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F-35 Cancelled, then what ?

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F-35 Cancelled, then what ?

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Old 14th Jul 2015, 11:18
  #6781 (permalink)  
 
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And your citing of the F-35's "stellar" performance in "every other part of the dogfight regime" is of course completely unsupported by data. As far as most of the world is concerned, it's marketing puffery.
Isn't that interesting. My view is that "the data" indicates the F-35 has stellar performance and the characterizations of "abysmal" performance are "completely unsupported by data." As for "most of the world", may I respectfully inquire why so much of the world is buying the F-35? Do people really believe that nations make such decisions based on "marketing puffery" and not on hard data, including reams of classified data?
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 11:27
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I think the trapeze plan has been dropped?
I believe you're right CM so the points made, valid as they may mostly be, are kinda moot anyway! I'm not sure why we are discussing LOAL of an IR rocket from inside a bay. Doesn't mean HOBS and LOAL aren't valid though - agree with some of the CFoF issues you and NITRO bring up. All a bit nasty if the rocket isn't properly cued or updated.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 11:39
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Oh, yes, of course, MSOCS. You're right that all my last few posts are specifically about IR from the weapons bay because I was responding to a point about exactly that. Sorry I can't tell you which post; I can't even remember where I left my car keys let alone a post from more than a couple of days ago!

External carriage should be the same as any bomber. I think they've already done some of the carriage trials and I would expect the appropriate clearances to come at the appropriate time.

That said, my points about HOBS and LOAL still apply, it's just that (mostly) you don't need to rely on LOAL to launch from a wing or fuselage station, which (apart from stealth considerations) is a good thing.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 11:40
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So the F-35 doesn't need the Aim 9X at all. There is some cost savings! Which they've already identified btw.
May I respectfully point out that a point of a high off-bore sight weapon like the AIM 9X is to avoid the knife fight in the phone booth. The pilot looks, cues, and fires and then the missile does the maneuvering and closing with the target instead of the whole airplane.

It didn't look like it was immensely dangerous for the F-16.
May I ask how one comes to this conclusion? How many actual close-in dogfights has the F-16 engaged in over its life time? Being optimized (in the 70s!) for the close-in daytime, good weather dogfight and actually fighting that way are two very different things.

When carrying the Aim 9X the F-35 couldn't sneak up on the F-16 either.
May I ask how one comes to this conclusion? The F-35's stealth and its array of passive sensors make it more capable of "sneaking up" than just about any other fighter. (The F-22 possibly being excepted.)

Unless it carries it internally. But that precious space is limited. This is the contradiction in the design that is being pointed out.
It is only a "contradiction" if the user decides to use the F-35 primarily as a stealthy air-to-air platform. One more time, it is designed primarily as a penetrating air-to-ground platform with an excellent air-to-air capability. And stellar in long range air-to-air. And loaded up with external stores which compromises its stealth, F-35 is damn good, generally on par with a Super Hornet, which no one calls a slouch, much less "abysmal".
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 11:42
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I'd be interested if you could post a link to you so called 'hard data' KenV. The countries involved in the F-35 program signed up before there was any 'hard data'.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 11:45
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Not only may you "respectfully inquire" but you could find out for yourself.

However.

The US customers have no choice in the matter in any case. The Marines are happy because procurement is from the Navy aircraft budget and there has been no hint that they are expected to give up any other force structure to pay for the F-35. The AF's last leaders who advocated another fighter were fired.

The partner nations signed on when the jet was promised as 2700 pounds lighter, far less expensive to buy, available in 2012-13 and with equal operating costs to an F-16, and when Rafale and Typhoon were not in service and JAS 39E did not exist. None except Denmark has formally reviewed that commitment, despite the changes since that time.

Consequently, none of the "experts" in the other nations have access to the kind of data about non-F-35 solutions that would allow them to make a professional judgment as to whether (for instance) JAS 39E would meet their national needs at one-third the LCC. You don't get that access without a real competition (and not a Netherlands-style beauty contest).

Korea carried out a rules-based competition, which the F-15SE won. The decision was then reversed using additional criteria that were secret, so there are no grounds for assuming that U.S. political pressure was not influential if not decisive.

The F-35 won in Japan, against Typhoon (almost unthinkable) and Super Hornet, which was at that time still hobbled by official and unrealistic insistence that its OSD would be around 2030. It was chosen by Israel, for specific missions (read "A2G"), but Israel is not spending its own money.

Last edited by LowObservable; 14th Jul 2015 at 11:56.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 11:55
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HOBS and LOAL are both valid technical solutions (BVRAAMs are all LOAL) but it's the combination of the two that gets tricky, particularly at close range where the angle rates are highest. While in theory the datalinked IR AAMs (AIM-9X Block II and ASRAAM MLU) can do it, CM has outlined the limitations of launching from a ventral bay where LOS is interrupted.

