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F-35 Cancelled, then what ?

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F-35 Cancelled, then what ?

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Old 9th Feb 2016, 23:30
  #8521 (permalink)  
 
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try and stay with the facts. the air force and marines are combat capable with block 2b/3i now and this year for usaf, the usn with block 3f.

I don't recall you saying about korea, japan and israel filling the slots that the usaf are deferring.
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Old 9th Feb 2016, 23:44
  #8522 (permalink)  
 
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Try harder.

Read the DOT&E and the stinging rebuttal from the JPO... What, there isn't one?

And whatever do you mean by "the USN with Block 3F"? How many squadrons do you think USN will ever have with 3F? (Show your work my little possum!)

The Korean, Japanese and Israeli orders have already been counted in. Please cite sources about how they're ready to order more.
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Old 9th Feb 2016, 23:59
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AFAIK, one or more squadrons is classed as IOC
the numbers seem to change with the wind, but isn't the usn getting more f-35 and the usaf 5 less a year for 5 years?

you may not be aware but sweetman wrote this 2 days ago. "Under the 2017 budget plan, the Navy’s total F-35C buys between fiscal 2015 and fiscal 2021 will total 74 aircraft – more than the 64 planned last year but still fewer than the 78 envisioned in 2015."

the gap fillers are the existing orders from those non-partner nations, aren't they? they weren't on the planned procurement list from before.

Last edited by a1bill; 10th Feb 2016 at 00:55.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 00:56
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The Navy requires Block 3F jets, thus Navy IOC is late 2018, the threshold date is February 2019. The Navy is getting some of its F-35Cs back after they were cut last year, like ten over the next five years. Meanwhile, the USAF is deferring 45 F-35As for the next five years. Net loss for the JSF for the cycle.

Last edited by Maus92; 10th Feb 2016 at 01:07.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 07:05
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The price or technological shortfalls aren't going to be the demise of this programme; the two winners of the New Hampshire primary on the other hand?...Trump has suggested he'll 'fire' it, and despises the military industrial complex. Sanders will inevitably raid the defence budget for his socialist programmes. They're by far the biggest threat to it.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 10:53
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Bernie loves the F-35. They make the gun up there and the ANG is well up in the queue to get the jet. The PRV (People's Republic of Vermont) can't run on leaves and ice-cream alone.

Not to mention that it's a vast, bloated government program that employs squillions of people and goes nowhere. Socialists like that kind of thing.

PS - The nonpartners were the gapfillers when the previous partner schedule (in the PSFD MoU) blew itself to fairy dust in 2010-12. There are no gapfillers for Canada, the 90 UK aircraft that have been kicked into the dim distance, the Italian and Dutch number cuts, or Denmark should they jump ship, or Turkey if it doesn't take 100 jets in short order.

Last edited by LowObservable; 10th Feb 2016 at 11:15.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 11:47
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who knows what 2026 brings, but usa is buying 404 over the next 5 years. There are numbers for partner and non partner lrip buys that are ordered. I haven't counted the numbers, but they would be significant. I find your hope of doom and gloom quite funny. it's also silly counting canada out, they are retiring their hornet 2025 so they need their 60 odd before then. my guess is 2018 with 2021 first build.

this is the previously posted numbers on the net, someone will revise them. but israel and japan are boosting by 7-8 a year and korea still to come online.

LRIP 7 (35 Total) - 29 U.S. / 6 International
United States
o 19 F-35A CTOL for the U.S. Air Force
o 6 F-35B STOVL for the U.S. Marine Corps
o 4 F-35C CV for the U.S. Navy
International
o 3 F-35A CTOL for Italy
o 2 F-35A CTOL for Norway
o 1 F-35B STOVL for the UK
LRIP 8 (43 Total) - 29 U.S. / 14 International (4 UK, 2 Norway, 2 Italy, 4 Japan, 2 Israel)
United States
o 19 F-35A CTOL for the USAF
o 6 F-35B for the U.S. Marine Corps
o 4 F-35C for the U.S. Navy
International
o 4 F-35B STOV for UK
o 2 F-35A CTOL for Norway
o 2 F-35A CTOL for Italy
o 4 F-35A CTOL for Japan
o 2 F-35A CTOL for Israel
LRIP-9
41 F-35As combine for the US Air Force (26),
Israel (seven),
Norway (six)
Japan (two).
Twelve F-35Bs are being manufactured for the US Marine Corps (six)
British Royal Navy (six),
US Navy will receive two carrier-variant F-35Cs.

