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CX profits falls by 82%

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CX profits falls by 82%

Old 21st Aug 2016, 10:52
  #61 (permalink)  
 
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I don't know about Cathay, but in at least one other airline, that's pretty much how it works.

Treat the decisions makers like VIPs and the corporate contract will follow.
Treat them like sh*t and you've lost a big contract.

These guys are actually treated much better than our "walk-in" first class passengers.

Source: my cousin who's a manager in revenue and previously in corporate contracts for another airline.
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Old 21st Aug 2016, 11:07
  #62 (permalink)  
 
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I really would like to live in a world that is as simple as you guys imagine it.
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Old 21st Aug 2016, 11:18
  #63 (permalink)  
 
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Sum Ting Wong,

It's not rocket surgery mate. Look at the new terminal... Who's growing into that? CX or its competitors? Now extrapolate that onto a new runway. 500 or so new movements per day. How many of those will be CX? Regardless of whether CX grows or not, you think market share for CX goes up or down? I'll put my entire retirement savings on down. What happens when market share goes down? Yield drops because competitors strengthen, and alternative travel options abound. Over time, Marco Polo doesn't look so shiny anymore, and CX competes purely on price. There is no product premium, no customer loyalty, just seats at very low yields. CX will never be a mega-hub carrier like EK because our strategy is far less aggressive. We will slowly erode into a niche carrier with a decent product and ok route map from HK, but nothing more than that. Very few outside HK will flock to fly on the once mighty and proud CX. It's over. Most of the silver and gold has been extracted already. It's all copper and iron ore from here on out. In pilot speak, it's fish head soup, not champagne and caviar. Spiky will be thrilled!!!
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Old 21st Aug 2016, 11:19
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Apparently Mickey Mouse has an Ivan Chu watch!!
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Old 21st Aug 2016, 13:27
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This is my last post, I delete my account.

I officially lost faith in humanity.

Unbelievable, just unbelievable.
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Old 21st Aug 2016, 13:29
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STW - Hallelujah and Farewell (thank God for that!!). You don't have the same job as us - you'll do well in the CX "Strategy Department" counting your beans as they reduce in size. Enjoy!!
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Old 22nd Aug 2016, 05:00
  #67 (permalink)  
 
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STW. Please don't. I enjoyed reading your posts. It's very healing to read something written and thought through from a grown up.
Please continue.
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Old 22nd Aug 2016, 05:47
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As for the new terminal and runway - well, what's better for HK? Cathay to expand or HK Express/ HK Airlines to expand? Over half of CX passengers are transit, adding nothing to HK well being. Almost all HK Express/ HKA passengers are either HK residents or visitors to HK, so either benefitting HK by giving them cheap flights, or by bringing in tourists/ business.

To add insult to injury, Cathay has cheaper fares in most markets than they do in HK, for a longer journey. I.e KUL-HKG-LAX is usually cheaper than HKG-LAX. Sure, there are reasons for it, but it doesn't argue for giving more to Cathay vs other airlines
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Old 22nd Aug 2016, 15:18
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Oh please let it be true that STW has moved on.. There is a God after all
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Old 22nd Aug 2016, 23:59
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Originally Posted by Sam Ting Wong
This is my last post, I delete my account.

I officially lost faith in humanity.

Unbelievable, just unbelievable.
Thank god for that. Another manager/management mole gone. About time. The drivel was starting to fill up the titanic. Must have started filling up the 9th floor....
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Old 23rd Aug 2016, 02:42
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Unlike your drivel ?
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Old 24th Aug 2016, 11:17
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Qantas Group Full Year Result 2016
Sydney
Published on 24th August 2016
Key points:

Record underlying profit before tax: $1.53 billion, up 57%
Record statutory profit before tax: $1.42 billion, up 80%
Record results for Qantas Domestic, Qantas International, Jetstar Group, Qantas Loyalty
Near-doubling of earnings per share: 49c, up 24c
Return on invested capital: 23%, up 6.5 points
Operating cash flow: $2.8 billion, up 38%
Net free cash flow: $1.7 billion
$500m shareholder return: fully-franked 7c per share ordinary dividend and onmarket share buy-back
Additional cash bonus totalling $75 million for 25,000 non-executive employees
Continued investment in aircraft cabins and wi-fi
Qantas today reported an underlying profit before tax of $1.53 billion for the 12 months ended 30 June 2016 – the best result in its 95-year history.

The record performance is a 57 per cent per cent improvement on financial year 2015. It means Qantas can resume dividend payments, reward 25,000 EBA-covered employees with a one-off cash bonus, and continue investment for customers, including extending wi-fi to Qantas’ regional and international fleets and finalising the network and customer experience for the Qantas Dreamliner.

