Originally Posted by ScepticalOptomist
(Post 11028837)
Have you looked at the data in Sweden? Plenty of new cases every day, and almost no deaths arising from them.
Unfortunately we’re still hung up on numbers infected - even when that’s not translating into serious disease and death. Some countries don’t have that luxury yet, but a lot do as they have vaccinations and most likely some level of natural immunity from not locking up so quickly. The argument was Sweden had a blip early with aged care (and admitted it) but after that relatively no deaths. Figures 2/10/2020____ 93,615 cases & 5,893 deaths. Today 16/4/2021 (about 6 months) 892,480 cases & 13,761 deaths. So almost no deaths = 7,868. |
All the evidence is that when politicians get optimistic and lift the restrictions cases then hospital admissions and then deaths soar - Sweden, Chile & the UK all show this
We have to wait until about 65% of the population have had the jab to think about opening up fully - at that point the much maligned "herd immunity" actually exists |
Originally Posted by Asturias56
(Post 11028994)
All the evidence is that when politicians get optimistic and lift the restrictions cases then hospital admissions and then deaths soar - Sweden, Chile & the UK all show this
We have to wait until about 65% of the population have had the jab to think about opening up fully - at that point the much maligned "herd immunity" actually exists Chile are also using Chinese vaccines that don’t work. |
Originally Posted by Dannyboy39
(Post 11029059)
Where in the UK have hospital admissions or deaths soared?
Chile are also using Chinese vaccines that don’t work. |
Originally Posted by Dannyboy39
(Post 11029059)
Where in the UK have hospital admissions or deaths soared?
Chile are also using Chinese vaccines that don’t work. |
If you look at that graph you may notice that since January when the vaccine rollout started the number of patients admitted has fallen dramatically. So has deaths.
Still some way to go before vaccination is complete which will reduce numbers further. Yes the number of cases /deaths etc may be very high in TOTAL since the start of all this. Things are looking much much better NOW mainly because of the successful vaccination program. ( any deaths are regrettable of course) We need to stop looking backwards and start to move forwards with caution. Surely International borders cant stay closed forever. That cant be good for anyone. |
Originally Posted by Bend alot
(Post 11029072)
UK are sitting in the World # 6 in cases, and # 4 in deaths - has it been just consistent?
|
Originally Posted by Bend alot
(Post 11029072)
UK are sitting in the World # 6 in cases, and # 4 in deaths - has it been just consistent?
|
Originally Posted by chookcooker
(Post 11029136)
your definition of “soar” is different to pretty much everyone else there chief
|
I love the alternate reality when, when presented with concrete facts (government issued graphs) , people justchange the narrative as if it never happened.
smooth. |
Originally Posted by compressor stall
(Post 11029142)
I love the alternate reality when, when presented with concrete facts (government issued graphs) , people justchange the narrative as if it never happened.
smooth. |
Hiding behind construed tenses. Clever.
The claim was that All the evidence is that when politicians get optimistic and lift the restrictions cases then hospital admissions and then deaths soar - Sweden, Chile & the UK all show this And it’s even more indefensible as you”ve only just started opening up some non essential shops (so no time yet to soar like last time) AND you’ve got an enviable vaccine policy. It’s unlikely to go batsh!t again in the UK. |
Originally Posted by fl dutchman
(Post 11029128)
If you look at that graph you may notice that since January when the vaccine rollout started the number of patients admitted has fallen dramatically. So has deaths.
Still some way to go before vaccination is complete which will reduce numbers further. Yes the number of cases /deaths etc may be very high in TOTAL since the start of all this. Things are looking much much better NOW mainly because of the successful vaccination program. ( any deaths are regrettable of course) We need to stop looking backwards and start to move forwards with caution. Surely International borders cant stay closed forever. That cant be good for anyone. So if you’re hit by a bus within 28 days of a positive result, you’re in the numbers. We’ll never know the true numbers but with those metrics, they won’t be zero for a very long time, and there are many deaths that have gone down as COVID with family maintaining they died of something else. That’s not to say the UK hasn’t had an awful time of it... If you’re going for a zero COVID strategy, there are going to be large parts of the globe that will be inaccessible for many years to come. Not to mention the number of jobs lost in the travel and tourism industry. This is afterall, a pilots forum. |
It’s amazing how many people on these forums that either (a) are happy to destroy their own industry and (b) happy to keep taking the money despite no one sitting in the back forgetting the consequences.
|
Originally Posted by BA_Baracas
(Post 11029304)
Also in the UK, the stats are, people who die “within 28 days of a positive COVID result”.
So if you’re hit by a bus within 28 days of a positive result, you’re in the numbers. https://www.who.int/classifications/...h_COVID-19.pdf |
Originally Posted by Asturias56
(Post 11028994)
All the evidence is that when politicians get optimistic and lift the restrictions cases then hospital admissions and then deaths soar - Sweden, Chile & the UK all show this
We have to wait until about 65% of the population have had the jab to think about opening up fully - at that point the much maligned "herd immunity" actually exists Opening up international borders is going to be a very slow process that will take years before any kind of free travel is allowed, even if vaccinated. First we have countries like NZ which are COVID free with strong restrictions to transits etc. We will then probably look at countries with strong border restrictions with very little COVID and allow vaccinated travel with testing and maybe a short quarantine period. I think we will be lucky by the end of this year to have more than NZ and maybe a couple of Pacific Islands. Very lucky to have somewhere like Singapore as well. |
The latest from the CDC in the USA. And before you go on about the Americans mismanaging the pandemic, which they did thanks to Donald, just remember where the two mRNA vaccines have come from.
Travel overseas and upon return NO NEED TO QUARANTINE. Why? Because you’re vaccinated and that can only be a good thing and yet here we are once again dragging the chain. Re inventing the wheel. Thinking we know better. When was the last time that Australia designed and built an airliner? Austronauts. What are we now Vaccinauts. This is a pilot forum. We fly technical equipment invented by scientists and engineers. It’s about time we applied some science and logic to the discussion. Not some abstract crap you heard on social media. We’ve become a bunch of risk averse pussies. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....eb78eb967.jpeg |
Yep, science and logic would say that's what we have to look forward to when 40% of the population have had at least one dose (effectively eliminating hospital risk) and 25% are fully vaccinated. They are the stats from the USA from yesterday. :ok:
We should be in that position by .... Christmas? :mad: |
Originally Posted by compressor stall
(Post 11029547)
Yep, science and logic would say that's what we have to look forward to when 40% of the population have had at least one dose (effectively eliminating hospital risk) and 25% are fully vaccinated. They are the stats from the USA from yesterday. :ok:
We should be in that position by .... Christmas? :mad: |
Originally Posted by Troo believer
(Post 11029484)
The latest from the CDC in the USA. And before you go on about the Americans mismanaging the pandemic, which they did thanks to Donald, just remember where the two mRNA vaccines have come from.
Travel overseas and upon return NO NEED TO QUARANTINE. Why? Because you’re vaccinated and that can only be a good thing and yet here we are once again dragging the chain. Re inventing the wheel. Thinking we know better. When was the last time that Australia designed and built an airliner? Austronauts. What are we now Vaccinauts. This is a pilot forum. We fly technical equipment invented by scientists and engineers. It’s about time we applied some science and logic to the discussion. Not some abstract crap you heard on social media. We’ve become a bunch of risk averse pussies. https://cimg7.ibsrv.net/gimg/pprune....eb78eb967.jpeg Why on earth would we follow their policy? |
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