So far, the F-35 has retreated from its initial position on HOBS weapons, which involved ASRAAM and a trapeze. This would still have been limited, compared to the F-22/J-20/T-50 solution, because of seeker FOV from the rail. Now, as we know, F-35 has no HOBS solution in stealth mode.

"Over-the-shoulder" can be LOBL if the target is near 9-3 when the missile is fired - I believe that's the main selling point for Python 5.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 11:57
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Anyway, you can tell the mx where to look for its intended target and you can tell it what the target is doing at launch. You can't tell the mx what the target does after launch, you can't tell the mx what else might be in the (expanding) uncertainty box and you can't easily determine what the mx has targeted when and if it finds something to go after.
May I respectfully point out that the AIM-120 from day one way back in the '80s had a datalink that enabled the launch aircraft to guide the missile's flight and tell it when to turn on its internal sensor for terminal homing? In other words, if there was uncertainly about where the missile had gone and what it was going to see when it got there, the missile's internal sensor would simply not get turned on. The missile has improved mightily since.

Would I like my wingman shooting a LOAL mx into my furball? Erm, not really, thank you.
May I respectfully point out that the point of an LOAL shot is to AVOID the furball, and not to engage one.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 12:18
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Now, as we know, F-35 has no HOBS solution in stealth mode.
May I respectfully point out that neither does the F-22. (When the F-22's trapeze is extended to allow the Sidewinder to see the target, the F-22 stops being stealthy). Does that make the F-22 "abysmal"?
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 12:25
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Come on Ken, you've got some good arguments, but regrettably they're being undermined by the passive aggressive manner with which you're framing them ("May I respectfully point out...").

There's no need for it - we're all enthusiasts here.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 12:26
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I think everyone here understands the difference between weapons carriage that is stealthy until the WVR fight starts, and external carriage. In WVR, RCS by definition no longer matters. So your point is entirely invalid. Again.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 12:34
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@Courtney, I'm sure someone would know. I would have thought the wingman would have the encoding to mid-course update the missile if needed or even launch and target a missile from the leading platform ?
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 12:36
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gald rag: Be a bit messy. Another Iranian Airbus that is. Or a Malaysian 777 for that matter.....depends on your ROE I guess but you septics don't have the best of records do you..
Wow, an unrelated tragic mistaken shoot down, a conspiracy theory and a derogatory slur all in one line. You are quite efficient glad rag. Not funny or clever by any means if that was your intent, but efficient.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 12:41
  #6794 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by LowObservable
So far, the F-35 has retreated from its initial position on HOBS weapons, which involved ASRAAM and a trapeze. This would still have been limited, compared to the F-22/J-20/T-50 solution, because of seeker FOV from the rail. Now, as we know, F-35 has no HOBS solution in stealth mode.
This is quite shocking...but if they don't need them

Lingchi indeed.


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Old 14th Jul 2015, 12:46
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Originally Posted by sandiego89
Wow, an unrelated tragic mistaken shoot down, a conspiracy theory and a derogatory slur all in one line. You are quite efficient glad rag. Not funny or clever by any means if that was your intent, but efficient.
tragic mistaken shoot down?

a conspiracy theory??

a derogatory slur ???

My, you really want to have your cake and eat it.

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Old 14th Jul 2015, 13:03
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KenV

F-35 has an excellent self-jamming capability
I'm not totally convinced that this is a helpful capability..............
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 13:54
  #6797 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by melmothtw
Come on Ken, you've got some good arguments, but regrettably they're being undermined by the passive aggressive manner with which you're framing them ("May I respectfully point out...").

There's no need for it - we're all enthusiasts here.
This would come across as less of a cheap shot if you got on glad rag about that septics nonsense he threw at a new arrival.

We were doing so well for a while, just going after the topic and not each other. I'd like to see us return to that.
(I'd also like to see the F-35 be less expensive, so maybe this is a vain hope).
As to ORI: Been on a few ships at sea doing ORI: a wringer.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 13:58
  #6798 (permalink)  
 
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Point of order!

got on glad rag about that septics nonsense
It's not nonsense if it's a [however unpalatable] FACT!


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Old 14th Jul 2015, 14:08
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Originally Posted by glad rag
It's not nonsense if it's a [however unpalatable] FACT!


User of a perjorative term is not necessary, and the 20+ year ago Airbus shoot down by a guided missile cruiser (that did not have visual) has about BFA to do with the F-35.

There are enough axes to grind about the F-35 without brining in Off Topic issues. Please stick with the topic of the thread.
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Old 14th Jul 2015, 14:23
  #6800 (permalink)  
 
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Absolutely




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