Last edited by a1bill; 10th Feb 2016 at 12:45.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 13:10
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Originally Posted by a1bill
British Royal Navy (six),
There is only one Royal Navy a1bill. The "British" is redundant....
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 13:26
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Not to mention that it's a vast, bloated government program that employs squillions of people and goes nowhere. Socialists like that kind of thing.
Not to mention how quiet it is during TOs & landings, just ask the NH Governor & NH National Guard General who went to Elgin AFB to hear for themselves, then passing the word on to Bernie, noise isn't a problem.


but usa is buying 404 over the next 5 years.
Nothing like counting your chickens before the eggs hatch. The cost curve (learning curve) is being redrawn to reflect the loss of 45. Unless L-M gives hefty sales discounts, prices go up...
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 13:41
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The "british" navy "getting" F35?

Are they?


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Old 10th Feb 2016, 13:47
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Trump has suggested he'll 'fire' it, and despises the military industrial complex.


Trump said: “When they say that this cannot perform as well as the planes we already have, what are [we] doing, and spending so much more money?” He continued, “I do hear that it’s not very good... I’m hearing that our existing planes are better. And one of the pilots came out of the plane, one of the test pilots, and said this isn’t as good as what we already have.” Trump concluded by saying this:

“Test pilots are amazing people. They know better than anybody... They’re saying it doesn’t perform as well as our existing equipment, which is much less expensive. So when I hear that, immediately I say we have to do something, because you know, they’re spending billions. This is a plane. There’s never been anything like it in terms of cost.”
If Trump keeps singing this tune, the Washington DC Congressional F-35 supporters and DoD will start feeling the heat. Not everyone is as educated about the F-35 Program as the PPRuNe folks are...
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 15:42
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Trump! Don't make me laugh. Many a prospective (and current) President's promise has been deferred, bluffed and broken to their electorate after getting into office and seeing how the government actually works. He's a figurehead and one voice amongst many. Sure he has a final say but I'll bet the farm that Trump's been given partial (and certainly not impartial) advice, because it fits with the general media malaise of hating this jet. That malaise is difficult to counter at the REL ALL level but I have conceded many times - and it is my opinion - that the cost issues are an embarrassment to the US acquisition side of the house. There was a time when I believed it to be out of control but my opinion is those dark days are behind. We are now, of course, where we are. We either pay an almost double cost per aircraft over original predictions or walk away. The latter now doesn't, and will never, make sense. The time to do that was 10 years ago. Anyway...

Once Trump's been shown the wider puzzle and how F-35 pieces fit into it, both domestically and internationally, he won't be so quick to 'Fire!' F-35. Again, that's my opinion. He patently hasn't been given the facts. He's just saying this stuff to pander to the masses of confused and disaffected 'Jane and John Q. Taxpayers' alike. Good for him! He's saying what many want to hear to get what he wants, but many don't know why F-35 is important. Not just for the USA but the potential coalition as a whole. Let's not forget that Trump is a shrewd and ruthless businessman.

Corbyn says he'll get rid of Trident if elected PM. In a similar fashion, he won't. He can't even convince his own party of the benefit to do so.

I hope Bloomberg enters and rescues this farce soon.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 15:55
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Ken, Israel's IAI has been given a contract to provide L-M more than 800 sets of outer-wings for the F-35As.
I'm aware of that.

The deal is an offset agreement by the US DoD enticing Israel to buy F-35s and it worked.
I'm aware of that too. In any event IAF seems to be very enthusiastic about their F-35's. I personally doubt IAF's enthusiasm is only because they have Israeli made outer wings. You're welcome to disagree. And on a related note, IAF and the Israeli defense ministry has expended a LOT of political capital to get DoD and LM to agree to allow IAF to make changes that they've not allowed to anyone else, including their UK partner that enjoys a "special relationship" with the US.

