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Times details proposed UK defence cut options

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Old 16th Jan 2018, 17:31
  #101 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by pr00ne
Make defence of the UK the number one priority as opposed to the defence of Europe?

If that policy was adopted then prepare for HUGE cuts as there is no specific threat to the safety of the UK out there and none on the horizon.

I think the priorities as stated make sense in today's world.
I don't.

Why are we STILL continuing with expeditionary warfare for one.
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Old 16th Jan 2018, 17:46
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Nice to see Britain’s overseas territories get a mention..........
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Old 16th Jan 2018, 18:17
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Originally Posted by pr00ne
Make defence of the UK the number one priority as opposed to the defence of Europe?

If that policy was adopted then prepare for HUGE cuts as there is no specific threat to the safety of the UK out there and none on the horizon.

I think the priorities as stated make sense in today's world.
I thought we remained committed to NATO as always and the likelihood of Russian Hegemony just as much a concern to ourselves as the rest of Europe? The SNP with there sudden concern about the Russians, never quite the same during the Cold War, indicates that there are some unlikely political quarters who don't share your lack of concern about UK defence concerns.

FB
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Old 16th Jan 2018, 20:39
  #104 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by jindabyne
I'd like to see your opinion Langley ----
You did ask, and I write as an 80 year old patriot ex MoD scientist who has seen a lot and seen a lot of b*llocks in my time. None of what follows may be feasible or wise, just an opinion from the reasonably informed non-expert.

I can deal quickly with the old set:

Support the civil power in Great Britain is the only survivor, and should be capable of being taken as read.

Decide if we keep Falklands, Gibraltar, SBAs Cyprus etc IN THE LONG TERM and base RAF transport requirements on that, and no further.

Prioritise air defence UK and ground support NATO. RAF to concentrate on Chinook

Provide one all-arms division to support NATO; light forces para, marines to scale to support maintenance of Falklands etc. Army to maintain Apache.

Navy to scrap carriers, maintain 4 missile boats and 8 hunter killers, RAF to provide top cover when leaving/ joining. Navy to have mixed fleet frigates and smaller only.

Maximum effort on cyber warfare.

Bring back outsourced services such as maintenance, catering into MoD

Forget all the equality nonsense, it will happen by a natural osmosis process rather than PC straining.
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Old 16th Jan 2018, 20:58
  #105 (permalink)  
 
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Well whilst we’re making our minds up what we should do, looks like we might get the chance to support the French in Africa:

Britain prepares to send military helicopters for French campaign against Islamists in Sahel

By all accounts I’ve heard Mali described as France’s Afghanistan, whilst the UN MINUSMA op is widely regarded as the most dangerous UN op currently running.

All those in JHC that think you’ve got summer leave, one pace forward. Odiham stand fast!
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 07:19
  #106 (permalink)  
 
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TBN -
Well even Australia managed the change. The RAAF does not fly helos anymore. The Army and RAN do it very well these days...
as I recall, it was a disaster for several years because the 'assumption' was that everyone would just move across. The Army ended up with a load of helicopters they couldn't fly or maintain and a lot of pi**ed-off people.

I think anyone considering messing with our current structure would do well to examine what went wrong there.
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 10:19
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Originally Posted by Not_a_boffin
This IS worth a read.
The whole approach and the presented status quo from the interviewed mandarin is one of "we are fully prepared, fully capable, can take on anyone, are fully funded and can do anything". It would seem that little is wrong. No wonder the UK Gov does what it does.

OAP
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 10:48
  #108 (permalink)  
 
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Yes, he seems very happy to provide broad-brush answers with positive spin but won't commit to any specifics.
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 12:12
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Originally Posted by [email protected]
Yes, he seems very happy to provide broad-brush answers with positive spin but won't commit to any specifics.
AFAIK, this "thinking" is the guideline that is supposed to be used to formulate UKGov Defence policy. Despite the bluff and bluster, I bet that he is really just told what there is to spend and which things to prioritise and then, to make the assessment up, to fit!

So much for a Defence review to fit the real UK Defence needs.

OAP
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 12:28
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Originally Posted by Onceapilot
This IS worth a read.
The whole approach and the presented status quo from the interviewed mandarin is one of "we are fully prepared, fully capable, can take on anyone, are fully funded and can do anything". It would seem that little is wrong. No wonder the UK Gov does what it does.

