Go Back  PPRuNe Forums > PPRuNe Worldwide > Fragrant Harbour
Reload this Page >

More pilot shortage articles

Wikiposts
Search
Fragrant Harbour A forum for the large number of pilots (expats and locals) based with the various airlines in Hong Kong. Air Traffic Controllers are also warmly welcomed into the forum.

More pilot shortage articles

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 9th Jul 2017, 21:01
  #41 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2007
Location: CLK
Posts: 380
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Or, you keep the small aircraft and less seats and charge more for them? Supply and demand will work it out?
Farman Biplane is offline  
Old 9th Jul 2017, 22:51
  #42 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Vietnam
Posts: 1,244
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
As far as I know it's the business class section that makes the money. Business travellers want choice of departure times.

Economy (leisure) travellers don't want to board a 7 hour flight at 3pm. They want a 10am departure because they want to get there, check in and go and eat etc. Business pax want to arrive at 10am not depart. You want to operate bigger aircraft with fewer slots you have to alienate either the economy pax or business pax. I know which ones I want to keep.
pilotchute is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 02:09
  #43 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Hong Kong
Posts: 83
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
If the price is low enough, you'll bring out the bottom feeders. An empty seat is zero revenue, but if you want to fill the plane, price it very low and you'll find enough people to fill the plane. Hence, keep a business friendly schedule, lower prices in the back to fill the plane.
azhkman is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 04:53
  #44 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Vietnam
Posts: 1,244
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
In a 3 class cabin, if business and first are full. You could pretty much have nobody in economy and the flight will still make a little money.

You could charge 50% on top of the usual economy class seat but if business and first is empty you will be taking off with a big loss. Just putting people on seats is great if you are a low cost single class carrier. For established full service carriers it's not the right strategy.

Even some locos now have a "premium" cabin.
pilotchute is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 05:24
  #45 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: May 2002
Location: up here, everyone looks like ants!
Posts: 966
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by pilotchute
In a 3 class cabin, if business and first are full. You could pretty much have nobody in economy and the flight will still make a little money..
An enduring fallacy. It depends what you're charging. There are many "legacy" carriers that rely on "bums in seats", irrespective of class.
It's not smart to propose that any airline would turn it's back on $200 to $300K per flight (income from economy).
Do the math. Flight load factors need to be north of 90% if any airline wants to make a few bucks. No one can afford to fly an empty cattle class.
Cpt. Underpants is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 06:01
  #46 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2008
Location: DSOTM
Posts: 191
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by Sam Ting Wong
This threat is intellectually so embarrassing that it physically hurts reading it.
I would see someone about that. Reading "threats" that result in physical pain, on the internet, is not something that normal human beings are capable of in their natural habitat.
drfaust is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 06:26
  #47 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: with the other ex-CX pond scum (a zoologist was once head of Flight Ops)
Posts: 1,852
Received 50 Likes on 21 Posts
Threat and Error Management not so good, Sam!
Captain Dart is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 08:28
  #48 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2013
Location: sdfsd
Age: 85
Posts: 24
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Pilotchute,


I think you should get a job in the revenue management department.
Reading your post I got a great idea.
Why not sell the business and first class seats really cheaply, that why you fill them up no problem and by your logic all will be well as the price you sell them at does not seem to be a consideration.
Take it to the next level, buy a couple of A380s and just put first class seats in them ....... we'll be swimming in it soon ........


Heard of yield before ?
EFIS Check is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 08:51
  #49 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Nov 2011
Location: Vietnam
Posts: 1,244
Likes: 0
Received 1 Like on 1 Post
Yes I have heard of yield. What you seem to forget is business and first class tickets are usually paid for by non price sensitive customers. Usually corporations (that's why its called business) and rather well off people.

Ever seen a $99 fare in business? No and that's why your argument is a little off.

Underpants, I can't say for sure but I would say that a full business and first class cabin would yield more than all off economy?

The point being though is I would say any airline with premium cabins would much prefer to fly schedules that appeal to the business travellers as full biz and first cabin with only half of economy fIlled would be a much better yield than having a full economy cabin with nobody up the front.
pilotchute is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 15:43
  #50 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Over There
Posts: 740
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Back to the subject at hand...