I don't believe there are "special" outer-wings for the F-35Is.
It depends on how one interprets the statement that the EW equipment unique to the F-35I "will use specific apertures... in the lower fuselage and leading edge of the F-35I." Are the "specific apertures" unique to the F-35I, or is it just the equipment that uses those "specific apertures" unique to the F-35I? I don't know. But usually, to get any kind of decent performance, the antenna/aperture needs to be specifically tuned/designed for the EW equipment that will use it. Generic antennas may work OK for comm equipment who's frequencies and waveforms are known, well defined, and seldom change, but EW equipment is usually a very different matter. But who knows? Maybe the ELBIT folks can perform some kind of engineering hocus pocus and use generic antennas for their very unique EW equipment.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 16:11
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The Israeli government aren't buying F-35 because they get to build some wings for the F-35A! That's like saying I need this particular type of gun because ..... you'll etch my name on it for a discount?!!

Ask why the gun is different, why you need the gun and what you intend to shoot with it if pressed. The gun seamlessly talks to a lot of other guns too? That could be interesting..... You'll buy them for me as well? Awesome.

I'm sure if the US were willing to sell an F/A-22 derivative to Israel they wouldn't be in the F-35 Program. That goes for a lot of other countries, like Japan.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 18:03
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MSOCS,
The Israeli government aren't buying F-35 because they get to build some wings for the F-35A! That's like saying I need this particular type of gun because ..... you'll etch my name on it for a discount?!!
How about if you got the gun for free, name etched on as well? Read on:

August 15/2010: Defense Minister Ehud Barak announces formal approval for purchasing the American F-35A. Reports indicate that Israel will buy 20 jets for about $2.75 billion, and add that the deal is a “closed package” with few to no Israeli modifications. The aircraft would be delivered from 2015-2017. If Israel chooses to buy more F-35s from later production blocks, they may have more Israeli systems.

Defense Ministry Director-General Udi Shani reportedly said that one of the considerations in approving the deal was an American offer of $4 billion in industrial offset contracts to Israeli defense industries. Their exact composition will be part of negotiations and future agreements with Lockheed Martin, who already has good relations with Israeli defense firms in a number of spheres. The entire deal will be funded by American military aid dollars, and still needs the Israeli cabinet’s approval before a contract can be signed and announced.
Wings are in the $4B offset agreement. The UK should get such a deal!
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 22:45
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"Seamlessly talks to everything else"?

Really, MSOCS. It may do it in exactly the same way as anything else does, if the security maniacs will let you, via L16. Otherwise it talks to other F-35s.
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Old 10th Feb 2016, 23:25
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putting the FUD aside, perhaps they may upgrade the coms on the the 4th gen? there is also com nodes that can act, if needed.
http://www.lockheedmartin.com.au/us/...operation.html

Last edited by a1bill; 11th Feb 2016 at 00:30.
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Old 11th Feb 2016, 02:54
  #8538 (permalink)  
 
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a1 could you (again) clarify your RN to get F35 statement from that listing of "yours"..

msocs Trump for the win!
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Old 11th Feb 2016, 07:02
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LowObservable : The Korean, Japanese and Israeli orders have already been counted in. Please cite sources about how they're ready to order more.
PS - The nonpartners were the gapfillers when the previous partner schedule (in the PSFD MoU) blew itself to fairy dust in 2010-12. There are no gapfillers for Canada, the 90 UK aircraft that have been kicked into the dim distance, the Italian and Dutch number cuts, or Denmark should they jump ship, or Turkey if it doesn't take 100 jets in short order.
at one hour mark, it answers your FUD
http://www.appropriations.senate.gov...budget-request
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Old 11th Feb 2016, 08:44
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From a1b's link:

"the F-35 is an evolution in air superiority."

So it IS an air superiority fighter. Won't be needing F-22 anymore then.
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