SUMMARY OF RESULT
Qantas Domestic, Qantas International, the Jetstar Group and Qantas Loyalty all reported record results.

Total underlying EBIT in the domestic market – across both Qantas and Jetstar – was a record $820 million, up $191 million, and total underlying EBIT in the international division was $722 million, up $374 million.

Return on invested capital was 23 per cent, compared with 16 per cent at 30 June 2015, and earnings per share almost doubled to 49 cents.

The Qantas Transformation program continues to reshape the Group’s cost base and ability to generate revenue. It has unlocked $1.66 billion in permanent cost and revenue benefits since early 2014, including $557 million in financial year 2016, and is now outperforming, with the Group expecting to realise $2.1 billion in benefits by June 2017.

Effective fuel hedging saw the Group secure a $664 million benefit from lower global fuel prices compared with financial year 2015, passing a proportion of these savings through to air fares – which are up to 40 per cent lower than a decade ago in the Australian market.

The Group’s financial position improved significantly during the year, with $2.8 billion in operating cash flow used for capital expenditure, shareholder distributions and debt repayments, and excess cash used for refinancing.

CEO Comment
Chief executive Alan Joyce said the result demonstrated the success of Qantas’ strategy to build a strong, sustainable future for the national carrier.

“Our transformation program is paying dividends for our shareholders, our customers and our employees,” Mr Joyce said. “Our people can be incredibly proud of what they’ve achieved. It’s thanks to their skill and commitment that we’re announcing a record profit today.

“This was a true team performance, which shows that our strategy is the right one for the tough markets we’re operating in and the long-term opportunities we see ahead of us.

“Transformation has made us a more agile business, created value for our shareholders and given us a platform to invest for the future. Qantas is stronger than ever, but we’re also determined to keep changing and adapting so that we can succeed no matter what environment we’re in.”

RETURNS TO SHAREHOLDERS
The Group has returned more than $1 billion to shareholders over the past 12 months, through a $505 million capital return (completed in November 2015) and $500 million on-market share buy-back (completed in June 2016), and Qantas today confirmed it will return up to $500 million more to shareholders.

The Qantas Board has declared a fully-franked final ordinary dividend of 7 cents per share – or $134 million in total – to be paid on 12 October 2016. In addition, Qantas will carry out a further on-market share buy-back of up to $366 million, subject to shareholder approval.

Where there is surplus capital in future the Group will first distribute to shareholders via an ordinary dividend, in conjunction with share buy backs, special dividends or a capital return should additional surplus exist. Future dividends will be partially franked or unfranked, until Qantas’ franking credit balance – which will fall to $26 million after the current dividend is paid – increases.

REWARDING OUR PEOPLE
In recognition of their outstanding contribution, around 25,000 personnel across the Qantas Group will be eligible for a one-off $3,000 Record Result Bonus (on a full-time basis) if they are covered by an EBA that includes the 18-month pay freeze outlined as part of the Qantas Transformation program.

Combined with the bonus announced in July 2015, this now means more than $160 million in cash rewards has been set aside for non-executive employees in the past two years.

The costs of the discretionary payment will be recognised in financial year 2017, outside of underlying earnings.

INVESTING FOR CUSTOMERS
Over the past 12 months Qantas has announced new investment in eight Boeing 787-9 Dreamliners for Qantas International, super-fast inflight wi-fi for Qantas Domestic, and new lounges in London Heathrow and Brisbane, in addition to the refresh of Qantas’ Airbus A330 and Boeing 737-800 fleets.

The Group confirmed today that:

Qantas is in the final stages of scoping options to extend wi-fi to its regional and international fleets;
Qantas is exploring a partnership with Cricket Australia to live-stream cricket over summer 2016-17, on the aircraft involved in the wi-fi technology trial;
The first Qantas Dreamliner flights will open for sale before Christmas, on Qantas International’s existing network, with other international destinations for the Dreamliner confirmed shortly afterwards; and
Qantas is working with a team of world-class designers, including Marc Newson, and university sleep experts to design the Dreamliner interiors in Economy, Premium Economy and Business to best-in-class standards.
“Throughout our transformation we’ve invested in the areas that matter most to our customers,” Mr Joyce said. “We’ve renewed our aircraft, lounges, technology and the training we provide for our people, who’ve done a phenomenal job to earn record customer satisfaction.

“Today’s result means we can build on those investments, with some really exciting projects in the pipeline to make the experience of flying with Qantas even better. Our plans for the Qantas Dreamliner, in particular, will set new standards for the industry.”