There is NO pilot shortage...there is a shortage of well paying pilot positions with benefits sufficient to encourage potential pilots to apply.
cpdude is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 22:21
  #51 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Left Coast USA
Posts: 75
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Originally Posted by cpdude
Back to the subject at hand...

There is NO pilot shortage...there is a shortage of well paying pilot positions with benefits sufficient to encourage potential pilots to apply.
^^
Precisely, CAE, is in the pilot shortage business
alldaysushi is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 23:06
  #52 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: London
Posts: 1,539
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Well, a few numbers. The USA alone will need upwards of 100,000 new pilots in the next 10 years. Asia-Pacific, about 230,000. Both those numbers based on current growth/retirement estimates. For what it's worth, past estimates have been constantly adjusted in an upwards direction. So, CX can continue their head-in-the-sand attitude towards the simple mathematical fact of a growing crewing crisis, or they can finally acknowledge that finding, keeping and benefiting from skilled, well paid pilots is probably a better idea than their current policy of degrading, demoralising and ultimately losing the pilots they currently employ. I am holding my breath.
Trafalgar is offline  
Old 10th Jul 2017, 23:56
  #53 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: U/S
Posts: 282
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Turning out to be quite a storm for CX
Average Fool is offline  
Old 11th Jul 2017, 00:24
  #54 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Dec 1998
Posts: 185
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Interesting factoid: the US airline industry is quietly lobbying the US Gov to allow the employment of foreign pilots, as there is no where near enough pilots available domestically to cater to the growing demand for both growth and retirement requirements. Would love to be a fly on the wall of CX management offices the day that policy is approved. Of course, they will be busy producing all the 'Confirmation of Employment and Experience' letters that our pilots will be requesting.
mngmt mole is offline  
Old 11th Jul 2017, 01:05
  #55 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: one country, one system
Age: 55
Posts: 502
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
You guys are so funny.

Pilot shortage as Cathay, haha.
Sam Ting Wong is offline  
Old 11th Jul 2017, 04:54
  #56 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: U.S.
Posts: 344
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Paul,

It's time for you to retire. Take all of your money (I assume you have some since you've been working here for nearly 30 years) and go off and enjoy the last few years of your life!! Take a break from the internet. We ALL need it.

box
boxjockey is offline  
Old 11th Jul 2017, 05:08
  #57 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: London
Posts: 1,539
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
STW. Take boxjockeys advice. You need a rest.
Trafalgar is offline  
Old 11th Jul 2017, 06:12
  #58 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: one country, one system
Age: 55
Posts: 502
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
So, since you are so well informed, how big is the pilot shortage at Cathay please?

Got any numbers?

PS I fly 60-70 hours.
Sam Ting Wong is offline  
Old 11th Jul 2017, 08:21
  #59 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: London
Posts: 1,539
Likes: 0
Received 0 Likes on 0 Posts
Here's a number for you. I fly 900, last three years in a row. Next question?
Trafalgar is offline  
Old 11th Jul 2017, 08:38
  #60 (permalink)  
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: USA
Posts: 3,380
Likes: 0
Received 17 Likes on 11 Posts
Originally Posted by mngmt mole
Interesting factoid: the US airline industry is quietly lobbying the US Gov to allow the employment of foreign pilots, as there is no where near enough pilots available domestically to cater to the growing demand for both growth and retirement requirements.
mm,

Not disputing your comment but I'd like to see the information upon which you know the lobbying is taking place. A few regionals here are taking Aussies under the E-3 visa applicable only to Aussies (as discussed elsewhere). IIUC, this visa class was in place long ago and merely used lately to get a few expats into the regional segment of the US airline biz...and probably isn't the mechanism to which you refer. I'd love to see the source of your information.
bafanguy is offline  


Contact Us - Archive - Advertising - Cookie Policy - Privacy Statement - Terms of Service

Copyright © 2024 MH Sub I, LLC dba Internet Brands. All rights reserved. Use of this site indicates your consent to the Terms of Use.