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Predict Commercial Aviation Developments/Lack Of, thru 2038

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Predict Commercial Aviation Developments/Lack Of, thru 2038

Old 27th Oct 2017, 00:25
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Predict Commercial Aviation Developments/Lack Of, thru 2038

That's 20 years.
No large commercial supersonic aircraft.
Possibly some corporate sized supersonics for the few.
More of the same twin engine, largish, long distance aircraft. Decline of 4 engines attached unless for heavy-lift.
Bean counters and "because we can" scientists exploring one engine transports as well as pilotless aircraft justified by and with statistical evidence or lack of.
More a la carte type bills for a ticket.
In-flight service? A creeping state of "always a bit less".
Point to point or hub? Who cares? A mix of both. They keep fiddling with combinations to find the holy grail of systems.
More crowds at every juncture getting stupider overall.
Increasing demands for airspace and airport space.
Possibly at least two really turbulent global aviation crises.


Looking for something exciting here, seeing little ...
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 04:14
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Commercial BWBs on drawing board after successful introduction of blended wing body military transports/tankers.
Sabre-engined prototype flies SSTO.
Just joking...
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 04:21
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The Saudis will abandon their unmanned air taxis within a year of implementation, no amount of intoning Inshallah will keep them in the air.
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 06:34
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B737 and A320 still the major short haul airliners.
Another version of both A320 and B737 after Neo and Max.
B52 and other geriatrics still in service.
Commercial passenger space flights.
Drones replace helicopters for fire-fighting, pipeline/wire surveys.
Standing room only, ultra low cost flights in regular operation.
More Premium economy/business class only airlines on premium routes as a reaction to the whole cattle class experience.
Back-loading of corporate/executive aircraft becomes more common and accessible. An Uber of the air perhaps?

I would like to see practical scramjet and hypersonic airliners but 20 years is not long enough to develop them under existing economics/management.

Last edited by seafury45; 27th Oct 2017 at 06:41. Reason: additions
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 10:05
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Battery powered short haul 70-100 seat airliners becoming practicable
Battery powered PC-12/Caravan sized aircraft gaining popularity.
GA manufacturers producing more battery powered aircraft then other forms of power.

Boeing KC-46 Tanker to have almost completed its trials to service
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 10:06
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The Saudis will abandon their unmanned air taxis within a year of implementation
Maybe by 2038 you'll have gained some basic geography knowledge.
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 10:28
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Originally Posted by surely not View Post
Battery powered short haul 70-100 seat airliners becoming practicable
Battery powered PC-12/Caravan sized aircraft gaining popularity.
GA manufacturers producing more battery powered aircraft then other forms of power.
OLEC meeting agrees export restrictions to further increase lithium prices.
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 10:33
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Originally Posted by Nemrytter View Post
Maybe by 2038 you'll have gained some basic geography knowledge.
I'd settle for basic Humanity lessons................
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 13:57
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Even more security hassle at the airports - TSA the largest employer in the world.
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 15:03
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20 years?

Small supersonics for those who have to travel. VR drones for those who don't.

Probably some short-range electric aircraft/helicopters with full automation.

I don't see much of a market for point-to-point ballistic rockets, but tourist spaceflight may be taking off (so to speak).
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 17:08
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Originally Posted by Nemrytter View Post
Maybe by 2038 you'll have gained some basic geography knowledge.
And you some manners Nem, probably not.
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 20:08
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LH premium class cabins will continue to improve - compare them now to 1997.

Direct SYD-LHR flights (shudder).

I think that alcohol will be banned, but hopefully I will not be flying by that time.
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Old 27th Oct 2017, 20:44
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Originally Posted by fltlt View Post
The Saudis will abandon their unmanned air taxis within a year of implementation, no amount of intoning Inshallah will keep them in the air.
Can't they just use magic carpets?
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Old 28th Oct 2017, 01:53
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Re-regulation.
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Old 28th Oct 2017, 04:31
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ZFT
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Could we turn this around into a wish list for 2038 (which by my maths is 21 years)?

Minimum standard of dress in all cabins
Total ban on use of mobiles on board
Hat racks only a la 60s/70s
Cabin Crew provide service a la 60s/70s
...and dreaming on
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Old 28th Oct 2017, 08:46
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And you some manners Nem, probably not.
Yes, there's many self-improvements you could embark upon.
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