GROUP PERFORMANCE
Qantas’ performance in financial year 2016 reflects the advantages of the Group portfolio, with approximately two-thirds of its earnings generated from its strong, stable domestic and loyalty businesses, and approximately one-third from its international business – increasing potential earnings and resilience to volatility.

Qantas Domestic reported record underlying EBIT of $578 million, up 20 per cent on financial year 2015.

The business continued to navigate the transition in the Australian economy, with a $121 million drop in revenue from resources markets but higher revenue in non-resources markets, and capacity reductions limiting the impact of weaker demand at the end of the year. Operating margin was up 1.9 points to 10.1 per cent.

Customer satisfaction was at record levels, helped by upgrades to Qantas’ A330 and B737 fleets and continuous investment in service training.

Qantas International reported record underlying EBIT of $512 million, up 92 per cent on last year and an improvement of more than $1 billion compared with its result in financial year 2014.

The business continued to reduce costs and increase revenue while growing capacity to meet demand through a 5 per cent rise in aircraft utilisation. Unit costs excluding fuel were down 4 per cent and operating margin was up four points to 8.9 per cent.

With business travel and tourism strengthening in Asia, Qantas International has re-allocated capacity from trans-Pacific routes and the domestic market to destinations including New Zealand, Singapore, Hong Kong, Japan, the Philippines and Indonesia. Overall capacity on the Pacific routes has been increased under an expanded partnership with American Airlines, which saw Qantas return to San Francisco and American to Sydney and Auckland.

This agile approach to growth will continue in financial year 2017, as the Group monitors broader economic conditions, while continuing to deepen strategic partnerships with American Airlines, Emirates and China Eastern.

Qantas International’s employees also achieved record customer satisfaction.

The Jetstar Group reported record underlying EBIT of $452 million, up 97 per cent.

Operating margin for the Jetstar Group in financial year 2016 was up 5.8 points to 12.4 per cent, helped by a 3 per cent reduction in unit costs (excluding fuel).

After completing the renewal of Jetstar’s long-haul fleet with Boeing 787-8 Dreamliners, investment is focused on continuing to improve the airline’s customer experience and online sales channels.

The Jetstar airlines in Asia delivered an $85 million improvement on last year. This improved performance included a first full-year profit for Jetstar Japan, which today announced plans to grow from 20 to 28 aircraft over the next three years, building on its success since launch in 2012 and supporting ongoing domestic and international growth.

Qantas Loyalty reported record underlying EBIT of $346 million, up 10 per cent.

Revenue increased by 6.7 per cent, with margins up 0.7 points to 23.8 per cent.

Approximately 45 per cent of the business’ revenue growth in the year came from non-core ventures, while the core consumer and business loyalty programs continued to perform strongly.

Qantas Frequent Flyer members increased by 580,000 to 11.4 million and a range of improved products and partnerships have been announced. An expanded arrangement with Woolworths increases opportunities to earn Qantas Points on every dollar, including grocery and fuel purchases.

Loyalty continues to invest in new ventures and grow the scale of existing ones, taking a strategic stake in Data Republic – a secure data sharing platform – alongside Westpac and NAB, and launching Qantas Assure, a health insurance venture with nib.

Qantas Freight reported underlying EBIT of $64 million, down 44 per cent on last year.

The result reflects difficult global cargo markets and the end of favourable legacy agreements with Australian Air Express, impacting yields. However, the business is well-positioned for the future. New long-term deals with Australia Post and Toll, the country’s two biggest freight customers, are in place in the domestic market. Qantas Freight is also pursuing new opportunities internationally, in particular on triangular Australia–China–US routes.

FINANCIAL POSITION
The Group remained in an optimal capital structure throughout the year, with net debt within the Group’s target range of $4.8 billion to $6 billion.

Total Group short-term liquidity is $3 billion, including $2 billion in cash and $1 billion in undrawn facilities. The Group’s unencumbered asset base is valued at more than US$3.9 billion.

Investment remains disciplined, with net capital expenditure of $1 billion in financial year 2016 and a forecast of approximately $1.5 billion in financial year 2017.

OUTLOOK

First half
The Group is planning for capacity growth of 2-3 per cent in the first half of financial year 2017, driven by increased aircraft utilisation:

Group domestic capacity is expected to be flat to a decrease of 1 per cent; and
Group international capacity is expected to increase by approximately 4 per cent.
The Group is planning for the mixed domestic and international operating environment to continue in the first half. Unit revenue is expected to be below the first half of financial year 2016, with competitive industry pricing and resources sector weakness. This will be offset by a total unit cost improvement from the Qantas Transformation program and lower fuel costs.

