Enemy You Can’t See."
September 2, 2018
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/bu...357?page=0%2C1

Example of stealth against 4th Gen. aircraft; T-38 Talons & F-15E's represented 4th Gen aircraft at BVR distances. Friendly forces were F-22 and Typhoon coordinating together. The idea was for the T-38's to try and close to visual range on the F-22 friendly forces. The T-38 pilots included an F-22 Test Pilot and prospective F-22 trainee pilot. So the attacking force had good knowledge of how the F-22 operates.

The flight of three T-38's didn't know what hit them; two went down without realising they were under attack by a Typhoon. The remaining T-38 began defensive manouvring against a threat still not seen and was shot down by a Typhoon coordinating with an F-22. The Typhoon coordinating with the F-22 was a combination described as "lethal".

An article here states that four F-22's with four F-15's achieved a kill ratio in exercises of 41-1.
"The Next Generation F-15 Is Packed With Missiles"
https://www.popularmechanics.com/mil...neration-f-15/

I read about the proposed F-15 upgrade to allow carrying of upto 24 missiles (F-15X).
https://theaviationgeekclub.com/boei...-air-missiles/

Its not hard to see what giving the F-15 the ability to carry upto 24 missiles is all about; replace the F-22 with F-35 and replace the Typhoon with F-15X; that combination will sweep 4thG fighters from the skies.

I read that this is one of the fundamental uses of the F-35; it will allow not just itself, but older 4thG aircraft to operate safely and effectively in the modern battle space. It is a force multiplier, in effect. Also cost effective if it allows older aircraft to be retained instead of being replaced by more expensive 5thG aircraft (USA plan was to replace the F-15 with 750 F-22's; only about 187 F-22's will be acquired).

Found useful interesting short clips on F-35 below.

F-35 Range information

Good information here on what makes the F-35 the necessary choice.
https://www.f35.com/about/capabilities

Benefits of 5th Generation Fighters

F-35 - A Pilot's Perspective

Taking a 4thG fighter all by itself into a modernised battle space is like taking a knife to a gunfight. An F-35 will change that.

Last edited by Wingless Walrus; 8th Oct 2018 at 02:01.
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 06:59
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The vexed issues:

The key issue is that the threat, and in particular the SAM threat is now ridiculous - in terms of both spec and proliferation. To the point that Air Power supporters such as ourselves now need to be very careful trotting our tired phrases such as ‘the bomber will always get through’ (Will it?) ‘speed, height, reach’ (not enough, not enough, not enough) and ‘ubiquity of air power’ (hoping the opposition didn’t remove the ubiquity with a trip to the SA-XX Shop).

That leaves the Typhoon(and aircraft like it) unable to operate in high end MEZ/ JEZ but massively over spec for ‘day job’ of dropping PW4. (Although I have heard the integration makes it more of a challenge).

Gen 4 plus 5 force mix is indeed lethal. My last Flag was in one of the better (US) Gen 4 platforms and the team works. Can’t speak for Typhoon with legacy mech scan and low end data link...sounds like they do fine against T38😉. The Nevada SAM threat was however a bit 90s and noughties...

F-35 exportable and cheaper than F-22 but without the performance and weapon carriage. Still too expensive for entirety of force mix - and despite enormous work share for the UK still not British.

Harrier and similar not a patch on Typhoon in A-A, (by a country mile or two) and with upgrades the Typhoon should be toting Stormshadow and Brimstone - so it’s an expensive way of killing Hilux etc but can do it (or should soon) and bunker bust etc too.

Another type = another base, another logs tail, another DE&S PT etc etc

So we’ve actually got (once Typhoon A-S is set and F-35 is ready) middle and high end covered respectively. The argument should probably be - when sculpting the next generation - whether middle is VFM compared to low.

Break, break new subject. Optionally manned? Utterly pointless in my opinion. It’ll hamstrung the design for no benefit whatsoever.

Last edited by orca; 8th Oct 2018 at 07:20.
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 08:29
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Typhoon should be toting Stormshadow and Brimstone - so it’s an expensive way of killing Hilux etc
This looks to me like very specific target/weapon matching. Whilst the PK is over 0.5 how do you deal with three, or a dozen etc?
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 08:30
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Some good points in recent posts. Of course, the arguments about capabilities and relative enemy performance need to be kept in context so that the argument is not one of a "perfect" capability that in reality is less than that. Also, if you put your tiny force of super-capable machines on board a highly vulnerable transporter / launch system, you might have the almost proverbial case of "all your eggs in a weak basket".

OAP
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 08:40
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PN - well you could look in the tactics manual and calculate your Over Target Requirement - helped by a bit of Precision Weapons calculator action...

Or you can just ‘Start whaling off stores; kill them, kill them and keep killing them until they’re dead’.

Only the seasoned campaigners or those pre disposed to spending a bit of time ‘inside’ ought to consider tactic 2. It does save you a lot of time though in zero CDE situations.
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 09:17
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Top brass seem not to be that interested in their low end aircraft; I understand the USAF wasn't particularly thrilled at having an A-10 until the US Army said it would make one itself. When it came along, it was treated with disdain in the USAF, despite its success in combat.

The CAS mission no longer has a dedicated aircraft in the UK. The Harrier did superbly in CAS in Afghanistan from what I heard. F-35 or Typhoon seems overkill in such a scenario. From what I read, including parliamentary debates, there was no real need to replace Harrier in that theatre. There were suggestions that the Harrier was being 'killed off', similar to rumours now about the A-10 in the USAF.

Was the Harrier unfairly assassinated? Would we use an F-35 to do the type of job Harrier did in Afghanistan? No, I suspect.

Would a pairing of F-35 with Harrier have been worth it? Both those aircraft could operate off the carriers and give greater flexibility in CAS role.
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 09:23
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Orca, my point really is how the OTR is determined. If we consider a mass attack of whatever then you need to counter with mass. You may not have the luxury of plinking one at a time. Refining your weapons systems to the extent that you have a PK approaching 0.99 and collateral 0.01 may limit your abilities to up your game in a target rich environment. The F15x missile truck would address that issue, as would a 3-ship of Buffs.
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 09:47
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PN - I agree!
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Old 8th Oct 2018, 10:21
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Originally Posted by Pontius Navigator
Orca, my point really is how the OTR is determined. If we consider a mass attack of whatever then you need to counter with mass. You may not have the luxury of plinking one at a time. Refining your weapons systems to the extent that you have a PK approaching 0.99 and collateral 0.01 may limit your abilities to up your game in a target rich environment. The F15x missile truck would address that issue, as would a 3-ship of Buffs.
Pontious, are we not discussing a scenario here that has 5th Gen stealth as a pre-requisite for survivability? Therefore, missile trucks and Buffs would not survive.

OAP
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