OAP
If only he were just a Mandarin. He's the National Security Adviser, don'tcha know - and by implication must therefore know all about National Security...........


What could possibly go wrong etc.
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 13:24
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Originally Posted by Not_a_boffin
If only he were just a Mandarin. He's the National Security Adviser, don'tcha know - and by implication must therefore know all about National Security...........


What could possibly go wrong etc.
Yes...a big Cheese!

Obviously, fairly knowledgeable and fleet of foot (and mouth!). Notwithstanding his nimble performance in that unclassified content interview, I get the impression his views were based largely on what he has been told will-be by very senior pollies and, I failed to see much evidence that he had formed views from any personal knowledge of Defence needs and capability. Indeed on p.10 of the doc he admitted lacking sufficient knowledge about Northern flank security.
Hmmm, all in all, I remain convinced that UK Defence is based more on party political needs, less on Defence needs.

OAP
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 16:07
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I think it's worse just money money money
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 20:11
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Short bio here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Sedwill

EAP
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 21:03
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Originally Posted by Cazalet33
I personally know two.

One was a rockape who went to a not-so secret campsite near the Welsh border. The other was a helicopter pilot who did something very similar.
I bet I know which one could pass his CFT.
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 22:31
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PrOOne,
You say that there is no specific threat to the UK. All well and good so far, but if you cast your mind back to ground lectures about security, the first point always made was "The biggest threat to security is the perception that no threat exists". This maxim has been borne out for every conflict we have been involved in. From the Falklands, Bosnia, Iraq, etc. we have been caught short on realities of providing military support. That capability is now so perilously close to ineffectiveness, with so many capability gaps, that the Government must seriously review our military capability OR withdraw from the commitments we have made to NATO, and other bilateral agreements. The proposed EU force is a toothless paper tiger and it is time to be realistic about POTENTIAL threats and prepare accordingly. Spend more, or promise less.

Last edited by cynicalint; 17th Jan 2018 at 22:54.
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Old 17th Jan 2018, 23:36
  #116 (permalink)  
 
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Totally and utterly agree with the above.

Just look at previous conflicts in the last 30 years and ask have we the capability to do that again and the answer will probably be no. The Falklands for example is a prime interest to the UK because of the natural resources in its waters, could we fight another war for it...NO.

And the typical spiel you get about the new ship etc being 3 times more capable as its 3 predecessor's does not cut the mustard when you need it in three different places.
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Old 18th Jan 2018, 04:39
  #117 (permalink)  
 
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Who exactly has the capability and intent to invade the Falklands and overcome the existing garrison, and why would they want to?
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Old 18th Jan 2018, 06:52
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The FI has great resources of fish and looks as if it has some oil - not on the scale of the N Sea sbut yes, resources.

But no-way are they critical to the UK - we fought the war because the people were taken over by a military dictatorship and we were right to do so. I don't think there is any real chance of a repeat in the immediate future (say 5-10 years) but it doesn't cost a great deal to keep a presence there ( great for training) except maybe the River Class boats

And we build them to keep Scots yards open rather than for fighting anyone serious -also the Fi do make a contribution - in $$ which will go up when the oil flow starts
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Old 18th Jan 2018, 08:12
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also the Fi do make a contribution - in $$ which will go up when the oil flow starts
that's why they pay back the UK govt the £millions it costs every year to keep MPA running.................oh no, that's right, they don't.
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Old 18th Jan 2018, 09:14
  #120 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Jimlad1
Who exactly has the capability and intent to invade the Falklands and overcome the existing garrison, and why would they want to?
You could have said the same thing thirty odd years ago, but you miss what I was trying to get over, you need to maintain a capability for such a thing happening in the future, no matter how remote, if you don't maintain that capability and it does happen again then you have no chance of retaining it or any other part of the world we deem neccessary.
Keep cutting the Services to the bone and then you have a toss up situation, can you afford to maintain that garrison and its protection or do you move your dwindling resources elsewhere where needed.
Like it or not, the Islands do fall under the protection of UK PLC and as such you need to maintain a credible force to ensure they do.
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