The short-term outlook remains subject to variable factors, including oil price movements, foreign exchange movements and global market conditions.

Mr Joyce said: “The Qantas Group expects to continue its strong financial performance in the first half of financial year 2017, in a more competitive revenue environment. We are focused on preserving high operating margins through the delivery of the Qantas Transformation program, careful capacity management, and the benefit of low fuel prices locked in through our hedging.

“The long-term outlook for the Group is positive, with clear strategic priorities and a robust financial framework to deliver for our customers, our people and our shareholders.”

Full year
The Group’s current operating expectations for financial year 2017 are as follows:

First half Group capacity is expected to increase by 2-3 per cent;
Full year underlying fuel costs are expected to be no more than $3.2 billion, or $3.1 billion at current forward Australian dollar prices;
Full year depreciation and amortisation expense is expected to be approximately $150 million higher than in financial year 2016;
Full year lease expense is expected to be approximately $100 million lower than in financial year 2016;
Full year transformation benefits (cost, fuel efficiency and revenue) are expected to be $450 million; and
Full year net capital expenditure is expected to be $1.5 billion.
Having regard to industry and economic dynamics, no Group profit guidance is provided at this time.

Introduction of quarterly trading updates
From financial year 2017 the Qantas Group will enhance market disclosure by reporting first quarter and third quarter trading updates, released in October and April. The quarterly trading update will incorporate traffic statistics and unit revenue (RASK) performance, and introduce actual revenue performance for the quarter at a Group level. Quarterly trading updates will replace monthly traffic statistics.
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Old 24th Aug 2016, 13:16
  #73 (permalink)  
 
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Only QF's best financial result in 96 years leading to the company paying an unprecedented "Record Result Bonus" to its staff.

But anyone just reading the bottom line doesn't understand aviation. "Difficult headwinds" in the northern hemisphere result in smooth tailwinds down under due to coriolis effect.
(Oh, and maybe taking a fuel hedging option that they could pay out of if prices moved against their position helped. Of course, that admits making an error. Never an option in an Asian company)

When a basket case of a company like qantas make you look like a laughing stock, then I'm guessing that's what you are. Lucky CX spent millions in the courts fighting qantas/jetstar obtaining a Hong Kong AOC allowing Hong Kong travellers to enjoy the full benefits of extremely low fuel prices.

Last edited by Progress Wanchai; 24th Aug 2016 at 13:32.
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Old 24th Aug 2016, 13:22
  #74 (permalink)  
 
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[QUOTE][Effective fuel hedging saw the Group secure a $664 million benefit from lower global fuel prices compared with financial year 2015, passing a proportion of these savings through to air fares – which are up to 40 per cent lower than a decade ago in the Australian market./QUOTE]

That's interesting. I would have thought that with oil prices at the lowest level for years that any fuel hedging would cost a company more. Now is not the time to be hedged. Is QF trying to put a positive spin on their hedging? ( we only hedged a little bit so we are ok) I assume they aren't hedged any where near the level CX is. Hence the big profit. CX would have a big profit too if not for their hedge.
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Old 24th Aug 2016, 20:06
  #75 (permalink)  
 
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Confucius say "If you hedge too much and make a huge loss, this is good news because fuel must be very - sorry - "werry" cheap. Smart thinking Ivan -top man!!
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Old 24th Aug 2016, 22:35
  #76 (permalink)  
 
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We might have said something. Then again we haven't hedged over the past 30 years. We had no need of it 30 years ago as CX made money despite itself.
It's a relatively new ploy; certainly post DT who point blank refused to do it.

Last edited by MENELAUS; 24th Aug 2016 at 22:36. Reason: Claude Monet.
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Old 25th Aug 2016, 00:12
  #77 (permalink)  
 
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10 years ago CX hedged 15 percent of its fuel cost.

A 60 percent long position futures contract (not an option that can be paid out ala qantas) is not a hedge, it's a gamble with shareholders money.
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Old 25th Aug 2016, 02:13
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The graph in the annual reports shows how little has been made over the last several years, and how much has been lost in the last 2. Not exactly a raging success.
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Old 25th Aug 2016, 02:52
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For those of you lamenting the loss of STW. Just go to the AOA forums and read his drivel there.
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Old 25th Aug 2016, 04:07
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The old saying comes to mind: "...when you look around the blackjack table and you can't tell who the sucker is, then it's you". That perfectly sums up CX management. All the worlds major airlines are making record profits, and all we get are alarmist Friday Flyers telling us that we are barely surviving. Pathetic (and for any of us who have been here long enough, completely fatuous).
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